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MMA Handicapper Stats: Robert Dakota

Robert Dakota (Frm6218)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	16 (42%)	Right	8 (53%)	Right	3 (23%)	Right	5 (50%)
Wrong	22 (58%)	Wrong	7 (47%)	Wrong	10 (77%)	Wrong	5 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	1.85	Avg Odds	2.50	Avg Odds	1.83
Units Bet	39.7	Units Bet	20.8	Units Bet	8.5	Units Bet	10.5
Avg Bet	1.04	Avg Bet	1.38	Avg Bet	0.65	Avg Bet	1.05
Units Profit	-5.46	Units Profit	0.51	Units Profit	-3.76	Units Profit	-2.21
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	-44%	ROI %	-21%

Robert Dakota: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Jan '25	UFC 311	2.5	-1.2	-49%	0.8 / 0.5 (155%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Jan '25	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II	11.6	-6.7	-58%	-2.9 / 6.3 (-46%)	-1.8 / 3.3 (-56%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Dec '24	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	16.75	-0.2	-1%	2.4 / 8.8 (28%)	-2.2 / 4.45 (-50%)	-0.4 / 3.5 (-12%)
7th Dec '24	UFC 310	10.35	2.7	26%	0.2 / 5.15 (3%)	0.3 / 2.2 (14%)	2.2 / 3 (74%)

Winning Events: 1 (25%)
Losing Events: 3 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.30 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.75 units
Best Event: 2.68 units
Worst Event: -6.72 units
Average Event: -1.36 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 2.68
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.13

Robert Dakota: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2025	14.1	-7.9	-56%	-2.1 / 6.8 (-31%)	-1.8 / 3.3 (-56%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	/ 2 (0%)	-3.97
2024	27.1	2.5	9%	2.6 / 13.95 (19%)	-1.9 / 6.65 (-29%)	1.8 / 6.5 (28%)	1 / 1 (50%)	1.24

Robert Dakota: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Robert Dakota: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	41.2	-5.5	-13%	0.5 / 20.75 (2%)	-3.8 / 9.95 (-38%)	-2.2 / 10.5 (-21%)

Robert Dakota: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (33%)	4	80 %	13.80	2.36	0.47	17%
Slight Favorites	4 (27%)	1	25 %	2.95	-2.00	-0.50	-68%
Slight Underdogs	5 (33%)	2	40 %	3.50	-0.85	-0.17	-24%
Big Underdogs	1 (7%)	1	100 %	0.50	1.00	1.00	200%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (13%)	1	50 %	6.30	-0.92	-0.46	-15%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	1 (7%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (80%)	7	58 %	13.45	2.43	0.20	18%

Robert Dakota: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Middleweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.45	0.45	91%
Welterweight	3 (20%)	1	33 %	5.75	-0.37	-0.12	-6%
Lightweight	1 (7%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Featherweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.36	1.36	45%
Bantamweight	3 (20%)	1	33 %	4.50	-0.14	-0.05	-3%
Flyweight	2 (13%)	1	50 %	1.50	-0.13	-0.06	-8%

Women's Fights	4 (27%)	3	75 %	5.00	-0.18	-0.04	-4%
Bantamweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.77	0.77	155%
Flyweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.55	0.55	36%
Strawweight	2 (13%)	1	50 %	3.00	-1.50	-0.75	-50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	17 (81%)	12	71 %
Slight Favorites	4 (19%)	1	25 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	21	13	62 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (7%)	1	100 %
50-65%	4 (27%)	1	25 %
35-50%	3 (20%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	7 (47%)	1	14 %
	15	4	27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.20	1.20	1.20	0.2 (20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (20%)	3	100 %	2.07	2.92	1.65	3.6 (119%)
Goes to Decision	1 (7%)	0	0 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (13%)	0	0 %	6.55	9.50	5.00	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (13%)	0	0 %	4.62	6.00	3.75	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	6 (40%)	0	0 %	2.11	3.10	1.56	-3.0 (-50%)
	15	4	27 %	2.35			-4.2 (-28%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Robert Dakota's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
7th Dec	UFC 310	10.35	2.7	26%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,026.75
14th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	16.75	-0.2	-1%		$10.27	$1,026.75	$1,024.83
11th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II	11.6	-6.7	-58%		$10.25	$1,024.83	$955.97
18th Jan	UFC 311	2.5	-1.2	-49%		$9.56	$955.97	$944.25

ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Robert Dakota: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '25	Ernesta Kareckaite	Nicolle Caliari	1.36	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jan '25	Ailin Perez	Karol Rosa	2.55	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '25	Felipe Bunes	Jose Johnson	2.75	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:4)
4.	Dec '24	Piera Rodriguez	Josefine Knutsson	3.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '24	Felipe Lima	Miles Johns	1.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '24	Joaquin Buckley	Colby Covington	1.42	3.8	TKO, R3 (4:42)
7.	Dec '24	Eryk Anders	Chris Weidman	1.91	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:51)
8.	Dec '24	Movsar Evloev	Aljamain Sterling	1.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '25	Amanda Ribas	Mackenzie Dern	1.53	2.5	Sub, R3 (4:56)	No
2.	Jan '25	Uros Medic	Punahele Soriano	1.54	1.3	TKO, R1 (0:31)	No
3.	Jan '25	Trey Ogden	Thiago Moises	2.45	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '24	Ramon Taveras	Davey Grant	1.95	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '24	Adrian Yanez	Daniel Marcos	2.24	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '24	Max Griffin	Michael Chiesa	1.80	0.65	Sub, R3 (1:56)	No
7.	Dec '24	Cody Durden	Joshua Van	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Robert Dakota: Progress Chart

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