MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6887
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2473

MMA Handicapper Stats: Fight Fiend Forecast

Fight Fiend Forecast (FightFiend)

MMA MHandicapper - Fight Fiend Forecast

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	52 (24%)	Right	8 (28%)	Right	21 (19%)	Right	23 (31%)
Wrong	162 (76%)	Wrong	21 (72%)	Wrong	90 (81%)	Wrong	51 (69%)
Avg Odds	4.73	Avg Odds	2.72	Avg Odds	5.53	Avg Odds	5.11
Units Bet	431.6	Units Bet	95.3	Units Bet	124.0	Units Bet	212.3
Avg Bet	2.02	Avg Bet	3.28	Avg Bet	1.12	Avg Bet	2.87
Units Profit	27.90	Units Profit	-35.21	Units Profit	-27.88	Units Profit	90.99
ROI %	6%	ROI %	-37%	ROI %	-22%	ROI %	43%

Fight Fiend Forecast: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Dec '24	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	29.1	21.0	72%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-2.1 / 4.1 (-51%)	27.1 / 21 (129%)
7th Dec '24	UFC 310	24	52.3	218%	9.5 / 7.2 (132%)	6.0 / 6.8 (88%)	36.8 / 10 (368%)
23rd Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo	29.8	-11.0	-37%	2.7 / 8.8 (30%)	2.1 / 5.25 (40%)	-15.8 / 15.75 (-100%)
16th Nov '24	UFC 309	48.5	-16.5	-34%	0.8 / 18 (4%)	-13.3 / 13.25 (-100%)	-4.0 / 17.25 (-23%)
9th Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates	25.8	24.7	96%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	4.3 / 3.7 (116%)	23.4 / 19.1 (122%)
2nd Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi	24	24.0	100%	-1.2 / 7 (-18%)	9.5 / 4.5 (211%)	15.7 / 12.5 (126%)
26th Oct '24	UFC 308	24	5.3	22%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 9.5 (-32%)	13.3 / 9.5 (139%)
19th Oct '24	UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez	3.9	0.1	3%		0.5 / 3.5 (14%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
15th Oct '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 10	10	-10.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '24	UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira	10	12.6	126%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)	15.0 / 7.65 (196%)
8th Oct '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 9	4.2	5.4	128%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	3.0 / 2 (150%)	3.9 / 0.7 (555%)
5th Oct '24	UFC 307	9	13.9	154%	2.2 / 3 (75%)	9.0 / 3 (300%)	2.6 / 3 (88%)
1st Oct '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 8	4	-1.0	-25%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-0.0 / 3 (-0%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
28th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis	16.9	-16.9	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-5.0 / 4.95 (-100%)	-9.0 / 8.95 (-100%)
24th Sep '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 7	5.35	0.7	12%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)	3.5 / 2.5 (140%)
17th Sep '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 6	4	3.7	94%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	4.7 / 3 (158%)
14th Sep '24	UFC 306	12.25	-7.9	-64%	1.1 / 1 (110%)	-5.0 / 7.25 (-69%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Sep '24	Bellator Champions Series	4.05	16.8	415%		-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	17.6 / 3.3 (532%)
10th Sep '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 5	6.5	0.9	14%		1.6 / 5.75 (28%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
7th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	31.5	-27.4	-87%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	-7.9 / 12 (-66%)	-11.5 / 11.5 (-100%)
7th Sep '24	Cage Warriors 176	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Sep '24	Oktagon 60	2.6	-2.6	-100%			-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
3rd Sep '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 4	6	-6.0	-100%		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
27th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	12	-12.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	19	-11.0	-58%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-4.5 / 12.5 (-36%)
23rd Aug '24	PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs	10.6	1.8	17%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	5.3 / 7.1 (75%)
20th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 2	8	3.9	48%			3.9 / 8 (48%)
17th Aug '24	UFC 305	37.5	-37.5	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)	-17.5 / 17.5 (-100%)
16th Aug '24	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	4	5.7	142%			5.7 / 4 (142%)

Winning Events: 16 (55%)
Losing Events: 13 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.88 units
Most Staked On One Event: 48.50 units
Best Event: 52.34 units
Worst Event: -37.50 units
Average Event: 0.96 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 73.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -64.00

Fight Fiend Forecast: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	431.55	27.9	6%	-35.2 / 95.25 (-37%)		91.0 / 212.3 (43%)	16 / 13 (55%)	0.96

Fight Fiend Forecast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Fight Fiend Forecast: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	345.25	25.7	7%	-14.0 / 74 (-19%)	-27.7 / 100.65 (-27%)	67.3 / 170.6 (39%)
Bellator	4.05	16.8	415%		-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	17.6 / 3.3 (532%)
PFL	14.6	7.5	51%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	11.0 / 11.1 (99%)
Other	67.65	-22.1	-33%	-19.3 / 19.25 (-100%)	2.0 / 21.1 (10%)	-4.8 / 27.3 (-18%)

Fight Fiend Forecast: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Underdogs	18 (62%)	7	39 %	64.20	-15.64	-0.87	-24%
Big Underdogs	11 (38%)	1	9 %	31.05	-19.57	-1.78	-63%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (10%)	0	0 %	13.80	-13.80	-4.60	-100%
Co-Main Event	5 (17%)	1	20 %	28.50	-26.40	-5.28	-93%
Position 3-5	8 (28%)	1	13 %	17.25	-11.50	-1.44	-67%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (45%)	6	46 %	35.70	16.49	1.27	46%

Fight Fiend Forecast: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	3 (10%)	1	33 %	5.00	0.75	0.25	15%
Middleweight	3 (10%)		0 %	8.00	-8.00	-2.67	-100%
Welterweight	8 (28%)	3	38 %	27.95	-5.99	-0.75	-21%
Lightweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	18.00	0.98	0.25	5%
Featherweight	3 (10%)		0 %	14.50	-14.50	-4.83	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	4.80	-4.80	-4.80	-100%
Flyweight	2 (7%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%

Women's Fights	5 (17%)	2	40 %	14.00	-0.65	-0.13	-5%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Flyweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	11.00	2.35	0.59	21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	145 (68%)	124	86 %
Slight Favorites	47 (22%)	35	74 %
Slight Underdogs	17 (8%)	8	47 %
Big Underdogs	5 (2%)	0	0 %
	214	167	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	19 (10%)	14	74 %
50-65%	18 (9%)	9	50 %
35-50%	31 (16%)	14	45 %
<35% chance	132 (66%)	23	17 %
	200	60	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	10 (5%)	6	60 %	1.36	2.25	1.10	-2.5 (-25%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (4%)	6	75 %	1.49	2.15	1.20	0.8 (10%)
X Wins by KO	34 (17%)	14	41 %	2.85	9.50	1.44	5.8 (17%)
X Wins by Sub	26 (13%)	4	15 %	5.78	29.00	2.20	0.2 (1%)
X Wins by Decision	22 (11%)	11	50 %	3.17	10.00	1.76	14.5 (66%)
X Wins Inside Distance	21 (11%)	7	33 %	2.69	10.00	1.22	-1.9 (-9%)
X Wins in Round X	15 (8%)	1	7 %	2.86	8.00	1.90	-12.9 (-86%)
Others	64 (32%)	11	17 %	5.02	50.99	1.47	-18.8 (-29%)
	200	60	30 %	3.23			-14.9 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Fight Fiend Forecast's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Aug	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	4	5.7	142%	$2	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,054.62
17th Aug	UFC 305	37.5	-37.5	-100%	$2	$10.55	$1,054.62	$657.14
20th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 2	8	3.9	48%	$2	$6.57	$657.14	$680.53
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs	10.6	1.8	17%	$2	$6.81	$680.53	$690.73
24th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	19	-11.0	-58%	$2	$6.91	$690.73	$612.74
27th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	12	-12.0	-100%	$2	$6.13	$612.74	$537.21
3rd Sep	Contender Series 2024: Week 4	6	-6.0	-100%	$2	$5.37	$537.21	$502.98
7th Sep	Oktagon 60	2.6	-2.6	-100%	$2	$5.03	$502.98	$487.90
7th Sep	Cage Warriors 176	5	-5.0	-100%	$2	$4.88	$487.90	$461.51
7th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	31.5	-27.4	-87%	$2	$4.62	$461.51	$333.05
10th Sep	Contender Series 2024: Week 5	6.5	0.9	14%	$2	$3.33	$333.05	$333.98
14th Sep	Bellator Champions Series	4.05	16.8	415%	$2	$3.34	$333.98	$388.10
14th Sep	UFC 306	12.25	-7.9	-64%	$2	$3.88	$388.10	$355.44
17th Sep	Contender Series 2024: Week 6	4	3.7	94%	$2	$3.55	$355.44	$366.74
24th Sep	Contender Series 2024: Week 7	5.35	0.7	12%	$2	$3.67	$366.74	$367.13
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis	16.9	-16.9	-100%	$2	$3.67	$367.13	$303.09
1st Oct	Contender Series 2024: Week 8	4	-1.0	-25%	$2	$3.03	$303.09	$298.05
5th Oct	UFC 307	9	13.9	154%	$2	$2.98	$298.05	$337.40
8th Oct	Contender Series 2024: Week 9	4.2	5.4	128%	$2	$3.37	$337.40	$353.57
12th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira	10	12.6	126%	$2	$3.54	$353.57	$396.28
15th Oct	Contender Series 2024: Week 10	10	-10.0	-100%	$2	$3.96	$396.28	$354.66
19th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez	3.9	0.1	3%	$2	$3.55	$354.66	$353.01
26th Oct	UFC 308	24	5.3	22%	$2	$3.53	$353.01	$369.55
2nd Nov	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi	24	24.0	100%	$2	$3.70	$369.55	$456.15
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates	25.8	24.7	96%	$2	$4.56	$456.15	$566.61
16th Nov	UFC 309	48.5	-16.5	-34%	$2	$5.67	$566.61	$471.28
23rd Nov	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo	29.8	-11.0	-37%	$2	$4.71	$471.28	$417.58
7th Dec	UFC 310	24	52.3	218%	$2	$4.18	$417.58	$634.15
14th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	29.1	21.0	72%	$2	$6.34	$634.15	$765.48

ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Fight Fiend Forecast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '24	Vicente Luque	Themba Gorimbo	2.50	4	Sub, R1 (0:52)
2.	Dec '24	Michael Chiesa	Max Griffin	2.10	3.2	Sub, R3 (1:56)
3.	Nov '24	Nikolas Motta	Hayisaer Maheshate	2.87	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '24	Jim Miller	Damon Jackson	2.50	3	Sub, R1 (2:44)
5.	Nov '24	Eduarda Moura	Veronica Macedo	2.25	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '24	Brendson Ribeiro	Caio Machado (2)	2.30	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '24	Court McGee	Tim Means	2.62	2	Sub, R1 (3:19)
8.	Sep '24	Valentina Shevchenko	Alexa Grasso	2.10	1	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '24	Fernando Padilla	Sean Woodson	2.30	4	TKO, R1 (4:58)	No
2.	Nov '24	Deiveson Figueiredo	Petr Yan	3.50	4.8	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Nov '24	Michael Chandler	Charles Oliveira	3.00	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Nov '24	Gerald Meerschaert	Reinier de Ridder	3.40	3	Sub, R3 (1:44)	No
5.	Nov '24	Rose Namajunas	Erin Blanchfield	2.10	4.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '24	Bruno Silva	Ismail Naurdiev	2.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Oct '24	Brunno Ferreira	Abusupiyan Magomedov	2.10	2	Sub, R3 (3:14)	No
8.	Oct '24	Mohamed Ado	Jonathan Micallef	2.15	5	Sub, R1 (3:1)	No
9.	Oct '24	Lucas Rocha	Clayton Carpenter	2.87	1.5	Sub, R2 (2:12)	No
10.	Oct '24	Anthony Drilich	Sean Gauci	2.75	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Oct '24	Khalil Rountree	Alex Pereira	4.80	1	TKO, R4 (4:32)	No
12.	Oct '24	Christien Savoie	Jacobe Smith	6.00	0.25	TKO, R2 (2:55)	No
13.	Sep '24	Nora Cornolle	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	2.70	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '24	Francesco Mazzeo	Kevin Christian	2.20	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:17)	No
15.	Sep '24	Dylan Mantello	Ahmad Hasanzada	2.30	1	Sub, R3 (2:41)	No
16.	Sep '24	Gilbert Burns	Sean Brady	2.50	8	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '24	Michael Aswell	Bogdan Grad	2.05	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '24	Victoria Leonardo	Cong Wang	8.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:2)	No
19.	Aug '24	Ray Cooper III	Mukhamed Berkhamov	4.00	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '24	Jesse Stirn	Jose Perez	4.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Fight Fiend Forecast: Progress Chart

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