|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Fighting Fortune |
|
Fighting Fortune: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 30 (63%) Losing Events: 18 (38%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.00 units Most Staked On One Event: 32.27 units Best Event: 7.85 units Worst Event: -8.08 units Average Event: 0.94 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 20.65 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.08 |
Fighting Fortune: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
480.22 |
44.9 |
9% |
4.3 / 157.42 (3%) |
|
6.2 / 73.14 (8%) |
30 / 18 (63%) |
0.94 |
|
Fighting Fortune: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Fighting Fortune: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
275.35 |
26.4 |
10% |
4.4 / 87.26 (5%) |
17.9 / 149.32 (12%) |
4.1 / 38.77 (11%) |
Bellator |
33.5 |
3.9 |
12% |
1.1 / 7.58 (14%) |
3.4 / 22.95 (15%) |
-0.6 / 2.97 (-19%) |
PFL |
30.38 |
10.6 |
35% |
2.2 / 1.71 (128%) |
8.9 / 23.1 (39%) |
-0.5 / 5.57 (-9%) |
Other |
140.99 |
4.1 |
3% |
-3.4 / 60.87 (-6%) |
4.3 / 54.29 (8%) |
3.2 / 25.83 (12%) |
|
Fighting Fortune: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
7 (5%) |
5 |
71 % |
24.41 |
0.43 |
0.06 |
2% |
Slight Favorites |
43 (33%) |
23 |
53 % |
73.35 |
3.82 |
0.09 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
37 (29%) |
18 |
49 % |
37.44 |
6.11 |
0.17 |
16% |
Big Underdogs |
42 (33%) |
8 |
19 % |
22.22 |
-6.10 |
-0.15 |
-27% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (9%) |
1 |
9 % |
13.82 |
-11.77 |
-1.07 |
-85% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (7%) |
6 |
67 % |
12.53 |
5.16 |
0.57 |
41% |
Position 3-5 |
37 (29%) |
19 |
51 % |
50.40 |
10.78 |
0.29 |
21% |
6+ (Undercard) |
72 (56%) |
28 |
39 % |
80.67 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0% |
|
Fighting Fortune: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
11 (9%) |
4 |
36 % |
11.30 |
2.90 |
0.26 |
26% |
Light Heavy |
4 (3%) |
2 |
50 % |
7.83 |
3.25 |
0.81 |
42% |
Middleweight |
15 (12%) |
7 |
47 % |
17.48 |
6.30 |
0.42 |
36% |
Welterweight |
16 (12%) |
6 |
38 % |
23.21 |
-7.36 |
-0.46 |
-32% |
Lightweight |
21 (16%) |
7 |
33 % |
23.50 |
-7.98 |
-0.38 |
-34% |
Featherweight |
21 (16%) |
9 |
43 % |
20.39 |
2.35 |
0.11 |
12% |
Bantamweight |
8 (6%) |
4 |
50 % |
11.97 |
0.35 |
0.04 |
3% |
Flyweight |
14 (11%) |
7 |
50 % |
15.80 |
5.97 |
0.43 |
38% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
19 (15%) |
8 |
42 % |
25.94 |
-1.52 |
-0.08 |
-6% |
Featherweight |
4 (3%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.85 |
-0.60 |
-0.15 |
-12% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.22 |
0.70 |
0.35 |
13% |
Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
2 |
29 % |
8.79 |
-2.02 |
-0.29 |
-23% |
Strawweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
7.08 |
0.40 |
0.07 |
6% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
80 (91%) |
66 |
83 % |
Slight Favorites |
8 (9%) |
6 |
75 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
88 |
72 |
82 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
49 (14%) |
36 |
73 % |
50-65% |
125 (36%) |
66 |
53 % |
35-50% |
23 (7%) |
17 |
74 % |
<35% chance |
147 (43%) |
33 |
22 % |
|
344 |
152 |
44 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Fighting Fortune's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
18.96 |
-7.3 |
-38% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$927.26 |
20th Jul |
Cage Warriors 174 |
20.37 |
1.9 |
9% |
|
$9.27 |
$927.26 |
$944.87 |
20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
13.01 |
-1.2 |
-9% |
|
$9.45 |
$944.87 |
$933.91 |
25th Jul |
Cage Warriors 175 |
6.26 |
-1.7 |
-27% |
|
$9.34 |
$933.91 |
$918.01 |
27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
32.27 |
1.6 |
5% |
|
$9.18 |
$918.01 |
$933.00 |
2nd Aug |
PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs |
10.63 |
-8.1 |
-76% |
|
$9.33 |
$933.00 |
$857.61 |
3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
28.77 |
4.7 |
16% |
|
$8.58 |
$857.61 |
$897.65 |
9th Aug |
Invicta FC 56 |
9.05 |
-4.8 |
-53% |
|
$8.98 |
$897.65 |
$854.98 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
27.64 |
7.3 |
26% |
|
$8.55 |
$854.98 |
$917.23 |
13th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 1 |
9.25 |
1.2 |
13% |
|
$9.17 |
$917.23 |
$928.58 |
16th Aug |
ACA 178 |
4.2 |
-2.8 |
-67% |
|
$9.29 |
$928.58 |
$902.58 |
16th Aug |
PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs |
6.07 |
7.9 |
129% |
|
$9.03 |
$902.58 |
$973.44 |
17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
24.89 |
6.2 |
25% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.44 |
$1,033.31 |
20th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 2 |
5.8 |
2.5 |
44% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,033.31 |
$1,059.60 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs |
3.4 |
3.0 |
88% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.60 |
$1,091.39 |
24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
9.23 |
-0.7 |
-7% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,091.39 |
$1,084.14 |
3rd Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 4 |
4.39 |
-2.1 |
-47% |
|
$10.84 |
$1,084.14 |
$1,061.91 |
5th Sep |
Ares FC 24 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.62 |
$1,061.91 |
$1,040.67 |
6th Sep |
A1 Combat 24 |
1 |
1.7 |
170% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.67 |
$1,058.36 |
6th Sep |
ONE 168 |
2.47 |
1.3 |
53% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.36 |
$1,072.13 |
7th Sep |
Oktagon 60 |
4.35 |
-4.4 |
-100% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.13 |
$1,025.49 |
7th Sep |
Cage Warriors 176 |
9.75 |
5.6 |
58% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,025.49 |
$1,083.33 |
7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
11.88 |
3.8 |
32% |
|
$10.83 |
$1,083.33 |
$1,124.30 |
7th Sep |
Bellator Champions Series |
20.31 |
1.7 |
8% |
|
$11.24 |
$1,124.30 |
$1,143.40 |
8th Sep |
ACA 179 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
20% |
|
$11.43 |
$1,143.40 |
$1,149.11 |
10th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 5 |
8.12 |
-4.6 |
-57% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.11 |
$1,095.77 |
13th Sep |
LFA 192 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
91% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,095.77 |
$1,117.69 |
14th Sep |
Bellator Champions Series |
13.19 |
2.2 |
16% |
|
$11.18 |
$1,117.69 |
$1,141.83 |
14th Sep |
KSW 98 |
3.57 |
3.0 |
84% |
|
$11.42 |
$1,141.83 |
$1,176.06 |
14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
17.03 |
2.3 |
14% |
|
$11.76 |
$1,176.06 |
$1,203.11 |
17th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 6 |
5.37 |
1.0 |
19% |
|
$12.03 |
$1,203.11 |
$1,215.11 |
20th Sep |
Cage Warriors 177 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.15 |
$1,215.11 |
$1,202.96 |
20th Sep |
Invicta FC 57 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.03 |
$1,202.96 |
$1,190.93 |
21st Sep |
Oktagon 61 |
1 |
1.1 |
105% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,190.93 |
$1,203.44 |
21st Sep |
Cage Warriors 178 |
4 |
0.9 |
21% |
|
$12.03 |
$1,203.44 |
$1,213.78 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
20.91 |
-1.9 |
-9% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,213.78 |
$1,190.82 |
1st Oct |
Contender Series 2024: Week 8 |
6.25 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,190.82 |
$1,192.01 |
4th Oct |
ACA 180 |
9.15 |
-1.5 |
-16% |
|
$11.92 |
$1,192.01 |
$1,174.37 |
5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
13.84 |
4.7 |
34% |
|
$11.74 |
$1,174.37 |
$1,229.43 |
8th Oct |
Contender Series 2024: Week 9 |
8.28 |
1.4 |
17% |
|
$12.29 |
$1,229.43 |
$1,246.59 |
12th Oct |
Oktagon 62 |
2.54 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.47 |
$1,246.59 |
$1,214.93 |
12th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira |
14.31 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$12.15 |
$1,214.93 |
$1,210.95 |
12th Oct |
Centurion FC 23 |
0.92 |
0.5 |
55% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,210.95 |
$1,217.10 |
15th Oct |
Contender Series 2024: Week 10 |
6.2 |
7.7 |
124% |
|
$12.17 |
$1,217.10 |
$1,310.51 |
19th Oct |
PFL Super Fights: Battle of the Giants |
10.28 |
7.8 |
76% |
|
$13.11 |
$1,310.51 |
$1,413.21 |
19th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez |
11.07 |
4.6 |
42% |
|
$14.13 |
$1,413.21 |
$1,478.63 |
26th Oct |
UFC 308 |
14.85 |
-0.9 |
-6% |
|
$14.79 |
$1,478.63 |
$1,464.97 |
2nd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi |
16.69 |
3.5 |
21% |
|
$14.65 |
$1,464.97 |
$1,516.17 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 51.62% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Fighting Fortune: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Oct '24 |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
Brunno Ferreira |
1.77 |
1.3 |
Sub, R3 (3:14) |
|
|
2. |
Oct '24 |
Cristiane Justino |
Larissa Pacheco |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Oct '24 |
Paul Hughes |
A.J. McKee |
2.40 |
0.71 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Oct '24 |
Luis Gurule |
Nick Piccininni |
2.10 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '24 |
Dustin Stoltzfus |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
2.80 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:28) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '24 |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
Brunno Ferreira |
1.69 |
2.9 |
Sub, R3 (3:14) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '24 |
Jonathan Micallef |
Mohamed Ado |
1.74 |
2.7 |
Sub, R1 (3:1) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '24 |
Andre Borges |
Rodrigo Lidio |
3.40 |
0.42 |
TKO, R2 (0:9) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '24 |
Pat Sabatini |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.60 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:6) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '24 |
Darren Elkins |
Daniel Pineda |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '24 |
Darren Elkins |
Daniel Pineda |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '24 |
Josiel Silva |
Murad Kalamov |
1.68 |
1.47 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '24 |
Bay-Ali Shaipov |
Stanislav Vlasenko |
1.61 |
1.65 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '24 |
Mehdi Baidulaev |
Magomed Bibulatov |
1.65 |
1.55 |
Sub, R1 (3:26) |
|
|
15. |
Oct '24 |
Tecia Torres |
Carla Esparza |
1.61 |
1.63 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '24 |
Court McGee |
Tim Means |
2.92 |
0.52 |
Sub, R1 (3:19) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '24 |
Daniel Barez |
Victor Altamirano |
2.17 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Sep '24 |
Gavin Hughes |
Dean Trueman |
1.71 |
1.4 |
Sub, R2 (0:48) |
|
|
19. |
Sep '24 |
George Staines |
Jakub Tichota |
2.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Sep '24 |
Chris Duncan (2) |
Bolaji Oki |
2.70 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:34) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Nov '24 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Aiemann Zahabi |
2.55 |
0.65 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Oct '24 |
Bruno Silva |
Ismail Naurdiev |
2.33 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Oct '24 |
Robert Whittaker |
Khamzat Chimaev |
3.20 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:34) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '24 |
Max Holloway |
Ilia Topuria |
3.40 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:34) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '24 |
Michael Deiga Scheck |
Deniz Ilbay |
3.50 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:19) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '24 |
Luan Matheus |
Mateus Mendonca |
4.50 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (0:25) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Oct '24 |
Christian Jungwirth |
Christian Eckerlin |
2.85 |
0.54 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '24 |
Carlos Vergara |
Ramazonbek Temirov |
3.82 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:50) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '24 |
Max Holloway |
Ilia Topuria |
3.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:34) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '24 |
Sean Sharaf |
Junior Tafa |
3.20 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:15) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Oct '24 |
James Hendin |
Mochamed Machaev |
2.05 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Oct '24 |
Lucas Rocha |
Clayton Carpenter |
2.75 |
0.57 |
Sub, R2 (2:12) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '24 |
Lucas Camacho |
Mario Pinto |
5.73 |
0.3 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '24 |
Vanilto Antunes |
Islam Dulatov |
7.00 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:44) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '24 |
Lucas Camacho |
Mario Pinto |
6.00 |
0.2 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '24 |
Max Holloway |
Ilia Topuria |
3.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:34) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '24 |
Lucas Rocha |
Clayton Carpenter |
2.65 |
0.6 |
Sub, R2 (2:12) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '24 |
Alice Ardelean |
Melissa Martinez |
2.31 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '24 |
John Teixeira |
Viskhan Kadirov |
4.00 |
0.33 |
Sub, R2 (1:9) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Fighting Fortune: Progress Chart |
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