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MMA Handicapper Stats: Covert Bets MMA

Covert Bets MMA (CovertBetsMMA)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Covert Bets MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 63 (51%) Right 52 (57%) Right 1 (14%) Right 10 (40%)
Wrong 61 (49%) Wrong 40 (43%) Wrong 6 (86%) Wrong 15 (60%)
Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.69 Avg Odds 2.72 Avg Odds 3.05
Units Bet 190.0 Units Bet 142.8 Units Bet 4.8 Units Bet 42.5
Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 1.55 Avg Bet 0.68 Avg Bet 1.70
Units Profit 25.14 Units Profit -2.96 Units Profit -1.83 Units Profit 29.93
ROI % 13% ROI % -2% ROI % -38% ROI % 71%
View Handicapper's Profile

Covert Bets MMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
5th Oct '24 UFC 307 20.519 -6.0 -29% -2.6 / 17.149 (-15%) -3.4 / 3.37 (-100%)
28th Sep '24 UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis 18.243 0.1 0% 2.5 / 14.279 (17%) -2.4 / 3.964 (-61%)
14th Sep '24 UFC 306 9.276 1.6 17% 1.6 / 9.276 (17%)
7th Sep '24 UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady 11.46 8.3 73% 4.0 / 8.61 (46%) 4.3 / 2.85 (152%)
24th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 15.689 9.5 61% 1.3 / 8.689 (15%) 8.2 / 7 (117%)
17th Aug '24 UFC 305 25.317 -7.1 -28% -6.5 / 24.759 (-26%) -0.6 / 0.558 (-100%)
10th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 16.938 -0.2 -1% -0.2 / 8.21 (-2%) -0.1 / 8.728 (-1%)
3rd Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 26.835 30.3 113% 2.0 / 15.355 (13%) 28.3 / 11.48 (247%)
27th Jul '24 UFC 304 26.11 -5.7 -22% -3.6 / 21.05 (-17%) -0.1 / 3.06 (-4%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba 10.416 -6.3 -61% -3.1 / 7.199 (-43%) -1.7 / 1.717 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 9.19 0.6 7% 1.6 / 8.19 (20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 6 (55%)
Losing Events: 5 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.27 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.84 units
Best Event: 30.34 units
Worst Event: -7.06 units
Average Event: 2.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.34
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -12.06

Covert Bets MMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 189.993 25.1 13% -3.0 / 142.766 (-2%) 29.9 / 42.45 (71%) 6 / 5 (55%) 2.29

Covert Bets MMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Covert Bets MMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 189.993 25.1 13% -3.0 / 142.766 (-2%) -1.8 / 4.777 (-38%) 29.9 / 42.45 (71%)

Covert Bets MMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 39 (42%) 28 72 % 86.77 0.43 0.01 0%
Slight Favorites 27 (29%) 15 56 % 34.39 0.43 0.02 1%
Slight Underdogs 18 (20%) 7 39 % 16.19 -3.30 -0.18 -20%
Big Underdogs 8 (9%) 2 25 % 5.42 -0.52 -0.06 -10%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (12%) 9 82 % 16.86 6.63 0.60 39%
Co-Main Event 9 (10%) 6 67 % 12.27 1.72 0.19 14%
Position 3-5 24 (26%) 12 50 % 41.16 -5.47 -0.23 -13%
6+ (Undercard) 48 (52%) 25 52 % 72.48 -5.84 -0.12 -8%

Covert Bets MMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (9%) 5 63 % 12.62 1.53 0.19 12%
Light Heavy 5 (5%) 4 80 % 12.08 2.50 0.50 21%
Middleweight 10 (11%) 7 70 % 13.55 4.11 0.41 30%
Welterweight 12 (13%) 8 67 % 24.71 1.04 0.09 4%
Lightweight 13 (14%) 4 31 % 18.87 -7.84 -0.60 -42%
Featherweight 15 (16%) 8 53 % 23.69 -2.62 -0.17 -11%
Bantamweight 9 (10%) 4 44 % 9.53 -0.82 -0.09 -9%
Flyweight 7 (8%) 2 29 % 10.34 -5.65 -0.81 -55%
               
Women's Fights 13 (14%) 10 77 % 17.38 4.79 0.37 28%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 4.86 2.50 0.83 51%
Flyweight 6 (7%) 5 83 % 8.02 2.60 0.43 32%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 4.51 -0.30 -0.08 -7%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 32 (55%) 25 78 %
Slight Favorites 17 (29%) 12 71 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (10%) 1 17 %
Big Underdogs 3 (5%) 0 0 %
58 38 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 13 (76%) 10 77 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 1 (6%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (18%) 0 0 %
17 10 59 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (71%) 9 75 % 1.34 1.48Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -0.2 (-2%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.51 1.51Pick was correct 1.51Pick was correct 0.5 (51%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (12%) 0 0 % 6.74 7.00Pick was incorrect 6.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.60 2.60Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (6%) 0 0 % 13.00 13.00Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
17 10 59 % 1.64     -3.7 (-22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Covert Bets MMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jul UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 9.19 0.6 7% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,006.49
20th Jul UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba 10.416 -6.3 -61% $10.06 $1,006.49 $942.67
27th Jul UFC 304 26.11 -5.7 -22% $9.43 $942.67 $888.74
3rd Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 26.835 30.3 113% $8.89 $888.74 $1,158.35
10th Aug UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 16.938 -0.2 -1% $11.58 $1,158.35 $1,155.75
17th Aug UFC 305 25.317 -7.1 -28% $11.56 $1,155.75 $1,074.18
24th Aug UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 15.689 9.5 61% $10.74 $1,074.18 $1,176.34
7th Sep UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady 11.46 8.3 73% $11.76 $1,176.34 $1,274.39
14th Sep UFC 306 9.276 1.6 17% $12.74 $1,274.39 $1,294.42
28th Sep UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis 18.243 0.1 0% $12.94 $1,294.42 $1,295.12
5th Oct UFC 307 20.519 -6.0 -29% $12.95 $1,295.12 $1,217.80


ROI % from starting bank balance: 21.78% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Covert Bets MMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '24 Julianna Pena Raquel Pennington 2.43 0.699 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '24 Ryan Spann Ovince St Preux 1.30 1.65 Sub, R1 (1:35) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '24 Joaquin Buckley Stephen Thompson 1.69 1.44 TKO, R3 (2:17) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '24 Kayla Harrison Ketlen Vieira 1.15 3.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '24 Alex Pereira Khalil Rountree 1.28 3.51 TKO, R4 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '24 Renato Moicano Benoit Saint-Denis 3.50 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '24 Bryan Battle Kevin Jousset 1.74 1.35 TKO, R2 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '24 Fares Ziam Matt Frevola 2.10 0.909 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '24 Ludovit Klein Roosevelt Roberts 1.14 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '24 Oumar Sy Da Woon Jung 1.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '24 Merab Dvalishvili Sean O'Malley 2.10 0.909 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '24 Diego Lopes Brian Ortega 1.56 1.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '24 Luis Rodriguez Ode Osbourne 1.71 1.41 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '24 Valentina Shevchenko Alexa Grasso 2.22 0.82 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '24 Norma Dumont Irene Aldana 2.10 0.909 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '24 Andre Petroski Dylan Budka 1.36 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '24 Steve Garcia Kyle Nelson 1.65 1.55 TKO, R1 (3:59) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '24 Natalia Cristina da Silva Jessica Andrade 1.38 2.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '24 Sean Brady Gilbert Burns 1.58 1.71 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '24 Caio Borralho Jared Cannonier 1.53 1.9 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '24 Austin Hubbard Alexander Hernandez 2.80 0.555 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '24 Tim Means Court McGee 1.43 2.3 Sub, R1 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '24 Ihor Potieria César Almeida 3.85 0.351 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '24 Kevin Holland Roman Dolidze 1.65 1.55 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '24 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Iasmin Lucindo 2.07 0.935 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '24 Jose Aldo Mario Bautista 2.10 0.909 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '24 Joanderson Brito William Gomis 1.45 2.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '24 Victor Altamirano Daniel Barez 2.20 0.833 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '24 Brendan Allen Nassourdine Imavov 3.05 0.487 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '24 Daniel Zellhuber Esteban Ribovics 1.45 2.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '24 Edgar Chairez Joshua Van 2.95 0.513 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '24 Manuel Torres Ignacio Bahamondes 2.40 0.715 TKO, R1 (4:2) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '24 Dennis Buzukja Francis Marshall 2.45 0.689 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '24 Stewart Nicoll Jesus Santos Aguilar 1.44 2.25 Sub, R1 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '24 Luana Santos Casey O'Neill 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '24 Joshua Culibao Ricardo Ramos 1.59 1.7 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '24 Junior Tafa Valter Walker 1.95 1.05 Sub, R1 (4:56) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '24 Mateusz Gamrot Daniel Hooker 1.35 2.85 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '24 Steve Erceg Kai Kara-France 1.44 2.25 TKO, R1 (4:4) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '24 Charalampos Grigoriou Toshiomi Kazama 1.45 1.11 Sub, R2 (1:55) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Covert Bets MMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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