MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Poaton Bets

Poaton Bets (PoatonBets1)

MMA MHandicapper - Poaton Bets

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	21 (39%)	Right	12 (52%)	Right	2 (50%)	Right	7 (26%)
Wrong	33 (61%)	Wrong	11 (48%)	Wrong	2 (50%)	Wrong	20 (74%)
Avg Odds	2.23	Avg Odds	1.73	Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	3.06
Units Bet	31.9	Units Bet	21.0	Units Bet	1.4	Units Bet	9.6
Avg Bet	0.59	Avg Bet	0.91	Avg Bet	0.34	Avg Bet	0.35
Units Profit	-6.01	Units Profit	-2.41	Units Profit	0.04	Units Profit	-3.64
ROI %	-19%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	-38%

Poaton Bets: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	5.05	-3.2	-63%	-1.1 / 3 (-37%)		-2.1 / 2.05 (-100%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	7	2.0	29%	2.6 / 5.5 (47%)	0.5 / 0.5 (91%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.3	-3.7	-58%	-3.5 / 5 (-69%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)	-0.1 / 1.2 (-9%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	2.85	-1.9	-67%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		-0.4 / 1.35 (-30%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	3	-1.3	-44%		-0.3 / 0.75 (-43%)	-1.0 / 2.25 (-45%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	2.85	-1.0	-35%	-0.6 / 2.5 (-26%)		-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4.85	3.0	62%	1.7 / 3.5 (50%)		1.3 / 1.35 (95%)

Winning Events: 2 (29%)
Losing Events: 5 (71%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.00 units
Best Event: 3.01 units
Worst Event: -3.68 units
Average Event: -0.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 3.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -7.90

Poaton Bets: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	31.9	-6.0	-19%	-2.4 / 21 (-11%)		-3.6 / 9.55 (-38%)	2 / 5 (29%)	-0.86

Poaton Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Poaton Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	31.9	-6.0	-19%	-2.4 / 21 (-11%)	0.0 / 1.35 (3%)	-3.6 / 9.55 (-38%)

Poaton Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (35%)	3	38 %	9.00	-2.63	-0.33	-29%
Slight Favorites	8 (35%)	6	75 %	6.50	0.57	0.07	9%
Slight Underdogs	7 (30%)	3	43 %	5.50	-0.35	-0.05	-6%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (4%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.36	0.36	72%
Co-Main Event	3 (13%)	2	67 %	3.50	0.30	0.10	9%
Position 3-5	5 (22%)	3	60 %	6.50	-0.13	-0.03	-2%
6+ (Undercard)	14 (61%)	6	43 %	10.50	-2.94	-0.21	-28%

Poaton Bets: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.72	0.72	72%
Light Heavy	2 (9%)	2	100 %	1.50	1.35	0.67	90%
Middleweight	4 (17%)	2	50 %	4.00	-1.61	-0.40	-40%
Welterweight	6 (26%)	5	83 %	6.00	2.79	0.46	46%
Lightweight	2 (9%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.00	0.00	0%
Featherweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	4 (17%)	1	25 %	4.00	-3.17	-0.79	-79%

Women's Fights	3 (13%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.50	-100%
Flyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Strawweight	2 (9%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-0.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	40 (67%)	24	60 %
Slight Favorites	10 (17%)	3	30 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (12%)	2	29 %
Big Underdogs	3 (5%)	0	0 %
	60	29	48 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	18 (64%)	16	89 %
50-65%	6 (21%)	3	50 %
35-50%	4 (14%)	1	25 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	28	20	71 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	12 (43%)	8	67 %	1.43	1.83	1.30	-0.8 (-7%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.30	1.30	1.30	0.3 (30%)
Goes to Decision	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.72	1.72	1.72	0.7 (72%)
Others	14 (50%)	10	71 %	1.60	2.20	1.29	2.1 (15%)
	28	20	71 %	1.51			2.3 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Poaton Bets's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4.85	3.0	62%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,030.11
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	2.85	-1.0	-35%		$10.30	$1,030.11	$1,019.85
10th Jun	UFC 289	3	-1.3	-44%		$10.20	$1,019.85	$1,006.36
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	2.85	-1.9	-67%		$10.06	$1,006.36	$987.22
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.3	-3.7	-58%		$9.87	$987.22	$950.90
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	7	2.0	29%		$9.51	$950.90	$970.31
8th Jul	UFC 290	5.05	-3.2	-63%		$9.70	$970.31	$939.59

ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.04% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Poaton Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '23	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Shannon Ross	1.67	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:17)
2.	Jul '23	Alonzo Menifield	Jim Crute	2.10	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:55)
3.	Jul '23	Michael Morales	Max Griffin	1.40	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '23	Alexander Romanov	Blagoy Ivanov	1.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '23	Sean Strickland	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1.72	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:20)
6.	Jul '23	Grant Dawson	Damir Ismagulov	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '23	Brendan Allen	Bruno Silva	1.53	1	Sub, R1 (4:39)
8.	May '23	Gilbert Urbina	Orion Cosce	1.91	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:55)
9.	May '23	Themba Gorimbo	Takashi Sato	1.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '23	Bryan Battle	Gabriel Green	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (0:14)
11.	May '23	Ian Garry	Daniel Rodriguez	1.33	1	TKO, R1 (2:57)
12.	May '23	Johnny Walker	Anthony Smith	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '23	Niko Price	Robbie Lawler	1.44	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:38)	No
2.	Jul '23	Brandon Moreno	Alexandre Pantoja	1.53	1.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '23	Brunno Ferreira	Nursulton Ruziboev	1.45	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:17)	No
4.	Jun '23	Gillian Robertson	Tabatha Ricci	2.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '23	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	Joshua Van	1.50	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '23	Cody Brundage	Sedriques Dumas	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jun '23	Denys Bondar	Carlos Hernandez	1.72	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '23	Lucas Almeida	Pat Sabatini	2.68	1	Sub, R2 (1:48)	No
9.	May '23	Michael Johnson	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.30	1	TKO, R2 (1:50)	No
10.	May '23	Vanessa Demopoulos	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	2.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '23	Ji Yeon Kim	Mandy Bohm	1.44	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Poaton Bets: Progress Chart

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