MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 5951
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2208

MMA Handicapper Stats:

(SturdyBets)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	88 (40%)	Right	14 (45%)	Right	23 (33%)	Right	51 (42%)
Wrong	134 (60%)	Wrong	17 (55%)	Wrong	47 (67%)	Wrong	70 (58%)
Avg Odds	3.22	Avg Odds	2.33	Avg Odds	4.18	Avg Odds	3.10
Units Bet	187.2	Units Bet	29.8	Units Bet	30.0	Units Bet	127.5
Avg Bet	0.84	Avg Bet	0.96	Avg Bet	0.43	Avg Bet	1.05
Units Profit	35.65	Units Profit	-0.11	Units Profit	8.19	Units Profit	27.56
ROI %	19%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	27%	ROI %	22%

: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	9.85	7.6	77%	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)		7.8 / 9.65 (81%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	5.25	0.5	10%	-0.3 / 2.25 (-11%)		0.8 / 3 (25%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	8	2.6	33%	0.5 / 1.5 (33%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	2.6 / 6 (44%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	8.75	6.8	78%	1.1 / 1 (110%)	2.1 / 3.25 (66%)	3.6 / 4.5 (80%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	10.35	8.6	83%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	3.0 / 0.65 (454%)	6.1 / 9.2 (67%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	6.15	-2.0	-33%	0.8 / 0.5 (150%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.3 / 5.15 (-44%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5.9	-0.0	-0%	0.6 / 1 (56%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 4.4 (-2%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5.95	-2.3	-39%	0.7 / 0.2 (350%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.0 / 4.75 (-42%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.7	0.7	13%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.1 / 1.7 (-65%)	2.8 / 3 (94%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	9.95	-5.1	-52%	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)	-0.3 / 1.5 (-20%)	-1.6 / 5.25 (-31%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	7.5	2.3	30%	0.2 / 3 (7%)	0.9 / 0.75 (120%)	1.2 / 3.75 (31%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	7.3	-0.3	-5%	-0.8 / 2.5 (-31%)	1.3 / 1.1 (118%)	-0.9 / 3.7 (-24%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	9.45	7.8	83%		1.8 / 3 (61%)	6.0 / 6.45 (93%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.5	1.7	27%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	2.2 / 6 (37%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	9.4	3.6	38%	0.9 / 1.75 (51%)	1.7 / 1.95 (88%)	1.0 / 5.7 (17%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	7.05	3.2	45%	1.3 / 2 (67%)	2.8 / 2.1 (133%)	-0.9 / 2.95 (-32%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	6.9	-5.6	-81%		0.3 / 1 (32%)	-5.9 / 5.9 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	2.55	-0.7	-27%		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-0.4 / 2.3 (-19%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	7.2	-2.1	-29%		1.3 / 1.7 (76%)	-3.4 / 5.5 (-62%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	5.62	-0.4	-7%	-0.1 / 2.2 (-5%)	0.5 / 0.92 (52%)	-0.8 / 2.5 (-31%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	8.7	-7.5	-86%	0.8 / 0.5 (150%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	7.75	-1.5	-19%	-1.2 / 3 (-40%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.2 / 4.25 (6%)
16th Jun '23	PFL 5: Regular Season	2	1.1	57%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		1.6 / 1.5 (110%)
16th Jun '23	Bellator 297	0.5	0.7	148%			0.7 / 0.5 (148%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	6.9	2.5	36%		1.4 / 1.6 (87%)	1.1 / 5.3 (21%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	4.95	1.2	24%	1.8 / 2 (91%)	-0.5 / 1 (-50%)	-0.1 / 1.95 (-6%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	5.2	6.1	118%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.4 / 1.9 (-21%)	7.5 / 2.3 (328%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	6.7	6.1	90%		-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)	7.8 / 5 (155%)

Winning Events: 17 (61%)
Losing Events: 11 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.72 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.35 units
Best Event: 8.58 units
Worst Event: -7.45 units
Average Event: 1.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 26.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -17.69

: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	188.02	35.6	19%	-0.1 / 29.8 (-0%)		27.6 / 127.45 (22%)	17 / 11 (61%)	1.27

: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	185.52	33.8	18%	0.4 / 29.3 (1%)	8.2 / 30.77 (27%)	25.2 / 125.45 (20%)
Bellator	0.5	0.7	148%			0.7 / 0.5 (148%)
PFL	2	1.1	57%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		1.6 / 1.5 (110%)

: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.50	0.50	33%
Slight Favorites	10 (32%)	6	60 %	14.20	1.25	0.13	9%
Slight Underdogs	9 (29%)	5	56 %	7.50	1.74	0.19	23%
Big Underdogs	11 (35%)	2	18 %	6.60	-3.60	-0.33	-55%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (19%)	4	67 %	9.00	1.28	0.21	14%
Co-Main Event	7 (23%)	0	0 %	7.00	-7.00	-1.00	-100%
Position 3-5	6 (19%)	4	67 %	6.70	2.17	0.36	32%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (39%)	6	50 %	7.10	3.45	0.29	49%

: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (13%)	1	25 %	4.50	-1.29	-0.32	-29%
Light Heavy	3 (10%)		0 %	1.90	-1.90	-0.63	-100%
Middleweight	6 (19%)	3	50 %	5.90	-0.90	-0.15	-15%
Welterweight	3 (10%)	1	33 %	3.75	-0.42	-0.14	-11%
Lightweight	3 (10%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.00	-100%
Featherweight	4 (13%)	4	100 %	3.00	3.30	0.82	110%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Flyweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	3.00	3.46	1.73	115%

Women's Fights	5 (16%)	3	60 %	4.25	1.14	0.23	27%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.74	0.74	74%
Strawweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	2.75	0.91	0.30	33%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	125 (53%)	99	79 %
Slight Favorites	65 (28%)	39	60 %
Slight Underdogs	37 (16%)	16	43 %
Big Underdogs	8 (3%)	5	63 %
	235	159	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	76 (39%)	64	84 %
50-65%	26 (13%)	19	73 %
35-50%	29 (15%)	11	38 %
<35% chance	62 (32%)	16	26 %
	193	110	57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	72 (37%)	60	83 %	1.42	3.00	1.02	14.3 (20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (4%)	4	57 %	1.80	2.60	1.25	-0.7 (-10%)
Does not go to Decision	9 (5%)	6	67 %	1.33	1.91	1.12	-0.2 (-2%)
X Wins by KO	13 (7%)	5	38 %	3.31	22.00	1.57	6.0 (46%)
X Wins by Sub	17 (9%)	4	24 %	3.81	19.00	1.01	4.3 (25%)
X Wins by Decision	14 (7%)	5	36 %	4.13	8.00	1.95	8.0 (57%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (6%)	8	73 %	1.58	2.20	1.26	2.0 (18%)
X Wins in Round X	12 (6%)	5	42 %	3.54	15.00	1.30	13.7 (114%)
Others	38 (20%)	13	34 %	2.64	71.02	1.08	-3.1 (-8%)
	193	110	57 %	1.97			44.1 (23%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	6.7	6.1	90%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,055.50
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	5.2	6.1	118%	$5	$10.56	$1,055.50	$1,115.32
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	4.95	1.2	24%	$5	$11.15	$1,115.32	$1,123.83
10th Jun	UFC 289	6.9	2.5	36%	$5	$11.24	$1,123.83	$1,147.00
16th Jun	Bellator 297	0.5	0.7	148%	$5	$11.47	$1,147.00	$1,150.47
16th Jun	PFL 5: Regular Season	2	1.1	57%	$5	$11.50	$1,150.47	$1,158.62
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	7.75	-1.5	-19%	$5	$11.59	$1,158.62	$1,136.81
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	8.7	-7.5	-86%	$5	$11.37	$1,136.81	$1,047.12
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	5.62	-0.4	-7%	$5	$10.47	$1,047.12	$1,037.91
8th Jul	UFC 290	7.2	-2.1	-29%	$5	$10.38	$1,037.91	$1,010.91
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	2.55	-0.7	-27%	$5	$10.11	$1,010.91	$998.86
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	6.9	-5.6	-81%	$5	$9.99	$998.86	$938.18
29th Jul	UFC 291	7.05	3.2	45%	$5	$9.38	$938.18	$963.08
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	9.4	3.6	38%	$5	$9.63	$963.08	$992.58
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.5	1.7	27%	$5	$9.93	$992.58	$1,004.69
19th Aug	UFC 292	9.45	7.8	83%	$5	$10.05	$1,004.69	$1,078.11
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	7.3	-0.3	-5%	$5	$10.78	$1,078.11	$1,069.46
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	7.5	2.3	30%	$5	$10.69	$1,069.46	$1,088.72
9th Sep	UFC 293	9.95	-5.1	-52%	$5	$10.89	$1,088.72	$1,027.83
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.7	0.7	13%	$5	$10.28	$1,027.83	$1,030.18
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5.95	-2.3	-39%	$5	$10.30	$1,030.18	$1,001.38
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5.9	-0.0	-0%	$5	$10.01	$1,001.38	$996.12
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	6.15	-2.0	-33%	$5	$9.96	$996.12	$970.83
21st Oct	UFC 294	10.35	8.6	83%	$5	$9.71	$970.83	$1,049.15
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	8.75	6.8	78%	$5	$10.49	$1,049.15	$1,115.69
11th Nov	UFC 295	8	2.6	33%	$5	$11.16	$1,115.69	$1,139.99
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	5.25	0.5	10%	$5	$11.40	$1,139.99	$1,140.72
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	9.85	7.6	77%	$5	$11.41	$1,140.72	$1,222.24

ROI % from starting bank balance: 22.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Brendan Allen	Paul Craig	1.33	1.5	Sub, R3 (0:38)
2.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (1:30)
3.	Nov '23	Angela Hill	Denise Gomes	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Oct '23	Edson Barboza	Sodiq Yusuff	2.50	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Oct '23	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Diana Belbita	1.56	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '23	Cody Brundage	Jacob Malkoun	4.50	0.2
7.	Sep '23	Ciryl Gane	Sergey Spivak	1.61	2	TKO, R2 (3:44)
8.	Aug '23	Erin Blanchfield	Taila Santos	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '23	Cody Durden	Jake Hadley	2.64	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '23	Kevin Holland	Michael Chiesa	1.67	2	Sub, R1 (2:39)
11.	Jul '23	Nursulton Ruziboev	Brunno Ferreira	3.00	0.7	TKO, R1 (1:17)
12.	Jun '23	Jack Jenkins	Jamall Emmers	2.50	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '23	Pat Sabatini	Lucas Almeida	1.80	1	Sub, R2 (1:48)
14.	Jun '23	Amir Albazi	Kai Kara-France	1.91	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Ihor Potieria	Rodolfo Bellato	4.50	0.2	TKO, R2 (4:17)	No
2.	Nov '23	Jake Matthews	Michael Morales	3.20	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Nov '23	Roosevelt Roberts	Mateusz Rebecki	5.50	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:8)	No
4.	Oct '23	Kamaru Usman	Khamzat Chimaev	3.35	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Sep '23	Kevin Holland	Jack Della Maddalena	2.25	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '23	Israel Adesanya	Sean Strickland	2.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '23	Anton Turkalj	Tyson Pedro	1.87	0.7	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
8.	Sep '23	Tai Tuivasa	Alexander Volkov	3.10	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:37)	No
9.	Sep '23	Zara Fairn Dos Santos	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	3.85	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Sep '23	Kleydson Rodrigues	Farid Basharat	3.80	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
11.	Aug '23	Parker Porter	Junior Tafa	2.21	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:24)	No
12.	Aug '23	Ryan Spann	Anthony Smith	1.77	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '23	Jessica Andrade	Tatiana Suarez	3.90	0.75	Sub, R2 (1:31)	No
14.	Jul '23	Damir Ismagulov	Grant Dawson	1.78	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jun '23	Marvin Vettori	Jared Cannonier	1.83	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Jun '23	Yorgan De Castro	Denis Goltsov	7.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:18)	No
17.	May '23	Michael Johnson	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.32	1	TKO, R2 (1:50)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

: Progress Chart

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