MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: St3v3Harv3ysBad

St3v3Harv3ysBad (GhoulishMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - St3v3Harv3ysBad

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	131 (39%)	Right	75 (52%)	Right	51 (28%)	Right	5 (38%)
Wrong	207 (61%)	Wrong	70 (48%)	Wrong	129 (72%)	Wrong	8 (62%)
Avg Odds	2.91	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	4.09	Avg Odds	2.58
Units Bet	353.8	Units Bet	227.5	Units Bet	112.0	Units Bet	14.3
Avg Bet	1.05	Avg Bet	1.57	Avg Bet	0.62	Avg Bet	1.10
Units Profit	55.11	Units Profit	36.75	Units Profit	15.62	Units Profit	2.73
ROI %	16%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	14%	ROI %	19%

St3v3Harv3ysBad : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	16.307	5.1	31%	1.0 / 9.863 (10%)	4.3 / 6.344 (67%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	8.147	-2.0	-25%	-1.2 / 4.315 (-28%)	0.2 / 2.812 (7%)	-1.0 / 1.02 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	15.785	11.4	72%	6.3 / 11.28 (56%)	5.0 / 4.505 (112%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	23.413	5.1	22%	7.1 / 18.74 (38%)	-1.9 / 4.673 (-41%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	2.1	0.3	12%		0.3 / 2.1 (12%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	17.14	3.2	19%	6.1 / 13.08 (47%)	-2.9 / 3.96 (-72%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	13.12	3.3	25%	3.5 / 10.62 (33%)	-0.2 / 2.5 (-8%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	12.935	1.6	12%	1.3 / 5.63 (22%)	0.4 / 7.305 (5%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	9.92	-2.0	-20%	-1.6 / 7.25 (-21%)	-0.4 / 2.67 (-16%)
23rd Sep '23	Bellator 299	1.9	1.0	53%		1.0 / 1.9 (53%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	19.56	11.3	58%	5.5 / 15.57 (35%)	5.8 / 3.99 (146%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	12.715	-6.2	-49%	-5.8 / 5.845 (-100%)	0.7 / 5.85 (11%)	-1.0 / 1.02 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	Cage Warriors 159	1.7	1.0	59%	1.0 / 1.7 (59%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	10.37	1.8	17%	3.7 / 8.44 (44%)	-1.9 / 1.93 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	11.68	9.2	78%	8.2 / 8.68 (95%)	0.9 / 3 (31%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	1.5	1.3	83%	1.3 / 1.5 (83%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	19.989	-1.3	-6%	-4.6 / 7.7 (-59%)	2.4 / 11.089 (22%)	0.9 / 1.2 (75%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	2.18	-2.2	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.2 / 1.18 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	7.586	1.6	21%	1.1 / 3.62 (30%)	1.6 / 2.886 (54%)	-1.1 / 1.08 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	13.267	6.3	47%	5.3 / 5.26 (101%)	-0.7 / 5.733 (-13%)	1.7 / 2.274 (75%)
5th Aug '23	LFA 164	3.68	-3.7	-100%	-3.7 / 3.68 (-100%)
4th Aug '23	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	2.4	0.4	17%	1.8 / 1 (180%)	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
30th Jul '23	Bellator vs Rizin 2	1.75	-1.8	-100%	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	16.23	1.7	10%	-2.4 / 8.1 (-29%)	4.1 / 8.13 (50%)
29th Jul '23	Oktagon 45	0.5	0.7	140%	0.7 / 0.5 (140%)
29th Jul '23	Cage Warriors 158	9.72	2.6	27%	2.6 / 9.72 (27%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	16.44	1.7	11%	-0.1 / 8.69 (-1%)	1.2 / 6.71 (17%)	0.6 / 1.04 (61%)
21st Jul '23	LFA 163	2.937	2.6	87%	2.1 / 1.75 (121%)	0.4 / 1.187 (36%)
21st Jul '23	Cage Warriors 157	2.77	1.7	60%	1.7 / 2.77 (60%)
16th Jul '23	Fury FC 81	4.85	-2.0	-41%	-2.0 / 4.85 (-41%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	15.42	4.7	31%	4.5 / 8.91 (50%)	-2.8 / 2.78 (-100%)	3.0 / 3.73 (80%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	10.63	3.6	34%	-0.4 / 4.53 (-8%)	4.0 / 6.1 (66%)
8th Jul '23	PFL Europe 2	2.33	-0.0	-0%	-0.0 / 2.33 (-0%)
16th Jun '23	PFL 5: Regular Season	5.98	-1.0	-17%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.0 / 2.43 (-1%)	1.0 / 1.55 (65%)
16th Jun '23	Bellator 297	7.07	-5.3	-75%	-4.1 / 4.07 (-100%)	-1.2 / 3 (-42%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	5.79	-1.8	-31%	-3.3 / 3.32 (-100%)	1.5 / 2.47 (61%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	9.6	0.0	0%	0.0 / 6 (0%)	-0.0 / 3.6 (-0%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	8.125	-0.8	-10%	-1.4 / 5.8 (-23%)	0.5 / 2.325 (23%)
20th May '23	Oktagon 43	1.15	-1.2	-100%	-1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	11.5	3.4	29%	7.4 / 7.5 (98%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Winning Events: 26 (65%)
Losing Events: 14 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.41 units
Best Event: 11.36 units
Worst Event: -6.21 units
Average Event: 1.38 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 24.82
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.15

St3v3Harv3ysBad : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	360.186	55.1	15%	36.8 / 227.513 (16%)		2.7 / 14.294 (19%)	26 / 14 (65%)	1.38

St3v3Harv3ysBad : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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St3v3Harv3ysBad : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	299.622	63.1	21%	41.5 / 184.428 (22%)	17.7 / 104.65 (17%)	3.9 / 10.544 (37%)
Bellator	10.72	-6.1	-57%	-5.8 / 5.82 (-100%)	-0.2 / 4.9 (-5%)
PFL	20.357	-1.4	-7%	-0.1 / 11.145 (-1%)	-1.2 / 6.642 (-18%)	-0.0 / 2.57 (-1%)
Other	29.487	-0.5	-2%	1.2 / 26.12 (5%)	-0.6 / 2.187 (-26%)	-1.2 / 1.18 (-100%)

St3v3Harv3ysBad : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	18 (11%)	12	67 %	39.52	2.37	0.13	6%
Slight Favorites	52 (32%)	35	67 %	91.19	21.42	0.41	23%
Slight Underdogs	59 (36%)	30	51 %	66.39	13.74	0.23	21%
Big Underdogs	34 (21%)	8	24 %	30.41	-0.78	-0.02	-3%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	16 (10%)	8	50 %	23.14	2.89	0.18	12%
Co-Main Event	18 (11%)	8	44 %	25.89	-1.44	-0.08	-6%
Position 3-5	43 (26%)	20	47 %	69.66	0.13	0.00	0%
6+ (Undercard)	86 (53%)	49	57 %	108.83	35.17	0.41	32%

St3v3Harv3ysBad : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	12 (7%)	4	33 %	12.87	-3.54	-0.29	-28%
Light Heavy	5 (3%)	3	60 %	9.32	1.78	0.36	19%
Middleweight	19 (12%)	13	68 %	29.44	13.40	0.71	46%
Welterweight	16 (10%)	9	56 %	17.17	5.57	0.35	32%
Lightweight	27 (17%)	15	56 %	44.09	11.40	0.42	26%
Featherweight	16 (10%)	10	63 %	19.02	4.33	0.27	23%
Bantamweight	18 (11%)	7	39 %	28.56	-4.14	-0.23	-14%
Flyweight	11 (7%)	6	55 %	14.88	3.86	0.35	26%

Women's Fights	39 (24%)	18	46 %	52.17	4.09	0.10	8%
Featherweight	4 (2%)		0 %	2.61	-2.61	-0.65	-100%
Bantamweight	5 (3%)	2	40 %	7.02	-1.25	-0.25	-18%
Flyweight	14 (9%)	5	36 %	18.11	-1.38	-0.10	-8%
Strawweight	16 (10%)	11	69 %	24.43	9.33	0.58	38%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	20 (100%)	18	90 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	20	18	90 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	10 (5%)	6	60 %
50-65%	24 (12%)	19	79 %
35-50%	27 (14%)	10	37 %
<35% chance	136 (69%)	20	15 %
	197	55	28 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (5%)	6	67 %	2.03	2.60	1.61	4.2 (47%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	20 (10%)	13	65 %	1.73	3.00	1.22	3.5 (17%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.80	1.80	1.80	0.8 (80%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (3%)	4	80 %	1.58	1.87	1.36	1.6 (33%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.77	1.77	1.77	0.8 (77%)
X Wins by KO	11 (6%)	1	9 %	4.71	8.00	2.40	-6.3 (-58%)
X Wins by Sub	22 (11%)	4	18 %	5.50	21.00	2.10	11.5 (52%)
X Wins by Decision	9 (5%)	2	22 %	3.56	6.50	2.20	-3.3 (-37%)
X Wins Inside Distance	14 (7%)	4	29 %	2.56	5.50	1.25	-4.6 (-33%)
X Wins in Round X	43 (22%)	6	14 %	7.19	34.00	1.65	16.1 (38%)
Others	62 (31%)	13	21 %	5.86	66.98	1.48	43.6 (70%)
	197	55	28 %	3.85			67.9 (34%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail St3v3Harv3ysBad 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
6th May	UFC 288	11.5	3.4	29%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,033.82
20th May	Oktagon 43	1.15	-1.2	-100%		$10.34	$1,033.82	$1,021.94
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	8.125	-0.8	-10%		$10.22	$1,021.94	$1,013.40
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	9.6	0.0	0%		$10.13	$1,013.40	$1,013.57
10th Jun	UFC 289	5.79	-1.8	-31%		$10.14	$1,013.57	$995.10
16th Jun	Bellator 297	7.07	-5.3	-75%		$9.95	$995.10	$942.16
16th Jun	PFL 5: Regular Season	5.98	-1.0	-17%		$9.42	$942.16	$932.63
8th Jul	PFL Europe 2	2.33	-0.0	-0%		$9.33	$932.63	$932.63
8th Jul	UFC 290	10.63	3.6	34%		$9.33	$932.63	$966.39
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	15.42	4.7	31%		$9.66	$966.39	$1,011.97
16th Jul	Fury FC 81	4.85	-2.0	-41%		$10.12	$1,011.97	$991.73
21st Jul	Cage Warriors 157	2.77	1.7	60%		$9.92	$991.73	$1,008.10
21st Jul	LFA 163	2.937	2.6	87%		$10.08	$1,008.10	$1,033.89
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	16.44	1.7	11%		$10.34	$1,033.89	$1,051.80
29th Jul	Cage Warriors 158	9.72	2.6	27%		$10.52	$1,051.80	$1,078.93
29th Jul	Oktagon 45	0.5	0.7	140%		$10.79	$1,078.93	$1,086.49
29th Jul	UFC 291	16.23	1.7	10%		$10.86	$1,086.49	$1,104.97
30th Jul	Bellator vs Rizin 2	1.75	-1.8	-100%		$11.05	$1,104.97	$1,085.63
4th Aug	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	2.4	0.4	17%		$10.86	$1,085.63	$1,089.98
5th Aug	LFA 164	3.68	-3.7	-100%		$10.90	$1,089.98	$1,049.87
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	13.267	6.3	47%		$10.50	$1,049.87	$1,115.61
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	7.586	1.6	21%		$11.16	$1,115.61	$1,132.97
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	2.18	-2.2	-100%		$11.33	$1,132.97	$1,108.27
19th Aug	UFC 292	19.989	-1.3	-6%		$11.08	$1,108.27	$1,094.00
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	1.5	1.3	83%		$10.94	$1,094.00	$1,107.68
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	11.68	9.2	78%		$11.08	$1,107.68	$1,209.14
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	10.37	1.8	17%		$12.09	$1,209.14	$1,230.80
9th Sep	Cage Warriors 159	1.7	1.0	59%		$12.31	$1,230.80	$1,243.11
9th Sep	UFC 293	12.715	-6.2	-49%		$12.43	$1,243.11	$1,165.85
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	19.56	11.3	58%		$11.66	$1,165.85	$1,297.77
23rd Sep	Bellator 299	1.9	1.0	53%		$12.98	$1,297.77	$1,310.75
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	9.92	-2.0	-20%		$13.11	$1,310.75	$1,284.92
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	12.935	1.6	12%		$12.85	$1,284.92	$1,305.57
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	13.12	3.3	25%		$13.06	$1,305.57	$1,348.40
21st Oct	UFC 294	17.14	3.2	19%		$13.48	$1,348.40	$1,391.25
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	2.1	0.3	12%		$13.91	$1,391.25	$1,394.73
11th Nov	UFC 295	23.413	5.1	22%		$13.95	$1,394.73	$1,466.52
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	15.785	11.4	72%		$14.67	$1,466.52	$1,633.12
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	8.147	-2.0	-25%		$16.33	$1,633.12	$1,600.29
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	16.307	5.1	31%		$16.00	$1,600.29	$1,682.27

ROI % from starting bank balance: 68.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

St3v3Harv3ysBad : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '23	Jared Gooden	Wellington Turman	2.62	1.08	Sub, R2 (1:11)
2.	Nov '23	Derek Brunson	Ray Cooper III	2.35	1.33	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '23	Deiveson Figueiredo	Rob Font	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '23	Jeka Asparido Saragih	Lucas Alexander	4.95	1.27	TKO, R1 (1:31)
5.	Dec '23	Drakkar Klose	Joe Solecki	1.87	2.88	TKO, R1 (1:41)
6.	Nov '23	Steve Erceg	Alessandro Costa	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Nov '23	Lupita Godinez	Tabatha Ricci	1.67	1.95	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '23	Tom Aspinall	Sergey Pavlovich	1.71	2.1	TKO, R1 (1:9)
9.	Oct '23	Muhammadjon Naimov	Nathaniel Wood	3.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '23	Joanderson Brito	Jonathan Pearce	2.55	1	Sub, R2 (3:54)
11.	Nov '23	Ailin Perez	Lucie Pudilova	2.18	1.27	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Nov '23	Chase Hooper	Jordan Leavitt	1.50	4	Sub, R1 (2:58)
13.	Oct '23	Mike Breeden	Anshul Jubli	3.60	1.16	TKO, R3 (3:0)
14.	Oct '23	Viviane Araujo	Jennifer Maia	2.30	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Oct '23	Khamzat Chimaev	Kamaru Usman	1.40	3.38	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Oct '23	Islam Makhachev	Alex Volkanovski	1.44	2.25	TKO, R1 (3:6)
17.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:30)
18.	Oct '23	Said Nurmagomedov	Muin Gafurov	1.51	3.51	Sub, R1 (1:13)
19.	Oct '23	Christian Rodriguez	Cameron Saaiman	1.80	1.33	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '23	Michel Pereira	Andre Petroski	1.83	2.4	TKO, R1 (1:6)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Bobby Green	Jalin Turner	2.70	0.883	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No
2.	Dec '23	Punahele Soriano	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.39	1.28	Sub, R2 (4:10)	No
3.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.95	0.79	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Nov '23	Clay Collard	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	3.07	0.58	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '23	Aspen Ladd	Kayla Harrison	8.00	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Nov '23	Aspen Ladd	Kayla Harrison	6.95	0.505	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.77	1.95	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Nov '23	Charles Johnson	Rafael Estevam	2.35	1.11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '23	Uros Medic	Myktybek Orolbai	2.45	0.52	Sub, R2 (4:12)	No
10.	Nov '23	Uros Medic	Myktybek Orolbai	1.95	1.05	Sub, R2 (4:12)	No
11.	Nov '23	Chad Anheliger	Jose Johnson	2.65	1.06	Sub, R3 (4:49)	No
12.	Nov '23	Ray Cooper III	Derek Brunson	1.83	1.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Nov '23	Dennis Buzukja	Jamall Emmers	3.70	1.11	TKO, R1 (0:49)	No
14.	Oct '23	Abu Azaitar	Sedriques Dumas	3.10	1.07	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '23	Mohammad Yahya	Trevor Peek	2.45	1.21	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '23	Heili Alateng	Chris Gutierrez	4.60	0.14	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Oct '23	Heili Alateng	Chris Gutierrez	4.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Nov '23	Matt Frevola	Benoit Saint-Denis	3.71	2.58	TKO, R1 (1:31)	No
19.	Oct '23	Adrian Yanez	Jonathan Martinez	2.05	1.67	TKO, R2 (2:26)	No
20.	Sep '23	A.J. Fletcher	Bryan Battle	2.65	1.22	Sub, R2 (4:32)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

St3v3Harv3ysBad : Progress Chart

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