| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Octagon Invest |
|
|
Octagon Invest : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 44 (65%)
Losing Events: 24 (35%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.00 units
Best Event: 9.48 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: 1.00 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 20.87
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -13.00 |
Octagon Invest : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
315 |
33.7 |
11% |
47.0 / 177 (27%) |
|
-1.1 / 40 (-3%) |
22 / 14 (61%) |
0.94 |
| 2023 |
245.25 |
34.0 |
14% |
11.0 / 123.25 (9%) |
|
9.1 / 74 (12%) |
22 / 10 (69%) |
1.06 |
|
Octagon Invest : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Octagon Invest : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
523.25 |
49.1 |
9% |
40.5 / 269.25 (15%) |
2.7 / 145 (2%) |
5.9 / 109 (5%) |
|
PFL |
11 |
2.4 |
22% |
1.3 / 5 (26%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
2.1 / 5 (43%) |
| Other |
26 |
16.2 |
62% |
16.2 / 26 (62%) |
|
|
|
Octagon Invest : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
21 (31%) |
19 |
90 % |
105.00 |
28.72 |
1.37 |
27% |
| Slight Favorites |
21 (31%) |
12 |
57 % |
96.25 |
-7.88 |
-0.38 |
-8% |
| Slight Underdogs |
22 (32%) |
11 |
50 % |
86.00 |
24.15 |
1.10 |
28% |
| Big Underdogs |
4 (6%) |
2 |
50 % |
13.00 |
13.05 |
3.26 |
100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
8 (12%) |
6 |
75 % |
36.00 |
25.20 |
3.15 |
70% |
| Co-Main Event |
5 (7%) |
3 |
60 % |
22.00 |
-2.31 |
-0.46 |
-11% |
| Position 3-5 |
17 (25%) |
8 |
47 % |
75.00 |
-14.67 |
-0.86 |
-20% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
38 (56%) |
27 |
71 % |
167.25 |
49.82 |
1.31 |
30% |
|
Octagon Invest : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
15.00 |
4.47 |
1.49 |
30% |
| Light Heavy |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
13.00 |
4.91 |
1.64 |
38% |
| Middleweight |
12 (18%) |
7 |
58 % |
49.00 |
-1.56 |
-0.13 |
-3% |
| Welterweight |
5 (7%) |
3 |
60 % |
21.00 |
3.98 |
0.80 |
19% |
| Lightweight |
8 (12%) |
3 |
38 % |
34.00 |
-8.86 |
-1.11 |
-26% |
| Featherweight |
13 (19%) |
8 |
62 % |
57.00 |
2.68 |
0.21 |
5% |
| Bantamweight |
8 (12%) |
6 |
75 % |
36.00 |
17.58 |
2.20 |
49% |
| Flyweight |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
13.00 |
3.24 |
1.08 |
25% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
13 (19%) |
11 |
85 % |
62.25 |
31.59 |
2.43 |
51% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (6%) |
4 |
100 % |
19.25 |
14.51 |
3.63 |
75% |
| Flyweight |
4 (6%) |
2 |
50 % |
18.00 |
1.69 |
0.42 |
9% |
| Strawweight |
5 (7%) |
5 |
100 % |
25.00 |
15.40 |
3.08 |
62% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
39 (100%) |
34 |
87 % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
39 |
34 |
87 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
20 (40%) |
16 |
80 % |
| 50-65% |
10 (20%) |
4 |
40 % |
| 35-50% |
14 (28%) |
6 |
43 % |
| <35% chance |
6 (12%) |
2 |
33 % |
|
50 |
28 |
56 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Octagon Invest 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
10.25 |
5.6 |
54% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,055.72 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
23 |
9.5 |
41% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,055.72 |
$1,155.79 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
8 |
3.3 |
41% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,155.79 |
$1,193.35 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
6 |
2.6 |
43% |
|
$11.93 |
$1,193.35 |
$1,224.04 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.24 |
$1,224.04 |
$1,187.32 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.87 |
$1,187.32 |
$1,127.95 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
5 |
2.5 |
49% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,127.95 |
$1,155.75 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
3 |
4.9 |
165% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,155.75 |
$1,212.96 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
10 |
-2.3 |
-23% |
|
$12.13 |
$1,212.96 |
$1,184.95 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
10 |
0.3 |
3% |
|
$11.85 |
$1,184.95 |
$1,187.91 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
5 |
2.7 |
54% |
|
$11.88 |
$1,187.91 |
$1,219.84 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
13 |
0.6 |
4% |
|
$12.20 |
$1,219.84 |
$1,226.58 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
11 |
3.0 |
27% |
|
$12.27 |
$1,226.58 |
$1,263.37 |
| 4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
6 |
1.1 |
19% |
|
$12.63 |
$1,263.37 |
$1,277.78 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
11 |
-3.5 |
-32% |
|
$12.78 |
$1,277.78 |
$1,233.38 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5 |
3.3 |
67% |
|
$12.33 |
$1,233.38 |
$1,274.52 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
5 |
2.3 |
46% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,274.52 |
$1,303.76 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
8 |
8.0 |
100% |
|
$13.04 |
$1,303.76 |
$1,408.06 |
| 22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
3 |
1.9 |
63% |
|
$14.08 |
$1,408.06 |
$1,434.46 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.34 |
$1,434.46 |
$1,391.43 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
5 |
2.6 |
53% |
|
$13.91 |
$1,391.43 |
$1,428.04 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
10 |
4.9 |
49% |
|
$14.28 |
$1,428.04 |
$1,497.39 |
| 3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
3 |
7.0 |
235% |
|
$14.97 |
$1,497.39 |
$1,602.96 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.03 |
$1,602.96 |
$1,522.81 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.23 |
$1,522.81 |
$1,446.67 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
8 |
-3.0 |
-38% |
|
$14.47 |
$1,446.67 |
$1,403.27 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
8 |
2.5 |
31% |
|
$14.03 |
$1,403.27 |
$1,437.65 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
16 |
0.6 |
4% |
|
$14.38 |
$1,437.65 |
$1,446.36 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
6 |
1.0 |
17% |
|
$14.46 |
$1,446.36 |
$1,461.02 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.61 |
$1,461.02 |
$1,373.36 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.73 |
$1,373.36 |
$1,304.69 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
15 |
4.8 |
32% |
|
$13.05 |
$1,304.69 |
$1,367.00 |
| 12th Jan |
One Fight Night 18 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$13.67 |
$1,367.00 |
$1,394.34 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
|
$13.94 |
$1,394.34 |
$1,429.20 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
16 |
-0.4 |
-3% |
|
$14.29 |
$1,429.20 |
$1,423.49 |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
10 |
-3.1 |
-31% |
|
$14.23 |
$1,423.49 |
$1,379.90 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
8 |
-0.6 |
-7% |
|
$13.80 |
$1,379.90 |
$1,372.16 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
21 |
-1.0 |
-5% |
|
$13.72 |
$1,372.16 |
$1,358.06 |
| 24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
5 |
1.3 |
26% |
|
$13.58 |
$1,358.06 |
$1,375.69 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
10 |
9.3 |
93% |
|
$13.76 |
$1,375.69 |
$1,504.29 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.04 |
$1,504.29 |
$1,429.08 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
23 |
7.1 |
31% |
|
$14.29 |
$1,429.08 |
$1,530.34 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
3 |
4.8 |
160% |
|
$15.30 |
$1,530.34 |
$1,603.79 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
3 |
4.2 |
140% |
|
$16.04 |
$1,603.79 |
$1,671.15 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
16 |
4.4 |
27% |
|
$16.71 |
$1,671.15 |
$1,744.37 |
| 6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.44 |
$1,744.37 |
$1,657.15 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
20 |
1.7 |
8% |
|
$16.57 |
$1,657.15 |
$1,685.28 |
| 27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
10 |
-0.7 |
-7% |
|
$16.85 |
$1,685.28 |
$1,674.29 |
| 4th May |
UFC 301 |
15 |
6.7 |
45% |
|
$16.74 |
$1,674.29 |
$1,786.79 |
| 11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
5 |
1.9 |
38% |
|
$17.87 |
$1,786.79 |
$1,821.16 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$18.21 |
$1,821.16 |
$1,857.58 |
| 8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
10 |
6.6 |
66% |
|
$18.58 |
$1,857.58 |
$1,980.29 |
| 15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.80 |
$1,980.29 |
$1,782.26 |
| 22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
5 |
5.5 |
110% |
|
$17.82 |
$1,782.26 |
$1,880.29 |
| 29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
10 |
5.4 |
54% |
|
$18.80 |
$1,880.29 |
$1,982.49 |
| 13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.82 |
$1,982.49 |
$1,883.36 |
| 20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
5 |
1.8 |
36% |
|
$18.83 |
$1,883.36 |
$1,916.99 |
| 27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
10 |
8.5 |
85% |
|
$19.17 |
$1,916.99 |
$2,080.07 |
| 3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
5 |
2.3 |
45% |
|
$20.80 |
$2,080.07 |
$2,127.35 |
| 10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$21.27 |
$2,127.35 |
$1,914.61 |
| 17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
10 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$19.15 |
$1,914.61 |
$1,914.61 |
| 24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
10 |
4.5 |
45% |
|
$19.15 |
$1,914.61 |
$2,000.01 |
| 27th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 3 |
5 |
1.9 |
38% |
|
$20.00 |
$2,000.01 |
$2,037.75 |
| 7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
5 |
1.7 |
33% |
|
$20.38 |
$2,037.75 |
$2,071.71 |
| 14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$20.72 |
$2,071.71 |
$1,968.12 |
| 24th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 7 |
5 |
1.1 |
22% |
|
$19.68 |
$1,968.12 |
$1,989.99 |
| 28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
10 |
-2.8 |
-28% |
|
$19.90 |
$1,989.99 |
$1,934.71 |
| 5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.35 |
$1,934.71 |
$1,837.98 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 83.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Octagon Invest : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '24 |
Ailin Perez |
Dariya Zheleznyakova |
1.44 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:52) |
|
|
| 2. |
Sep '24 |
Kevin Vallejos |
Cam Teague |
1.22 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:23) |
|
|
| 3. |
Sep '24 |
Andre Petroski |
Dylan Budka |
1.33 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Aug '24 |
Malcolm Wellmaker |
Adam Bramhald |
1.38 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:29) |
|
|
| 5. |
Aug '24 |
Francis Marshall |
Dennis Buzukja |
1.57 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Aug '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Israel Adesanya |
2.00 |
5 |
Sub, R4 (3:38) |
|
|
| 7. |
Aug '24 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Don'tale Mayes |
1.45 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Jul '24 |
Shauna Bannon |
Alice Ardelean |
1.58 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Jun '24 |
Joe Pyfer |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:25) |
|
|
| 10. |
Jun '24 |
Felipe Lima |
Muhammadjon Naimov |
2.10 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (1:15) |
|
|
| 11. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
|
|
| 12. |
May '24 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.29 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Apr '24 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Charles Oliveira |
1.44 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Mar '24 |
Manon Fiorot |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.55 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 15. |
Mar '24 |
Julian Erosa |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.40 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:15) |
|
|
| 16. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.60 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. |
Apr '24 |
Weili Zhang |
Yan Xiaonan |
1.28 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.62 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
|
|
| 19. |
Feb '24 |
Johnny Eblen |
Impa Kasanganay |
1.26 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 20. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.87 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Oct '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Roman Dolidze |
1.68 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.15 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Apr '24 |
Dylan Budka |
César Almeida |
2.24 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.83 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Feb '24 |
Paulo Costa |
Robert Whittaker |
3.00 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Feb '24 |
Darrius Flowers |
Michael Johnson |
2.20 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Feb '24 |
Julija Stoliarenko |
Luana Carolina |
1.68 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Jan '24 |
Charles Jourdain |
Sean Woodson |
1.57 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '23 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Josh Emmett |
1.49 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:57) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '23 |
Jun Yong Park |
Andre Muniz |
1.57 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.10 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '23 |
Matt Frevola |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.90 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Nov '23 |
Mark O. Madsen |
Jared Gordon |
2.80 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Oct '23 |
Adrian Yanez |
Jonathan Martinez |
1.95 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
Rhys McKee |
Ange Loosa |
2.46 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Aug '23 |
Maryna Moroz |
Karine Silva |
2.26 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '23 |
Damon Jackson |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '23 |
Dustin Poirier |
Justin Gaethje |
1.74 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:0) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Jul '23 |
Daniel Barez |
Jafel Filho |
2.10 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:26) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Octagon Invest : Progress Chart |
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