|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Brett Johnson |
|
Brett Johnson: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 29 (66%) Losing Events: 15 (34%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.16 units Most Staked On One Event: 23.00 units Best Event: 9.48 units Worst Event: -6.00 units Average Event: 1.25 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 20.87 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -13.00 |
Brett Johnson: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
114 |
21.2 |
19% |
20.3 / 77 (26%) |
|
2.6 / 5 (52%) |
7 / 5 (58%) |
1.77 |
2023 |
245.25 |
34.0 |
14% |
11.0 / 123.25 (9%) |
|
9.1 / 74 (12%) |
22 / 10 (69%) |
1.06 |
|
Brett Johnson: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Brett Johnson: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
332.25 |
39.5 |
12% |
16.9 / 179.25 (9%) |
13.1 / 79 (17%) |
9.6 / 74 (13%) |
PFL |
11 |
2.4 |
22% |
1.3 / 5 (26%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
2.1 / 5 (43%) |
Other |
16 |
13.2 |
83% |
13.2 / 16 (83%) |
|
|
|
Brett Johnson: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
11 (23%) |
10 |
91 % |
55.00 |
17.50 |
1.59 |
32% |
Slight Favorites |
16 (33%) |
8 |
50 % |
71.25 |
-15.07 |
-0.94 |
-21% |
Slight Underdogs |
17 (35%) |
8 |
47 % |
61.00 |
15.90 |
0.94 |
26% |
Big Underdogs |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
13.00 |
13.05 |
3.26 |
100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (10%) |
4 |
80 % |
21.00 |
17.45 |
3.49 |
83% |
Co-Main Event |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
17.00 |
-3.70 |
-0.93 |
-22% |
Position 3-5 |
12 (25%) |
5 |
42 % |
50.00 |
-9.89 |
-0.82 |
-20% |
6+ (Undercard) |
27 (56%) |
17 |
63 % |
112.25 |
27.53 |
1.02 |
25% |
|
Brett Johnson: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.00 |
2.20 |
1.10 |
22% |
Light Heavy |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
8.00 |
9.91 |
4.95 |
124% |
Middleweight |
7 (15%) |
4 |
57 % |
24.00 |
-0.23 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
Welterweight |
5 (10%) |
3 |
60 % |
21.00 |
3.98 |
0.80 |
19% |
Lightweight |
7 (15%) |
2 |
29 % |
29.00 |
-11.08 |
-1.58 |
-38% |
Featherweight |
8 (17%) |
4 |
50 % |
32.00 |
-2.71 |
-0.34 |
-8% |
Bantamweight |
6 (13%) |
4 |
67 % |
26.00 |
10.19 |
1.70 |
39% |
Flyweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
13.00 |
3.24 |
1.08 |
25% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
8 (17%) |
6 |
75 % |
37.25 |
15.87 |
1.98 |
43% |
Bantamweight |
3 (6%) |
3 |
100 % |
14.25 |
12.28 |
4.09 |
86% |
Flyweight |
3 (6%) |
1 |
33 % |
13.00 |
-6.06 |
-2.02 |
-47% |
Strawweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
10.00 |
9.65 |
4.83 |
97% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
25 (100%) |
22 |
88 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
25 |
22 |
88 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
12 (35%) |
10 |
83 % |
50-65% |
6 (18%) |
3 |
50 % |
35-50% |
11 (32%) |
5 |
45 % |
<35% chance |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
|
34 |
20 |
59 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Brett Johnson's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
10.25 |
5.6 |
54% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,055.72 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
23 |
9.5 |
41% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,055.72 |
$1,155.79 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
8 |
3.3 |
41% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,155.79 |
$1,193.35 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
6 |
2.6 |
43% |
|
$11.93 |
$1,193.35 |
$1,224.04 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.24 |
$1,224.04 |
$1,187.32 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.87 |
$1,187.32 |
$1,127.95 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
5 |
2.5 |
49% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,127.95 |
$1,155.75 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
3 |
4.9 |
165% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,155.75 |
$1,212.96 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
10 |
-2.3 |
-23% |
|
$12.13 |
$1,212.96 |
$1,184.95 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
10 |
0.3 |
3% |
|
$11.85 |
$1,184.95 |
$1,187.91 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
5 |
2.7 |
54% |
|
$11.88 |
$1,187.91 |
$1,219.84 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
13 |
0.6 |
4% |
|
$12.20 |
$1,219.84 |
$1,226.58 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
11 |
3.0 |
27% |
|
$12.27 |
$1,226.58 |
$1,263.37 |
4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
6 |
1.1 |
19% |
|
$12.63 |
$1,263.37 |
$1,277.78 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
11 |
-3.5 |
-32% |
|
$12.78 |
$1,277.78 |
$1,233.38 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5 |
3.3 |
67% |
|
$12.33 |
$1,233.38 |
$1,274.52 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
5 |
2.3 |
46% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,274.52 |
$1,303.76 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
8 |
8.0 |
100% |
|
$13.04 |
$1,303.76 |
$1,408.06 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
3 |
1.9 |
63% |
|
$14.08 |
$1,408.06 |
$1,434.46 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.34 |
$1,434.46 |
$1,391.43 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
5 |
2.6 |
53% |
|
$13.91 |
$1,391.43 |
$1,428.04 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
10 |
4.9 |
49% |
|
$14.28 |
$1,428.04 |
$1,497.39 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
3 |
7.0 |
235% |
|
$14.97 |
$1,497.39 |
$1,602.96 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.03 |
$1,602.96 |
$1,522.81 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.23 |
$1,522.81 |
$1,446.67 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
8 |
-3.0 |
-38% |
|
$14.47 |
$1,446.67 |
$1,403.27 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
8 |
2.5 |
31% |
|
$14.03 |
$1,403.27 |
$1,437.65 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
16 |
0.6 |
4% |
|
$14.38 |
$1,437.65 |
$1,446.36 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
6 |
1.0 |
17% |
|
$14.46 |
$1,446.36 |
$1,461.02 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.61 |
$1,461.02 |
$1,373.36 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.73 |
$1,373.36 |
$1,304.69 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
15 |
4.8 |
32% |
|
$13.05 |
$1,304.69 |
$1,367.00 |
12th Jan |
One Fight Night 18 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$13.67 |
$1,367.00 |
$1,394.34 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
|
$13.94 |
$1,394.34 |
$1,429.20 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
16 |
-0.4 |
-3% |
|
$14.29 |
$1,429.20 |
$1,423.49 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
10 |
-3.1 |
-31% |
|
$14.23 |
$1,423.49 |
$1,379.90 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
8 |
-0.6 |
-7% |
|
$13.80 |
$1,379.90 |
$1,372.16 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
21 |
-1.0 |
-5% |
|
$13.72 |
$1,372.16 |
$1,358.06 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
5 |
1.3 |
26% |
|
$13.58 |
$1,358.06 |
$1,375.69 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
10 |
9.3 |
93% |
|
$13.76 |
$1,375.69 |
$1,504.29 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.04 |
$1,504.29 |
$1,429.08 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
23 |
7.1 |
31% |
|
$14.29 |
$1,429.08 |
$1,530.34 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
3 |
4.8 |
160% |
|
$15.30 |
$1,530.34 |
$1,603.79 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
3 |
4.2 |
140% |
|
$16.04 |
$1,603.79 |
$1,671.15 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 67.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Brett Johnson: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Julian Erosa |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.40 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:15) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.60 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '24 |
Johnny Eblen |
Impa Kasanganay |
1.26 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.87 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Danny Barlow |
Josh Quinlan |
1.46 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:18) |
|
|
6. |
Feb '24 |
Anthony Hernandez |
Roman Kopylov |
1.55 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
2.05 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
|
8. |
Feb '24 |
Molly McCann |
Diana Belbita |
1.39 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:59) |
|
|
9. |
Feb '24 |
Carlos Prates |
Trevin Giles |
1.49 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:3) |
|
|
10. |
Jan '24 |
Jimmy Flick |
Malcolm Gordon |
2.70 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
|
|
11. |
Jan '24 |
Gillian Robertson |
Polyana Viana |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:12) |
|
|
12. |
Jan '24 |
Won Il Kwon |
Shinechagtaga Zoltsetseg |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:40) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Sean O'Malley |
Marlon Vera |
1.51 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Dec '23 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Martin Buday |
2.44 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:56) |
|
|
15. |
Nov '23 |
Steve Erceg |
Alessandro Costa |
1.63 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '23 |
Rodolfo Bellato |
Murtaza Talha Ali |
3.35 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:46) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '23 |
Zachary Reese |
Eli Aronov |
1.63 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (1:14) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '23 |
Hyder Amil |
Emrah Sonmez |
1.46 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '23 |
Kyler Phillips |
Raoni Barcelos |
1.51 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '23 |
Daniel Marcos |
Davey Grant |
1.71 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.83 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Feb '24 |
Paulo Costa |
Robert Whittaker |
3.00 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Feb '24 |
Darrius Flowers |
Michael Johnson |
2.20 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Feb '24 |
Julija Stoliarenko |
Luana Carolina |
1.68 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jan '24 |
Charles Jourdain |
Sean Woodson |
1.57 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Dec '23 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Josh Emmett |
1.49 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:57) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Dec '23 |
Jun Yong Park |
Andre Muniz |
1.57 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.10 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Nov '23 |
Matt Frevola |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.90 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Nov '23 |
Mark O. Madsen |
Jared Gordon |
2.80 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Adrian Yanez |
Jonathan Martinez |
1.95 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Sep '23 |
Rhys McKee |
Ange Loosa |
2.46 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Aug '23 |
Maryna Moroz |
Karine Silva |
2.26 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '23 |
Damon Jackson |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '23 |
Dustin Poirier |
Justin Gaethje |
1.74 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:0) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '23 |
Daniel Barez |
Jafel Filho |
2.10 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:26) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jun '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Charles Oliveira |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
18. |
May '23 |
Cody Stamann |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
1.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
May '23 |
Joseph Holmes |
Claudio Ribeiro |
2.55 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:21) |
No |
|
|
20. |
May '23 |
Kron Gracie |
Charles Jourdain |
2.65 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Brett Johnson: Progress Chart |
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