MMA Handicapper Stats: PROFIT SHOCK |
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PROFIT SHOCK: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 21 (40%)
Losing Events: 32 (60%)
Average Staked Per Event: 34.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 99.00 units
Best Event: 52.47 units
Worst Event: -55.00 units
Average Event: -3.95 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 53.57
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -123.75 |
PROFIT SHOCK: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
1837 |
-209.3 |
-11% |
-219.6 / 1782 (-12%) |
|
21.3 / 44 (48%) |
21 / 32 (40%) |
-3.95 |
|
PROFIT SHOCK: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
PROFIT SHOCK: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
429 |
-21.0 |
-5% |
-10.0 / 418 (-2%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
|
Bellator |
22 |
-0.8 |
-3% |
-0.8 / 22 (-3%) |
|
|
|
PFL |
154 |
-141.9 |
-92% |
-141.9 / 154 (-92%) |
|
|
| Other |
1232 |
-45.7 |
-4% |
-67.0 / 1188 (-6%) |
|
21.3 / 44 (48%) |
|
PROFIT SHOCK: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
45 (28%) |
34 |
76 % |
495.00 |
1.38 |
0.03 |
0% |
| Slight Favorites |
28 (17%) |
18 |
64 % |
308.00 |
41.26 |
1.47 |
13% |
| Slight Underdogs |
52 (32%) |
17 |
33 % |
572.00 |
-121.44 |
-2.34 |
-21% |
| Big Underdogs |
37 (23%) |
7 |
19 % |
407.00 |
-140.80 |
-3.81 |
-35% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
21 (13%) |
10 |
48 % |
231.00 |
2.42 |
0.12 |
1% |
| Co-Main Event |
29 (18%) |
16 |
55 % |
319.00 |
-12.13 |
-0.42 |
-4% |
| Position 3-5 |
53 (33%) |
22 |
42 % |
583.00 |
-154.05 |
-2.91 |
-26% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
59 (36%) |
28 |
47 % |
649.00 |
-55.85 |
-0.95 |
-9% |
|
PROFIT SHOCK: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
6 (4%) |
1 |
17 % |
66.00 |
-44.77 |
-7.46 |
-68% |
| Light Heavy |
9 (6%) |
4 |
44 % |
99.00 |
10.34 |
1.15 |
10% |
| Middleweight |
16 (10%) |
7 |
44 % |
176.00 |
-49.33 |
-3.08 |
-28% |
| Welterweight |
32 (20%) |
14 |
44 % |
352.00 |
-46.50 |
-1.45 |
-13% |
| Lightweight |
22 (14%) |
10 |
45 % |
242.00 |
-52.03 |
-2.36 |
-21% |
| Featherweight |
25 (15%) |
11 |
44 % |
275.00 |
-72.71 |
-2.91 |
-26% |
| Bantamweight |
20 (12%) |
11 |
55 % |
220.00 |
18.22 |
0.91 |
8% |
| Flyweight |
8 (5%) |
4 |
50 % |
88.00 |
-16.35 |
-2.04 |
-19% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
24 (15%) |
14 |
58 % |
264.00 |
33.52 |
1.40 |
13% |
| Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
|
0 % |
22.00 |
-22.00 |
-11.00 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
44.00 |
14.81 |
3.70 |
34% |
| Flyweight |
6 (4%) |
4 |
67 % |
66.00 |
30.58 |
5.10 |
46% |
| Strawweight |
12 (7%) |
7 |
58 % |
132.00 |
10.13 |
0.84 |
8% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
7 (78%) |
5 |
71 % |
| Slight Favorites |
2 (22%) |
1 |
50 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
9 |
6 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail PROFIT SHOCK's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 23rd Apr |
Fury FC 78 |
33 |
11.1 |
34% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,110.75 |
| 28th Apr |
ACA 156 |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$11.11 |
$1,110.75 |
$856.38 |
| 29th Apr |
Rizin Landmark 5 |
22 |
25.7 |
117% |
$10 |
$8.56 |
$856.38 |
$1,066.29 |
| 29th Apr |
Cage Warriors 153 |
11 |
7.0 |
63% |
$10 |
$10.66 |
$1,066.29 |
$1,130.69 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$11.31 |
$1,130.69 |
$871.94 |
| 3rd May |
Invicta FC 53 |
33 |
52.5 |
159% |
$10 |
$8.72 |
$871.94 |
$1,319.44 |
| 5th May |
One Fight Night 10 |
33 |
-33.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$13.19 |
$1,319.44 |
$874.02 |
| 6th May |
Rizin 42 |
55 |
-35.8 |
-65% |
$10 |
$8.74 |
$874.02 |
$551.56 |
| 19th May |
ACA 157 |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$5.52 |
$551.56 |
$420.22 |
| 20th May |
UAE Warriors 42 |
33 |
-33.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$4.20 |
$420.22 |
$271.55 |
| 20th May |
Fame MMA 18 |
22 |
0.3 |
2% |
$10 |
$2.72 |
$271.55 |
$262.44 |
| 20th May |
Oktagon 43 |
33 |
12.4 |
38% |
$10 |
$2.62 |
$262.44 |
$285.06 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
66 |
-17.4 |
-26% |
$10 |
$2.85 |
$285.06 |
$225.52 |
| 8th Jun |
PFL 4: Regular Season |
55 |
-55.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$2.26 |
$225.52 |
$91.48 |
| 9th Jun |
One Fight Night 11 |
33 |
3.8 |
12% |
$10 |
$0.91 |
$91.48 |
$85.01 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
22 |
25.5 |
116% |
$10 |
$0.85 |
$85.01 |
$96.70 |
| 16th Jun |
ACA 159 |
22 |
3.0 |
13% |
$10 |
$0.97 |
$96.70 |
$89.57 |
| 16th Jun |
LFA 160 |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$0.90 |
$89.57 |
$59.87 |
| 16th Jun |
Bellator 297 |
22 |
-0.8 |
-3% |
$10 |
$0.60 |
$59.87 |
$49.40 |
| 16th Jun |
PFL 5: Regular Season |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$0.49 |
$49.40 |
$28.54 |
| 17th Jun |
Oktagon 44 |
22 |
34.1 |
155% |
$10 |
$0.29 |
$28.54 |
$28.27 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
11 |
19.5 |
177% |
$10 |
$0.28 |
$28.27 |
$23.77 |
| 23rd Jun |
Ares FC 16 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$0.24 |
$23.77 |
$11.15 |
| 23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
44 |
-44.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$0.11 |
$11.15 |
$0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 |
| 24th Jun |
Rizin 43 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$880.00 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
44 |
13.0 |
29% |
$10 |
$8.80 |
$880.00 |
$984.22 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$9.84 |
$984.22 |
$865.96 |
| 29th Jul |
Oktagon 45 |
11 |
6.2 |
56% |
$10 |
$8.66 |
$865.96 |
$909.30 |
| 19th Aug |
KSW 85 |
77 |
3.6 |
5% |
$10 |
$9.09 |
$909.30 |
$932.03 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
99 |
-1.8 |
-2% |
$10 |
$9.32 |
$932.03 |
$905.47 |
| 22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
44 |
0.8 |
2% |
$10 |
$9.05 |
$905.47 |
$902.48 |
| 23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
33 |
-20.9 |
-63% |
$10 |
$9.02 |
$902.48 |
$703.86 |
| 25th Aug |
UAE Warriors 43 |
22 |
-9.2 |
-42% |
$10 |
$7.04 |
$703.86 |
$629.34 |
| 25th Aug |
FEN 49 |
44 |
9.9 |
23% |
$10 |
$6.29 |
$629.34 |
$681.65 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
33 |
35.4 |
107% |
$10 |
$6.82 |
$681.65 |
$912.84 |
| 1st Sep |
CFFC 123 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$9.13 |
$912.84 |
$802.42 |
| 2nd Sep |
Fury Challenger Series 6 |
44 |
-15.6 |
-36% |
$10 |
$8.02 |
$802.42 |
$666.85 |
| 2nd Sep |
ACA 162 |
33 |
32.1 |
97% |
$10 |
$6.67 |
$666.85 |
$870.75 |
| 2nd Sep |
FEN 50 |
22 |
-7.0 |
-32% |
$10 |
$8.71 |
$870.75 |
$799.45 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
77 |
-15.1 |
-20% |
$10 |
$7.99 |
$799.45 |
$668.51 |
| 2nd Sep |
CFFC 124 |
22 |
10.8 |
49% |
$10 |
$6.69 |
$668.51 |
$730.58 |
| 2nd Sep |
A1 Combat 14 |
33 |
-5.1 |
-16% |
$10 |
$7.31 |
$730.58 |
$683.08 |
| 2nd Sep |
LFA 166 |
44 |
-30.8 |
-70% |
$10 |
$6.83 |
$683.08 |
$462.69 |
| 5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
55 |
50.6 |
92% |
$10 |
$4.63 |
$462.69 |
$686.81 |
| 12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
22 |
-8.1 |
-37% |
$10 |
$6.87 |
$686.81 |
$621.41 |
| 15th Sep |
LFA 167 |
33 |
-16.5 |
-50% |
$10 |
$6.21 |
$621.41 |
$508.88 |
| 15th Sep |
CFFC 125 |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$5.09 |
$508.88 |
$386.92 |
| 15th Sep |
Combat FC 5 |
33 |
-14.1 |
-43% |
$10 |
$3.87 |
$386.92 |
$322.20 |
| 16th Sep |
Oktagon 46 |
55 |
-4.9 |
-9% |
$10 |
$3.22 |
$322.20 |
$296.25 |
| 16th Sep |
KSW 86 |
66 |
9.9 |
15% |
$10 |
$2.96 |
$296.25 |
$315.58 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
77 |
-11.7 |
-15% |
$10 |
$3.16 |
$315.58 |
$268.79 |
| 17th Sep |
Fury FC 83 |
44 |
-15.0 |
-34% |
$10 |
$2.69 |
$268.79 |
$218.38 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
22 |
-5.5 |
-25% |
$10 |
$2.18 |
$218.38 |
$196.37 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -180.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
PROFIT SHOCK: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '23 |
 Igor da Silva |
Jhonata Silva |
1.50 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:37) |
|
|
| 2. |
Sep '23 |
Nick Piccininni |
Victor Gonzalez |
1.13 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (3:18) |
|
|
| 3. |
Sep '23 |
Josh Walker |
Aric Mercado |
1.50 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:1) |
|
|
| 4. |
Sep '23 |
Miljan Zdravkovic |
Mariusz Joniak |
3.15 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:16) |
|
|
| 5. |
Sep '23 |
Wiktor Zalewski |
Kacper Koziorzebski |
2.20 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (0:55) |
|
|
| 6. |
Sep '23 |
Niko Samsonidse |
Nicolae Hantea |
1.30 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (4:10) |
|
|
| 7. |
Sep '23 |
Jeff Craig |
Barrington Bishop |
1.50 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Sep '23 |
John Douma |
Jake Pilla |
1.71 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:12) |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '23 |
Damian Piwowarczyk |
Lukasz Sudolski |
1.55 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
|
|
| 10. |
Sep '23 |
John Palaiologos |
Christian Jungwirth |
3.25 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (3:46) |
|
|
| 11. |
Sep '23 |
Josefine Knutsson |
Marnic Mann |
1.25 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Sep '23 |
Charlie Campbell |
Alex Reyes |
1.30 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
|
|
| 13. |
Sep '23 |
Daniel Zellhuber |
Christos Giagos |
1.45 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (3:26) |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '23 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Kevin Holland |
1.94 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Julia Polastri |
Patricia Alujas |
1.27 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (4:5) |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
Dione Barbosa |
Rainn Guerrero |
1.36 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (3:45) |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '23 |
Dylan Budka |
Chad Hanekom |
1.74 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '23 |
Serhiy Sidey |
Ramon Taveras |
1.50 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (2:26) |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '23 |
Brendson Ribeiro |
Bruno Lopes |
5.00 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:47) |
|
|
| 20. |
Sep '23 |
William Gomis |
Yanis Ghemmouri |
1.51 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (2:20) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '23 |
Jacobi Jones |
Daniel James Allen |
1.32 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Sep '23 |
Austin Green |
Demoreo Dennis |
2.15 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Sep '23 |
Jared McLoughlin |
Julius Holmes |
6.10 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (2:6) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Sep '23 |
Derik de Freitas do Amaral |
Yann Oliveira |
11.00 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (0:37) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Sep '23 |
Dawid Smielowski |
Lom-Ali Eskiev |
2.15 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Sep '23 |
Nadia Vera |
Ashley Nichols |
2.70 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Sep '23 |
Bakhromjon Mashrapov |
Shamidkhan Magomedov |
2.25 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Sep '23 |
Nick Meck |
J.P. Saint Louis |
1.45 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '23 |
Pololu Nakanelua |
Roybert Echeverria |
3.75 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (2:56) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Sep '23 |
Shawn Johnson |
Jeff Joy |
3.50 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (4:53) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Sep '23 |
Filip Stawowy |
Viktor Pesta |
2.25 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:12) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Sep '23 |
Dominik Humburger |
Michal Michalski |
1.45 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Sep '23 |
Marcel Grabinski |
Leandro Silva |
2.25 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (4:34) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '23 |
David Kozma |
Bojan Velickovic |
1.57 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:45) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Louis Glismann |
Andreas Michailidis |
1.89 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Tracy Cortez |
2.15 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '23 |
Josh Fremd |
Roman Kopylov |
3.45 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '23 |
Fernando Padilla |
Kyle Nelson |
1.41 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '23 |
Eduardo Neves |
Jhonata Diniz |
2.00 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:15) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Sep '23 |
Kevin Vallejos |
Jean Silva |
1.47 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
PROFIT SHOCK: Progress Chart |
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