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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mystic Marco

Mystic Marco (mysticmarcomma)

MMA MHandicapper - Mystic Marco

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 90 (32%) Right 34 (50%) Right 30 (21%) Right 26 (36%)
Wrong 192 (68%) Wrong 34 (50%) Wrong 111 (79%) Wrong 47 (64%)
Avg Odds 2.91 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 4.90 Avg Odds 2.17
Units Bet 480.9 Units Bet 162.9 Units Bet 106.9 Units Bet 211.1
Avg Bet 1.71 Avg Bet 2.40 Avg Bet 0.76 Avg Bet 2.89
Units Profit -25.91 Units Profit -4.93 Units Profit 7.73 Units Profit -28.72
ROI % -5% ROI % -3% ROI % 7% ROI % -14%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mystic Marco: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 15.52 -0.3 -2% -2.0 / 9.6 (-21%) 5.9 / 1.7 (347%) -4.2 / 4.22 (-100%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 7 0.6 9% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 3.1 / 4.5 (69%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 17.65 -9.8 -56% -6.9 / 6.9 (-100%) -2.9 / 5.75 (-50%) 0.0 / 5 (0%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 12.91 -0.4 -3% 4.5 / 8.01 (56%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 8.45 2.9 35% 1.4 / 1 (140%) 1.5 / 7.45 (21%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 15.8 -3.4 -22% -4.2 / 7.4 (-56%) -2.5 / 5.9 (-42%) 3.2 / 2.5 (128%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 12.95 -4.5 -35% 1.4 / 1 (140%) -2.0 / 4.45 (-44%) -4.0 / 7.5 (-53%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 22.83 17.6 77% 4.5 / 7.75 (58%) 8.1 / 6.4 (127%) 5.1 / 8.68 (58%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 11.05 -4.3 -39% -0.6 / 4.08 (-15%) -0.4 / 3.63 (-10%) -3.3 / 3.34 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 28.07 -12.1 -43% -0.9 / 15.9 (-6%) -2.4 / 3.35 (-70%) -8.8 / 8.82 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 17.67 -10.8 -61% -2.5 / 4.97 (-50%) -8.4 / 12.7 (-66%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 24.49 3.3 13% 6.1 / 9.86 (62%) 2.1 / 5.18 (41%) -4.9 / 9.45 (-52%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 12.3 4.5 37% 3.0 / 2.6 (115%) 1.3 / 3 (44%) 0.2 / 6.7 (3%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 10.5 -2.4 -23% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.6 / 5.5 (48%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 14.75 -6.3 -42% 0.5 / 4.5 (11%) -0.3 / 3.75 (-7%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 10.5 2.6 24% -0.9 / 5.5 (-17%) 3.5 / 5 (69%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 17.4 -0.1 -1% -2.9 / 10.4 (-28%) 2.8 / 7 (40%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 -7.5 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 9.75 -1.7 -18% 2.0 / 1 (200%) -3.8 / 8.75 (-43%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 16.8 15.4 92% 2.0 / 2.5 (80%) 8.6 / 8.3 (104%) 4.8 / 6 (80%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 5.25 3.0 57% 3.0 / 5.25 (57%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 14.5 -11.1 -76% -4.1 / 7.5 (-54%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 9.38 -2.8 -29% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) -1.0 / 7.63 (-13%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 10 6.0 60% 4.5 / 6.5 (69%) 1.5 / 3.5 (43%)
8th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 1 9.63 -9.6 -100% -2.6 / 2.63 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 11.3 -2.3 -20% -3.5 / 8 (-44%) 3.2 / 1.3 (246%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 13.74 6.7 49% 4.8 / 4 (121%) 0.8 / 2.2 (36%) 1.1 / 7.54 (15%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 28.15 -7.4 -26% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -2.9 / 23.65 (-12%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 6.2 -1.0 -16% -1.0 / 6.2 (-16%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 13.04 -13.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -5.0 / 5.04 (-100%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 12.05 17.9 149% -1.9 / 4 (-46%) 15.4 / 3.05 (505%) 4.4 / 5 (87%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 20 2.4 12% 2.3 / 2 (115%) 0.1 / 18 (1%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 30.37 7.2 24% 0.8 / 3.37 (22%) -4.0 / 7 (-57%) 10.4 / 20 (52%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 5.35 -0.8 -14% -0.8 / 5.35 (-14%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 5.8 0.6 9% 2.1 / 2 (105%) 1.5 / 0.8 (181%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)


Winning Events: 14 (38%)
Losing Events: 23 (62%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.34 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.37 units
Best Event: 17.90 units
Worst Event: -13.04 units
Average Event: -0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 27.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -27.26

Mystic Marco: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 198.39 -25.3 -13% 0.8 / 74 (1%) -28.7 / 73.11 (-39%) 4 / 9 (31%) -1.95
2023 295.26 -0.6 -0% -5.7 / 88.9 (-6%) -0.0 / 138.02 (-0%) 10 / 14 (42%) -0.03

Mystic Marco: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Mystic Marco: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 484.02 -16.3 -3% -2.3 / 160.27 (-1%) 8.2 / 119.12 (7%) -22.2 / 204.63 (-11%)
Other 9.63 -9.6 -100% -2.6 / 2.63 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)

Mystic Marco: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (7%) 5 100 % 21.75 10.50 2.10 48%
Slight Favorites 30 (42%) 16 53 % 83.35 -6.17 -0.21 -7%
Slight Underdogs 33 (46%) 13 39 % 53.80 -8.26 -0.25 -15%
Big Underdogs 3 (4%) 1 33 % 4.00 -1.00 -0.33 -25%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (18%) 6 46 % 42.07 -1.95 -0.15 -5%
Co-Main Event 7 (10%) 3 43 % 14.95 -1.09 -0.16 -7%
Position 3-5 17 (24%) 6 35 % 40.39 -13.74 -0.81 -34%
6+ (Undercard) 34 (48%) 20 59 % 65.49 11.85 0.35 18%

Mystic Marco: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (15%) 7 64 % 28.88 7.64 0.69 26%
Light Heavy 9 (13%) 1 11 % 17.88 -13.11 -1.46 -73%
Middleweight 7 (10%) 4 57 % 18.60 1.30 0.19 7%
Welterweight 11 (15%) 6 55 % 20.45 2.19 0.20 11%
Lightweight 6 (8%) 3 50 % 14.70 -5.20 -0.87 -35%
Featherweight 5 (7%) 2 40 % 10.30 -2.50 -0.50 -24%
Bantamweight 11 (15%) 6 55 % 24.89 3.25 0.30 13%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 3 100 % 8.50 5.50 1.83 65%
               
Women's Fights 8 (11%) 3 38 % 18.70 -4.01 -0.50 -21%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 5.00 -2.80 -0.93 -56%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 0 % 4.20 -4.20 -2.10 -100%
Strawweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 9.50 2.99 1.00 32%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 115 (90%) 77 67 %
Slight Favorites 12 (9%) 6 50 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
128 84 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 59 (26%) 46 78 %
50-65% 24 (11%) 12 50 %
35-50% 17 (7%) 4 24 %
<35% chance 128 (56%) 21 16 %
228 83 36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 35 (15%) 23 66 % 1.35 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.10Pick was correct -2.9 (-8%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 14 (6%) 10 71 % 1.30 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.10Pick was correct -2.2 (-16%)
Goes to Decision 3 (1%) 3 100 % 1.41 1.50Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 1.2 (41%)
Fight Starts Round X 4 (2%) 3 75 % 1.38 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
X Wins by KO 12 (5%) 5 42 % 2.60 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect 6.7 (56%)
X Wins by Sub 12 (5%) 2 17 % 3.50 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.85Pick was incorrect -8.2 (-68%)
X Wins by Decision 22 (10%) 6 27 % 2.93 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-5%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (2%) 2 50 % 1.85 3.25Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct 0.5 (13%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 3 (1%) 1 33 % 1.16 1.40Pick was incorrect 1.06Pick was correct -1.9 (-65%)
X Wins in Round X 77 (34%) 15 19 % 6.73 34.00Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct 39.1 (51%)
Others 42 (18%) 13 31 % 3.37 101.01Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct 14.7 (35%)
228 83 36 % 2.65     46.0 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mystic Marco's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 5.8 0.6 9% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,005.50
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 5.35 -0.8 -14% $10.06 $1,005.50 $997.96
6th May UFC 288 30.37 7.2 24% $9.98 $997.96 $1,069.66
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 20 2.4 12% $10.70 $1,069.66 $1,095.66
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 12.05 17.9 149% $10.96 $1,095.66 $1,291.81
10th Jun UFC 289 1 -1.0 -100% $12.92 $1,291.81 $1,278.89
8th Jul UFC 290 13.04 -13.0 -100% $12.79 $1,278.89 $1,112.12
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 6.2 -1.0 -16% $11.12 $1,112.12 $1,101.00
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 28.15 -7.4 -26% $11.01 $1,101.00 $1,019.43
29th Jul UFC 291 13.74 6.7 49% $10.19 $1,019.43 $1,088.00
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 11.3 -2.3 -20% $10.88 $1,088.00 $1,062.98
8th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 1 9.63 -9.6 -100% $10.63 $1,062.98 $960.61
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 10 6.0 60% $9.61 $960.61 $1,018.25
19th Aug UFC 292 9.38 -2.8 -29% $10.18 $1,018.25 $990.08
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 14.5 -11.1 -76% $9.90 $990.08 $880.67
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 5.25 3.0 57% $8.81 $880.67 $907.09
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 16.8 15.4 92% $9.07 $907.09 $1,046.80
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 9.75 -1.7 -18% $10.47 $1,046.80 $1,028.48
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 -7.5 -100% $10.28 $1,028.48 $951.35
21st Oct UFC 294 17.4 -0.1 -1% $9.51 $951.35 $950.39
11th Nov UFC 295 10.5 2.6 24% $9.50 $950.39 $974.71
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 14.75 -6.3 -42% $9.75 $974.71 $913.79
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 10.5 -2.4 -23% $9.14 $913.79 $892.09
16th Dec UFC 296 12.3 4.5 37% $8.92 $892.09 $932.58
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 24.49 3.3 13% $9.33 $932.58 $963.10
20th Jan UFC 297 17.67 -10.8 -61% $9.63 $963.10 $858.67
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 28.07 -12.1 -43% $8.59 $858.67 $755.03
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 11.05 -4.3 -39% $7.55 $755.03 $722.19
17th Feb UFC 298 22.83 17.6 77% $7.22 $722.19 $849.64
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 4 -4.0 -100% $8.50 $849.64 $815.66
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 12.95 -4.5 -35% $8.16 $815.66 $778.71
9th Mar UFC 299 15.8 -3.4 -22% $7.79 $778.71 $751.90
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 8.45 2.9 35% $7.52 $751.90 $774.08
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 12.91 -0.4 -3% $7.74 $774.08 $770.98
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 17.65 -9.8 -56% $7.71 $770.98 $695.42
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 7 0.6 9% $6.95 $695.42 $699.58
13th Apr UFC 300 15.52 -0.3 -2% $7.00 $699.58 $697.34


ROI % from starting bank balance: -30.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mystic Marco: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Aljamain Sterling Calvin Kattar 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.50 2 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Rose Namajunas Amanda Ribas 1.48 5.25 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Payton Talbott Cameron Saaiman 1.72 2.76 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Chad Anheliger Charalampos Grigoriou 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Jack Della Maddalena Gilbert Burns 1.62 2 TKO, R3 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.40 1 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '24 Amanda Lemos Mackenzie Dern 1.72 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '24 Merab Dvalishvili Henry Cejudo 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '24 Max Griffin Jeremiah Wells 2.30 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '24 Joshua Van Felipe Bunes 1.44 4.5 TKO, R2 (4:31) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Nassourdine Imavov Roman Dolidze 1.67 4.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Nassourdine Imavov Roman Dolidze 1.67 4.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '24 Brunno Ferreira Phil Hawes 1.91 1.1 TKO, R1 (4:55) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '24 Jim Miller Gabriel Benitez 2.10 1 Sub, R3 (3:25) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '24 Farid Basharat Taylor Lapilus 1.61 3.26 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '23 Shamil Gaziev Martin Buday 2.15 2.6 TKO, R2 (0:56) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '23 Cody Brundage Zachary Reese 2.80 1 TKO, R1 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '23 Miesha Tate Julia Avila 2.20 1 Sub, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '23 Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.83 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Aleksandar Rakic Jiri Prochazka 1.83 3 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.20 2 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Morgan Charriere Jose Mariscal 1.80 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley 1.91 2.2 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Sedriques Dumas Nursulton Ruziboev 3.10 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Erin Blanchfield Manon Fiorot 1.63 3.2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.91 1.65 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.91 2.75 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 Timothy Cuamba Bolaji Oki 2.37 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Zac Pauga Bogdan Guskov 1.72 1.38 TKO, R1 (3:38) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Thomas Petersen Jamal Pogues 1.62 2.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Roman Dolidze Nassourdine Imavov 2.50 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Pete Rodriguez Themba Gorimbo 3.00 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '23 Stephanie Egger Luana Santos 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '23 Anthony Smith Khalil Rountree 2.75 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '23 Kenan Song Kevin Jousset 2.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '23 Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 2.00 2.5 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '23 Jiri Prochazka Alex Pereira 2.00 3 TKO, R2 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mystic Marco: Progress Chart
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