MMA Handicapper Stats: threading water |
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threading water: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 16 (46%) Losing Events: 19 (54%)
Average Staked Per Event: 56.08 units Most Staked On One Event: 243.94 units Best Event: 60.23 units Worst Event: -35.15 units Average Event: 1.65 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 87.01 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -64.22 |
threading water: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
449 |
54.4 |
12% |
49.1 / 409 (12%) |
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|
4 / 4 (50%) |
6.80 |
2023 |
1513.91 |
3.5 |
0% |
-1.4 / 1477.51 (-0%) |
|
9.9 / 12 (82%) |
12 / 15 (44%) |
0.13 |
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threading water: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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threading water: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1878.23 |
42.4 |
2% |
40.2 / 1810.33 (2%) |
0.8 / 63.9 (1%) |
1.4 / 4 (36%) |
Bellator |
58.7 |
27.3 |
47% |
20.5 / 51.2 (40%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
7.3 / 7 (104%) |
PFL |
19.5 |
-15.3 |
-78% |
-16.4 / 18.5 (-89%) |
|
1.1 / 1 (114%) |
Other |
6.48 |
3.4 |
52% |
3.4 / 6.48 (52%) |
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threading water: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
92 (26%) |
61 |
66 % |
581.04 |
-38.33 |
-0.42 |
-7% |
Slight Favorites |
101 (28%) |
54 |
53 % |
622.07 |
-56.00 |
-0.55 |
-9% |
Slight Underdogs |
104 (29%) |
52 |
50 % |
509.03 |
124.28 |
1.20 |
24% |
Big Underdogs |
58 (16%) |
14 |
24 % |
174.37 |
17.77 |
0.31 |
10% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
43 (12%) |
16 |
37 % |
245.91 |
-66.31 |
-1.54 |
-27% |
Co-Main Event |
38 (11%) |
27 |
71 % |
214.70 |
61.78 |
1.63 |
29% |
Position 3-5 |
95 (27%) |
57 |
60 % |
523.74 |
139.85 |
1.47 |
27% |
6+ (Undercard) |
179 (50%) |
81 |
45 % |
902.16 |
-87.60 |
-0.49 |
-10% |
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threading water: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
20 (6%) |
9 |
45 % |
60.45 |
-8.64 |
-0.43 |
-14% |
Light Heavy |
19 (5%) |
12 |
63 % |
80.72 |
7.46 |
0.39 |
9% |
Middleweight |
29 (8%) |
10 |
34 % |
129.09 |
-39.89 |
-1.38 |
-31% |
Welterweight |
48 (14%) |
22 |
46 % |
247.80 |
20.78 |
0.43 |
8% |
Lightweight |
39 (11%) |
13 |
33 % |
187.68 |
3.95 |
0.10 |
2% |
Featherweight |
40 (11%) |
23 |
58 % |
201.63 |
13.30 |
0.33 |
7% |
Bantamweight |
59 (17%) |
31 |
53 % |
379.16 |
-24.66 |
-0.42 |
-7% |
Flyweight |
19 (5%) |
9 |
47 % |
116.75 |
-30.78 |
-1.62 |
-26% |
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Women's Fights |
82 (23%) |
52 |
63 % |
483.23 |
106.20 |
1.30 |
22% |
Featherweight |
3 (1%) |
1 |
33 % |
10.66 |
-5.85 |
-1.95 |
-55% |
Bantamweight |
15 (4%) |
7 |
47 % |
78.45 |
-3.46 |
-0.23 |
-4% |
Flyweight |
29 (8%) |
20 |
69 % |
201.02 |
71.32 |
2.46 |
35% |
Strawweight |
35 (10%) |
24 |
69 % |
193.10 |
44.17 |
1.26 |
23% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
8 (100%) |
7 |
88 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
8 |
7 |
88 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
4 (20%) |
1 |
25 % |
35-50% |
6 (30%) |
2 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
10 (50%) |
2 |
20 % |
|
20 |
5 |
25 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail threading water's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
9.5 |
-5.3 |
-55% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$947.45 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
6.33 |
2.1 |
33% |
|
$9.47 |
$947.45 |
$967.06 |
21st Apr |
Bellator 294 |
22.5 |
9.2 |
41% |
|
$9.67 |
$967.06 |
$1,056.44 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
59.57 |
-23.5 |
-39% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,056.44 |
$808.32 |
22nd Apr |
Bellator 295 |
30 |
24.3 |
81% |
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$8.08 |
$808.32 |
$1,004.52 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
41.9 |
-4.0 |
-10% |
$2 |
$10.05 |
$1,004.52 |
$962.34 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
144 |
2.1 |
1% |
$2 |
$9.62 |
$962.34 |
$980.40 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
75 |
-35.2 |
-47% |
$2 |
$9.80 |
$980.40 |
$633.78 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
130.45 |
-15.8 |
-12% |
$2 |
$6.34 |
$633.78 |
$531.68 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
129 |
50.7 |
39% |
$2 |
$5.32 |
$531.68 |
$799.09 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
110 |
36.0 |
33% |
$2 |
$7.99 |
$799.09 |
$1,084.70 |
29th Jul |
Oktagon 45 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
42% |
$2 |
$10.85 |
$1,084.70 |
$1,085.00 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
56.7 |
0.1 |
0% |
$2 |
$10.85 |
$1,085.00 |
$1,084.48 |
30th Jul |
Bellator vs Rizin 2 |
6.2 |
-6.2 |
-100% |
$2 |
$10.84 |
$1,084.48 |
$1,015.25 |
4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$10.15 |
$1,015.25 |
$911.72 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
71.8 |
-4.2 |
-6% |
$2 |
$9.12 |
$911.72 |
$870.99 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
46.59 |
-6.4 |
-14% |
$2 |
$8.71 |
$870.99 |
$813.50 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
243.94 |
-32.7 |
-13% |
$2 |
$8.14 |
$813.50 |
$545.09 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
134.85 |
60.2 |
45% |
$2 |
$5.45 |
$545.09 |
$871.38 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
15.3 |
-6.3 |
-42% |
$2 |
$8.71 |
$871.38 |
$814.04 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
20 |
0.5 |
3% |
$2 |
$8.14 |
$814.04 |
$816.12 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
3.78 |
1.0 |
26% |
$2 |
$8.16 |
$816.12 |
$822.28 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
29 |
-5.1 |
-18% |
$2 |
$8.22 |
$822.28 |
$777.93 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
9.95 |
-1.3 |
-13% |
$2 |
$7.78 |
$777.93 |
$765.89 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
99% |
$2 |
$7.66 |
$765.89 |
$780.54 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
30.85 |
-7.3 |
-24% |
$2 |
$7.81 |
$780.54 |
$721.40 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
74 |
-21.8 |
-29% |
$2 |
$7.21 |
$721.40 |
$562.49 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
64 |
-0.6 |
-1% |
$2 |
$5.62 |
$562.49 |
$557.03 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
90 |
-21.2 |
-24% |
$2 |
$5.57 |
$557.03 |
$437.13 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
43 |
-13.4 |
-31% |
$2 |
$4.37 |
$437.13 |
$376.71 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
29 |
13.4 |
46% |
$2 |
$3.77 |
$376.71 |
$425.05 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
22 |
20.6 |
94% |
$2 |
$4.25 |
$425.05 |
$510.77 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
75 |
31.6 |
42% |
$2 |
$5.11 |
$510.77 |
$670.06 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
75 |
-1.0 |
-1% |
$2 |
$6.70 |
$670.06 |
$661.23 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
51 |
25.0 |
49% |
$2 |
$6.61 |
$661.23 |
$824.41 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.56% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
threading water: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
threading water: Progress Chart |
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