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MMA Handicapper Stats: GuruScoutingMMA

GuruScoutingMMA (GuruScoutingMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - GuruScoutingMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 135 (42%) Right 58 (47%) Right 53 (36%) Right 24 (49%)
Wrong 184 (58%) Wrong 66 (53%) Wrong 93 (64%) Wrong 25 (51%)
Avg Odds 2.42 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 2.89 Avg Odds 2.13
Units Bet 480.1 Units Bet 215.0 Units Bet 128.9 Units Bet 136.2
Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 1.73 Avg Bet 0.88 Avg Bet 2.78
Units Profit 8.13 Units Profit -10.01 Units Profit 10.18 Units Profit 7.96
ROI % 2% ROI % -5% ROI % 8% ROI % 6%
View Handicapper's Profile

GuruScoutingMMA : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 16.6 2.2 13% 2.5 / 6.6 (38%) -0.4 / 10 (-4%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 13.45 2.8 21% -1.4 / 7 (-20%) 4.1 / 6.45 (64%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 25.4 -13.2 -52% -3.9 / 11.6 (-33%) -2.3 / 6.8 (-34%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 16.35 2.1 13% 2.9 / 9.85 (30%) -0.8 / 6.5 (-13%)
22nd Mar '24 Bellator Champions Series 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 20.15 -11.3 -56% -11.3 / 13.95 (-81%) 0.9 / 3.2 (30%) -1.0 / 3 (-33%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 21.45 5.0 23% 5.4 / 16.7 (32%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 2.4 / 2 (121%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 13.4 -4.3 -32% -3.0 / 5.5 (-55%) -0.6 / 4.15 (-16%) -0.6 / 3.75 (-17%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.1 6.9 46% 8.6 / 10 (86%) 1.3 / 2.1 (62%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 15.35 5.9 38% 3.0 / 5.8 (52%) 0.7 / 7.35 (10%) 2.2 / 2.2 (98%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 14.8 -1.4 -10% -4.8 / 4.8 (-100%) 1.2 / 5.5 (22%) 2.2 / 4.5 (48%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 14.85 3.5 23% 1.1 / 8.4 (13%) 3.3 / 3.25 (103%) -1.0 / 3.2 (-31%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 17.05 1.3 8% 3.1 / 10.25 (31%) 2.2 / 2.8 (79%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 9.35 -2.4 -26% -0.7 / 5 (-14%) 0.3 / 2.35 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 10.25 -2.0 -20% 0.1 / 5.5 (1%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -1.8 / 4.5 (-40%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 14.3 -4.2 -29% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) 3.8 / 6.3 (61%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 9.2 0.0 0% 0.0 / 9.2 (0%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.5 1.9 55% 1.9 / 3.5 (55%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 14.65 -3.5 -24% -4.1 / 6.2 (-66%) 0.5 / 2 (27%) 0.1 / 6.45 (1%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 17.55 -0.2 -1% -2.4 / 11.7 (-20%) -0.3 / 2.85 (-11%) 2.5 / 3 (83%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 9.9 2.5 25% 1.3 / 1 (125%) 1.0 / 3.9 (26%) 0.2 / 5 (5%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 19.4 3.7 19% 1.4 / 0.5 (275%) -5.7 / 5.7 (-100%) 8.0 / 13.2 (61%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 10.3 -1.9 -19% -1.3 / 8.5 (-16%) -0.6 / 1.8 (-33%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 12.9 -9.2 -71% -0.1 / 3.2 (-3%) -1.1 / 1.7 (-65%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.15 -1.3 -10% 3.4 / 3.6 (93%) -3.4 / 4.85 (-69%) -1.3 / 4.7 (-27%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.8 10.2 57% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 4.2 / 5.3 (80%) 8.4 / 10 (84%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 28.5 5.9 21% 2.2 / 3 (73%) 1.1 / 0.5 (215%) 2.7 / 25 (11%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 42.76 31.0 72% 6.3 / 13.46 (47%) 11.0 / 12.3 (89%) 13.7 / 17 (81%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 16.2 -12.0 -74% -1.4 / 3.5 (-40%) -8.4 / 10.5 (-80%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 19.5 -2.9 -15% -3.8 / 11.8 (-32%) 0.9 / 7.7 (11%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1.4 -1.4 -100% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)


Winning Events: 15 (48%)
Losing Events: 16 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 42.76 units
Best Event: 30.99 units
Worst Event: -13.15 units
Average Event: 0.26 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 47.12
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.83

GuruScoutingMMA : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 218.8 -8.5 -4% -4.0 / 120.95 (-3%) -11.9 / 34.65 (-34%) 8 / 6 (57%) -0.61
2023 261.26 16.7 6% -6.1 / 94.06 (-6%) 19.8 / 101.55 (20%) 7 / 10 (41%) 0.98

GuruScoutingMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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GuruScoutingMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 471.06 11.7 2% -6.4 / 206.01 (-3%) 10.2 / 128.85 (8%) 8.0 / 136.2 (6%)
Bellator 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
PFL 3.5 1.9 55% 1.9 / 3.5 (55%)

GuruScoutingMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 46 (36%) 23 50 % 109.26 -17.28 -0.38 -16%
Slight Underdogs 70 (55%) 33 47 % 92.75 12.19 0.17 13%
Big Underdogs 11 (9%) 3 27 % 13.00 -4.93 -0.45 -38%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (11%) 5 36 % 33.40 -13.14 -0.94 -39%
Co-Main Event 13 (10%) 6 46 % 24.80 -0.60 -0.05 -2%
Position 3-5 33 (26%) 16 48 % 66.96 5.56 0.17 8%
6+ (Undercard) 67 (53%) 32 48 % 89.85 -1.84 -0.03 -2%

GuruScoutingMMA : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 15 (12%) 3 20 % 23.65 -18.16 -1.21 -77%
Light Heavy 11 (9%) 6 55 % 24.60 6.88 0.63 28%
Middleweight 10 (8%) 5 50 % 17.00 3.51 0.35 21%
Welterweight 14 (11%) 5 36 % 19.10 -5.64 -0.40 -30%
Lightweight 16 (13%) 10 63 % 22.36 6.28 0.39 28%
Featherweight 24 (19%) 15 63 % 40.80 12.47 0.52 31%
Bantamweight 13 (10%) 6 46 % 23.35 -0.15 -0.01 -1%
Flyweight 8 (6%) 4 50 % 10.05 2.34 0.29 23%
               
Women's Fights 16 (13%) 5 31 % 34.10 -17.55 -1.10 -51%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 6 (5%) 1 17 % 11.40 -6.80 -1.13 -60%
Flyweight 5 (4%) 1 20 % 15.40 -11.43 -2.29 -74%
Strawweight 4 (3%) 3 75 % 6.80 1.18 0.29 17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 98 (90%) 70 71 %
Slight Favorites 11 (10%) 5 45 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
109 75 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 15 (9%) 12 80 %
50-65% 25 (15%) 15 60 %
35-50% 59 (36%) 27 46 %
<35% chance 64 (39%) 13 20 %
163 67 41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (6%) 6 60 % 1.88 2.14Pick was correct 1.63Pick was incorrect 1.7 (17%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (4%) 2 33 % 1.86 2.34Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -2.6 (-43%)
Goes to Decision 3 (2%) 1 33 % 2.18 2.35Pick was incorrect 2.02Pick was correct -1.0 (-33%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.21 1.21Pick was correct 1.21Pick was correct 0.2 (21%)
Fight Starts Round X 11 (7%) 7 64 % 1.61 2.65Pick was correct 1.15Pick was incorrect 0.7 (6%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 8 (5%) 6 75 % 1.50 2.18Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect 1.1 (14%)
X Wins by KO 6 (4%) 0 0 % 3.94 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 18 (11%) 4 22 % 5.44 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect 9.0 (50%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (2%) 0 0 % 4.86 8.50Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 13 (8%) 6 46 % 2.91 6.00Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 6.4 (49%)
X Wins in Round X 16 (10%) 4 25 % 7.92 29.00Pick was correct 3.20Pick was correct 36.8 (230%)
Others 68 (42%) 30 44 % 2.41 28.00Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -1.0 (-1%)
163 67 41 % 2.58     42.4 (26%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail GuruScoutingMMA 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1.4 -1.4 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $986.00
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 19.5 -2.9 -15% $9.86 $986.00 $957.11
29th Jul UFC 291 16.2 -12.0 -74% $9.57 $957.11 $842.47
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 42.76 31.0 72% $8.42 $842.47 $1,103.54
9th Sep UFC 293 28.5 5.9 21% $11.04 $1,103.54 $1,169.14
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.8 10.2 57% $11.69 $1,169.14 $1,288.23
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.15 -1.3 -10% $12.88 $1,288.23 $1,272.02
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 12.9 -9.2 -71% $12.72 $1,272.02 $1,155.00
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 10.3 -1.9 -19% $11.55 $1,155.00 $1,132.82
21st Oct UFC 294 19.4 3.7 19% $11.33 $1,132.82 $1,174.58
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 9.9 2.5 25% $11.75 $1,174.58 $1,203.86
11th Nov UFC 295 17.55 -0.2 -1% $12.04 $1,203.86 $1,201.52
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 14.65 -3.5 -24% $12.02 $1,201.52 $1,159.36
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.5 1.9 55% $11.59 $1,159.36 $1,181.68
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 9.2 0.0 0% $11.82 $1,181.68 $1,181.68
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 14.3 -4.2 -29% $11.82 $1,181.68 $1,132.51
16th Dec UFC 296 10.25 -2.0 -20% $11.33 $1,132.51 $1,109.84
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 9.35 -2.4 -26% $11.10 $1,109.84 $1,082.71
20th Jan UFC 297 17.05 1.3 8% $10.83 $1,082.71 $1,097.23
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 14.85 3.5 23% $10.97 $1,097.23 $1,135.30
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 14.8 -1.4 -10% $11.35 $1,135.30 $1,119.07
17th Feb UFC 298 15.35 5.9 38% $11.19 $1,119.07 $1,184.74
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.1 6.9 46% $11.85 $1,184.74 $1,266.55
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 13.4 -4.3 -32% $12.67 $1,266.55 $1,211.69
9th Mar UFC 299 21.45 5.0 23% $12.12 $1,211.69 $1,272.52
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 20.15 -11.3 -56% $12.73 $1,272.52 $1,128.37
22nd Mar Bellator Champions Series 5.5 -5.5 -100% $11.28 $1,128.37 $1,066.31
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 16.35 2.1 13% $10.66 $1,066.31 $1,088.84
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 25.4 -13.2 -52% $10.89 $1,088.84 $945.61
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 13.45 2.8 21% $9.46 $945.61 $971.75
13th Apr UFC 300 16.6 2.2 13% $9.72 $971.75 $992.78


ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

GuruScoutingMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.50 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.05 2 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Jose Mariscal Morgan Charriere 2.25 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Ibo Aslan Anton Turkalj 1.91 1.1 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Joaquin Buckley Vicente Luque 2.25 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Julian Erosa Ricardo Ramos 2.48 2 Sub, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Jarno Errens Steven Nguyen 2.52 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Michael Parkin Mohammed Usman 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Danny Silva Joshua Culibao 2.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Payton Talbott Cameron Saaiman 1.91 1.6 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.77 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Philipe Lins Ion Cutelaba 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Michel Pereira Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.67 3 Sub, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Maycee Barber Katlyn Chookagian 1.59 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Michael Page Kevin Holland 2.14 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.45 1 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Luis Rodriguez Denys Bondar 2.00 2.5 Sub, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Jesus Santos Aguilar Mateus Mendonca 2.40 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Manuel Torres Chris Duncan (2) 1.80 3 Sub, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 2.30 2 Sub, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Dan Argueta Jean Matsumoto 2.60 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Germaine de Randamie Norma Dumont 2.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Rhys McKee Chidi Njokuani 2.64 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 2.00 1 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Luis Pajuelo Fernando Padilla 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (2:45) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Kurt Holobaugh Trey Ogden 2.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Isaiah Pinson Abraham Bably 2.60 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 James Gallagher Leandro Higo 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Aaron Jeffery Fabian Edwards 2.24 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Jeremy Kennedy Patricio Freire 2.00 2 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Erin Blanchfield Manon Fiorot 1.74 7 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Tai Tuivasa Marcin Tybura 1.91 1.1 Sub, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Charalampos Grigoriou Chad Anheliger 1.65 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Cory McKenna Jaqueline Amorim 1.90 2.5 Sub, R1 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Isaac Dulgarian Christian Rodriguez 1.80 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Tai Tuivasa Marcin Tybura 1.91 1.1 Sub, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.83 1.2 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.45 2 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

GuruScoutingMMA : Progress Chart
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