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MMA Handicapper Stats: Justin Dziedzic

Justin Dziedzic (DEEZYMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Justin Dziedzic

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	104 (71%)	Right	72 (72%)	Right	32 (70%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	42 (29%)	Wrong	28 (28%)	Wrong	14 (30%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.46	Avg Odds	1.45	Avg Odds	1.48	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	997.5	Units Bet	683.7	Units Bet	313.9	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	6.83	Avg Bet	6.84	Avg Bet	6.82	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	72.14	Units Profit	55.95	Units Profit	16.20	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	7%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	nan%

Justin Dziedzic: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	26.5	7.4	28%	5.7 / 11.5 (50%)	1.7 / 15 (11%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	27.5	0.2	1%		0.2 / 27.5 (1%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	26	-2.4	-9%	8.6 / 15 (57%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	10	-10.0	-100%		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
30th Sep '23	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	20	3.6	18%		3.6 / 20 (18%)
17th Sep '23	Fury FC 83	20	3.2	16%	3.2 / 20 (16%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	30	5.9	20%		5.9 / 30 (20%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	5	-5.0	-100%		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	3.5	1.4	39%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.4 / 2.5 (95%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	14	-0.3	-2%		-0.3 / 14 (-2%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	3	3.1	103%	1.3 / 2 (63%)	1.8 / 1 (185%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	10	1.7	17%		1.7 / 10 (17%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	30	3.8	13%	3.8 / 30 (13%)
10th Aug '23	EFC 106	20	-1.2	-6%	-1.2 / 20 (-6%)
30th Jul '23	Bellator vs Rizin 2	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	65	20.9	32%	3.0 / 10 (30%)	17.9 / 55 (32%)
29th Jul '23	Oktagon 45	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	35	3.0	9%	1.0 / 25 (4%)	2.0 / 10 (20%)
21st Jul '23	LFA 163	10	2.0	20%		2.0 / 10 (20%)
21st Jul '23	Cage Warriors 157	30	6.0	20%	6.0 / 30 (20%)
16th Jul '23	Fury FC 81	15	-1.7	-11%	-1.7 / 15 (-11%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	30	-4.8	-16%		-4.8 / 30 (-16%)
14th Jul '23	One Fight Night 12	20	10.9	54%	10.9 / 20 (54%)
1st Jul '23	Cage Warriors 156	30	4.7	16%	4.7 / 30 (16%)
24th Jun '23	Rizin 43	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Jun '23	PFL 6: Regular Season	65	14.0	21%	14.0 / 65 (21%)
23rd Jun '23	Ares FC 16	10.5	3.1	30%	3.1 / 10.5 (30%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	30	7.9	26%	1.0 / 10 (10%)	6.9 / 20 (34%)
16th Jun '23	PFL 5: Regular Season	40	9.0	23%	9.0 / 40 (23%)
16th Jun '23	Bellator 297	30	4.7	16%	4.7 / 30 (16%)
16th Jun '23	LFA 160	1.25	-1.3	-100%	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	16	5.4	34%		5.4 / 16 (34%)
9th Jun '23	One Fight Night 11	20	4.0	20%	4.0 / 20 (20%)
8th Jun '23	PFL 4: Regular Season	72	5.2	7%	2.5 / 65 (4%)	2.8 / 7 (39%)
2nd Jun '23	Cage Warriors 155	25	10.6	42%	10.6 / 25 (42%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	50	-5.9	-12%	-0.3 / 25 (-1%)	-5.6 / 25 (-22%)
6th May '23	Cage Warriors 154	45	-10.1	-22%	-10.1 / 45 (-22%)
6th May '23	Rizin 42	40	1.5	4%	1.5 / 40 (4%)
5th May '23	One Fight Night 10	30	-0.9	-3%	-0.9 / 30 (-3%)
16th Apr '23	Fury FC 77	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Apr '23	Cage Warriors 152	0.25	-0.3	-100%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
14th Apr '23	LFA 156	2.9	-2.9	-100%	-2.9 / 2.9 (-100%)
14th Apr '23	PFL 3: 2023	0.75	-0.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
13th Apr '23	EFC 102	12	3.3	28%	3.3 / 12 (28%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	4	0.1	3%	-0.4 / 1 (-36%)	0.5 / 3 (17%)
7th Apr '23	PFL 2: 2023	1	0.1	5%	0.1 / 1 (5%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	5.35	-1.0	-19%	0.8 / 3.5 (24%)	-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)

Winning Events: 28 (60%)
Losing Events: 19 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 21.44 units
Most Staked On One Event: 72.00 units
Best Event: 20.89 units
Worst Event: -10.10 units
Average Event: 1.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 38.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -15.97

Justin Dziedzic: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	1007.5	72.1	7%	55.9 / 683.65 (8%)			28 / 19 (60%)	1.53

Justin Dziedzic: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Justin Dziedzic: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	382.5	25.5	7%	17.6 / 98.5 (18%)	7.8 / 284 (3%)
Bellator	65	3.5	5%	3.5 / 65 (5%)
PFL	204.1	30.1	15%	25.6 / 175.25 (15%)	4.5 / 28.85 (16%)
Other	355.9	13.1	4%	9.2 / 344.9 (3%)	3.9 / 11 (35%)

Justin Dziedzic: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	65 (65%)	55	85 %	607.00	34.50	0.53	6%
Slight Favorites	14 (14%)	11	79 %	60.40	19.03	1.36	32%
Slight Underdogs	13 (13%)	4	31 %	13.50	1.88	0.14	14%
Big Underdogs	8 (8%)	2	25 %	2.75	0.52	0.07	19%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (14%)	8	57 %	92.75	-3.50	-0.25	-4%
Co-Main Event	13 (13%)	10	77 %	88.90	13.41	1.03	15%
Position 3-5	28 (28%)	19	68 %	203.75	-3.08	-0.11	-2%
6+ (Undercard)	45 (45%)	35	78 %	298.25	49.12	1.09	16%

Justin Dziedzic: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (11%)	8	73 %	53.50	15.28	1.39	29%
Light Heavy	9 (9%)	8	89 %	59.75	12.66	1.41	21%
Middleweight	9 (9%)	5	56 %	60.75	-1.40	-0.16	-2%
Welterweight	16 (16%)	10	63 %	108.40	11.90	0.74	11%
Lightweight	14 (14%)	13	93 %	110.25	37.82	2.70	34%
Featherweight	22 (22%)	17	77 %	160.50	-2.43	-0.11	-2%
Bantamweight	7 (7%)	4	57 %	50.00	-10.83	-1.55	-22%
Flyweight	6 (6%)	5	83 %	55.00	0.63	0.10	1%

Women's Fights	6 (6%)	2	33 %	25.50	-7.68	-1.28	-30%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	10.00	1.00	1.00	10%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.82	1.82	36%
Flyweight	1 (1%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Strawweight	3 (3%)		0 %	5.50	-5.50	-1.83	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	30 (64%)	23	77 %
50-65%	12 (26%)	7	58 %
35-50%	5 (11%)	2	40 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	47	32	68 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (19%)	6	67 %	1.63	2.61	1.19	1.3 (14%)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.22	1.22	1.22	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	19 (40%)	14	74 %	1.40	2.85	1.17	1.2 (7%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (4%)	0	0 %	2.04	2.20	1.91	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (9%)	2	50 %	1.75	2.20	1.57	-0.8 (-19%)
Others	12 (26%)	10	83 %	1.38	1.70	1.11	3.0 (25%)
	47	32	68 %	1.48			1.7 (4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Justin Dziedzic's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	5.35	-1.0	-19%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$989.75
7th Apr	PFL 2: 2023	1	0.1	5%		$9.90	$989.75	$990.25
8th Apr	UFC 287	4	0.1	3%		$9.90	$990.25	$991.61
13th Apr	EFC 102	12	3.3	28%		$9.92	$991.61	$1,024.58
14th Apr	PFL 3: 2023	0.75	-0.8	-100%		$10.25	$1,024.58	$1,016.90
14th Apr	LFA 156	2.9	-2.9	-100%		$10.17	$1,016.90	$987.41
15th Apr	Cage Warriors 152	0.25	-0.3	-100%		$9.87	$987.41	$984.94
16th Apr	Fury FC 77	10	-10.0	-100%		$9.85	$984.94	$886.45
5th May	One Fight Night 10	30	-0.9	-3%		$8.86	$886.45	$878.48
6th May	Rizin 42	40	1.5	4%		$8.78	$878.48	$891.99
6th May	Cage Warriors 154	45	-10.1	-22%		$8.92	$891.99	$801.90
6th May	UFC 288	50	-5.9	-12%		$8.02	$801.90	$754.82
2nd Jun	Cage Warriors 155	25	10.6	42%		$7.55	$754.82	$834.50
8th Jun	PFL 4: Regular Season	72	5.2	7%		$8.34	$834.50	$878.11
9th Jun	One Fight Night 11	20	4.0	20%		$8.78	$878.11	$913.24
10th Jun	UFC 289	16	5.4	34%		$9.13	$913.24	$962.58
16th Jun	LFA 160	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$9.63	$962.58	$950.55
16th Jun	Bellator 297	30	4.7	16%		$9.51	$950.55	$995.03
16th Jun	PFL 5: Regular Season	40	9.0	23%		$9.95	$995.03	$1,084.99
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	30	7.9	26%		$10.85	$1,084.99	$1,170.23
23rd Jun	Ares FC 16	10.5	3.1	30%		$11.70	$1,170.23	$1,206.57
23rd Jun	PFL 6: Regular Season	65	14.0	21%		$12.07	$1,206.57	$1,374.91
24th Jun	Rizin 43	1	-1.0	-100%		$13.75	$1,374.91	$1,361.16
1st Jul	Cage Warriors 156	30	4.7	16%		$13.61	$1,361.16	$1,424.80
14th Jul	One Fight Night 12	20	10.9	54%		$14.25	$1,424.80	$1,579.93
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	30	-4.8	-16%		$15.80	$1,579.93	$1,504.17
16th Jul	Fury FC 81	15	-1.7	-11%		$15.04	$1,504.17	$1,479.10
21st Jul	Cage Warriors 157	30	6.0	20%		$14.79	$1,479.10	$1,567.63
21st Jul	LFA 163	10	2.0	20%		$15.68	$1,567.63	$1,598.99
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	35	3.0	9%		$15.99	$1,598.99	$1,646.79
29th Jul	Oktagon 45	10	-10.0	-100%		$16.47	$1,646.79	$1,482.11
29th Jul	UFC 291	65	20.9	32%		$14.82	$1,482.11	$1,791.75
30th Jul	Bellator vs Rizin 2	5	-5.0	-100%		$17.92	$1,791.75	$1,702.16
10th Aug	EFC 106	20	-1.2	-6%		$17.02	$1,702.16	$1,682.04
11th Aug	Bellator 298	30	3.8	13%		$16.82	$1,682.04	$1,746.27
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	10	1.7	17%		$17.46	$1,746.27	$1,775.42
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	3	3.1	103%		$17.75	$1,775.42	$1,830.46
19th Aug	UFC 292	14	-0.3	-2%		$18.30	$1,830.46	$1,825.72
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	3.5	1.4	39%		$18.26	$1,825.72	$1,850.93
9th Sep	UFC 293	5	-5.0	-100%		$18.51	$1,850.93	$1,758.38
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	30	5.9	20%		$17.58	$1,758.38	$1,862.34
17th Sep	Fury FC 83	20	3.2	16%		$18.62	$1,862.34	$1,921.10
30th Sep	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	20	3.6	18%		$19.21	$1,921.10	$1,990.47
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	10	-10.0	-100%		$19.90	$1,990.47	$1,791.42
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	26	-2.4	-9%		$17.91	$1,791.42	$1,748.04
11th Nov	UFC 295	27.5	0.2	1%		$17.48	$1,748.04	$1,751.57
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	26.5	7.4	28%		$17.52	$1,751.57	$1,880.51

ROI % from starting bank balance: 88.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Justin Dziedzic: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Michael Morales	Jake Matthews	1.40	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Nov '23	Joanderson Brito	Jonathan Pearce	2.13	1.5	Sub, R2 (3:54)
3.	Nov '23	Vitor Petrino	Modestas Bukauskas	1.43	5	TKO, R2 (1:3)
4.	Nov '23	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	Don'tale Mayes	1.52	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '23	Marc Diakiese	Kaue Fernandes	1.77	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '23	Adam Vigil	Tommie Britton	1.18	10	TKO, R2 (1:41)
7.	Sep '23	Nick Piccininni	Victor Gonzalez	1.13	10	Sub, R2 (3:18)
8.	Aug '23	Hyder Amil	Emrah Sonmez	1.63	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '23	Sullivan Cauley	Hamza Salim	1.18	10	Sub, R1 (4:24)
10.	Aug '23	Michael Blockhus	Eli Mefford	1.10	10	TKO, R1 (2:43)
11.	Aug '23	Jordan Oliver	Andrew Triolo	1.10	10	Sub, R1 (1:5)
12.	Aug '23	Dayne Van Wyk	Mischka Laubscher	1.36	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Aug '23	Bradley Swanepoel	Robert Simbowe	1.20	10	Sub, R1 (4:5)
14.	Jul '23	Gabriel Bonfim	Trevin Giles	1.30	10	Sub, R1 (1:13)
15.	Jul '23	Tom Aspinall	Marcin Tybura	1.24	10	TKO, R1 (1:13)
16.	Jul '23	Makhmud Muradov	Bryan Barberena	1.36	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jul '23	Will Currie	Jorge Bueno	1.22	10	TKO, R2 (2:59)
18.	Jul '23	Luke Riley	Matheus Malta	1.22	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jul '23	Jordan Vucenic	Brice Picaud	1.15	10	Sub, R2 (1:38)
20.	Jul '23	Kody Steele	Nicholas Whitehead	1.33	10	TKO, R1 (4:35)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '23	Sergey Spivak	Ciryl Gane	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (3:44)	No
2.	Aug '23	Roy Lokolo	Khulekani Hlongwa	1.29	5	Sub, R2 (4:31)	No
3.	Jul '23	Danny Sabatello	Magomed Magomedov	1.75	5	Sub, R1 (3:55)	No
4.	Jul '23	Losene Keita	Mate Sanikidze	1.15	10	TKO, R1 (1:8)	No
5.	Jul '23	Molly McCann	Julija Stoliarenko	1.51	5	Sub, R1 (1:55)	No
6.	Jul '23	Mo Miller	John Yannis	1.40	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jun '23	Tateo Iida	Suguru Nii	2.15	1	TKO, R1 (2:32)	No
8.	Jun '23	Aaron Bush	Cameron Kinzig	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
9.	Jun '23	Dylan Budka	Azamat Bekoev	3.85	0.25	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '23	Brendan Loughnane	Jesus Pinedo	1.20	10	TKO, R1 (1:34)	No
11.	May '23	Jessica Andrade	Yan Xiaonan	1.59	5	TKO, R1 (2:20)	No
12.	May '23	Alessandro Giordano	Enrico Di Gangi	1.29	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '23	Carlo Pedersoli Jr.	Giannis Bachar	1.40	10	TKO, R3 (2:12)	No
14.	May '23	Roberto Soldic	Zebaztian Kadestam	1.20	10	TKO, R2 (0:45)	No
15.	May '23	Yuki Ito	Erson Yamamoto	1.25	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '23	Zac Riley	Adam Martinez	1.29	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '23	Aleksi Mantykivi	Madars Fleminas	3.30	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '23	David Zawada	Carlos Leal Miranda	2.75	0.25	TKO, R1 (2:25)	No
19.	Apr '23	Dilano Taylor	Magomed Umalatov	3.40	0.25	TKO, R1 (1:31)	No
20.	Apr '23	Stevie Ray	Natan Schulte	4.00	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Justin Dziedzic: Progress Chart

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