| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Justin Dziedzic |
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|
Justin Dziedzic: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 44 (63%)
Losing Events: 26 (37%)
Average Staked Per Event: 20.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 72.00 units
Best Event: 37.44 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: 1.80 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 38.82
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -20.96 |
Justin Dziedzic: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
436 |
46.6 |
11% |
32.0 / 327 (10%) |
|
|
15 / 7 (68%) |
2.12 |
| 2023 |
1027.5 |
79.3 |
8% |
63.1 / 703.65 (9%) |
|
|
29 / 19 (60%) |
1.65 |
|
Justin Dziedzic: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Justin Dziedzic: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
475.5 |
10.3 |
2% |
14.7 / 113.5 (13%) |
-4.4 / 362 (-1%) |
|
|
Bellator |
65 |
3.5 |
5% |
3.5 / 65 (5%) |
|
|
|
PFL |
275.1 |
62.3 |
23% |
21.0 / 225.25 (9%) |
41.3 / 49.85 (83%) |
|
| Other |
647.9 |
49.8 |
8% |
55.9 / 626.9 (9%) |
-6.1 / 21 (-29%) |
|
|
Justin Dziedzic: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
99 (73%) |
86 |
87 % |
942.00 |
69.52 |
0.70 |
7% |
| Slight Favorites |
16 (12%) |
12 |
75 % |
72.40 |
23.17 |
1.45 |
32% |
| Slight Underdogs |
13 (10%) |
4 |
31 % |
13.50 |
1.88 |
0.14 |
14% |
| Big Underdogs |
8 (6%) |
2 |
25 % |
2.75 |
0.52 |
0.07 |
19% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
17 (13%) |
10 |
59 % |
114.75 |
1.45 |
0.09 |
1% |
| Co-Main Event |
17 (13%) |
14 |
82 % |
128.90 |
20.82 |
1.22 |
16% |
| Position 3-5 |
39 (29%) |
29 |
74 % |
308.75 |
11.75 |
0.30 |
4% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
63 (46%) |
51 |
81 % |
478.25 |
61.08 |
0.97 |
13% |
|
Justin Dziedzic: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
12 (9%) |
9 |
75 % |
63.50 |
16.82 |
1.40 |
26% |
| Light Heavy |
11 (8%) |
10 |
91 % |
79.75 |
18.16 |
1.65 |
23% |
| Middleweight |
11 (8%) |
7 |
64 % |
80.75 |
2.65 |
0.24 |
3% |
| Welterweight |
20 (15%) |
14 |
70 % |
148.40 |
16.26 |
0.81 |
11% |
| Lightweight |
22 (16%) |
21 |
95 % |
190.25 |
53.37 |
2.43 |
28% |
| Featherweight |
28 (21%) |
21 |
75 % |
215.50 |
-3.28 |
-0.12 |
-2% |
| Bantamweight |
11 (8%) |
8 |
73 % |
90.00 |
-3.51 |
-0.32 |
-4% |
| Flyweight |
10 (7%) |
7 |
70 % |
87.00 |
-3.94 |
-0.39 |
-5% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
11 (8%) |
7 |
64 % |
75.50 |
-1.41 |
-0.13 |
-2% |
| Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
20.00 |
1.56 |
0.78 |
8% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
15.00 |
4.04 |
2.02 |
27% |
| Flyweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
15.00 |
-4.00 |
-2.00 |
-27% |
| Strawweight |
5 (4%) |
2 |
40 % |
25.50 |
-3.01 |
-0.60 |
-12% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
41 (65%) |
30 |
73 % |
| 50-65% |
16 (25%) |
7 |
44 % |
| 35-50% |
5 (8%) |
2 |
40 % |
| <35% chance |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
|
63 |
40 |
63 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Justin Dziedzic's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
5.35 |
-1.0 |
-19% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$989.75 |
| 7th Apr |
PFL 2: 2023 |
1 |
0.1 |
5% |
|
$9.90 |
$989.75 |
$990.25 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
4 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.25 |
$991.61 |
| 13th Apr |
EFC 102 |
12 |
3.3 |
28% |
|
$9.92 |
$991.61 |
$1,024.58 |
| 14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,024.58 |
$1,016.90 |
| 14th Apr |
LFA 156 |
2.9 |
-2.9 |
-100% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,016.90 |
$987.41 |
| 15th Apr |
Cage Warriors 152 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$9.87 |
$987.41 |
$984.94 |
| 16th Apr |
Fury FC 77 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.85 |
$984.94 |
$886.45 |
| 5th May |
One Fight Night 10 |
30 |
-0.9 |
-3% |
|
$8.86 |
$886.45 |
$878.48 |
| 6th May |
Rizin 42 |
40 |
1.5 |
4% |
|
$8.78 |
$878.48 |
$891.99 |
| 6th May |
Cage Warriors 154 |
45 |
-10.1 |
-22% |
|
$8.92 |
$891.99 |
$801.90 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
50 |
-5.9 |
-12% |
|
$8.02 |
$801.90 |
$754.82 |
| 2nd Jun |
Cage Warriors 155 |
25 |
10.6 |
42% |
|
$7.55 |
$754.82 |
$834.50 |
| 8th Jun |
PFL 4: Regular Season |
72 |
5.2 |
7% |
|
$8.34 |
$834.50 |
$878.11 |
| 9th Jun |
One Fight Night 11 |
20 |
4.0 |
20% |
|
$8.78 |
$878.11 |
$913.24 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
16 |
5.4 |
34% |
|
$9.13 |
$913.24 |
$962.58 |
| 16th Jun |
LFA 160 |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$9.63 |
$962.58 |
$950.55 |
| 16th Jun |
Bellator 297 |
30 |
4.7 |
16% |
|
$9.51 |
$950.55 |
$995.03 |
| 16th Jun |
PFL 5: Regular Season |
40 |
9.0 |
23% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.03 |
$1,084.99 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
30 |
7.9 |
26% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.99 |
$1,170.23 |
| 23rd Jun |
Ares FC 16 |
10.5 |
3.1 |
30% |
|
$11.70 |
$1,170.23 |
$1,206.57 |
| 23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
65 |
14.0 |
21% |
|
$12.07 |
$1,206.57 |
$1,374.91 |
| 24th Jun |
Rizin 43 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.75 |
$1,374.91 |
$1,361.16 |
| 1st Jul |
Cage Warriors 156 |
30 |
4.7 |
16% |
|
$13.61 |
$1,361.16 |
$1,424.80 |
| 14th Jul |
One Fight Night 12 |
20 |
10.9 |
54% |
|
$14.25 |
$1,424.80 |
$1,579.93 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
30 |
-4.8 |
-16% |
|
$15.80 |
$1,579.93 |
$1,504.17 |
| 16th Jul |
Fury FC 81 |
15 |
-1.7 |
-11% |
|
$15.04 |
$1,504.17 |
$1,479.10 |
| 21st Jul |
Cage Warriors 157 |
30 |
6.0 |
20% |
|
$14.79 |
$1,479.10 |
$1,567.63 |
| 21st Jul |
LFA 163 |
10 |
2.0 |
20% |
|
$15.68 |
$1,567.63 |
$1,598.99 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
35 |
3.0 |
9% |
|
$15.99 |
$1,598.99 |
$1,646.79 |
| 29th Jul |
Oktagon 45 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.47 |
$1,646.79 |
$1,482.11 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
65 |
20.9 |
32% |
|
$14.82 |
$1,482.11 |
$1,791.75 |
| 30th Jul |
Bellator vs Rizin 2 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.92 |
$1,791.75 |
$1,702.16 |
| 10th Aug |
EFC 106 |
20 |
-1.2 |
-6% |
|
$17.02 |
$1,702.16 |
$1,682.04 |
| 11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
30 |
3.8 |
13% |
|
$16.82 |
$1,682.04 |
$1,746.27 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
10 |
1.7 |
17% |
|
$17.46 |
$1,746.27 |
$1,775.42 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
3 |
3.1 |
103% |
|
$17.75 |
$1,775.42 |
$1,830.46 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
14 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$18.30 |
$1,830.46 |
$1,825.72 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
3.5 |
1.4 |
39% |
|
$18.26 |
$1,825.72 |
$1,850.93 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.51 |
$1,850.93 |
$1,758.38 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
30 |
5.9 |
20% |
|
$17.58 |
$1,758.38 |
$1,862.34 |
| 17th Sep |
Fury FC 83 |
20 |
3.2 |
16% |
|
$18.62 |
$1,862.34 |
$1,921.10 |
| 30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
20 |
3.6 |
18% |
|
$19.21 |
$1,921.10 |
$1,990.47 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.90 |
$1,990.47 |
$1,791.42 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
26 |
-2.4 |
-9% |
|
$17.91 |
$1,791.42 |
$1,748.04 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
27.5 |
0.2 |
1% |
|
$17.48 |
$1,748.04 |
$1,751.57 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
26.5 |
7.4 |
28% |
|
$17.52 |
$1,751.57 |
$1,880.51 |
| 3rd Dec |
Fury FC 84 |
20 |
7.1 |
36% |
|
$18.81 |
$1,880.51 |
$2,014.69 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
17 |
-2.9 |
-17% |
|
$20.15 |
$2,014.69 |
$1,955.30 |
| 19th Jan |
A1 Combat 17 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.55 |
$1,955.30 |
$1,916.19 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.16 |
$1,916.19 |
$1,705.41 |
| 27th Jan |
LFA 175 |
70 |
9.8 |
14% |
|
$17.05 |
$1,705.41 |
$1,872.48 |
| 23rd Feb |
LFA 177 |
10 |
1.9 |
19% |
|
$18.72 |
$1,872.48 |
$1,907.41 |
| 23rd Feb |
Cage Warriors 166 |
20 |
-7.8 |
-39% |
|
$19.07 |
$1,907.41 |
$1,758.59 |
| 8th Mar |
CFFC 130 |
10 |
3.0 |
30% |
|
$17.59 |
$1,758.59 |
$1,811.09 |
| 9th Mar |
LFA 178 |
10 |
1.5 |
15% |
|
$18.11 |
$1,811.09 |
$1,839.00 |
| 15th Mar |
Cage Warriors 167 |
20 |
2.9 |
15% |
|
$18.39 |
$1,839.00 |
$1,892.63 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
5 |
2.2 |
44% |
|
$18.93 |
$1,892.63 |
$1,934.69 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
30 |
-11.0 |
-37% |
|
$19.35 |
$1,934.69 |
$1,722.66 |
| 4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.23 |
$1,722.66 |
$1,550.40 |
| 5th Apr |
LFA 181 |
10 |
2.5 |
25% |
|
$15.50 |
$1,550.40 |
$1,589.16 |
| 6th Apr |
Cage Warriors 170 |
10 |
1.5 |
15% |
|
$15.89 |
$1,589.16 |
$1,613.64 |
| 18th Apr |
Ares FC 20 |
30 |
8.6 |
29% |
|
$16.14 |
$1,613.64 |
$1,753.01 |
| 19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
10 |
3.3 |
33% |
|
$17.53 |
$1,753.01 |
$1,811.44 |
| 26th Apr |
LFA 182 |
30 |
7.2 |
24% |
|
$18.11 |
$1,811.44 |
$1,941.47 |
| 27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
30 |
7.5 |
25% |
|
$19.41 |
$1,941.47 |
$2,087.50 |
| 7th Jun |
Cage Warriors 173 |
10 |
1.1 |
11% |
|
$20.88 |
$2,087.50 |
$2,110.69 |
| 9th Aug |
Brave CF 84 |
40 |
-0.7 |
-2% |
|
$21.11 |
$2,110.69 |
$2,095.95 |
| 16th Aug |
PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs |
20 |
1.4 |
7% |
|
$20.96 |
$2,095.95 |
$2,124.99 |
| 23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs |
31 |
37.4 |
121% |
|
$21.25 |
$2,124.99 |
$2,920.56 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 192.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Justin Dziedzic: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Aug '24 |
Magomed Umalatov |
Neiman Gracie |
1.07 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Aug '24 |
Biaggio Ali Walsh |
Brian Stapleton |
1.08 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:55) |
|
|
| 3. |
Aug '24 |
Michelle Montague |
Marilia Morais |
1.06 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (1:44) |
|
|
| 4. |
Aug '24 |
Bidzina Gavashelishvili |
Erasyl Shukataev |
1.44 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 5. |
Aug '24 |
Olzhas Eskaraev |
Zehao Zhang |
1.20 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Aug '24 |
Aivaz Aidinov |
Zhengwen Peng |
1.29 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Jun '24 |
Magomed Bayduev |
James Settle |
1.11 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (3:52) |
|
|
| 8. |
Apr '24 |
Michael Blockhus |
Jonathan Griffin |
1.18 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:13) |
|
|
| 9. |
Apr '24 |
Nikita Kulshin |
Cedric Gunnison |
1.29 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Apr '24 |
Mitchell McKee |
Jose Hernandez |
1.25 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Apr '24 |
Timur Khizriev |
Brett Johns |
1.33 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Apr '24 |
Youssouf Binate |
Luke Neale |
1.17 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (4:48) |
|
|
| 13. |
Apr '24 |
Jacky Jeanne |
Mbamba Cauwenbergh |
1.36 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (2:20) |
|
|
| 14. |
Apr '24 |
Magomed-Giri Umarkhadzhiev |
Jhon Grueso |
1.33 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (3:52) |
|
|
| 15. |
Apr '24 |
Paul Hughes |
Fabiano Silva |
1.15 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:37) |
|
|
| 16. |
Apr '24 |
Wesley Schultz |
Adland Benson |
1.25 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:39) |
|
|
| 17. |
Mar '24 |
Caolan Loughran |
Angel Pacheco |
1.20 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Mar '24 |
Anthony Orozco |
Lucas Rodrigues |
1.17 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Mar '24 |
Matthew Camilleri |
Nicolo Solinas |
1.12 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (3:13) |
|
|
| 20. |
Mar '24 |
Edmund Kwan |
Aris Arguello |
1.15 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (3:6) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Aug '24 |
Mohamed Alsameea |
Weiqiang Yang |
1.20 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Apr '24 |
Lucas Brennan |
Dimitre Ivy |
1.25 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.42 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Jan '24 |
Devon Jackson |
Jack Duffy |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Sep '23 |
Sergey Spivak |
Ciryl Gane |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Aug '23 |
Roy Lokolo |
Khulekani Hlongwa |
1.29 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:31) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Jul '23 |
Danny Sabatello |
Magomed Magomedov |
1.75 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:55) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Jul '23 |
Losene Keita |
Mate Sanikidze |
1.15 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:8) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Jul '23 |
Molly McCann |
Julija Stoliarenko |
1.51 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:55) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Jul '23 |
Mo Miller |
John Yannis |
1.40 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Jun '23 |
Tateo Iida |
Suguru Nii |
2.15 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:32) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Jun '23 |
Aaron Bush |
Cameron Kinzig |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Jun '23 |
Dylan Budka |
Azamat Bekoev |
3.85 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Jun '23 |
Brendan Loughnane |
Jesus Pinedo |
1.20 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:34) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
May '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Yan Xiaonan |
1.59 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
May '23 |
Alessandro Giordano |
Enrico Di Gangi |
1.29 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
May '23 |
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. |
Giannis Bachar |
1.40 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (2:12) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
May '23 |
Roberto Soldic |
Zebaztian Kadestam |
1.20 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
May '23 |
Yuki Ito |
Erson Yamamoto |
1.25 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Apr '23 |
Zac Riley |
Adam Martinez |
1.29 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Justin Dziedzic: Progress Chart |
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