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MMA Handicapper Stats: Odds Breaker |
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Odds Breaker: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 11 (34%)
Losing Events: 21 (66%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.20 units
Best Event: 25.79 units
Worst Event: -14.23 units
Average Event: 0.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -30.80 |
Odds Breaker: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
231.26 |
9.0 |
4% |
8.6 / 191.16 (4%) |
|
|
11 / 21 (34%) |
0.28 |
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Odds Breaker: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Odds Breaker: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
224.16 |
7.1 |
3% |
6.7 / 184.06 (4%) |
0.4 / 40.1 (1%) |
|
|
Bellator |
2.6 |
1.7 |
64% |
1.7 / 2.6 (64%) |
|
|
|
PFL |
2.5 |
2.2 |
87% |
2.2 / 2.5 (87%) |
|
|
| Other |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
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Odds Breaker: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
3 (3%) |
3 |
100 % |
13.00 |
4.95 |
1.65 |
38% |
| Slight Favorites |
31 (35%) |
16 |
52 % |
94.46 |
-17.97 |
-0.58 |
-19% |
| Slight Underdogs |
34 (39%) |
13 |
38 % |
57.00 |
3.13 |
0.09 |
5% |
| Big Underdogs |
20 (23%) |
6 |
30 % |
26.70 |
18.44 |
0.92 |
69% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
19 (22%) |
12 |
63 % |
64.10 |
41.44 |
2.18 |
65% |
| Co-Main Event |
14 (16%) |
3 |
21 % |
25.50 |
-18.30 |
-1.31 |
-72% |
| Position 3-5 |
33 (38%) |
14 |
42 % |
62.36 |
-18.40 |
-0.56 |
-30% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
22 (25%) |
9 |
41 % |
39.20 |
3.81 |
0.17 |
10% |
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Odds Breaker: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
5 (6%) |
2 |
40 % |
16.46 |
3.21 |
0.64 |
19% |
| Light Heavy |
11 (13%) |
2 |
18 % |
26.20 |
-18.24 |
-1.66 |
-70% |
| Middleweight |
21 (24%) |
11 |
52 % |
48.50 |
23.76 |
1.13 |
49% |
| Welterweight |
20 (23%) |
8 |
40 % |
26.70 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
0% |
| Lightweight |
15 (17%) |
8 |
53 % |
36.10 |
6.27 |
0.42 |
17% |
| Featherweight |
10 (11%) |
2 |
20 % |
26.50 |
-16.36 |
-1.64 |
-62% |
| Bantamweight |
5 (6%) |
4 |
80 % |
10.20 |
8.98 |
1.80 |
88% |
| Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
175% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
1 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 50-65% |
11 (30%) |
5 |
45 % |
| 35-50% |
6 (16%) |
1 |
17 % |
| <35% chance |
19 (51%) |
4 |
21 % |
|
37 |
10 |
27 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Does not go to Decision |
1 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins by KO |
5 (14%) |
1 |
20 % |
4.11 |
17.00 |
2.65 |
-0.7 (-15%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance |
9 (24%) |
6 |
67 % |
2.23 |
5.00 |
1.77 |
4.1 (46%) |
| X Wins in Round X |
4 (11%) |
0 |
0 % |
4.13 |
9.00 |
1.91 |
-4.0 (-100%) |
| Others |
18 (49%) |
3 |
17 % |
3.44 |
41.00 |
1.29 |
9.6 (53%) |
|
37 |
10 |
27 % |
3.10 |
|
|
7.9 (21%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Odds Breaker's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
7.5 |
-0.5 |
-7% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$995.00 |
| 14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
87% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.00 |
$1,016.63 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
16.36 |
-14.2 |
-87% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,016.63 |
$871.91 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
7 |
8.0 |
114% |
|
$8.72 |
$871.91 |
$941.67 |
| 5th May |
One Fight Night 10 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.42 |
$941.67 |
$922.83 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
11 |
-1.0 |
-9% |
|
$9.23 |
$922.83 |
$913.24 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
4 |
-1.8 |
-45% |
|
$9.13 |
$913.24 |
$896.81 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.97 |
$896.81 |
$869.90 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.70 |
$869.90 |
$826.41 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
9.5 |
-4.0 |
-43% |
|
$8.26 |
$826.41 |
$792.94 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
13.5 |
2.1 |
16% |
|
$7.93 |
$792.94 |
$809.54 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
5 |
4.9 |
98% |
|
$8.10 |
$809.54 |
$849.02 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
1.6 |
-0.2 |
-14% |
|
$8.49 |
$849.02 |
$847.11 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
3.5 |
0.1 |
4% |
|
$8.47 |
$847.11 |
$848.29 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
15 |
4.4 |
29% |
|
$8.48 |
$848.29 |
$885.71 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
13.3 |
13.8 |
104% |
|
$8.86 |
$885.71 |
$1,007.93 |
| 30th Jul |
Bellator vs Rizin 2 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
71% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,007.93 |
$1,025.71 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
8 |
-6.2 |
-77% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,025.71 |
$962.46 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
10 |
10.9 |
109% |
|
$9.62 |
$962.46 |
$1,067.06 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
13 |
-1.1 |
-8% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,067.06 |
$1,055.72 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
13.1 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,055.72 |
$1,053.74 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
9.9 |
5.1 |
52% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.74 |
$1,107.80 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
21.2 |
25.8 |
122% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,107.80 |
$1,393.51 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
2.7 |
-2.7 |
-100% |
|
$13.94 |
$1,393.51 |
$1,355.89 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.56 |
$1,355.89 |
$1,260.98 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,260.98 |
$1,235.76 |
| 7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-100% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,235.76 |
$1,234.52 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,234.52 |
$1,172.79 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
4 |
-1.0 |
-25% |
|
$11.73 |
$1,172.79 |
$1,161.07 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.61 |
$1,161.07 |
$1,149.46 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.46 |
$1,091.98 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.98 |
$1,015.54 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.55% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Odds Breaker: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '23 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.66 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (3:46) |
|
|
| 2. |
Sep '23 |
Alexander Volkov |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.56 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:37) |
|
|
| 3. |
Sep '23 |
Sean Strickland |
Israel Adesanya |
5.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Aug '23 |
Andre Petroski |
Gerald Meerschaert |
1.47 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 5. |
Sep '23 |
Sean Strickland |
Israel Adesanya |
4.00 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Sep '23 |
Sean Strickland |
Israel Adesanya |
4.75 |
6 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Aug '23 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Chidi Njokuani |
1.72 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:16) |
|
|
| 8. |
Aug '23 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Chidi Njokuani |
1.87 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:16) |
|
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| 9. |
Aug '23 |
AJ Dobson |
Tafon Nchukwi |
2.28 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Aug '23 |
Khalil Rountree |
Chris Daukaus |
1.55 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:40) |
|
|
| 11. |
Aug '23 |
Marlon Vera |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.56 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Jul '23 |
Uros Medic |
Matt Semelsberger |
2.85 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:36) |
|
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| 13. |
Jul '23 |
Andrey Koreshkov |
Lorenz Larkin |
1.77 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. |
Jul '23 |
Andrey Koreshkov |
Lorenz Larkin |
1.69 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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| 15. |
Aug '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Gavin Tucker |
1.83 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:38) |
|
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| 16. |
Aug '23 |
Vicente Luque |
Rafael dos Anjos |
2.60 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. |
Jul '23 |
Justin Gaethje |
Dustin Poirier |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:0) |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '23 |
Vicente Luque |
Rafael dos Anjos |
2.50 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '23 |
Kevin Holland |
Michael Chiesa |
1.69 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:39) |
|
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| 20. |
Jul '23 |
Joel Alvarez |
Marc Diakiese |
1.74 |
7.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:26) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Nov '23 |
Jordan Leavitt |
Chase Hooper |
3.30 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:58) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Nov '23 |
Jordan Leavitt |
Chase Hooper |
3.00 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:58) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Oct '23 |
Warlley Alves |
Ikram Aliskerov |
4.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:7) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Oct '23 |
Brent Primus |
Usman Nurmagomedov |
13.00 |
0.1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Oct '23 |
Alex Morono |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.70 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.35 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Oct '23 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Edson Barboza |
1.62 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Sep '23 |
Andre Fialho |
Tim Means |
1.58 |
2.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '23 |
Dan Ige |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.70 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Sep '23 |
Dan Ige |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.45 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Sep '23 |
Terrence Mitchell |
Raul Rosas Jr |
6.50 |
0.2 |
TKO, R1 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Sep '23 |
Kevin Holland |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.37 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Sep '23 |
Kevin Holland |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.39 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '23 |
Dan Ige |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.35 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Josh Fremd |
Roman Kopylov |
4.10 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
Da Un Jung |
Carlos Ulberg |
3.30 |
0.2 |
Sub, R3 (4:49) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '23 |
Thiago Moises |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.43 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '23 |
Anton Turkalj |
Tyson Pedro |
2.33 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:12) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '23 |
Anton Turkalj |
Tyson Pedro |
1.91 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:12) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '23 |
Parker Porter |
Junior Tafa |
2.13 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:24) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Odds Breaker: Progress Chart |
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