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MMA Handicapper Stats: Odds Breaker

Odds Breaker (OddsBreaker1554)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Odds Breaker

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 53 (40%) Right 43 (43%) Right 10 (30%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 81 (60%) Wrong 58 (57%) Wrong 23 (70%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.42 Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 3.50 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 293.8 Units Bet 260.7 Units Bet 33.1 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 2.19 Avg Bet 2.58 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit -18.94 Units Profit -13.86 Units Profit -5.07 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -6% ROI % -5% ROI % -15% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Odds Breaker: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Jun '24 UFC 303 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 8 -0.2 -3% -0.2 / 8 (-3%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 6 3.6 60% 3.6 / 6 (60%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 14.5 -10.5 -73% -8.5 / 12.5 (-68%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2 1.8 91% 1.8 / 2 (91%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 12.5 -2.6 -21% -2.6 / 12.5 (-21%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 2.5 2.6 104% 2.6 / 2.5 (104%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 7.5 -3.0 -40% -2.5 / 5 (-50%) -0.5 / 2.5 (-20%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 2 2.4 120% 2.4 / 2 (120%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 4 -1.0 -25% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.0 / 3 (0%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 Bellator 300 0.1 -0.1 -100% -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 2.7 -2.7 -100% -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 21.2 25.8 122% 24.1 / 17.7 (136%) 1.7 / 3.5 (49%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 9.9 5.1 52% 0.3 / 3 (11%) 4.8 / 6.9 (70%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 13.1 -0.2 -1% -0.1 / 9 (-1%) -0.1 / 4.1 (-2%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 13 -1.1 -8% 2.9 / 7.7 (38%) -4.0 / 5.3 (-75%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 10 10.9 109% 9.3 / 8 (117%) 1.5 / 2 (77%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 8 -6.2 -77% -6.2 / 8 (-77%)
30th Jul '23 Bellator vs Rizin 2 2.5 1.8 71% 1.8 / 2.5 (71%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 13.3 13.8 104% 10.4 / 12 (87%) 3.4 / 1.3 (258%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 15 4.4 29% 4.9 / 14.5 (34%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 3.5 0.1 4% 0.1 / 3.5 (4%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 1.6 -0.2 -14% 0.9 / 0.5 (175%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 5 4.9 98% 4.9 / 5 (98%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 13.5 2.1 16% 4.1 / 10.5 (39%) -2.0 / 3 (-67%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 9.5 -4.0 -43% -4.0 / 9.5 (-43%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 4 -1.8 -45% -1.8 / 4 (-45%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 11 -1.0 -9% 2.0 / 8 (25%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th May '23 One Fight Night 10 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 7 8.0 114% 8.0 / 7 (114%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 16.36 -14.2 -87% -15.5 / 15.46 (-100%) 1.2 / 0.9 (136%)
14th Apr '23 PFL 3: 2023 2.5 2.2 87% 2.2 / 2.5 (87%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 7.5 -0.5 -7% 0.0 / 3 (0%) -0.5 / 4.5 (-11%)


Winning Events: 15 (32%)
Losing Events: 32 (68%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.20 units
Best Event: 25.79 units
Worst Event: -14.23 units
Average Event: -0.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -30.80

Odds Breaker: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 75 -30.3 -40% -24.8 / 67.5 (-37%) 3 / 11 (21%) -2.17
2023 233.26 11.4 5% 11.0 / 193.16 (6%) 12 / 21 (36%) 0.34

Odds Breaker: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Odds Breaker: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 301.16 -20.8 -7% -15.7 / 253.56 (-6%) -5.1 / 47.6 (-11%)
Bellator 2.6 1.7 64% 1.7 / 2.6 (64%)
PFL 2.5 2.2 87% 2.2 / 2.5 (87%)
Other 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Odds Breaker: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (4%) 5 100 % 20.00 8.11 1.62 41%
Slight Favorites 43 (34%) 21 49 % 111.46 -25.74 -0.60 -23%
Slight Underdogs 51 (41%) 21 41 % 94.50 -6.68 -0.13 -7%
Big Underdogs 26 (21%) 6 23 % 34.70 10.44 0.40 30%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 30 (24%) 16 53 % 92.10 26.76 0.89 29%
Co-Main Event 17 (14%) 4 24 % 33.50 -23.85 -1.40 -71%
Position 3-5 47 (38%) 18 38 % 80.86 -30.03 -0.64 -37%
6+ (Undercard) 31 (25%) 15 48 % 54.20 13.25 0.43 24%

Odds Breaker: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (6%) 4 57 % 21.46 9.82 1.40 46%
Light Heavy 16 (13%) 4 25 % 42.20 -29.64 -1.85 -70%
Middleweight 28 (22%) 11 39 % 59.50 12.76 0.46 21%
Welterweight 25 (20%) 11 44 % 36.70 4.94 0.20 13%
Lightweight 23 (18%) 8 35 % 50.60 -8.23 -0.36 -16%
Featherweight 14 (11%) 6 43 % 30.50 -10.93 -0.78 -36%
Bantamweight 11 (9%) 8 73 % 19.20 6.54 0.59 34%
Flyweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.87 0.87 175%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 0 0 %
50-65% 13 (32%) 5 38 %
35-50% 7 (17%) 1 14 %
<35% chance 20 (49%) 4 20 %
41 10 24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.00 2.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 6 (15%) 1 17 % 3.99 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.65Pick was incorrect -1.7 (-29%)
X Wins Inside Distance 11 (27%) 6 55 % 2.22 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was correct 2.1 (19%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (10%) 0 0 % 4.13 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
Others 19 (46%) 3 16 % 3.25 41.00Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was incorrect 9.6 (50%)
41 10 24 % 2.98     4.9 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Odds Breaker's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Apr UFC 287 7.5 -0.5 -7% $10.00 $1,000.00 $995.00
14th Apr PFL 3: 2023 2.5 2.2 87% $9.95 $995.00 $1,016.63
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 16.36 -14.2 -87% $10.17 $1,016.63 $871.91
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 7 8.0 114% $8.72 $871.91 $941.67
5th May One Fight Night 10 2 -2.0 -100% $9.42 $941.67 $922.83
6th May UFC 288 11 -1.0 -9% $9.23 $922.83 $913.24
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 4 -1.8 -45% $9.13 $913.24 $896.81
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 3 -3.0 -100% $8.97 $896.81 $869.90
10th Jun UFC 289 5 -5.0 -100% $8.70 $869.90 $826.41
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 9.5 -4.0 -43% $8.26 $826.41 $792.94
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 13.5 2.1 16% $7.93 $792.94 $809.54
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 5 4.9 98% $8.10 $809.54 $849.02
8th Jul UFC 290 1.6 -0.2 -14% $8.49 $849.02 $847.11
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 3.5 0.1 4% $8.47 $847.11 $848.29
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 15 4.4 29% $8.48 $848.29 $885.71
29th Jul UFC 291 13.3 13.8 104% $8.86 $885.71 $1,007.93
30th Jul Bellator vs Rizin 2 2.5 1.8 71% $10.08 $1,007.93 $1,025.71
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 8 -6.2 -77% $10.26 $1,025.71 $962.46
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 10 10.9 109% $9.62 $962.46 $1,067.06
19th Aug UFC 292 13 -1.1 -8% $10.67 $1,067.06 $1,055.72
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 13.1 -0.2 -1% $10.56 $1,055.72 $1,053.74
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 9.9 5.1 52% $10.54 $1,053.74 $1,107.80
9th Sep UFC 293 21.2 25.8 122% $11.08 $1,107.80 $1,393.51
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 2.7 -2.7 -100% $13.94 $1,393.51 $1,355.89
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 7 -7.0 -100% $13.56 $1,355.89 $1,260.98
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 2 -2.0 -100% $12.61 $1,260.98 $1,235.76
7th Oct Bellator 300 0.1 -0.1 -100% $12.36 $1,235.76 $1,234.52
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 5 -5.0 -100% $12.35 $1,234.52 $1,172.79
21st Oct UFC 294 4 -1.0 -25% $11.73 $1,172.79 $1,161.07
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 1 -1.0 -100% $11.61 $1,161.07 $1,149.46
11th Nov UFC 295 5 -5.0 -100% $11.49 $1,149.46 $1,091.98
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 7 -7.0 -100% $10.92 $1,091.98 $1,015.54
16th Dec UFC 296 2 2.4 120% $10.16 $1,015.54 $1,039.92
20th Jan UFC 297 7.5 -3.0 -40% $10.40 $1,039.92 $1,008.72
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 6 -6.0 -100% $10.09 $1,008.72 $948.20
17th Feb UFC 298 2.5 2.6 104% $9.48 $948.20 $972.85
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 1 -1.0 -100% $9.73 $972.85 $963.12
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.63 $963.12 $958.30
9th Mar UFC 299 12.5 -2.6 -21% $9.58 $958.30 $932.97
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2 1.8 91% $9.33 $932.97 $949.93
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.50 $949.93 $945.18
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 1 -1.0 -100% $9.45 $945.18 $935.73
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 3 -3.0 -100% $9.36 $935.73 $907.66
13th Apr UFC 300 14.5 -10.5 -73% $9.08 $907.66 $812.20
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 6 3.6 60% $8.12 $812.20 $841.63
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 8 -0.2 -3% $8.42 $841.63 $839.95
29th Jun UFC 303 10 -10.0 -100% $8.40 $839.95 $755.96


ROI % from starting bank balance: -24.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Odds Breaker: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '24 Waldo Cortes-Acosta Robelis Despaigne 2.60 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Uros Medic Tim Means 1.43 5 TKO, R1 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Bogdan Guskov Ryan Spann 2.45 1 TKO, R2 (3:16) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Aljamain Sterling Calvin Kattar 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Marcin Tybura Tai Tuivasa 1.91 2 Sub, R1 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Kyler Phillips Pedro Munhoz 1.49 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.87 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Jack Della Maddalena Gilbert Burns 2.20 1.5 TKO, R3 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.15 1 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.55 1 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.55 1 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '24 Sean Woodson Charles Jourdain 2.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '23 Leon Edwards Colby Covington 2.20 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '23 Volkan Oezdemir Bogdan Guskov 1.66 2 Sub, R1 (3:46) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Alexander Volkov Tai Tuivasa 1.56 3 Sub, R2 (4:37) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '23 Sean Strickland Israel Adesanya 5.25 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '23 Andre Petroski Gerald Meerschaert 1.47 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '23 Sean Strickland Israel Adesanya 4.00 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '24 Jiri Prochazka Alex Pereira 2.30 10 TKO, R2 (0:13) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Nursulton Ruziboev Joaquin Buckley 2.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Justin Gaethje Max Holloway 1.67 2 TKO, R5 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.25 3 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Sedriques Dumas Nursulton Ruziboev 3.20 1 TKO, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 AJ Dobson Edmen Shahbazyan 2.75 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Kevin Holland Michael Page 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Claudio Ribeiro Christian Duncan 3.55 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.35 1 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '24 Francisco Prado Daniel Zellhuber 2.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 Darrius Flowers Michael Johnson 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '24 Sean Strickland Dricus Du Plessis 1.86 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Geoff Neal Ian Garry 2.95 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Benoit Saint-Denis Dustin Poirier 1.68 2 TKO, R2 (2:32) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '24 Justin Gaethje Max Holloway 1.54 3 TKO, R5 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '24 Cody Garbrandt Deiveson Figueiredo 3.95 1 Sub, R2 (4:2) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Darrius Flowers Michael Johnson 2.18 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Darrius Flowers Michael Johnson 2.18 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Sean Strickland Dricus Du Plessis 1.80 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Odds Breaker: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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