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MMA Handicapper Stats: Odds Breaker |
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Odds Breaker: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 14 (34%) Losing Events: 27 (66%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.48 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.20 units Best Event: 25.79 units Worst Event: -14.23 units Average Event: 0.05 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.92 Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -30.80 |
Odds Breaker: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
32.5 |
-9.2 |
-28% |
-8.7 / 30 (-29%) |
|
|
2 / 6 (25%) |
-1.15 |
2023 |
233.26 |
11.4 |
5% |
11.0 / 193.16 (6%) |
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|
12 / 21 (36%) |
0.34 |
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Odds Breaker: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Odds Breaker: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
258.66 |
0.3 |
0% |
0.4 / 216.06 (0%) |
-0.1 / 42.6 (-0%) |
|
Bellator |
2.6 |
1.7 |
64% |
1.7 / 2.6 (64%) |
|
|
PFL |
2.5 |
2.2 |
87% |
2.2 / 2.5 (87%) |
|
|
Other |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
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Odds Breaker: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
4 (4%) |
4 |
100 % |
15.00 |
5.93 |
1.48 |
40% |
Slight Favorites |
40 (36%) |
20 |
50 % |
105.46 |
-21.58 |
-0.54 |
-20% |
Slight Underdogs |
43 (39%) |
18 |
42 % |
70.00 |
5.42 |
0.13 |
8% |
Big Underdogs |
24 (22%) |
6 |
25 % |
32.70 |
12.44 |
0.52 |
38% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
27 (24%) |
16 |
59 % |
78.10 |
40.76 |
1.51 |
52% |
Co-Main Event |
15 (14%) |
3 |
20 % |
27.50 |
-20.30 |
-1.35 |
-74% |
Position 3-5 |
44 (40%) |
18 |
41 % |
74.86 |
-24.03 |
-0.55 |
-32% |
6+ (Undercard) |
25 (23%) |
11 |
44 % |
42.70 |
5.79 |
0.23 |
14% |
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Odds Breaker: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
18.46 |
5.02 |
0.84 |
27% |
Light Heavy |
11 (10%) |
2 |
18 % |
26.20 |
-18.24 |
-1.66 |
-70% |
Middleweight |
26 (23%) |
11 |
42 % |
53.50 |
18.76 |
0.72 |
35% |
Welterweight |
24 (22%) |
10 |
42 % |
31.70 |
2.76 |
0.12 |
9% |
Lightweight |
20 (18%) |
8 |
40 % |
45.10 |
-2.73 |
-0.14 |
-6% |
Featherweight |
13 (12%) |
5 |
38 % |
29.50 |
-11.76 |
-0.90 |
-40% |
Bantamweight |
10 (9%) |
8 |
80 % |
18.20 |
7.54 |
0.75 |
41% |
Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
175% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
50-65% |
12 (31%) |
5 |
42 % |
35-50% |
6 (15%) |
1 |
17 % |
<35% chance |
20 (51%) |
4 |
20 % |
|
39 |
10 |
26 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Does not go to Decision |
1 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
X Wins by KO |
6 (15%) |
1 |
17 % |
3.99 |
17.00 |
2.65 |
-1.7 (-29%) |
X Wins Inside Distance |
9 (23%) |
6 |
67 % |
2.23 |
5.00 |
1.77 |
4.1 (46%) |
X Wins in Round X |
4 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
4.13 |
9.00 |
1.91 |
-4.0 (-100%) |
Others |
19 (49%) |
3 |
16 % |
3.25 |
41.00 |
1.29 |
9.6 (50%) |
|
39 |
10 |
26 % |
3.04 |
|
|
6.9 (18%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Odds Breaker's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
7.5 |
-0.5 |
-7% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$995.00 |
14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
87% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.00 |
$1,016.63 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
16.36 |
-14.2 |
-87% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,016.63 |
$871.91 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
7 |
8.0 |
114% |
|
$8.72 |
$871.91 |
$941.67 |
5th May |
One Fight Night 10 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.42 |
$941.67 |
$922.83 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
11 |
-1.0 |
-9% |
|
$9.23 |
$922.83 |
$913.24 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
4 |
-1.8 |
-45% |
|
$9.13 |
$913.24 |
$896.81 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.97 |
$896.81 |
$869.90 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.70 |
$869.90 |
$826.41 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
9.5 |
-4.0 |
-43% |
|
$8.26 |
$826.41 |
$792.94 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
13.5 |
2.1 |
16% |
|
$7.93 |
$792.94 |
$809.54 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
5 |
4.9 |
98% |
|
$8.10 |
$809.54 |
$849.02 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
1.6 |
-0.2 |
-14% |
|
$8.49 |
$849.02 |
$847.11 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
3.5 |
0.1 |
4% |
|
$8.47 |
$847.11 |
$848.29 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
15 |
4.4 |
29% |
|
$8.48 |
$848.29 |
$885.71 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
13.3 |
13.8 |
104% |
|
$8.86 |
$885.71 |
$1,007.93 |
30th Jul |
Bellator vs Rizin 2 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
71% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,007.93 |
$1,025.71 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
8 |
-6.2 |
-77% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,025.71 |
$962.46 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
10 |
10.9 |
109% |
|
$9.62 |
$962.46 |
$1,067.06 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
13 |
-1.1 |
-8% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,067.06 |
$1,055.72 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
13.1 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,055.72 |
$1,053.74 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
9.9 |
5.1 |
52% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.74 |
$1,107.80 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
21.2 |
25.8 |
122% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,107.80 |
$1,393.51 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
2.7 |
-2.7 |
-100% |
|
$13.94 |
$1,393.51 |
$1,355.89 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.56 |
$1,355.89 |
$1,260.98 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,260.98 |
$1,235.76 |
7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-100% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,235.76 |
$1,234.52 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,234.52 |
$1,172.79 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
4 |
-1.0 |
-25% |
|
$11.73 |
$1,172.79 |
$1,161.07 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.61 |
$1,161.07 |
$1,149.46 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.46 |
$1,091.98 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.98 |
$1,015.54 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
2 |
2.4 |
120% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.54 |
$1,039.92 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
7.5 |
-3.0 |
-40% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.92 |
$1,008.72 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,008.72 |
$948.20 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
104% |
|
$9.48 |
$948.20 |
$972.85 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.73 |
$972.85 |
$963.12 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.63 |
$963.12 |
$958.30 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
12.5 |
-2.6 |
-21% |
|
$9.58 |
$958.30 |
$932.97 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
2 |
1.8 |
91% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.97 |
$949.93 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.50 |
$949.93 |
$945.18 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.48% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Odds Breaker: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Odds Breaker: Progress Chart |
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