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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chalk Talk MMA

Chalk Talk MMA (ChalkTalk MMA)


MMA MHandicapper - Chalk Talk MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 91 (45%) Right 51 (45%) Right 20 (42%) Right 20 (49%)
Wrong 111 (55%) Wrong 62 (55%) Wrong 28 (58%) Wrong 21 (51%)
Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds 2.11 Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 2.01
Units Bet 445.7 Units Bet 260.2 Units Bet 90.4 Units Bet 95.1
Avg Bet 2.21 Avg Bet 2.30 Avg Bet 1.88 Avg Bet 2.32
Units Profit 22.82 Units Profit 29.14 Units Profit -7.20 Units Profit 0.87
ROI % 5% ROI % 11% ROI % -8% ROI % 1%
View Handicapper's Profile

Chalk Talk MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 12 3.3 28% 1.5 / 9 (17%) 1.8 / 3 (61%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 22.5 -0.9 -4% -0.9 / 22.5 (-4%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 41 15.3 37% 3.1 / 7 (45%) -4.9 / 10.5 (-47%) 17.0 / 23.5 (72%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 18.5 10.7 58% 7.0 / 13.5 (52%) 4.0 / 1 (395%) -0.3 / 4 (-6%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.8 -1.9 -11% 1.8 / 7.3 (25%) 0.4 / 2 (20%) -4.1 / 8.5 (-49%)
12th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 6 6.2 -2.9 -47% -3.2 / 3.2 (-100%) 0.3 / 3 (9%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 18.8 -15.5 -83% -1.7 / 5 (-35%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -8.8 / 8.8 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 8.68 2.9 34% 2.9 / 8.68 (34%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 15 -1.2 -8% -2.8 / 8 (-35%) 1.6 / 7 (23%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 19.76 8.5 43% 7.0 / 8.5 (82%) -1.6 / 8.76 (-18%) 3.1 / 2.5 (123%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 5 2.5 50% 2.5 / 5 (50%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 14.4 -4.6 -32% -8.4 / 8.4 (-100%) 2.0 / 3 (66%) 1.8 / 3 (61%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 25.2 12.2 48% 11.3 / 13 (87%) -0.6 / 10.2 (-6%) 1.5 / 2 (77%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 16.7 -5.3 -32% -3.1 / 8.8 (-35%) -0.3 / 3.5 (-8%) -1.9 / 4.4 (-43%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 9.2 -4.9 -53% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 2.1 / 2.2 (96%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 18.5 2.3 12% 7.0 / 6.5 (108%) -3.3 / 7 (-48%) -1.4 / 5 (-29%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 10.7 -7.2 -67% -2.2 / 5.7 (-39%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 9.5 -1.6 -17% -2.5 / 5 (-50%) 1.2 / 1.5 (80%) -0.3 / 3 (-11%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 17 2.8 16% 5.2 / 11 (48%) 1.5 / 2 (76%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 12 -1.0 -8% 3.0 / 8 (38%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 15.4 8.1 53% 3.5 / 11 (32%) 4.6 / 4.4 (106%)
5th May '23 One Fight Night 10 5 2.7 53% 2.7 / 5 (53%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 9.6 0.6 6% 0.6 / 6.3 (10%) 1.2 / 2 (61%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 6 2.9 48% 1.4 / 1 (140%) 1.5 / 5 (30%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 17.5 10.3 59% 10.3 / 17.5 (59%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 20.07 -0.9 -5% -1.8 / 13.9 (-13%) 1.8 / 3.52 (50%) -0.9 / 2.65 (-34%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 12.75 -5.5 -43% -1.3 / 8.5 (-15%) -3.1 / 3.1 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 15.3 -4.6 -30% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.2 / 7.8 (-2%) -1.5 / 4.5 (-33%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 11.13 -11.1 -100% -7.9 / 7.93 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 11.5 12.0 104% 9.0 / 10 (90%) 3.0 / 1.5 (200%)


Winning Events: 15 (47%)
Losing Events: 17 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.99 units
Most Staked On One Event: 41.00 units
Best Event: 15.27 units
Worst Event: -15.54 units
Average Event: 0.71 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 25.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -22.20

Chalk Talk MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 447.69 22.8 5% 29.1 / 260.21 (11%) 0.9 / 95.1 (1%) 15 / 17 (47%) 0.71

Chalk Talk MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Chalk Talk MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 436.49 23.1 5% 29.7 / 252.01 (12%) -7.5 / 89.38 (-8%) 0.9 / 95.1 (1%)
Other 11.2 -0.3 -2% -0.5 / 8.2 (-7%) 0.3 / 3 (9%)

Chalk Talk MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (11%) 8 67 % 41.50 0.39 0.03 1%
Slight Favorites 39 (34%) 20 51 % 111.41 5.68 0.15 5%
Slight Underdogs 42 (37%) 19 45 % 76.40 29.97 0.71 39%
Big Underdogs 21 (18%) 4 19 % 30.90 -6.90 -0.33 -22%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 17 (15%) 9 53 % 74.60 29.01 1.71 39%
Co-Main Event 18 (16%) 9 50 % 51.53 9.11 0.51 18%
Position 3-5 38 (33%) 12 32 % 62.98 -11.72 -0.31 -19%
6+ (Undercard) 41 (36%) 21 51 % 71.10 2.75 0.07 4%

Chalk Talk MMA: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (11%) 7 54 % 37.43 4.58 0.35 12%
Light Heavy 9 (8%) 3 33 % 21.40 2.01 0.22 9%
Middleweight 18 (16%) 5 28 % 32.10 -6.70 -0.37 -21%
Welterweight 14 (12%) 7 50 % 27.90 -1.58 -0.11 -6%
Lightweight 15 (13%) 7 47 % 36.78 17.98 1.20 49%
Featherweight 13 (11%) 5 38 % 28.90 5.63 0.43 19%
Bantamweight 10 (9%) 6 60 % 30.20 9.75 0.98 32%
Flyweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 10.70 3.05 0.61 29%
               
Women's Fights 17 (15%) 8 47 % 34.80 -5.57 -0.33 -16%
Bantamweight 6 (5%) 3 50 % 13.00 -0.82 -0.14 -6%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 8.30 -3.62 -0.91 -44%
Strawweight 7 (6%) 4 57 % 13.50 -1.13 -0.16 -8%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 91 (93%) 62 68 %
Slight Favorites 6 (6%) 6 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
98 68 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (15%) 5 63 %
50-65% 24 (44%) 13 54 %
35-50% 11 (20%) 3 27 %
<35% chance 12 (22%) 3 25 %
55 24 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (16%) 7 78 % 1.50 1.80Pick was correct 1.22Pick was incorrect 2.8 (31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (4%) 1 50 % 1.96 2.62Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct -0.4 (-21%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (11%) 3 50 % 1.88 3.00Pick was correct 1.61Pick was correct 0.2 (4%)
Fight Starts Round X 4 (7%) 1 25 % 2.35 5.20Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -2.6 (-65%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.51 1.51Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 3 (5%) 2 67 % 1.75 1.80Pick was correct 1.72Pick was incorrect 0.5 (17%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (7%) 1 25 % 5.58 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was correct -1.7 (-42%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (9%) 0 0 % 2.75 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-80%)
X Wins Inside Distance 14 (25%) 5 36 % 2.17 4.95Pick was correct 1.64Pick was correct -0.9 (-6%)
Others 7 (13%) 4 57 % 1.71 3.75Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect 1.4 (20%)
55 24 44 % 2.01     -5.7 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chalk Talk MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Mar UFC 285 11.5 12.0 104% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,120.00
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 11.13 -11.1 -100% $11.20 $1,120.00 $995.34
18th Mar UFC 286 15.3 -4.6 -30% $9.95 $995.34 $949.10
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 12.75 -5.5 -43% $9.49 $949.10 $896.90
8th Apr UFC 287 20.07 -0.9 -5% $8.97 $896.90 $888.58
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 17.5 10.3 59% $8.89 $888.58 $979.97
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 6 2.9 48% $9.80 $979.97 $1,008.39
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 9.6 0.6 6% $10.08 $1,008.39 $1,014.03
5th May One Fight Night 10 5 2.7 53% $10.14 $1,014.03 $1,040.90
6th May UFC 288 15.4 8.1 53% $10.41 $1,040.90 $1,125.72
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 12 -1.0 -8% $11.26 $1,125.72 $1,114.68
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 3 -3.0 -100% $11.15 $1,114.68 $1,081.24
10th Jun UFC 289 17 2.8 16% $10.81 $1,081.24 $1,111.14
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 9.5 -1.6 -17% $11.11 $1,111.14 $1,092.92
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 2 -2.0 -100% $10.93 $1,092.92 $1,071.06
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 10.7 -7.2 -67% $10.71 $1,071.06 $993.94
8th Jul UFC 290 18.5 2.3 12% $9.94 $993.94 $1,016.40
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 9.2 -4.9 -53% $10.16 $1,016.40 $966.78
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 16.7 -5.3 -32% $9.67 $966.78 $915.89
29th Jul UFC 291 25.2 12.2 48% $5 $9.16 $915.89 $1,022.41
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 14.4 -4.6 -32% $5 $10.22 $1,022.41 $970.57
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 5 2.5 50% $5 $9.71 $970.57 $989.83
19th Aug UFC 292 19.76 8.5 43% $5 $9.90 $989.83 $1,069.09
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 15 -1.2 -8% $5 $10.69 $1,069.09 $1,051.15
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 8.68 2.9 34% $5 $10.51 $1,051.15 $1,077.05
9th Sep UFC 293 18.8 -15.5 -83% $5 $10.77 $1,077.05 $904.67
12th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 6 6.2 -2.9 -47% $9.05 $904.67 $878.26
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.8 -1.9 -11% $5 $8.78 $878.26 $856.50
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 18.5 10.7 58% $5 $8.57 $856.50 $943.27
21st Oct UFC 294 41 15.3 37% $5 $9.43 $943.27 $1,082.32
11th Nov UFC 295 22.5 -0.9 -4% $5 $10.82 $1,082.32 $1,067.96
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 12 3.3 28% $5 $10.68 $1,067.96 $1,098.52


ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chalk Talk MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '23 Paid Pick Deiveson Figueiredo Rob Font 2.10 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Paid Pick John Castaneda Kyung Ho Kang 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Paid Pick Steve Erceg Alessandro Costa 1.52 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Paid Pick Lupita Godinez Tabatha Ricci 1.59 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Paid Pick Diego Lopes Pat Sabatini 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Paid Pick Alex Pereira Jiri Prochazka 1.86 5 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Paid Pick Mike Breeden Anshul Jubli 3.15 1 TKO, R3 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '23 Sharabutdin Magomedov Bruno Silva 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Paid Pick Montserrat Rendon Tamires Vidal 3.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 Paid Pick Miles Johns Dan Argueta 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 Paid Pick Charles Jourdain Ricardo Ramos 1.74 3 Sub, R1 (3:12) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '23 Paid Pick Mateusz Gamrot Rafael Fiziev 2.25 5 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '23 Paid Pick Jack Della Maddalena Kevin Holland 1.66 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '23 Paid Pick Daniel Zellhuber Christos Giagos 1.42 3.5 Sub, R2 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '23 Paid Pick Kevin Jousset Kiefer Crosbie 1.63 2 Sub, R1 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '23 Benoit Saint-Denis Thiago Moises 1.66 4.18 TKO, R2 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Paid Pick Manon Fiorot Rose Namajunas 1.56 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '23 Paid Pick Junior Tafa Parker Porter 1.73 3 TKO, R1 (1:24) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '23 Sean O'Malley Aljamain Sterling 3.10 5 TKO, R2 (0:51) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '23 Paid Pick Iasmin Lucindo Polyana Viana 1.50 2 Sub, R2 (3:42) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Paid Pick Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 1.95 2 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Arman Tsarukyan 3.25 2 TKO, R1 (1:4) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Paid Pick Dennis Buzukja Jamall Emmers 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Paid Pick Mark O. Madsen Jared Gordon 2.73 1 TKO, R1 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Paid Pick Mackenzie Dern Jessica Andrade 1.50 3 TKO, R2 (3:15) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Paid Pick Sergey Pavlovich Tom Aspinall 1.92 5 TKO, R1 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Abu Azaitar Sedriques Dumas 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Paid Pick Andre Fialho Tim Means 1.61 4 TKO, R3 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Paid Pick Jasmine Jasudavicius Tracy Cortez 1.95 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 Eduardo Neves Jhonata Diniz 2.25 1 TKO, R1 (3:15) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 A.J. Cunningham Steven Nguyen 3.30 1 TKO, R2 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '23 Kasey Tanner Jean Matsumoto 1.85 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '23 Paid Pick Tai Tuivasa Alexander Volkov 3.15 3 Sub, R2 (4:37) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '23 Paid Pick Sergey Spivak Ciryl Gane 2.70 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:44) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '23 Paid Pick Ryan Spann Anthony Smith 1.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '23 Paid Pick Taila Santos Erin Blanchfield 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '23 Paid Pick Chris Weidman Brad Tavares 3.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '23 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Marlon Vera 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '23 Paid Pick Amanda Lemos Weili Zhang 3.85 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '23 Paid Pick Chidi Njokuani Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (4:16) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chalk Talk MMA: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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