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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chalk Talk MMA |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 15 (47%) Losing Events: 17 (53%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.99 units Most Staked On One Event: 41.00 units Best Event: 15.27 units Worst Event: -15.54 units Average Event: 0.71 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 25.99 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -22.20 |
Chalk Talk MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
447.69 |
22.8 |
5% |
29.1 / 260.21 (11%) |
|
0.9 / 95.1 (1%) |
15 / 17 (47%) |
0.71 |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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Chalk Talk MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
436.49 |
23.1 |
5% |
29.7 / 252.01 (12%) |
-7.5 / 89.38 (-8%) |
0.9 / 95.1 (1%) |
Other |
11.2 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
-0.5 / 8.2 (-7%) |
0.3 / 3 (9%) |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
12 (11%) |
8 |
67 % |
41.50 |
0.39 |
0.03 |
1% |
Slight Favorites |
39 (34%) |
20 |
51 % |
111.41 |
5.68 |
0.15 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
42 (37%) |
19 |
45 % |
76.40 |
29.97 |
0.71 |
39% |
Big Underdogs |
21 (18%) |
4 |
19 % |
30.90 |
-6.90 |
-0.33 |
-22% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (15%) |
9 |
53 % |
74.60 |
29.01 |
1.71 |
39% |
Co-Main Event |
18 (16%) |
9 |
50 % |
51.53 |
9.11 |
0.51 |
18% |
Position 3-5 |
38 (33%) |
12 |
32 % |
62.98 |
-11.72 |
-0.31 |
-19% |
6+ (Undercard) |
41 (36%) |
21 |
51 % |
71.10 |
2.75 |
0.07 |
4% |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
13 (11%) |
7 |
54 % |
37.43 |
4.58 |
0.35 |
12% |
Light Heavy |
9 (8%) |
3 |
33 % |
21.40 |
2.01 |
0.22 |
9% |
Middleweight |
18 (16%) |
5 |
28 % |
32.10 |
-6.70 |
-0.37 |
-21% |
Welterweight |
14 (12%) |
7 |
50 % |
27.90 |
-1.58 |
-0.11 |
-6% |
Lightweight |
15 (13%) |
7 |
47 % |
36.78 |
17.98 |
1.20 |
49% |
Featherweight |
13 (11%) |
5 |
38 % |
28.90 |
5.63 |
0.43 |
19% |
Bantamweight |
10 (9%) |
6 |
60 % |
30.20 |
9.75 |
0.98 |
32% |
Flyweight |
5 (4%) |
3 |
60 % |
10.70 |
3.05 |
0.61 |
29% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
17 (15%) |
8 |
47 % |
34.80 |
-5.57 |
-0.33 |
-16% |
Bantamweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
13.00 |
-0.82 |
-0.14 |
-6% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
8.30 |
-3.62 |
-0.91 |
-44% |
Strawweight |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
13.50 |
-1.13 |
-0.16 |
-8% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
91 (93%) |
62 |
68 % |
Slight Favorites |
6 (6%) |
6 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
98 |
68 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
8 (15%) |
5 |
63 % |
50-65% |
24 (44%) |
13 |
54 % |
35-50% |
11 (20%) |
3 |
27 % |
<35% chance |
12 (22%) |
3 |
25 % |
|
55 |
24 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Chalk Talk MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
11.5 |
12.0 |
104% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,120.00 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
11.13 |
-11.1 |
-100% |
|
$11.20 |
$1,120.00 |
$995.34 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
15.3 |
-4.6 |
-30% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.34 |
$949.10 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
12.75 |
-5.5 |
-43% |
|
$9.49 |
$949.10 |
$896.90 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
20.07 |
-0.9 |
-5% |
|
$8.97 |
$896.90 |
$888.58 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
17.5 |
10.3 |
59% |
|
$8.89 |
$888.58 |
$979.97 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
6 |
2.9 |
48% |
|
$9.80 |
$979.97 |
$1,008.39 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
9.6 |
0.6 |
6% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,008.39 |
$1,014.03 |
5th May |
One Fight Night 10 |
5 |
2.7 |
53% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,014.03 |
$1,040.90 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
15.4 |
8.1 |
53% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.90 |
$1,125.72 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
12 |
-1.0 |
-8% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,125.72 |
$1,114.68 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.15 |
$1,114.68 |
$1,081.24 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
17 |
2.8 |
16% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,081.24 |
$1,111.14 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
9.5 |
-1.6 |
-17% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,111.14 |
$1,092.92 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,092.92 |
$1,071.06 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
10.7 |
-7.2 |
-67% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,071.06 |
$993.94 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
18.5 |
2.3 |
12% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.94 |
$1,016.40 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
9.2 |
-4.9 |
-53% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.40 |
$966.78 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
16.7 |
-5.3 |
-32% |
|
$9.67 |
$966.78 |
$915.89 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
25.2 |
12.2 |
48% |
$5 |
$9.16 |
$915.89 |
$1,022.41 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
14.4 |
-4.6 |
-32% |
$5 |
$10.22 |
$1,022.41 |
$970.57 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
$5 |
$9.71 |
$970.57 |
$989.83 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
19.76 |
8.5 |
43% |
$5 |
$9.90 |
$989.83 |
$1,069.09 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
15 |
-1.2 |
-8% |
$5 |
$10.69 |
$1,069.09 |
$1,051.15 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
8.68 |
2.9 |
34% |
$5 |
$10.51 |
$1,051.15 |
$1,077.05 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
18.8 |
-15.5 |
-83% |
$5 |
$10.77 |
$1,077.05 |
$904.67 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
6.2 |
-2.9 |
-47% |
|
$9.05 |
$904.67 |
$878.26 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
17.8 |
-1.9 |
-11% |
$5 |
$8.78 |
$878.26 |
$856.50 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
18.5 |
10.7 |
58% |
$5 |
$8.57 |
$856.50 |
$943.27 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
41 |
15.3 |
37% |
$5 |
$9.43 |
$943.27 |
$1,082.32 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
22.5 |
-0.9 |
-4% |
$5 |
$10.82 |
$1,082.32 |
$1,067.96 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
12 |
3.3 |
28% |
$5 |
$10.68 |
$1,067.96 |
$1,098.52 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Chalk Talk MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Rob Font |
2.10 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
John Castaneda |
Kyung Ho Kang |
1.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Steve Erceg |
Alessandro Costa |
1.52 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Lupita Godinez |
Tabatha Ricci |
1.59 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.86 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '23 |
Mike Breeden |
Anshul Jubli |
3.15 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:0) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '23 |
Sharabutdin Magomedov |
Bruno Silva |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '23 |
Montserrat Rendon |
Tamires Vidal |
3.10 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '23 |
Miles Johns |
Dan Argueta |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '23 |
Charles Jourdain |
Ricardo Ramos |
1.74 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:12) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '23 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.25 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '23 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Kevin Holland |
1.66 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '23 |
Daniel Zellhuber |
Christos Giagos |
1.42 |
3.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:26) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '23 |
Kevin Jousset |
Kiefer Crosbie |
1.63 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:49) |
|
|
16. |
Sep '23 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Thiago Moises |
1.66 |
4.18 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '23 |
Manon Fiorot |
Rose Namajunas |
1.56 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '23 |
Junior Tafa |
Parker Porter |
1.73 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:24) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '23 |
Sean O'Malley |
Aljamain Sterling |
3.10 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:51) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '23 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Polyana Viana |
1.50 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
1.95 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.25 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Dennis Buzukja |
Jamall Emmers |
3.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:49) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Mark O. Madsen |
Jared Gordon |
2.73 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Mackenzie Dern |
Jessica Andrade |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:15) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Sergey Pavlovich |
Tom Aspinall |
1.92 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '23 |
Abu Azaitar |
Sedriques Dumas |
3.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Sep '23 |
Andre Fialho |
Tim Means |
1.61 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Sep '23 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Tracy Cortez |
1.95 |
1.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '23 |
Eduardo Neves |
Jhonata Diniz |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:15) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Sep '23 |
A.J. Cunningham |
Steven Nguyen |
3.30 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Sep '23 |
Kasey Tanner |
Jean Matsumoto |
1.85 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '23 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Alexander Volkov |
3.15 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:37) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Sep '23 |
Sergey Spivak |
Ciryl Gane |
2.70 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Aug '23 |
Ryan Spann |
Anthony Smith |
1.80 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Aug '23 |
Taila Santos |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Aug '23 |
Chris Weidman |
Brad Tavares |
3.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Aug '23 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Marlon Vera |
2.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '23 |
Amanda Lemos |
Weili Zhang |
3.85 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Aug '23 |
Chidi Njokuani |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:16) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Chalk Talk MMA: Progress Chart |
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