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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bryce MMA

Bryce MMA (BryceMMA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	92 (43%)	Right	41 (50%)	Right	26 (38%)	Right	25 (38%)
Wrong	124 (57%)	Wrong	41 (50%)	Wrong	43 (62%)	Wrong	40 (62%)
Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	1.69	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	2.30
Units Bet	256.4	Units Bet	132.2	Units Bet	51.1	Units Bet	73.1
Avg Bet	1.19	Avg Bet	1.61	Avg Bet	0.74	Avg Bet	1.12
Units Profit	-38.32	Units Profit	-19.72	Units Profit	-11.63	Units Profit	-6.97
ROI %	-15%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	-23%	ROI %	-10%

Bryce MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3.1	-3.1	-100%			-3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	17.53	7.4	42%	2.1 / 11.58 (18%)		5.3 / 5.95 (89%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	23.9	5.2	22%	4.7 / 21.4 (22%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.5 / 1.5 (101%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	15.4	1.8	12%	-0.4 / 11.5 (-4%)	0.1 / 1.5 (6%)	2.1 / 2.4 (88%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	16.75	-3.3	-19%	-1.9 / 11.5 (-16%)	-1.0 / 2.25 (-44%)	-0.4 / 3 (-13%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	17	-6.2	-37%	0.3 / 8 (3%)	0.3 / 2.25 (11%)	-6.8 / 6.75 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	17.25	-4.6	-27%	-4.1 / 8 (-52%)	1.3 / 3 (44%)	-1.8 / 6.25 (-29%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	17.2	3.0	18%	-1.0 / 7.4 (-13%)	1.9 / 4.8 (40%)	2.1 / 5 (41%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	20.65	-4.1	-20%	1.5 / 6.4 (24%)	-1.7 / 8.8 (-19%)	-4.0 / 5.45 (-73%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	16	-5.5	-34%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-3.2 / 7.2 (-45%)	2.7 / 3.8 (72%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	20.83	-5.0	-24%	0.7 / 5.8 (13%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-0.7 / 10.03 (-7%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	12.9	2.7	21%	1.0 / 6 (17%)	0.5 / 3.4 (14%)	1.2 / 3.5 (36%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	15.9	-0.9	-5%	-4.9 / 7 (-70%)	1.0 / 3.9 (24%)	3.1 / 5 (62%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	20.4	-13.4	-66%	-4.0 / 11 (-37%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-4.4 / 4.4 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	14.58	-6.6	-45%	-4.9 / 6.6 (-74%)	0.2 / 3 (8%)	-1.9 / 4.98 (-38%)
4th Feb '23	Bellator 290	1	0.3	26%	0.3 / 1 (26%)

Winning Events: 6 (33%)
Losing Events: 12 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.90 units
Best Event: 7.38 units
Worst Event: -13.45 units
Average Event: -2.13 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 14.38
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -20.88

Bryce MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	9.1	-9.1	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		-5.1 / 5.1 (-100%)	/ 3 (0%)	-3.03
2023	247.29	-29.2	-12%	-15.7 / 128.18 (-12%)		-1.9 / 68.01 (-3%)	6 / 9 (40%)	-1.95

Bryce MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bryce MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	255.39	-38.6	-15%	-20.0 / 131.18 (-15%)	-11.6 / 51.1 (-23%)	-7.0 / 73.11 (-10%)
Bellator	1	0.3	26%	0.3 / 1 (26%)

Bryce MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	30 (36%)	19	63 %	58.80	0.12	0.00	0%
Slight Favorites	34 (41%)	13	38 %	48.48	-23.27	-0.68	-48%
Slight Underdogs	17 (20%)	8	47 %	23.50	3.55	0.21	15%
Big Underdogs	2 (2%)	1	50 %	1.40	-0.12	-0.06	-9%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (10%)	3	38 %	14.00	-5.99	-0.75	-43%
Co-Main Event	9 (11%)	5	56 %	17.23	1.71	0.19	10%
Position 3-5	21 (25%)	10	48 %	31.80	-4.34	-0.21	-14%
6+ (Undercard)	45 (54%)	23	51 %	69.15	-11.10	-0.25	-16%

Bryce MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (12%)	5	50 %	13.25	-0.16	-0.02	-1%
Light Heavy	5 (6%)	2	40 %	7.48	-1.18	-0.24	-16%
Middleweight	11 (13%)	6	55 %	22.00	-1.53	-0.14	-7%
Welterweight	10 (12%)	5	50 %	25.15	-1.95	-0.20	-8%
Lightweight	9 (11%)	6	67 %	12.00	0.04	0.00	0%
Featherweight	8 (10%)	2	25 %	8.25	-5.14	-0.64	-62%
Bantamweight	12 (14%)	3	25 %	15.50	-9.48	-0.79	-61%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	3	75 %	3.90	0.96	0.24	25%

Women's Fights	14 (17%)	9	64 %	24.65	-1.30	-0.09	-5%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.43	0.43	87%
Bantamweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	4.50	0.70	0.23	16%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	5.00	-3.39	-1.70	-68%
Strawweight	8 (10%)	5	63 %	14.65	0.95	0.12	7%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	118 (79%)	82	69 %
Slight Favorites	19 (13%)	12	63 %
Slight Underdogs	8 (5%)	7	88 %
Big Underdogs	5 (3%)	1	20 %
	150	102	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	35 (37%)	24	69 %
50-65%	31 (33%)	15	48 %
35-50%	6 (6%)	2	33 %
<35% chance	23 (24%)	2	9 %
	95	43	45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	20 (21%)	15	75 %	1.41	1.87	1.15	0.9 (5%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	25 (26%)	9	36 %	1.68	3.20	1.35	-9.7 (-39%)
Does not go to Decision	16 (17%)	9	56 %	1.42	1.67	1.15	-3.5 (-22%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.25	1.25	1.25	0.3 (25%)
X Wins by KO	2 (2%)	0	0 %	4.12	5.00	3.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (1%)	0	0 %	17.00	17.00	17.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (6%)	4	67 %	2.04	2.85	1.56	1.5 (25%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (4%)	1	25 %	3.23	11.00	1.36	-2.6 (-66%)
Others	20 (21%)	4	20 %	4.54	19.00	1.14	0.6 (3%)
	95	43	45 %	1.89			-15.5 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bryce MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Feb	Bellator 290	1	0.3	26%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,002.60
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	14.58	-6.6	-45%		$10.03	$1,002.60	$936.77
11th Feb	UFC 284	20.4	-13.4	-66%		$9.37	$936.77	$810.78
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	15.9	-0.9	-5%		$8.11	$810.78	$803.80
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	12.9	2.7	21%		$8.04	$803.80	$825.82
4th Mar	UFC 285	20.83	-5.0	-24%		$8.26	$825.82	$784.61
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	16	-5.5	-34%		$7.85	$784.61	$741.64
18th Mar	UFC 286	20.65	-4.1	-20%		$7.42	$741.64	$711.04
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	17.2	3.0	18%		$7.11	$711.04	$732.48
8th Apr	UFC 287	17.25	-4.6	-27%		$7.32	$732.48	$698.57
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	17	-6.2	-37%		$6.99	$698.57	$654.94
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	16.75	-3.3	-19%		$6.55	$654.94	$633.56
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	15.4	1.8	12%		$6.34	$633.56	$644.88
6th May	UFC 288	23.9	5.2	22%		$6.45	$644.88	$678.45
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	17.53	7.4	42%		$6.78	$678.45	$728.55
9th Mar	UFC 299	4	-4.0	-100%		$7.29	$728.55	$699.41
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	2	-2.0	-100%		$6.99	$699.41	$685.42
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3.1	-3.1	-100%		$6.85	$685.42	$664.18

ROI % from starting bank balance: -33.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bryce MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '23	Johnny Walker	Anthony Smith	1.88	2.23	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '23	Ian Garry	Daniel Rodriguez	1.33	6	TKO, R1 (2:57)
3.	May '23	Alex Morono	Tim Means	1.44	1	Sub, R2 (2:9)
4.	May '23	Yan Xiaonan	Jessica Andrade	2.59	1	TKO, R1 (2:20)
5.	May '23	Kalinn Williams	Rolando Bedoya	1.32	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '23	Ikram Aliskerov	Phil Hawes	1.48	4	TKO, R1 (2:10)
7.	May '23	Claudio Ribeiro	Joseph Holmes	1.51	4	TKO, R2 (3:21)
8.	May '23	Belal Muhammad	Gilbert Burns	2.09	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Apr '23	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '23	Yadong Song	Ricky Simon	2.05	1	TKO, R5 (1:10)
11.	Apr '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Hailey Cowan	1.91	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '23	Caio Borralho	Michal Oleksiejczuk	1.32	2	Sub, R2 (2:49)
13.	Apr '23	Martin Buday	Jake Collier	1.95	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Apr '23	Norma Dumont	Karol Rosa	1.87	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '23	Sergey Pavlovich	Curtis Blaydes	2.35	2	TKO, R1 (3:8)
16.	Apr '23	Iasmin Lucindo	Brogan Walker	1.32	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '23	Daniel Zellhuber	Lando Vannata	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Apr '23	Gaston Bolanos	Aaron Phillips	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '23	Denise Gomes	Bruna Brasil	2.47	2	TKO, R2 (2:42)
20.	Apr '23	Rob Font	Adrian Yanez	2.40	1	TKO, R1 (2:57)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	2.80	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '24	Yadong Song	Petr Yan	2.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '23	Cody Stamann	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '23	Gabriel Green	Bryan Battle	1.77	1.35	TKO, R1 (0:14)	No
5.	May '23	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Virna Jandiroba	1.72	2.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '23	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Virna Jandiroba	1.72	2.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '23	Josh Quinlan	Trey Waters	1.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '23	Julian Erosa	Fernando Padilla	1.67	1	TKO, R1 (1:41)	No
9.	Apr '23	Cody Brundage	Rodolfo Vieira	3.15	1	Sub, R2 (1:28)	No
10.	Apr '23	Danaa Batgerel	Brady Hiestand	1.69	2	TKO, R3 (4:21)	No
11.	Apr '23	Matt Semelsberger	Jeremiah Wells	1.91	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '23	Junior Tafa	Mohammed Usman	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '23	Lucie Pudilova	Joselyne Edwards	1.67	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '23	Dustin Jacoby	Azamat Murzakanov	1.61	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '23	Tanner Boser	Ion Cutelaba	2.05	0.25	TKO, R1 (2:5)	No
16.	Apr '23	T.J. Brown	Bill Algeo	2.45	0.25	Sub, R2 (1:40)	No
17.	Apr '23	Piera Rodriguez	Gillian Robertson	1.91	0.25	Sub, R2 (4:21)	Yes
18.	Apr '23	Matheus Nicolau	Brandon Royval	1.53	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:9)	No
19.	Apr '23	Chris Gutierrez	Pedro Munhoz	1.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Apr '23	Alex Pereira	Israel Adesanya	2.27	2	TKO, R2 (4:21)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bryce MMA: Progress Chart

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