|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Joel MMA |
|
Joel MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 28 (54%) Losing Events: 24 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.07 units Most Staked On One Event: 31.45 units Best Event: 7.38 units Worst Event: -15.14 units Average Event: 0.37 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.07 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.14 |
Joel MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
419.46 |
19.2 |
5% |
10.2 / 212.49 (5%) |
|
-4.0 / 74.6 (-5%) |
28 / 24 (54%) |
0.37 |
|
Joel MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Joel MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
403.01 |
18.4 |
5% |
6.5 / 203.74 (3%) |
15.9 / 124.67 (13%) |
-4.0 / 74.6 (-5%) |
Other |
16.45 |
0.8 |
5% |
3.7 / 8.75 (42%) |
-2.9 / 7.7 (-38%) |
|
|
Joel MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
23 (14%) |
16 |
70 % |
68.38 |
3.93 |
0.17 |
6% |
Slight Favorites |
63 (37%) |
38 |
60 % |
83.96 |
9.27 |
0.15 |
11% |
Slight Underdogs |
54 (32%) |
21 |
39 % |
43.90 |
-7.08 |
-0.13 |
-16% |
Big Underdogs |
30 (18%) |
9 |
30 % |
16.25 |
4.13 |
0.14 |
25% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
23 (14%) |
12 |
52 % |
34.25 |
3.08 |
0.13 |
9% |
Co-Main Event |
23 (14%) |
11 |
48 % |
28.10 |
2.36 |
0.10 |
8% |
Position 3-5 |
50 (29%) |
18 |
36 % |
55.73 |
-6.97 |
-0.14 |
-13% |
6+ (Undercard) |
74 (44%) |
43 |
58 % |
94.41 |
11.78 |
0.16 |
12% |
|
Joel MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
11 (6%) |
4 |
36 % |
10.75 |
-1.47 |
-0.13 |
-14% |
Light Heavy |
13 (8%) |
5 |
38 % |
13.00 |
-3.97 |
-0.31 |
-31% |
Middleweight |
23 (14%) |
11 |
48 % |
31.75 |
5.68 |
0.25 |
18% |
Welterweight |
16 (9%) |
9 |
56 % |
20.13 |
8.08 |
0.50 |
40% |
Lightweight |
25 (15%) |
15 |
60 % |
46.00 |
2.15 |
0.09 |
5% |
Featherweight |
24 (14%) |
11 |
46 % |
21.25 |
-0.56 |
-0.02 |
-3% |
Bantamweight |
17 (10%) |
8 |
47 % |
23.00 |
-0.69 |
-0.04 |
-3% |
Flyweight |
10 (6%) |
5 |
50 % |
9.75 |
1.43 |
0.14 |
15% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
31 (18%) |
16 |
52 % |
36.86 |
-0.40 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.63 |
0.63 |
125% |
Bantamweight |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
5.48 |
-0.88 |
-0.15 |
-16% |
Flyweight |
10 (6%) |
4 |
40 % |
10.75 |
-3.22 |
-0.32 |
-30% |
Strawweight |
14 (8%) |
8 |
57 % |
20.13 |
3.07 |
0.22 |
15% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
72 (92%) |
52 |
72 % |
Slight Favorites |
6 (8%) |
5 |
83 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
78 |
57 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
35 (9%) |
24 |
69 % |
50-65% |
54 (15%) |
32 |
59 % |
35-50% |
51 (14%) |
16 |
31 % |
<35% chance |
232 (62%) |
44 |
19 % |
|
372 |
116 |
31 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Joel MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
6.25 |
-0.4 |
-7% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$995.65 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
4.5 |
-0.6 |
-14% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.65 |
$989.24 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
13.5 |
-0.6 |
-5% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.24 |
$982.88 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
5.5 |
-1.7 |
-30% |
|
$9.83 |
$982.88 |
$966.66 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
3.65 |
3.5 |
96% |
|
$9.67 |
$966.66 |
$1,000.49 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
8.3 |
1.7 |
20% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.49 |
$1,016.99 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
4 |
-2.8 |
-69% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,016.99 |
$989.03 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
7.55 |
3.0 |
40% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.03 |
$1,019.15 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
4.1 |
-3.0 |
-74% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.15 |
$988.20 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
8.45 |
0.6 |
7% |
|
$9.88 |
$988.20 |
$993.97 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
9.8 |
2.0 |
21% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.97 |
$1,014.05 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
8.8 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,014.05 |
$1,009.75 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
4.3 |
2.3 |
54% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,009.75 |
$1,033.34 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
10.35 |
-2.3 |
-23% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,033.34 |
$1,009.11 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
4.25 |
4.0 |
93% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,009.11 |
$1,049.13 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
11.9 |
4.0 |
34% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.13 |
$1,090.97 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
9.75 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.97 |
$1,090.75 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
10.9 |
2.3 |
21% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.75 |
$1,116.05 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
11.25 |
2.6 |
23% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,116.05 |
$1,144.75 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
11.1 |
-3.9 |
-35% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,144.75 |
$1,100.48 |
1st Jul |
Cage Warriors 156 |
1 |
0.7 |
70% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,100.48 |
$1,108.17 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
16.75 |
-15.1 |
-90% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,108.17 |
$940.36 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
12.8 |
4.7 |
37% |
|
$9.40 |
$940.36 |
$984.75 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
7.75 |
-1.2 |
-16% |
|
$9.85 |
$984.75 |
$972.61 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
17.7 |
4.9 |
27% |
|
$9.73 |
$972.61 |
$1,019.90 |
29th Jul |
Cage Warriors 158 |
1 |
1.0 |
100% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,019.90 |
$1,030.10 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
13.35 |
2.2 |
17% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,030.10 |
$1,052.85 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
9.85 |
-4.0 |
-40% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,052.85 |
$1,011.09 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
34% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.09 |
$1,018.67 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
11.7 |
2.4 |
21% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.67 |
$1,043.63 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
2.05 |
-1.0 |
-51% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,043.63 |
$1,032.75 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
21.1 |
0.1 |
0% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.75 |
$1,033.54 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
2 |
0.9 |
43% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,033.54 |
$1,042.50 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
7.35 |
2.8 |
38% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,042.50 |
$1,071.35 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,071.35 |
$1,068.67 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
8.59 |
2.4 |
28% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.67 |
$1,094.41 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
0.75 |
0.1 |
8% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,094.41 |
$1,095.09 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
8.45 |
2.8 |
33% |
|
$10.95 |
$1,095.09 |
$1,125.61 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,125.61 |
$1,114.35 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
7.95 |
3.2 |
40% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,114.35 |
$1,149.73 |
19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
1 |
0.5 |
52% |
|
$11.50 |
$1,149.73 |
$1,155.77 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
10.75 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,155.77 |
$1,147.07 |
26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
1.2 |
-1.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.47 |
$1,147.07 |
$1,133.31 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
1.25 |
1.8 |
144% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,133.31 |
$1,153.70 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
6.5 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
|
$11.54 |
$1,153.70 |
$1,153.27 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
2.75 |
-1.4 |
-52% |
|
$11.53 |
$1,153.27 |
$1,136.84 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
8.98 |
-2.6 |
-29% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,136.84 |
$1,107.54 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
31.45 |
7.4 |
23% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,107.54 |
$1,189.31 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
3.85 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
|
$11.89 |
$1,189.31 |
$1,187.13 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
17.73 |
7.1 |
40% |
|
$11.87 |
$1,187.13 |
$1,271.65 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
12.28 |
-1.5 |
-12% |
|
$12.72 |
$1,271.65 |
$1,253.01 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
9.93 |
-6.4 |
-64% |
|
$12.53 |
$1,253.01 |
$1,173.29 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Joel MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Myktybek Orolbai |
Uros Medic |
1.72 |
1.38 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Jose Johnson |
Chad Anheliger |
1.50 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (4:49) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Amanda Ribas |
Luana Pinheiro |
1.44 |
2.25 |
TKO, R3 (3:53) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Jared Gordon |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.57 |
1.75 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
John Castaneda |
Kyung Ho Kang |
1.91 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Nov '23 |
John Castaneda |
Kyung Ho Kang |
1.91 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '23 |
Mike Breeden |
Anshul Jubli |
3.50 |
0.75 |
TKO, R3 (3:0) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '23 |
Trevor Peek |
Mohammad Yahya |
1.91 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Adrian Yanez |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Khamzat Chimaev |
Kamaru Usman |
1.36 |
5.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '23 |
Marquel Mederos |
Issa Isakov |
2.65 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:9) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '23 |
Viktoriya Dudakova |
Jinh Yu Frey |
1.36 |
2.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Oct '23 |
Melissa Dixon |
Irina Alekseeva |
1.70 |
1.43 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '23 |
Bobby Green |
Grant Dawson |
4.80 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
|
|
17. |
Oct '23 |
Rodolfo Bellato |
Murtaza Talha Ali |
3.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:46) |
|
|
18. |
Oct '23 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Raimond Magomedaliev |
2.85 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (4:45) |
|
|
19. |
Oct '23 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
Diana Belbita |
1.63 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Oct '23 |
Edson Barboza |
Sodiq Yusuff |
2.63 |
0.75 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.40 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.00 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Nick Aguirre |
Payton Talbott |
6.50 |
0.25 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Jonathan Pearce |
Joanderson Brito |
1.80 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (3:54) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '23 |
Mackenzie Dern |
Jessica Andrade |
1.53 |
1.88 |
TKO, R2 (3:15) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Nov '23 |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
Caio Borralho |
3.60 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '23 |
Warlley Alves |
Ikram Aliskerov |
5.75 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:7) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Abu Azaitar |
Sedriques Dumas |
2.90 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Andre Petroski |
Michel Pereira |
2.75 |
0.75 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Oct '23 |
Heili Alateng |
Chris Gutierrez |
4.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '23 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Christian Rodriguez |
2.25 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '23 |
Rick Glenn |
Drew Dober |
4.50 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '23 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Bill Algeo |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '23 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
Joe Pyfer |
4.50 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:5) |
Yes |
|
|
18. |
Sep '23 |
Jhonata Silva |
Igor da Silva |
2.60 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:37) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Sep '23 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Mateusz Gamrot |
1.72 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Sep '23 |
A.J. Fletcher |
Bryan Battle |
2.88 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:32) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Joel MMA: Progress Chart |
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