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MMA Handicapper Stats: VDL MMA

VDL MMA (VDLMMA)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - VDL MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 146 (39%) Right 63 (49%) Right 54 (31%) Right 29 (43%)
Wrong 226 (61%) Wrong 65 (51%) Wrong 122 (69%) Wrong 39 (57%)
Avg Odds 2.73 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 3.57 Avg Odds 2.74
Units Bet 620.1 Units Bet 288.0 Units Bet 156.2 Units Bet 175.9
Avg Bet 1.67 Avg Bet 2.25 Avg Bet 0.89 Avg Bet 2.59
Units Profit -13.93 Units Profit -18.18 Units Profit 7.02 Units Profit -2.77
ROI % -2% ROI % -6% ROI % 4% ROI % -2%
View Handicapper's Profile

VDL MMA: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 17 -17.0 -100% -13.0 / 13 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 11 3.2 29% 3.2 / 11 (29%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 14.8 -5.0 -34% -0.4 / 3.8 (-11%) -4.6 / 11 (-42%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 32.3 1.0 3% 0.6 / 16 (3%) -4.5 / 11.3 (-40%) 4.9 / 5 (98%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 33.85 1.3 4% 2.6 / 4.5 (58%) -2.6 / 22.85 (-11%) 1.3 / 6.5 (20%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 23.25 -5.9 -25% 1.8 / 13.5 (14%) -4.8 / 6.75 (-70%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 12 9.4 79% 5.5 / 8 (69%) 3.9 / 4 (97%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 23.7 -6.2 -26% -7.3 / 12.5 (-59%) 1.0 / 5.7 (18%) 0.1 / 5.5 (2%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 22.1 -13.7 -62% -7.3 / 12 (-61%) -0.4 / 4.1 (-10%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 17 -0.3 -2% -3.2 / 8 (-40%) -0.5 / 5 (-11%) 3.5 / 4 (87%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 11.9 3.6 30% -2.1 / 4.8 (-43%) 2.0 / 2.6 (77%) 3.6 / 4.5 (81%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 20 9.0 45% 3.2 / 15 (21%) 5.9 / 5 (117%)
31st Dec '23 Rizin 45 16.81 -6.2 -37% -3.0 / 13.56 (-22%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 19.25 3.8 20% 0.3 / 13.5 (2%) 0.6 / 2 (29%) 2.9 / 3.75 (78%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 17 6.1 36% 0.3 / 7.3 (4%) -0.0 / 4.7 (-1%) 5.8 / 5 (117%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 20.7 2.7 13% 5.9 / 13.5 (44%) -0.2 / 4.2 (-4%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 13.5 5.7 42% 3.3 / 8.5 (38%) 2.4 / 5 (49%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 16.9 -0.2 -1% -3.1 / 13 (-24%) 2.9 / 3.9 (75%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 20.5 10.3 50% 7.8 / 11 (71%) 1.6 / 6.5 (25%) 0.9 / 3 (31%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 14.5 -10.5 -72% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -2.5 / 6.5 (-38%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 24.5 3.8 16% 2.2 / 6.5 (34%) 3.6 / 16 (23%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 12.5 -6.5 -52% -4.3 / 9 (-47%) -2.2 / 3.5 (-64%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 13 0.1 1% 0.1 / 13 (1%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 22.92 -4.4 -19% -6.9 / 10.92 (-63%) -0.7 / 8 (-9%) 3.3 / 4 (82%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 25.3 9.5 38% 3.6 / 8 (45%) 10.9 / 12.3 (88%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Jun '23 PFL 4: Regular Season 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 12.65 -9.5 -75% -9.3 / 9.25 (-100%) 0.8 / 2.4 (33%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 27 15.5 58% 0.8 / 3 (25%) 1.1 / 1 (110%) 13.7 / 23 (59%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 10 -0.7 -7% 2.3 / 7 (34%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 10.5 1.0 9% 2.2 / 4 (54%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 1.3 / 4 (33%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 13.4 -7.4 -55% -5.4 / 7 (-77%) -2.0 / 6.4 (-32%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 19.43 3.5 18% 0.6 / 1.43 (40%) 10.0 / 6.5 (154%) -7.1 / 11.5 (-62%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 11.9 4.5 38% 0.4 / 0.5 (80%) 0.8 / 1.9 (43%) 3.3 / 9.5 (34%)
25th Feb '23 Bellator 291 2.5 -0.3 -14% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.2 / 2 (8%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 19.8 -11.2 -57% 1.1 / 1 (110%) -5.3 / 11.8 (-45%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 8.8 -1.0 -11% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 4.5 / 3.3 (136%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 12.7 5.9 46% 0.9 / 8.2 (12%) 4.9 / 4.5 (110%)


Winning Events: 19 (50%)
Losing Events: 19 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.85 units
Best Event: 15.53 units
Worst Event: -17.00 units
Average Event: -0.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 18.28
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -20.15

VDL MMA: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 238.9 -20.5 -9% -16.0 / 118.3 (-13%) 6.6 / 57.5 (11%) 6 / 6 (50%) -1.71
2023 394.06 6.6 2% -2.2 / 169.66 (-1%) -9.4 / 118.4 (-8%) 13 / 13 (50%) 0.25

VDL MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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VDL MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 583.15 -17.5 -3% -23.5 / 257.4 (-9%) 6.9 / 167.1 (4%) -0.8 / 158.65 (-1%)
Bellator 2.5 -0.3 -14% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.2 / 2 (8%)
PFL 30.5 10.1 33% 8.8 / 16.5 (53%) 1.3 / 14 (9%)
Other 16.81 -6.2 -37% -3.0 / 13.56 (-22%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)

VDL MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 21 (16%) 14 67 % 73.68 -5.09 -0.24 -7%
Slight Favorites 34 (26%) 19 56 % 84.00 -2.87 -0.08 -3%
Slight Underdogs 54 (41%) 24 44 % 98.00 -0.49 -0.01 -1%
Big Underdogs 24 (18%) 7 29 % 32.28 -9.73 -0.41 -30%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 25 (19%) 8 32 % 55.75 -20.71 -0.83 -37%
Co-Main Event 14 (11%) 9 64 % 30.50 6.49 0.46 21%
Position 3-5 34 (26%) 16 47 % 78.47 -7.89 -0.23 -10%
6+ (Undercard) 60 (45%) 31 52 % 123.24 3.93 0.07 3%

VDL MMA: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (7%) 7 78 % 16.50 11.76 1.31 71%
Light Heavy 5 (4%) 1 20 % 9.00 -5.20 -1.04 -58%
Middleweight 20 (15%) 7 35 % 43.85 -13.01 -0.65 -30%
Welterweight 15 (11%) 9 60 % 31.00 0.75 0.05 2%
Lightweight 23 (17%) 10 43 % 49.75 0.21 0.01 0%
Featherweight 14 (11%) 6 43 % 33.80 -6.99 -0.50 -21%
Bantamweight 16 (12%) 8 50 % 37.50 -2.18 -0.14 -6%
Flyweight 14 (11%) 8 57 % 32.56 4.18 0.30 13%
               
Women's Fights 17 (13%) 8 47 % 34.00 -7.70 -0.45 -23%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 3.50 -1.00 -0.50 -29%
Flyweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 9.50 -1.55 -0.31 -16%
Strawweight 10 (8%) 4 40 % 21.00 -5.15 -0.52 -25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 84 (82%) 65 77 %
Slight Favorites 15 (15%) 12 80 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (3%) 3 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
102 80 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 92 (30%) 68 74 %
50-65% 39 (13%) 19 49 %
35-50% 51 (16%) 22 43 %
<35% chance 128 (41%) 26 20 %
310 135 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 91 (29%) 66 73 % 1.49 3.10Pick was incorrect 1.14Pick was incorrect 9.3 (10%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 43 (14%) 20 47 % 1.54 3.75Pick was incorrect 1.12Pick was correct -10.5 (-25%)
Does not go to Decision 8 (3%) 5 63 % 1.46 2.21Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct -1.1 (-14%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.81 2.42Pick was correct 1.45Pick was incorrect 1.9 (94%)
X Wins by KO 13 (4%) 3 23 % 4.30 9.50Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was correct -1.9 (-14%)
X Wins by Sub 23 (7%) 3 13 % 5.15 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was incorrect -9.0 (-39%)
X Wins by Decision 34 (11%) 12 35 % 3.36 9.50Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 9.3 (27%)
X Wins Inside Distance 21 (7%) 9 43 % 2.81 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct 1.8 (9%)
X Wins in Round X 26 (8%) 4 15 % 5.73 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -9.7 (-37%)
Others 49 (16%) 11 22 % 3.69 66.01Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was incorrect 18.3 (37%)
310 135 44 % 2.24     8.4 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail VDL MMA's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Jan UFC 283 12.7 5.9 46% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,058.73
11th Feb UFC 284 8.8 -1.0 -11% $10.59 $1,058.73 $1,048.15
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 19.8 -11.2 -57% $10.48 $1,048.15 $930.39
25th Feb Bellator 291 2.5 -0.3 -14% $9.30 $930.39 $927.13
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 11.9 4.5 38% $9.27 $927.13 $968.69
4th Mar UFC 285 19.43 3.5 18% $9.69 $968.69 $1,002.27
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 13.4 -7.4 -55% $10.02 $1,002.27 $928.08
18th Mar UFC 286 3 -3.0 -100% $9.28 $928.08 $900.23
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 10.5 1.0 9% $9.00 $900.23 $908.91
6th May UFC 288 10 -0.7 -7% $9.09 $908.91 $903.00
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 27 15.5 58% $9.03 $903.00 $1,043.23
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 12.65 -9.5 -75% $10.43 $1,043.23 $944.64
8th Jun PFL 4: Regular Season 5 -5.0 -100% $9.45 $944.64 $897.41
10th Jun UFC 289 25.3 9.5 38% $8.97 $897.41 $982.57
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 22.92 -4.4 -19% $9.83 $982.57 $939.49
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 13 0.1 1% $9.39 $939.49 $940.85
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 12.5 -6.5 -52% $9.41 $940.85 $879.84
21st Oct UFC 294 24.5 3.8 16% $8.80 $879.84 $913.58
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 14.5 -10.5 -72% $9.14 $913.58 $817.66
11th Nov UFC 295 20.5 10.3 50% $8.18 $817.66 $902.05
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 16.9 -0.2 -1% $9.02 $902.05 $900.61
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 13.5 5.7 42% $9.01 $900.61 $951.80
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 20.7 2.7 13% $9.52 $951.80 $977.88
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 17 6.1 36% $9.78 $977.88 $1,037.38
16th Dec UFC 296 19.25 3.8 20% $10.37 $1,037.38 $1,076.55
31st Dec Rizin 45 16.81 -6.2 -37% $10.77 $1,076.55 $1,009.70
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 20 9.0 45% $10.10 $1,009.70 $1,101.05
20th Jan UFC 297 11.9 3.6 30% $11.01 $1,101.05 $1,140.27
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 17 -0.3 -2% $11.40 $1,140.27 $1,137.22
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 22.1 -13.7 -62% $11.37 $1,137.22 $981.65
17th Feb UFC 298 23.7 -6.2 -26% $9.82 $981.65 $920.80
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 12 9.4 79% $9.21 $920.80 $1,007.68
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 23.25 -5.9 -25% $10.08 $1,007.68 $947.98
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 33.85 1.3 4% $9.48 $947.98 $960.34
9th Mar UFC 299 32.3 1.0 3% $9.60 $960.34 $969.68
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 14.8 -5.0 -34% $9.70 $969.68 $921.30
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 11 3.2 29% $9.21 $921.30 $951.15
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 17 -17.0 -100% $9.51 $951.15 $789.45


ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

VDL MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '24 Payton Talbott Cameron Saaiman 1.90 5 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Rose Namajunas Amanda Ribas 1.58 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Michael Page Kevin Holland 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.72 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.40 3 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Aiemann Zahabi Javid Basharat 5.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.30 2 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '24 Jesus Santos Aguilar Mateus Mendonca 2.25 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '24 Manuel Torres Chris Duncan (2) 1.70 3 Sub, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '24 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 2.30 2 Sub, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 A.J. McKee Clay Collard 1.36 4 Sub, R1 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Yoel Romero Thiago Santos 1.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Renan Ferreira Ryan Bader 2.15 2 TKO, R1 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Amanda Lemos Mackenzie Dern 1.72 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Dan Ige Andre Fili 1.57 3 TKO, R1 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Jamal Pogues Thomas Petersen 2.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '24 Neil Magny Mike Malott 3.40 0.8 TKO, R3 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '24 Joshua Van Felipe Bunes 1.47 4 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '23 Kyoji Horiguchi Makoto Takahashi 1.40 4 Sub, R2 (3:44) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Brunno Ferreira Phil Hawes 2.00 3 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '24 Bill Algeo Kyle Nelson 1.50 3 TKO, R1 (4:0) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Andre Petroski Jacob Malkoun 2.70 2 TKO, R2 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Lupita Godinez Virna Jandiroba 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Jamall Emmers Nate Landwehr 1.53 5 TKO, R1 (4:43) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Cody Gibson Miles Johns 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.00 3 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Bernardo Sopai Vinicius de Oliveira 2.10 2 TKO, R3 (4:41) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '24 Denys Bondar Luis Rodriguez 2.00 2 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 Daniel Lacerda Edgar Chairez 3.75 1 Sub, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Brandon Moreno Brandon Royval 1.40 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Valentine Woodburn Oban Elliott 3.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Brendson Ribeiro Mingyang Zhang 2.20 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Alex Volkanovski Ilia Topuria 1.90 5 TKO, R2 (3:32) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Armen Petrosyan Rodolfo Vieira 2.01 2 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Darrius Flowers Michael Johnson 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Joe Pyfer Jack Hermansson 1.44 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Julija Stoliarenko Luana Carolina 1.72 3 TKO, R3 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Roman Dolidze Nassourdine Imavov 2.40 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

VDL MMA: Progress Chart
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