|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Lukas Holland |
|
Lukas Holland: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 21 (42%) Losing Events: 29 (58%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.43 units Most Staked On One Event: 16.25 units Best Event: 9.71 units Worst Event: -6.75 units Average Event: 0.04 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.42 Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -17.01 |
Lukas Holland: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
87.105 |
11.9 |
14% |
2.4 / 30.48 (8%) |
|
1.2 / 9.5 (13%) |
7 / 6 (54%) |
0.92 |
2023 |
234.35 |
-9.7 |
-4% |
-12.5 / 103.2 (-12%) |
|
0.1 / 15.75 (1%) |
14 / 23 (38%) |
-0.26 |
|
Lukas Holland: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Lukas Holland: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
321.455 |
2.2 |
1% |
-10.1 / 133.68 (-8%) |
11.0 / 162.525 (7%) |
1.3 / 25.25 (5%) |
|
Lukas Holland: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
8 (6%) |
7 |
88 % |
13.15 |
4.55 |
0.57 |
35% |
Slight Favorites |
41 (31%) |
21 |
51 % |
56.53 |
-7.96 |
-0.19 |
-14% |
Slight Underdogs |
51 (39%) |
20 |
39 % |
45.50 |
1.23 |
0.02 |
3% |
Big Underdogs |
32 (24%) |
6 |
19 % |
18.50 |
-7.90 |
-0.25 |
-43% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (13%) |
6 |
35 % |
20.45 |
-4.48 |
-0.26 |
-22% |
Co-Main Event |
20 (15%) |
10 |
50 % |
26.00 |
-1.06 |
-0.05 |
-4% |
Position 3-5 |
34 (26%) |
10 |
29 % |
32.08 |
-6.65 |
-0.20 |
-21% |
6+ (Undercard) |
61 (46%) |
28 |
46 % |
55.15 |
2.11 |
0.03 |
4% |
|
Lukas Holland: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
7.90 |
-0.86 |
-0.14 |
-11% |
Light Heavy |
11 (8%) |
4 |
36 % |
14.50 |
-4.42 |
-0.40 |
-31% |
Middleweight |
11 (8%) |
3 |
27 % |
9.80 |
-5.01 |
-0.46 |
-51% |
Welterweight |
23 (17%) |
8 |
35 % |
23.00 |
-4.48 |
-0.19 |
-19% |
Lightweight |
20 (15%) |
7 |
35 % |
21.65 |
-2.63 |
-0.13 |
-12% |
Featherweight |
17 (13%) |
9 |
53 % |
17.25 |
1.43 |
0.08 |
8% |
Bantamweight |
18 (14%) |
6 |
33 % |
16.58 |
-2.44 |
-0.14 |
-15% |
Flyweight |
12 (9%) |
8 |
67 % |
9.75 |
8.72 |
0.73 |
89% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
14 (11%) |
6 |
43 % |
13.25 |
-0.39 |
-0.03 |
-3% |
Bantamweight |
5 (4%) |
2 |
40 % |
4.25 |
-0.65 |
-0.13 |
-15% |
Flyweight |
5 (4%) |
3 |
60 % |
5.00 |
2.45 |
0.49 |
49% |
Strawweight |
4 (3%) |
1 |
25 % |
4.00 |
-2.18 |
-0.55 |
-55% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
28 (49%) |
22 |
79 % |
Slight Favorites |
20 (35%) |
13 |
65 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (12%) |
3 |
43 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
57 |
38 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
11 (4%) |
10 |
91 % |
50-65% |
49 (19%) |
26 |
53 % |
35-50% |
70 (27%) |
20 |
29 % |
<35% chance |
133 (51%) |
26 |
20 % |
|
263 |
82 |
31 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Lukas Holland's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
4 |
-0.6 |
-16% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$993.79 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
2 |
2.1 |
105% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.79 |
$1,014.66 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
1.75 |
-0.2 |
-10% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.66 |
$1,012.85 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
3 |
3.4 |
114% |
|
$10.13 |
$1,012.85 |
$1,047.64 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
4 |
1.6 |
39% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,047.64 |
$1,064.14 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
7 |
-0.9 |
-13% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.14 |
$1,054.53 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
6.5 |
-5.1 |
-78% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,054.53 |
$1,001.01 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
8 |
-2.9 |
-36% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.01 |
$972.12 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
7.8 |
4.9 |
63% |
|
$9.72 |
$972.12 |
$1,020.00 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
4.75 |
-0.3 |
-6% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.00 |
$1,017.14 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
4.5 |
-0.4 |
-9% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,017.14 |
$1,013.07 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
4.5 |
-1.9 |
-41% |
|
$10.13 |
$1,013.07 |
$994.28 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
12 |
-2.3 |
-19% |
|
$9.94 |
$994.28 |
$971.46 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
6.75 |
7.5 |
111% |
|
$9.71 |
$971.46 |
$1,044.39 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
2.75 |
0.4 |
13% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.39 |
$1,048.20 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
6.75 |
-6.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,048.20 |
$977.44 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
5.75 |
0.8 |
15% |
|
$9.77 |
$977.44 |
$985.67 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
4 |
1.6 |
41% |
|
$9.86 |
$985.67 |
$1,001.85 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
3.25 |
2.0 |
62% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.85 |
$1,021.89 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
8.5 |
-1.1 |
-12% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,021.89 |
$1,011.05 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
11.4 |
9.7 |
85% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.05 |
$1,109.18 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
4 |
-1.7 |
-42% |
|
$11.09 |
$1,109.18 |
$1,090.33 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5 |
0.3 |
6% |
|
$10.90 |
$1,090.33 |
$1,093.70 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
16.25 |
-1.6 |
-10% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.70 |
$1,076.74 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
7.75 |
0.7 |
10% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.74 |
$1,084.67 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
11.5 |
-6.4 |
-56% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.67 |
$1,014.90 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
7.25 |
1.3 |
17% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.90 |
$1,027.72 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
6.25 |
-4.2 |
-67% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.72 |
$984.55 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
5 |
-1.9 |
-37% |
|
$9.85 |
$984.55 |
$966.19 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
5.75 |
-1.3 |
-23% |
|
$9.66 |
$966.19 |
$953.14 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
9.9 |
-1.9 |
-19% |
|
$9.53 |
$953.14 |
$935.27 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
5 |
-2.7 |
-54% |
|
$9.35 |
$935.27 |
$909.88 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10 |
-3.2 |
-32% |
|
$9.10 |
$909.88 |
$880.96 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
5 |
-1.8 |
-36% |
|
$8.81 |
$880.96 |
$864.90 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
7.75 |
5.8 |
75% |
|
$8.65 |
$864.90 |
$915.29 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
4.5 |
-2.0 |
-44% |
|
$9.15 |
$915.29 |
$896.98 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
4.5 |
-0.9 |
-21% |
|
$8.97 |
$896.98 |
$888.46 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
4.75 |
-0.8 |
-16% |
|
$8.88 |
$888.46 |
$881.80 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
87% |
|
$8.82 |
$881.80 |
$939.52 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
2.75 |
2.1 |
76% |
|
$9.40 |
$939.52 |
$959.25 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
3 |
1.8 |
59% |
|
$9.59 |
$959.25 |
$976.23 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
10.75 |
-4.0 |
-38% |
|
$9.76 |
$976.23 |
$936.84 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
4.75 |
-1.4 |
-28% |
|
$9.37 |
$936.84 |
$924.19 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
2.5 |
-1.3 |
-53% |
|
$9.24 |
$924.19 |
$912.06 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
9.375 |
0.9 |
10% |
|
$9.12 |
$912.06 |
$920.36 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
5.75 |
-1.8 |
-31% |
|
$9.20 |
$920.36 |
$903.94 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
6.73 |
5.7 |
85% |
|
$9.04 |
$903.94 |
$955.47 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
7.25 |
2.7 |
38% |
|
$9.55 |
$955.47 |
$981.61 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
6.25 |
-0.4 |
-7% |
|
$9.82 |
$981.61 |
$977.44 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
15.75 |
1.8 |
12% |
|
$9.77 |
$977.44 |
$995.29 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Lukas Holland: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.02 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.76 |
1.5 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Nora Cornolle |
Melissa Dixon |
3.80 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (3:6) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Kyle Nelson |
Bill Algeo |
3.05 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Julian Erosa |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.55 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:15) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.63 |
1.58 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Parkin |
Mohammed Usman |
1.71 |
1.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Maycee Barber |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.52 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Feb '24 |
Brandon Royval |
Brandon Moreno |
3.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Feb '24 |
Amanda Lemos |
Mackenzie Dern |
1.82 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Feb '24 |
Max Griffin |
Jeremiah Wells |
2.30 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Charles Johnson |
Azat Maksum |
3.10 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Jan '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Sean Strickland |
1.93 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Jan '24 |
Sean Woodson |
Charles Jourdain |
2.74 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jan '24 |
Jimmy Flick |
Malcolm Gordon |
2.75 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
|
|
17. |
Dec '23 |
Josh Emmett |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.95 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:57) |
|
|
18. |
Dec '23 |
Jalin Turner |
Bobby Green |
1.62 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
|
|
19. |
Dec '23 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Rob Font |
2.10 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '23 |
John Castaneda |
Kyung Ho Kang |
1.77 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.60 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Holly Holm |
Kayla Harrison |
4.45 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:47) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.90 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.45 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Norma Dumont |
2.05 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
2.75 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Kurt Holobaugh |
Trey Ogden |
2.33 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Yadong Song |
Petr Yan |
2.22 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Marlon Vera |
Sean O'Malley |
3.11 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Gilbert Burns |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Feb '24 |
Francisco Prado |
Daniel Zellhuber |
3.50 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
4.90 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Ilia Topuria |
1.80 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Paulo Costa |
Robert Whittaker |
2.96 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Valentine Woodburn |
Oban Elliott |
3.58 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Geoff Neal |
Ian Garry |
2.99 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Andre Fili |
Dan Ige |
2.60 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Bruna Brasil |
Loma Lookboonmee |
3.51 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Pete Rodriguez |
Themba Gorimbo |
2.95 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Lukas Holland: Progress Chart |
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