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MMA Handicapper Stats: Shawn Bolen

Shawn Bolen (SBolenBets)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	67 (48%)	Right	39 (52%)	Right	15 (50%)	Right	13 (36%)
Wrong	74 (52%)	Wrong	36 (48%)	Wrong	15 (50%)	Wrong	23 (64%)
Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	2.13	Avg Odds	2.49	Avg Odds	2.21
Units Bet	156.3	Units Bet	86.6	Units Bet	28.2	Units Bet	41.6
Avg Bet	1.11	Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	0.94	Avg Bet	1.16
Units Profit	2.96	Units Profit	5.52	Units Profit	5.45	Units Profit	-8.00
ROI %	2%	ROI %	6%	ROI %	19%	ROI %	-19%

Shawn Bolen: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	4.5	-0.7	-15%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	1.8 / 2 (91%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	9.6	3.6	38%	0.5 / 4.04 (12%)	2.3 / 2.45 (94%)	0.8 / 3.11 (26%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	6.3	2.9	47%	-0.3 / 2.54 (-13%)		3.3 / 3.76 (86%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.82	-3.5	-60%	1.3 / 1 (130%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.8 / 2.82 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	3.55	-0.7	-21%	0.3 / 2.55 (11%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	7.79	0.4	5%	-0.8 / 6.4 (-12%)		1.2 / 1.39 (83%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.55	1.2	33%	2.6 / 2.08 (127%)		-1.5 / 1.47 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	12.09	-0.6	-5%	-1.4 / 8.4 (-17%)	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)	2.2 / 2.29 (97%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4.72	0.1	3%	1.5 / 1 (150%)	-1.2 / 3.52 (-33%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	4.33	0.0	1%	-1.5 / 1.48 (-100%)	1.5 / 2.85 (53%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	2.5	2.3	92%	1.2 / 1.5 (82%)		1.1 / 1 (108%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	7.73	3.7	48%	4.4 / 3 (146%)	1.6 / 2.4 (69%)	-2.3 / 2.33 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	6.86	-0.1	-2%	-1.5 / 3.5 (-42%)	0.6 / 1.5 (40%)	0.7 / 1.86 (40%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	8	-3.5	-44%	-2.9 / 5 (-57%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.3 / 2 (16%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	2.5	2.5	102%	1.5 / 1 (154%)		1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6.45	4.5	69%	4.0 / 5.45 (73%)	0.5 / 1 (45%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	4.95	2.3	47%	3.3 / 3.95 (85%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	5.11	1.0	20%	-0.2 / 2.56 (-9%)	2.3 / 1.55 (145%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	3.98	-4.0	-100%	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)		-2.6 / 2.58 (-100%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	4.74	-0.2	-4%	0.2 / 4.34 (5%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	9.96	-2.7	-27%	-1.3 / 6.07 (-21%)	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)	-2.4 / 2.39 (-100%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	5.4	2.7	50%	0.7 / 3.32 (21%)		2.0 / 2.08 (96%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	3.6	1.4	38%	2.4 / 2.6 (90%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	4.5	-2.4	-53%	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	Bellator 290	3.5	-1.9	-53%	0.2 / 1.5 (10%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	8.96	-2.3	-26%	-2.2 / 4.49 (-49%)	0.0 / 2.36 (0%)	-0.1 / 2.11 (-4%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5.34	-3.1	-58%	-1.8 / 4.08 (-45%)	-0.3 / 0.26 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 14 (52%)
Losing Events: 13 (48%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.79 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.09 units
Best Event: 4.45 units
Worst Event: -3.98 units
Average Event: 0.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 10.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.65

Shawn Bolen: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	79.34	8.6	11%	3.8 / 39.99 (10%)		1.4 / 21.23 (7%)	8 / 5 (62%)	0.66
2023	76.99	-5.6	-7%	1.7 / 46.56 (4%)		-9.4 / 20.36 (-46%)	6 / 8 (43%)	-0.40

Shawn Bolen: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Shawn Bolen: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	108.65	2.5	2%	5.8 / 60.94 (10%)	1.7 / 22.24 (8%)	-5.0 / 25.47 (-20%)
Bellator	8	-4.3	-53%	-0.7 / 2.3 (-28%)	0.1 / 2 (5%)	-3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
PFL	22.25	6.5	29%	-0.6 / 12.41 (-5%)	1.8 / 2 (91%)	5.3 / 7.84 (68%)
Other	17.43	-1.8	-10%	0.9 / 10.9 (9%)	1.9 / 1.95 (95%)	-4.6 / 4.58 (-100%)

Shawn Bolen: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	31 (41%)	18	58 %	41.85	0.23	0.01	1%
Slight Underdogs	33 (44%)	17	52 %	35.90	4.40	0.13	12%
Big Underdogs	11 (15%)	4	36 %	8.80	0.89	0.08	10%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (19%)	7	50 %	17.19	-1.08	-0.08	-6%
Co-Main Event	8 (11%)	3	38 %	10.91	-3.15	-0.39	-29%
Position 3-5	24 (32%)	14	58 %	25.98	6.77	0.28	26%
6+ (Undercard)	29 (39%)	15	52 %	32.47	2.98	0.10	9%

Shawn Bolen: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (12%)	7	78 %	11.07	5.64	0.63	51%
Light Heavy	8 (11%)	2	25 %	10.02	-5.71	-0.71	-57%
Middleweight	15 (20%)	8	53 %	17.89	2.34	0.16	13%
Welterweight	10 (13%)	5	50 %	12.60	-0.93	-0.09	-7%
Lightweight	14 (19%)	8	57 %	14.19	4.69	0.33	33%
Featherweight	10 (13%)	6	60 %	12.24	2.22	0.22	18%
Bantamweight	5 (7%)	2	40 %	4.52	-0.73	-0.15	-16%
Flyweight	2 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%

Women's Fights	2 (3%)	1	50 %	2.02	0.00	0.00	0%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.02	1.00	1.00	98%
Flyweight	1 (1%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	65 (83%)	52	80 %
Slight Favorites	13 (17%)	8	62 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	78	60	77 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (24%)	4	36 %
50-65%	13 (29%)	9	69 %
35-50%	11 (24%)	3	27 %
<35% chance	10 (22%)	2	20 %
	45	18	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (7%)	2	67 %	2.21	2.80	1.74	1.1 (36%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
X Wins by KO	7 (16%)	2	29 %	2.79	12.00	1.57	-1.8 (-26%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (4%)	1	50 %	2.82	4.80	2.00	0.0 (0%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.80	1.80	1.80	0.8 (80%)
X Wins Inside Distance	17 (38%)	7	41 %	1.98	4.80	1.29	-2.2 (-13%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (2%)	0	0 %	13.00	13.00	13.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	13 (29%)	4	31 %	1.57	7.00	1.24	-7.4 (-57%)
	45	18	40 %	1.98			-10.0 (-22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Shawn Bolen's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5.34	-3.1	-58%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$969.00
21st Jan	UFC 283	8.96	-2.3	-26%		$9.69	$969.00	$946.69
4th Feb	Bellator 290	3.5	-1.9	-53%		$9.47	$946.69	$929.18
11th Aug	Bellator 298	4.5	-2.4	-53%		$9.29	$929.18	$906.88
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	3.6	1.4	38%		$9.07	$906.88	$919.12
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	5.4	2.7	50%		$9.19	$919.12	$943.89
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	9.96	-2.7	-27%		$9.44	$943.89	$918.50
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	4.74	-0.2	-4%		$9.18	$918.50	$916.84
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	3.98	-4.0	-100%		$9.17	$916.84	$880.35
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	5.11	1.0	20%		$8.80	$880.35	$889.42
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	4.95	2.3	47%		$8.89	$889.42	$910.32
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6.45	4.5	69%		$9.10	$910.32	$950.87
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	2.5	2.5	102%		$9.51	$950.87	$975.02
16th Dec	UFC 296	8	-3.5	-44%		$9.75	$975.02	$940.44
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	6.86	-0.1	-2%		$9.40	$940.44	$939.15
20th Jan	UFC 297	7.73	3.7	48%		$9.39	$939.15	$973.95
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	2.5	2.3	92%		$9.74	$973.95	$996.41
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	4.33	0.0	1%		$9.96	$996.41	$996.65
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4.72	0.1	3%		$9.97	$996.65	$997.94
9th Mar	UFC 299	12.09	-0.6	-5%		$9.98	$997.94	$992.02
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.55	1.2	33%		$9.92	$992.02	$1,003.73
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	7.79	0.4	5%		$10.04	$1,003.73	$1,007.30
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	3.55	-0.7	-21%		$10.07	$1,007.30	$999.95
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.82	-3.5	-60%		$10.00	$999.95	$964.75
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	6.3	2.9	47%		$9.65	$964.75	$993.02
13th Apr	UFC 300	9.6	3.6	38%		$9.93	$993.02	$1,028.94
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	4.5	-0.7	-15%		$10.29	$1,028.94	$1,021.92

ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Shawn Bolen: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Brent Primus	Bruno Miranda	1.82	1.22	Sub, R2 (1:49)
2.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	1.96	1.04	TKO, R2 (3:17)
3.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.50	1	TKO, R5 (4:59)
4.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	2.30	1	TKO, R2 (2:13)
5.	Apr '24	Denis Goltsov	Linton Vassell	1.82	1.55	TKO, R3 (3:11)
6.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	3.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Chidi Njokuani	Rhys McKee	1.71	1.4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Christian Rodriguez	Isaac Dulgarian	2.65	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Marcin Tybura	Tai Tuivasa	1.93	1.08	Sub, R1 (4:8)
10.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.14	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.70	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)
12.	Mar '24	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Junior	1.87	1.15	TKO, R2 (0:36)
13.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.50	1	TKO, R3 (0:49)
14.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	1.82	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:21)
15.	Jan '24	Neil Magny	Mike Malott	3.95	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:45)
16.	Jan '24	Sam Patterson	Yohan Lainesse	2.22	1.5	Sub, R1 (2:3)
17.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	2.08	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Jan '24	Preston Parsons	Matt Semelsberger	2.02	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Dec '23	Shamil Gaziev	Martin Buday	2.14	1	TKO, R2 (0:56)
20.	Dec '23	Andre Muniz	Jun Yong Park	2.54	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Enrique Barzola	Adam Borics	2.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Bubba Jenkins	Kai Kamaka	1.68	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '24	Sadibou Sy	Joshua Silveira	1.76	1.32	TKO, R1 (1:14)	No
4.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.18	2	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
5.	Apr '24	Ante Delija	Valentin Moldavsky	2.24	1	TKO, R1 (2:17)	No
6.	Mar '24	Vicente Luque	Joaquin Buckley	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
7.	Mar '24	Connor Matthews	Dennis Buzukja	2.05	1	TKO, R3 (0:22)	No
8.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	3.20	1	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
9.	Mar '24	Rafael dos Anjos	Mateusz Gamrot	4.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '24	Ion Cutelaba	Philipe Lins	1.74	1.35	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Michel Pereira	2.24	1	Sub, R1 (1:1)	No
12.	Mar '24	Yadong Song	Petr Yan	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.24	1.4	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
14.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.68	1.48	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No
15.	Jan '24	Phil Hawes	Brunno Ferreira	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (4:55)	No
16.	Jan '24	Johnny Walker	Magomed Ankalaev	5.10	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:42)	No
17.	Jan '24	Gabriel Benitez	Jim Miller	2.30	1	Sub, R3 (3:25)	No
18.	Dec '23	Cody Durden	Tagir Ulanbekov	2.40	1	Sub, R2 (4:25)	No
19.	Dec '23	Tony Ferguson	Paddy Pimblett	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Dec '23	Colby Covington	Leon Edwards	2.36	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Shawn Bolen: Progress Chart

Chart

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