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MMA Handicapper Stats: ESemba22

ESemba22 (ESemba)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	21 (39%)	Right	5 (50%)	Right	6 (43%)	Right	10 (33%)
Wrong	33 (61%)	Wrong	5 (50%)	Wrong	8 (57%)	Wrong	20 (67%)
Avg Odds	3.50	Avg Odds	2.38	Avg Odds	2.92	Avg Odds	4.67
Units Bet	45.0	Units Bet	4.6	Units Bet	10.0	Units Bet	30.5
Avg Bet	0.83	Avg Bet	0.46	Avg Bet	0.71	Avg Bet	1.02
Units Profit	18.19	Units Profit	0.15	Units Profit	0.58	Units Profit	17.46
ROI %	40%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	6%	ROI %	57%

ESemba22 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	6.3	-6.3	-100%			-6.3 / 6.3 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	7.443	-1.3	-17%		-0.8 / 2.5 (-30%)	-0.5 / 4.943 (-11%)
4th Feb '23	Bellator 290	1.5	0.6	42%	0.6 / 1.5 (42%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	12.487	16.3	130%	-0.5 / 2 (-24%)	0.0 / 2 (0%)	16.7 / 8.487 (197%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	17.3	8.9	51%	-0.0 / 1.05 (-0%)	1.3 / 5.5 (24%)	7.5 / 10.75 (70%)

Winning Events: 3 (60%)
Losing Events: 2 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.01 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.30 units
Best Event: 16.28 units
Worst Event: -6.30 units
Average Event: 3.64 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.77
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.58

ESemba22 : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	45.03	18.2	40%	0.2 / 4.55 (3%)		17.5 / 30.48 (57%)	3 / 2 (60%)	3.64

ESemba22 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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ESemba22 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	43.53	17.6	40%	-0.5 / 3.05 (-16%)	0.6 / 10 (6%)	17.5 / 30.48 (57%)
Bellator	1.5	0.6	42%	0.6 / 1.5 (42%)

ESemba22 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (10%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.53	0.53	53%
Slight Favorites	2 (20%)	1	50 %	0.80	0.25	0.12	31%
Slight Underdogs	5 (50%)	2	40 %	2.00	-0.75	-0.15	-38%
Big Underdogs	2 (20%)	1	50 %	0.75	0.13	0.06	17%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (10%)	1	100 %	0.55	0.50	0.50	91%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	3 (30%)	2	67 %	1.75	0.65	0.22	37%
6+ (Undercard)	6 (60%)	2	33 %	2.25	-1.00	-0.17	-44%

ESemba22 : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	3 (30%)	3	100 %	1.80	1.31	0.44	73%
Welterweight	3 (30%)	1	33 %	1.50	-0.79	-0.26	-53%
Lightweight	1 (10%)		0 %	0.25	-0.25	-0.25	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (20%)	1	50 %	0.75	0.13	0.06	17%

Women's Fights	1 (10%)		0 %	0.25	-0.25	-0.25	-100%
Flyweight	1 (10%)		0 %	0.25	-0.25	-0.25	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	148 (75%)	124	84 %
Slight Favorites	40 (20%)	20	50 %
Slight Underdogs	9 (5%)	5	56 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	198	149	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (26%)	4	80 %
50-65%	2 (11%)	1	50 %
35-50%	4 (21%)	3	75 %
<35% chance	8 (42%)	3	38 %
	19	11	58 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (5%)	1	100 %	3.25	3.25	3.25	2.3 (225%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (21%)	3	75 %	3.18	12.00	2.25	4.0 (100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (16%)	3	100 %	1.53	1.53	1.53	1.6 (53%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (21%)	0	0 %	10.96	29.00	5.50	-4.0 (-100%)
Others	6 (32%)	3	50 %	1.97	3.25	1.44	1.1 (18%)
	19	11	58 %	2.48			5.3 (28%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail ESemba22 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	17.3	8.9	51%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,088.70
21st Jan	UFC 283	12.487	16.3	130%		$10.89	$1,088.70	$1,265.89
4th Feb	Bellator 290	1.5	0.6	42%		$12.66	$1,265.89	$1,273.80
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	7.443	-1.3	-17%		$12.74	$1,273.80	$1,257.51
11th Feb	UFC 284	6.3	-6.3	-100%		$12.58	$1,257.51	$1,178.28

ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.83% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

ESemba22 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '23	Lorenz Larkin	Mukhamed Berkhamov	2.85	0.25	TKO, R1 (1:41)
2.	Feb '23	Jaylon Bates	Jornel Lugo	3.50	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '23	Grant Neal	Karl Albrektsson	2.15	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '23	Johnny Walker	Paul Craig	1.53	1	TKO, R1 (2:16)
5.	Jan '23	Sean Strickland	Nassourdine Imavov	1.91	0.55	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '23	Ethan Hughes	Yusuf Karakaya	2.20	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '23	Alejandra Lara	Diana Avsaragova	1.87	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '23	Max Rohskopf	Chris Gonzalez	2.50	0.25	TKO, R2 (1:22)	No
4.	Jan '23	Mounir Lazzez	Gabriel Bonfim	2.55	1	Sub, R1 (0:49)	No
5.	Jan '23	Raoni Barcelos	Umar Nurmagomedov	7.25	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:40)	Yes

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

ESemba22 : Progress Chart

Chart

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