|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Will Chace |
|
Will Chace: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 26 (44%) Losing Events: 33 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.73 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.65 units Best Event: 27.21 units Worst Event: -11.62 units Average Event: 0.10 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 38.26 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.08 |
Will Chace: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
154.36 |
-4.0 |
-3% |
-10.9 / 87.55 (-12%) |
|
1.1 / 1 (109%) |
6 / 7 (46%) |
-0.31 |
2023 |
238.588 |
10.3 |
4% |
10.2 / 121.81 (8%) |
|
2.1 / 15.91 (13%) |
20 / 25 (44%) |
0.23 |
2022 |
4 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-0.52 |
|
Will Chace: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Will Chace: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
366.388 |
-9.8 |
-3% |
-13.3 / 191.62 (-7%) |
-0.3 / 158.398 (-0%) |
3.8 / 16.37 (23%) |
Bellator |
4.5 |
-1.0 |
-23% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
1.5 / 2 (74%) |
|
Other |
26.06 |
16.6 |
64% |
13.1 / 17.24 (76%) |
4.0 / 8.28 (48%) |
-0.5 / 0.54 (-100%) |
|
Will Chace: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
13 (7%) |
9 |
69 % |
30.69 |
0.39 |
0.03 |
1% |
Slight Favorites |
42 (24%) |
19 |
45 % |
59.09 |
-9.58 |
-0.23 |
-16% |
Slight Underdogs |
76 (43%) |
34 |
45 % |
76.83 |
5.01 |
0.07 |
7% |
Big Underdogs |
47 (26%) |
14 |
30 % |
44.75 |
1.54 |
0.03 |
3% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
25 (14%) |
18 |
72 % |
29.33 |
22.80 |
0.91 |
78% |
Co-Main Event |
36 (20%) |
14 |
39 % |
38.33 |
-4.50 |
-0.13 |
-12% |
Position 3-5 |
47 (26%) |
23 |
49 % |
59.04 |
7.69 |
0.16 |
13% |
6+ (Undercard) |
70 (39%) |
21 |
30 % |
84.66 |
-28.63 |
-0.41 |
-34% |
|
Will Chace: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
14 (8%) |
6 |
43 % |
16.09 |
-2.56 |
-0.18 |
-16% |
Light Heavy |
12 (7%) |
7 |
58 % |
11.18 |
3.20 |
0.27 |
29% |
Middleweight |
19 (11%) |
5 |
26 % |
25.34 |
-8.02 |
-0.42 |
-32% |
Welterweight |
23 (13%) |
9 |
39 % |
26.15 |
0.18 |
0.01 |
1% |
Lightweight |
34 (19%) |
18 |
53 % |
39.30 |
9.36 |
0.28 |
24% |
Featherweight |
23 (13%) |
12 |
52 % |
26.69 |
3.93 |
0.17 |
15% |
Bantamweight |
26 (15%) |
7 |
27 % |
33.70 |
-9.41 |
-0.36 |
-28% |
Flyweight |
12 (7%) |
4 |
33 % |
16.04 |
-3.56 |
-0.30 |
-22% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
15 (8%) |
8 |
53 % |
16.87 |
4.25 |
0.28 |
25% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.20 |
20% |
Flyweight |
7 (4%) |
3 |
43 % |
7.97 |
-1.56 |
-0.22 |
-20% |
Strawweight |
5 (3%) |
4 |
80 % |
5.90 |
6.41 |
1.28 |
109% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
27 (96%) |
23 |
85 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
28 |
24 |
86 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
11 (5%) |
9 |
82 % |
50-65% |
60 (26%) |
30 |
50 % |
35-50% |
32 (14%) |
10 |
31 % |
<35% chance |
130 (56%) |
14 |
11 % |
|
233 |
63 |
27 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Will Chace's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
31st Dec |
Bellator vs Rizin |
4 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$994.81 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
8.46 |
-2.9 |
-34% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.81 |
$965.90 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
9.46 |
-3.1 |
-33% |
|
$9.66 |
$965.90 |
$936.19 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
4.15 |
0.8 |
18% |
|
$9.36 |
$936.19 |
$943.21 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
6.6 |
3.5 |
53% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.21 |
$976.19 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
11.47 |
2.0 |
18% |
|
$9.76 |
$976.19 |
$996.00 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
3.45 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.00 |
$961.64 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
2.8 |
0.5 |
16% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.64 |
$966.07 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.66 |
$966.07 |
$956.40 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
4.64 |
-3.4 |
-74% |
|
$9.56 |
$956.40 |
$923.73 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
3.728 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$9.24 |
$923.73 |
$924.89 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
6.19 |
2.3 |
37% |
|
$9.25 |
$924.89 |
$946.11 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
5.18 |
1.6 |
31% |
|
$9.46 |
$946.11 |
$961.39 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
7.63 |
-4.3 |
-57% |
|
$9.61 |
$961.39 |
$919.76 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
5.13 |
0.4 |
8% |
|
$9.20 |
$919.76 |
$923.63 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
11.06 |
-1.9 |
-17% |
|
$9.24 |
$923.63 |
$906.19 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
5.54 |
-3.5 |
-63% |
|
$9.06 |
$906.19 |
$874.64 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
7.78 |
2.6 |
33% |
|
$8.75 |
$874.64 |
$897.04 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
5.95 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.97 |
$897.04 |
$843.67 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
1.58 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
|
$8.44 |
$843.67 |
$840.46 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
2.05 |
-1.0 |
-51% |
|
$8.40 |
$840.46 |
$831.68 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
2.79 |
1.0 |
34% |
|
$8.32 |
$831.68 |
$839.66 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
10.55 |
1.8 |
17% |
|
$8.40 |
$839.66 |
$854.96 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
1.74 |
-1.7 |
-100% |
|
$8.55 |
$854.96 |
$840.08 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
2.45 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$8.40 |
$840.08 |
$840.08 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
131% |
|
$8.40 |
$840.08 |
$857.72 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.58 |
$857.72 |
$849.14 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
2.85 |
1.5 |
53% |
|
$8.49 |
$849.14 |
$861.88 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
5.13 |
-2.9 |
-57% |
|
$8.62 |
$861.88 |
$836.90 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
1 |
-0.5 |
-51% |
|
$8.37 |
$836.90 |
$832.61 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
1.53 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$8.33 |
$832.61 |
$832.61 |
19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
120% |
|
$8.33 |
$832.61 |
$847.60 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
7.04 |
-4.5 |
-64% |
|
$8.48 |
$847.60 |
$809.54 |
26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
6.5 |
-1.1 |
-17% |
|
$8.10 |
$809.54 |
$800.43 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
4 |
11.1 |
276% |
|
$8.00 |
$800.43 |
$888.88 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
7.57 |
27.2 |
359% |
|
$8.89 |
$888.88 |
$1,130.74 |
7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.31 |
$1,130.74 |
$1,125.09 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
116% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.09 |
$1,157.72 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
4.92 |
-2.6 |
-53% |
|
$11.58 |
$1,157.72 |
$1,127.39 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
7.15 |
-1.1 |
-15% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,127.39 |
$1,114.99 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
3.66 |
1.2 |
33% |
|
$11.15 |
$1,114.99 |
$1,128.46 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
11.71 |
5.9 |
50% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,128.46 |
$1,195.04 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
8.32 |
-2.0 |
-24% |
|
$11.95 |
$1,195.04 |
$1,171.14 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
6.35 |
-6.4 |
-100% |
|
$11.71 |
$1,171.14 |
$1,096.77 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
8.98 |
-6.7 |
-75% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,096.77 |
$1,022.96 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
13.4 |
2.1 |
16% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,022.96 |
$1,044.65 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
7.7 |
-0.5 |
-6% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.65 |
$1,039.63 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
9.3 |
14.7 |
158% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.63 |
$1,192.46 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
6.4 |
-1.6 |
-24% |
|
$11.92 |
$1,192.46 |
$1,173.87 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
6.63 |
-0.3 |
-5% |
|
$11.74 |
$1,173.87 |
$1,170.08 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
21.65 |
1.0 |
5% |
|
$11.70 |
$1,170.08 |
$1,181.78 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
17.33 |
-11.6 |
-67% |
|
$11.82 |
$1,181.78 |
$1,044.40 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
9.65 |
0.3 |
3% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.40 |
$1,047.85 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15.87 |
-7.2 |
-46% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,047.85 |
$971.88 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
7.33 |
-3.2 |
-43% |
|
$9.72 |
$971.88 |
$941.22 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
13.53 |
2.1 |
15% |
|
$9.41 |
$941.22 |
$960.65 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
12.87 |
-0.9 |
-7% |
|
$9.61 |
$960.65 |
$952.01 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
11.9 |
2.3 |
19% |
|
$9.52 |
$952.01 |
$973.43 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
14.2 |
0.9 |
6% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.43 |
$982.19 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -1.78% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Will Chace: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Bobby Green |
Jim Miller |
1.57 |
1.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Charlie Campbell |
Trevor Peek |
1.54 |
1.85 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Virna Jandiroba |
Lupita Godinez |
2.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.02 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Karl Williams |
Justin Tafa |
1.56 |
1.8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Jarno Errens |
Steven Nguyen |
2.37 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Youssef Zalal |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.05 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Petr Yan |
Yadong Song |
1.82 |
2.44 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.38 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
12. |
Feb '24 |
Brian Ortega |
Yair Rodriguez |
2.25 |
1.18 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Brandon Royval |
Brandon Moreno |
3.05 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Junior Tafa |
1.47 |
2.15 |
TKO, R2 (1:14) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Anthony Hernandez |
Roman Kopylov |
1.44 |
4.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.57 |
2.63 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Charlie Radtke |
Gilbert Urbina |
2.75 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
|
|
20. |
Jan '24 |
Sam Patterson |
Yohan Lainesse |
2.30 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:3) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jim Miller |
Bobby Green |
2.55 |
1.07 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.95 |
1.05 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Brundage |
Bo Nickal |
13.00 |
0.25 |
Sub, R2 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Morgan Charriere |
Jose Mariscal |
1.87 |
1.15 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.45 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Vicente Luque |
Joaquin Buckley |
1.80 |
1.12 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Anton Turkalj |
Ibo Aslan |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Rhys McKee |
Chidi Njokuani |
2.22 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Manon Fiorot |
1.67 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Justin Tafa |
Karl Williams |
2.60 |
1.08 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Payton Talbott |
2.35 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Marcin Tybura |
1.93 |
1.08 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
Yes |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Bryan Barberena |
Gerald Meerschaert |
3.05 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:23) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Dustin Poirier |
1.50 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.91 |
2.75 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
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|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Michel Pereira |
2.28 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Tyson Pedro |
Vitor Petrino |
4.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Bernardo Sopai |
Vinicius de Oliveira |
2.15 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:41) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Francisco Prado |
Daniel Zellhuber |
3.31 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Will Chace: Progress Chart |
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