MMA Handicapper Stats: Will Chace |
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Will Chace: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 19 (43%) Losing Events: 25 (57%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.00 units Most Staked On One Event: 11.71 units Best Event: 27.21 units Worst Event: -6.35 units Average Event: 0.33 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 38.26 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.35 |
Will Chace: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
216.208 |
14.9 |
7% |
9.1 / 110.26 (8%) |
|
3.3 / 14.73 (23%) |
19 / 24 (44%) |
0.35 |
2022 |
4 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-0.52 |
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Will Chace: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Will Chace: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
189.648 |
-1.1 |
-1% |
-3.5 / 92.52 (-4%) |
-1.5 / 82.938 (-2%) |
3.9 / 14.19 (27%) |
Bellator |
4.5 |
-1.0 |
-23% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
1.5 / 2 (74%) |
|
Other |
26.06 |
16.6 |
64% |
13.1 / 17.24 (76%) |
4.0 / 8.28 (48%) |
-0.5 / 0.54 (-100%) |
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Will Chace: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
9 (8%) |
6 |
67 % |
17.04 |
0.39 |
0.04 |
2% |
Slight Favorites |
28 (25%) |
12 |
43 % |
35.72 |
-7.79 |
-0.28 |
-22% |
Slight Underdogs |
43 (39%) |
18 |
42 % |
34.50 |
-0.23 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
30 (27%) |
12 |
40 % |
25.00 |
14.74 |
0.49 |
59% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (15%) |
13 |
76 % |
18.15 |
17.93 |
1.05 |
99% |
Co-Main Event |
23 (21%) |
10 |
43 % |
18.87 |
3.35 |
0.15 |
18% |
Position 3-5 |
31 (28%) |
15 |
48 % |
31.85 |
4.99 |
0.16 |
16% |
6+ (Undercard) |
39 (35%) |
10 |
26 % |
43.39 |
-19.15 |
-0.49 |
-44% |
|
Will Chace: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (8%) |
4 |
44 % |
7.23 |
0.35 |
0.04 |
5% |
Light Heavy |
6 (5%) |
6 |
100 % |
5.13 |
5.75 |
0.96 |
112% |
Middleweight |
11 (10%) |
3 |
27 % |
14.04 |
-5.27 |
-0.48 |
-38% |
Welterweight |
12 (11%) |
4 |
33 % |
11.48 |
0.91 |
0.08 |
8% |
Lightweight |
22 (20%) |
12 |
55 % |
20.63 |
11.20 |
0.51 |
54% |
Featherweight |
13 (12%) |
6 |
46 % |
12.08 |
-1.07 |
-0.08 |
-9% |
Bantamweight |
17 (15%) |
4 |
24 % |
18.26 |
-6.46 |
-0.38 |
-35% |
Flyweight |
8 (7%) |
3 |
38 % |
10.04 |
-0.61 |
-0.08 |
-6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
12 (11%) |
6 |
50 % |
13.37 |
2.33 |
0.19 |
17% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.20 |
20% |
Flyweight |
5 (5%) |
2 |
40 % |
5.47 |
-1.68 |
-0.34 |
-31% |
Strawweight |
4 (4%) |
3 |
75 % |
4.90 |
4.61 |
1.15 |
94% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
25 (100%) |
22 |
88 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
25 |
22 |
88 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
8 (6%) |
6 |
75 % |
50-65% |
43 (31%) |
21 |
49 % |
35-50% |
17 (12%) |
3 |
18 % |
<35% chance |
71 (51%) |
7 |
10 % |
|
139 |
37 |
27 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Will Chace's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
31st Dec |
Bellator vs Rizin |
4 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$994.81 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
8.46 |
-2.9 |
-34% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.81 |
$965.90 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
9.46 |
-3.1 |
-33% |
|
$9.66 |
$965.90 |
$936.19 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
4.15 |
0.8 |
18% |
|
$9.36 |
$936.19 |
$943.21 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
6.6 |
3.5 |
53% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.21 |
$976.19 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
11.47 |
2.0 |
18% |
|
$9.76 |
$976.19 |
$996.00 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
3.45 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.00 |
$961.64 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
2.8 |
0.5 |
16% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.64 |
$966.07 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.66 |
$966.07 |
$956.40 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
4.64 |
-3.4 |
-74% |
|
$9.56 |
$956.40 |
$923.73 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
3.728 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$9.24 |
$923.73 |
$924.89 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
6.19 |
2.3 |
37% |
|
$9.25 |
$924.89 |
$946.11 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
5.18 |
1.6 |
31% |
|
$9.46 |
$946.11 |
$961.39 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
7.63 |
-4.3 |
-57% |
|
$9.61 |
$961.39 |
$919.76 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
5.13 |
0.4 |
8% |
|
$9.20 |
$919.76 |
$923.63 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
11.06 |
-1.9 |
-17% |
|
$9.24 |
$923.63 |
$906.19 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
5.54 |
-3.5 |
-63% |
|
$9.06 |
$906.19 |
$874.64 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
7.78 |
2.6 |
33% |
|
$8.75 |
$874.64 |
$897.04 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
5.95 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.97 |
$897.04 |
$843.67 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
1.58 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
|
$8.44 |
$843.67 |
$840.46 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
2.05 |
-1.0 |
-51% |
|
$8.40 |
$840.46 |
$831.68 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
2.79 |
1.0 |
34% |
|
$8.32 |
$831.68 |
$839.66 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
10.55 |
1.8 |
17% |
|
$8.40 |
$839.66 |
$854.96 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
1.74 |
-1.7 |
-100% |
|
$8.55 |
$854.96 |
$840.08 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
2.45 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$8.40 |
$840.08 |
$840.08 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
131% |
|
$8.40 |
$840.08 |
$857.72 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.58 |
$857.72 |
$849.14 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
2.85 |
1.5 |
53% |
|
$8.49 |
$849.14 |
$861.88 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
5.13 |
-2.9 |
-57% |
|
$8.62 |
$861.88 |
$836.90 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
1 |
-0.5 |
-51% |
|
$8.37 |
$836.90 |
$832.61 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
1.53 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$8.33 |
$832.61 |
$832.61 |
19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
120% |
|
$8.33 |
$832.61 |
$847.60 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
7.04 |
-4.5 |
-64% |
|
$8.48 |
$847.60 |
$809.54 |
26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
6.5 |
-1.1 |
-17% |
|
$8.10 |
$809.54 |
$800.43 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
4 |
11.1 |
276% |
|
$8.00 |
$800.43 |
$888.88 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
7.57 |
27.2 |
359% |
|
$8.89 |
$888.88 |
$1,130.74 |
7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.31 |
$1,130.74 |
$1,125.09 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
116% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.09 |
$1,157.72 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
4.92 |
-2.6 |
-53% |
|
$11.58 |
$1,157.72 |
$1,127.39 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
7.15 |
-1.1 |
-15% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,127.39 |
$1,114.99 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
3.66 |
1.2 |
33% |
|
$11.15 |
$1,114.99 |
$1,128.46 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
11.71 |
5.9 |
50% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,128.46 |
$1,195.04 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
8.32 |
-2.0 |
-24% |
|
$11.95 |
$1,195.04 |
$1,171.14 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
6.35 |
-6.4 |
-100% |
|
$11.71 |
$1,171.14 |
$1,096.77 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.68% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Will Chace: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Myktybek Orolbai |
Uros Medic |
1.89 |
1.12 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Brendan Allen |
Paul Craig |
1.31 |
3.2 |
Sub, R3 (0:38) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.82 |
0.61 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.90 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:15) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Jared Gordon |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.54 |
1.85 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
7. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.87 |
1.15 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
|
|
8. |
Nov '23 |
Lupita Godinez |
Tabatha Ricci |
1.83 |
2.4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Nov '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
|
|
10. |
Nov '23 |
Angela Hill |
Denise Gomes |
2.21 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Islam Makhachev |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.49 |
2.05 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Marquel Mederos |
Issa Isakov |
2.70 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:9) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '23 |
Connor Matthews |
Jair Farias |
2.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '23 |
Bobby Green |
Grant Dawson |
4.75 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
|
|
15. |
Oct '23 |
Nathan Maness |
Mateus Mendonca |
3.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '23 |
Bobby Green |
Grant Dawson |
4.33 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
|
|
17. |
Oct '23 |
Rodolfo Bellato |
Murtaza Talha Ali |
3.25 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:46) |
|
|
18. |
Oct '23 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Raimond Magomedaliev |
3.00 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:45) |
|
|
19. |
Sep '23 |
Mario Piazzon |
Alexander Soldatkin |
4.25 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
20. |
Sep '23 |
Miles Johns |
Dan Argueta |
2.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Will Chace: Progress Chart |
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