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MMA Handicapper Stats: Emilio Crespo

Emilio Crespo (emiliocrespo)

MMA MHandicapper - Emilio Crespo

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	13 (28%)	Right	4 (24%)	Right	8 (33%)	Right	1 (17%)
Wrong	34 (72%)	Wrong	13 (76%)	Wrong	16 (67%)	Wrong	5 (83%)
Avg Odds	2.91	Avg Odds	2.90	Avg Odds	2.81	Avg Odds	3.38
Units Bet	19.8	Units Bet	6.1	Units Bet	10.3	Units Bet	3.4
Avg Bet	0.42	Avg Bet	0.36	Avg Bet	0.43	Avg Bet	0.56
Units Profit	-4.76	Units Profit	-3.03	Units Profit	-1.77	Units Profit	0.04
ROI %	-24%	ROI %	-50%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	1%

Emilio Crespo: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	4.71	2.3	49%	-0.7 / 0.74 (-100%)	1.8 / 1.85 (96%)	1.3 / 2.12 (61%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	3.62	-2.7	-74%		-1.6 / 2.5 (-63%)	-1.1 / 1.12 (-100%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	2.1	-1.2	-58%	-1.0 / 1.61 (-63%)	-0.1 / 0.37 (-21%)	-0.1 / 0.12 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	1.95	-1.2	-62%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.7 / 1.45 (-49%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	3.5	0.7	21%	0.9 / 1 (86%)	-0.1 / 2.5 (-5%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	3.9	-2.7	-69%	-1.6 / 2.25 (-73%)	-1.1 / 1.65 (-64%)

Winning Events: 2 (33%)
Losing Events: 4 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.30 units
Most Staked On One Event: 4.71 units
Best Event: 2.32 units
Worst Event: -2.69 units
Average Event: -0.79 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 2.32
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -5.12

Emilio Crespo: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	19.78	-4.8	-24%	-3.0 / 6.1 (-50%)		0.0 / 3.36 (1%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-0.79

Emilio Crespo: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Emilio Crespo: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	19.78	-4.8	-24%	-3.0 / 6.1 (-50%)	-1.8 / 10.32 (-17%)	0.0 / 3.36 (1%)

Emilio Crespo: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	2 (12%)	1	50 %	1.75	0.11	0.06	6%
Slight Underdogs	6 (35%)	3	50 %	1.49	-0.28	-0.05	-19%
Big Underdogs	9 (53%)	0	0 %	2.86	-2.86	-0.32	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (12%)	0	0 %	1.75	-1.75	-0.88	-100%
Co-Main Event	3 (18%)	1	33 %	1.50	0.36	0.12	24%
Position 3-5	2 (12%)	1	50 %	0.75	-0.14	-0.07	-18%
6+ (Undercard)	10 (59%)	2	20 %	2.10	-1.50	-0.15	-72%

Emilio Crespo: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	2 (12%)	1	50 %	0.87	-0.54	-0.27	-62%
Middleweight	2 (12%)	1	50 %	0.75	-0.14	-0.07	-18%
Lightweight	3 (18%)		0 %	1.24	-1.24	-0.41	-100%
Featherweight	4 (24%)	1	25 %	0.87	-0.61	-0.15	-70%
Bantamweight	3 (18%)		0 %	0.87	-0.87	-0.29	-100%
Flyweight	3 (18%)	1	33 %	1.50	0.36	0.12	24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	15 (68%)	12	80 %
Slight Favorites	3 (14%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (14%)	1	33 %
Big Underdogs	1 (5%)	0	0 %
	22	13	59 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	3 (13%)	2	67 %
35-50%	10 (42%)	4	40 %
<35% chance	11 (46%)	2	18 %
	24	8	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (4%)	1	100 %	3.75	3.75	3.75	2.7 (275%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.72	2.72	2.72	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	16 (67%)	7	44 %	2.46	4.00	1.74	-0.2 (-1%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (8%)	0	0 %	5.29	9.00	3.75	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (8%)	0	0 %	4.09	7.17	2.86	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.25	2.25	2.25	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (4%)	0	0 %	10.00	10.00	10.00	-1.0 (-100%)
	24	8	33 %	2.81			-4.4 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Emilio Crespo's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	3.9	-2.7	-69%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$973.13
21st Jan	UFC 283	3.5	0.7	21%		$9.73	$973.13	$980.23
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	1.95	-1.2	-62%		$9.80	$980.23	$968.32
11th Feb	UFC 284	2.1	-1.2	-58%		$9.68	$968.32	$956.59
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	3.62	-2.7	-74%		$9.57	$956.59	$930.86
4th Mar	UFC 285	4.71	2.3	49%		$9.31	$930.86	$952.43

ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Emilio Crespo: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '23	Modestas Bukauskas	Tyson Pedro	2.76	0.12	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '23	Blake Bilder	Shane Young	2.20	0.12	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '23	Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.86	1	TKO, R3 (5:0)
4.	Jan '23	Roman Kopylov	Punahele Soriano	2.45	0.25	TKO, R2 (3:19)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '23	DaMon Blackshear	Farid Basharat	4.30	0.12	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '23	Esteban Ribovics	Loik Radzhabov	3.04	0.12	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '23	Julian Marquez	Marc-Andre Barriault	2.24	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:12)	No
4.	Feb '23	Francisco Prado	Jamie Mullarkey	3.14	0.12	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '23	Josh Emmett	Yair Rodriguez	2.68	0.25	Sub, R2 (4:19)	No
6.	Feb '23	Alex Volkanovski	Islam Makhachev	4.14	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '23	Zha Yi	Jung Young Lee	2.94	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '23	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Tatsuro Taira	7.91	0.25	Sub, R1 (4:20)	No
9.	Jan '23	Jimmy Flick	Charles Johnson	4.10	0.25	TKO, R1 (4:33)	No
10.	Jan '23	Mateus Mendonca	Javid Basharat	3.83	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jan '23	Raoni Barcelos	Umar Nurmagomedov	6.91	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:40)	No
12.	Jan '23	Damon Jackson	Dan Ige	2.00	0.25	TKO, R2 (4:13)	No
13.	Jan '23	Nassourdine Imavov	Sean Strickland	1.87	0.75	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Emilio Crespo: Progress Chart

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