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MMA Handicapper Stats: Patty Buns |
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Patty Buns: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 26 (57%) Losing Events: 20 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 3.69 units Most Staked On One Event: 8.38 units Best Event: 4.16 units Worst Event: -5.00 units Average Event: 0.23 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.37 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -7.43 |
Patty Buns: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
29.425 |
-5.3 |
-18% |
-7.0 / 22.5 (-31%) |
|
0.5 / 2.125 (21%) |
3 / 4 (43%) |
-0.75 |
2023 |
140.25 |
15.7 |
11% |
20.5 / 106.975 (19%) |
|
-1.5 / 11.625 (-13%) |
22 / 16 (58%) |
0.41 |
2022 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
57% |
0.1 / 0.1 (57%) |
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|
1 / (100%) |
0.06 |
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Patty Buns: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Patty Buns: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
168.775 |
10.2 |
6% |
13.4 / 128.575 (10%) |
-2.1 / 26.45 (-8%) |
-1.0 / 13.75 (-8%) |
Bellator |
1 |
0.3 |
27% |
0.3 / 1 (27%) |
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Patty Buns: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
18 (13%) |
14 |
78 % |
24.00 |
2.04 |
0.11 |
9% |
Slight Favorites |
59 (44%) |
41 |
69 % |
68.60 |
16.47 |
0.28 |
24% |
Slight Underdogs |
38 (28%) |
17 |
45 % |
27.73 |
3.90 |
0.10 |
14% |
Big Underdogs |
19 (14%) |
1 |
5 % |
9.25 |
-8.78 |
-0.46 |
-95% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
21 (16%) |
13 |
62 % |
29.50 |
4.97 |
0.24 |
17% |
Co-Main Event |
21 (16%) |
12 |
57 % |
23.35 |
4.72 |
0.22 |
20% |
Position 3-5 |
45 (34%) |
21 |
47 % |
39.48 |
-3.74 |
-0.08 |
-9% |
6+ (Undercard) |
47 (35%) |
27 |
57 % |
37.25 |
7.67 |
0.16 |
21% |
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Patty Buns: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (5%) |
3 |
43 % |
6.00 |
-1.65 |
-0.24 |
-27% |
Light Heavy |
10 (7%) |
7 |
70 % |
9.35 |
3.92 |
0.39 |
42% |
Middleweight |
16 (12%) |
10 |
63 % |
20.00 |
3.38 |
0.21 |
17% |
Welterweight |
15 (11%) |
5 |
33 % |
15.00 |
-2.36 |
-0.16 |
-16% |
Lightweight |
21 (16%) |
10 |
48 % |
16.10 |
-1.41 |
-0.07 |
-9% |
Featherweight |
21 (16%) |
14 |
67 % |
22.88 |
5.38 |
0.26 |
24% |
Bantamweight |
17 (13%) |
9 |
53 % |
16.38 |
1.86 |
0.11 |
11% |
Flyweight |
11 (8%) |
5 |
45 % |
9.88 |
0.23 |
0.02 |
2% |
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|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
16 (12%) |
10 |
63 % |
14.00 |
4.27 |
0.27 |
31% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
87% |
Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
5 |
71 % |
7.25 |
3.54 |
0.51 |
49% |
Strawweight |
8 (6%) |
4 |
50 % |
5.75 |
-0.13 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
33 (75%) |
23 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (25%) |
6 |
55 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
44 |
29 |
66 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
50-65% |
16 (31%) |
7 |
44 % |
35-50% |
8 (15%) |
5 |
63 % |
<35% chance |
24 (46%) |
4 |
17 % |
|
52 |
18 |
35 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Patty Buns's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
0.1 |
0.1 |
57% |
$5 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$995.57 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
4.6 |
3.0 |
64% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.57 |
$1,024.96 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
5.775 |
-4.5 |
-78% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,024.96 |
$978.94 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
6.875 |
2.0 |
29% |
|
$9.79 |
$978.94 |
$998.13 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
2.5 |
1.0 |
40% |
|
$9.98 |
$998.13 |
$1,008.02 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
1.25 |
-0.7 |
-54% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,008.02 |
$1,001.22 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
5.25 |
1.8 |
35% |
$5 |
$10.01 |
$1,001.22 |
$1,014.74 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
3.25 |
-0.3 |
-11% |
$5 |
$10.15 |
$1,014.74 |
$1,006.24 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
4.875 |
-0.7 |
-14% |
$5 |
$10.06 |
$1,006.24 |
$994.44 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
2.875 |
0.4 |
14% |
$5 |
$9.94 |
$994.44 |
$993.57 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
8.375 |
4.2 |
50% |
$5 |
$9.94 |
$993.57 |
$1,029.92 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
5.25 |
-1.8 |
-34% |
$5 |
$10.30 |
$1,029.92 |
$1,006.64 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
4.75 |
1.5 |
31% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.64 |
$1,021.36 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
4.25 |
3.7 |
88% |
$5 |
$10.21 |
$1,021.36 |
$1,054.56 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
4.5 |
3.2 |
70% |
$5 |
$10.55 |
$1,054.56 |
$1,082.93 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
3.75 |
-1.1 |
-29% |
$5 |
$10.83 |
$1,082.93 |
$1,066.34 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
2.25 |
0.2 |
11% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.34 |
$1,068.92 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
4.5 |
-1.1 |
-23% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.92 |
$1,057.63 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
2.375 |
2.9 |
122% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,057.63 |
$1,088.22 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,088.22 |
$1,033.81 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
2.5 |
1.6 |
65% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,033.81 |
$1,050.64 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
4 |
-0.3 |
-8% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,050.64 |
$1,047.13 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
3.5 |
2.3 |
65% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,047.13 |
$1,071.00 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
1.5 |
1.5 |
97% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,071.00 |
$1,086.55 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
2 |
-0.5 |
-24% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,086.55 |
$1,081.40 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
2 |
1.5 |
74% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,081.40 |
$1,097.42 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
2 |
-0.5 |
-25% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,097.42 |
$1,091.93 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.93 |
$1,083.74 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 299 |
1 |
0.3 |
27% |
|
$10.84 |
$1,083.74 |
$1,086.67 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
4.5 |
0.7 |
15% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,086.67 |
$1,094.00 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
3 |
1.5 |
51% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,094.00 |
$1,110.86 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
2.5 |
-0.2 |
-8% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,110.86 |
$1,108.68 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
6.75 |
1.9 |
28% |
$5 |
$11.09 |
$1,108.68 |
$1,124.75 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
2.5 |
1.4 |
55% |
$5 |
$11.25 |
$1,124.75 |
$1,135.32 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
5 |
3.3 |
67% |
$5 |
$11.35 |
$1,135.32 |
$1,168.33 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
0.5 |
0.3 |
69% |
$5 |
$11.68 |
$1,168.33 |
$1,167.36 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
4.75 |
-2.3 |
-49% |
$5 |
$11.67 |
$1,167.36 |
$1,135.03 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
2.75 |
-2.8 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.35 |
$1,135.03 |
$1,098.82 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
6.5 |
-2.0 |
-31% |
$5 |
$10.99 |
$1,098.82 |
$1,071.84 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
3.375 |
0.4 |
12% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,071.84 |
$1,076.06 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
2.5 |
1.3 |
54% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,076.06 |
$1,090.49 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
4.5 |
-1.4 |
-32% |
$5 |
$10.90 |
$1,090.49 |
$1,069.78 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
5.375 |
-3.4 |
-64% |
$5 |
$10.70 |
$1,069.78 |
$1,027.94 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
2.25 |
-0.8 |
-33% |
$5 |
$10.28 |
$1,027.94 |
$1,015.23 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
7.675 |
-1.8 |
-23% |
$5 |
$10.15 |
$1,015.23 |
$992.04 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
3.75 |
0.4 |
12% |
|
$9.92 |
$992.04 |
$996.41 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Patty Buns: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Miles Johns |
Cody Gibson |
1.77 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Youssef Zalal |
Billy Quarantillo |
1.80 |
0.75 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
AJ Dobson |
1.51 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.75 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Fares Ziam |
Claudio Puelles |
1.50 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Feb '24 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Henry Cejudo |
1.57 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Feb '24 |
Miranda Maverick |
Andrea Lee |
1.53 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.61 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Maycee Barber |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.61 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Jan '24 |
Neil Magny |
Mike Malott |
3.75 |
0.125 |
TKO, R3 (4:45) |
|
|
11. |
Jan '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Sean Strickland |
2.05 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Nov '23 |
Rafael Estevam |
Charles Johnson |
1.69 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Dec '23 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Beneil Dariush |
1.61 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
|
|
14. |
Nov '23 |
Jared Gordon |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.59 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
15. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
2.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
|
|
16. |
Nov '23 |
Jared Gordon |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.59 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
17. |
Nov '23 |
Angela Hill |
Denise Gomes |
2.20 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Nov '23 |
Vitor Petrino |
Modestas Bukauskas |
1.40 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:3) |
|
|
19. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
2.15 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.74 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Patty Buns: Progress Chart |
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