MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 5951
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2210

MMA Handicapper Stats: Patty Buns

Patty Buns (Burnspatrick56)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	79 (53%)	Right	59 (61%)	Right	13 (37%)	Right	7 (44%)
Wrong	69 (47%)	Wrong	38 (39%)	Wrong	22 (63%)	Wrong	9 (56%)
Avg Odds	2.06	Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	2.55	Avg Odds	2.27
Units Bet	130.6	Units Bet	100.1	Units Bet	19.9	Units Bet	10.6
Avg Bet	0.88	Avg Bet	1.03	Avg Bet	0.57	Avg Bet	0.66
Units Profit	20.51	Units Profit	23.10	Units Profit	-2.09	Units Profit	-0.50
ROI %	16%	ROI %	23%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-5%

Patty Buns: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	4.75	-2.3	-49%	-2.3 / 4.75 (-49%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	0.5	0.3	69%	0.3 / 0.5 (69%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	5	3.3	67%	3.3 / 5 (67%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	2.5	1.4	55%	0.9 / 1.75 (51%)	0.5 / 0.75 (65%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	6.75	1.9	28%	1.5 / 4.75 (32%)	-0.3 / 0.75 (-33%)	0.6 / 1.25 (50%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	2.5	-0.2	-8%	-0.5 / 1.75 (-27%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	0.5 / 0.5 (104%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	3	1.5	51%	-0.3 / 2 (-14%)	1.8 / 1 (183%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	4.5	0.7	15%	-0.0 / 3.25 (-1%)	0.7 / 1.25 (57%)
23rd Sep '23	Bellator 299	1	0.3	27%	0.3 / 1 (27%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	0.75	-0.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	2	-0.5	-25%	0.5 / 1 (50%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	2	1.5	74%	1.5 / 2 (74%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	2	-0.5	-24%	0.3 / 1.25 (22%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	1.5	1.5	97%	1.5 / 1.5 (97%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	3.5	2.3	65%	2.3 / 3.5 (65%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	4	-0.3	-8%	-0.3 / 4 (-8%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	2.5	1.6	65%	1.6 / 2.5 (65%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	5	-5.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	2.375	2.9	122%	2.9 / 2.375 (122%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	4.5	-1.1	-23%	-1.1 / 4.5 (-23%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	2.25	0.2	11%	1.2 / 1.25 (99%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3.75	-1.1	-29%	-0.8 / 3.5 (-23%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4.5	3.2	70%	3.2 / 4.5 (70%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	4.25	3.7	88%	4.2 / 3.75 (113%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	4.75	1.5	31%	1.5 / 4.75 (31%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	5.25	-1.8	-34%	0.2 / 3.25 (7%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	8.375	4.2	50%	2.2 / 7.25 (30%)		2.0 / 1.125 (179%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	2.875	0.4	14%	0.8 / 2.5 (32%)	-0.4 / 0.375 (-100%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	4.875	-0.7	-14%	-0.3 / 3.5 (-9%)	0.4 / 0.625 (60%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	3.25	-0.3	-11%	1.2 / 1.75 (66%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	5.25	1.8	35%	-0.4 / 1.5 (-26%)	1.1 / 2.25 (50%)	1.1 / 1.5 (74%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	1.25	-0.7	-54%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.3 / 0.25 (130%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	2.5	1.0	40%	-0.2 / 1.25 (-16%)	1.2 / 1.25 (95%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	6.875	2.0	29%	1.9 / 4 (48%)	0.1 / 2.875 (2%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	5.775	-4.5	-78%	-2.2 / 3.5 (-63%)	-0.3 / 0.275 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	4.6	3.0	64%	2.0 / 2.6 (77%)	0.5 / 1 (47%)	0.5 / 1 (48%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	0.1	0.1	57%	0.1 / 0.1 (57%)

Winning Events: 23 (62%)
Losing Events: 14 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.54 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.38 units
Best Event: 4.16 units
Worst Event: -5.00 units
Average Event: 0.55 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -5.00

Patty Buns: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	131	20.5	16%	23.0 / 99.975 (23%)		-0.5 / 10.625 (-5%)	22 / 14 (61%)	0.57
2022	0.1	0.1	57%	0.1 / 0.1 (57%)			1 / (100%)	0.06

Patty Buns: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Patty Buns: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	130.1	20.2	16%	22.8 / 99.075 (23%)	-2.1 / 20.4 (-10%)	-0.5 / 10.625 (-5%)
Bellator	1	0.3	27%	0.3 / 1 (27%)

Patty Buns: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	14 (14%)	11	79 %	20.25	1.63	0.12	8%
Slight Favorites	47 (47%)	35	74 %	53.60	19.49	0.41	36%
Slight Underdogs	30 (30%)	15	50 %	21.98	6.22	0.21	28%
Big Underdogs	9 (9%)	0	0 %	4.25	-4.25	-0.47	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	16 (16%)	11	69 %	21.00	6.92	0.43	33%
Co-Main Event	16 (16%)	10	63 %	18.60	6.49	0.41	35%
Position 3-5	35 (35%)	17	49 %	33.10	-1.48	-0.04	-4%
6+ (Undercard)	33 (33%)	23	70 %	27.38	11.16	0.34	41%

Patty Buns: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (6%)	3	50 %	4.50	-0.15	-0.02	-3%
Light Heavy	10 (10%)	7	70 %	9.35	3.92	0.39	42%
Middleweight	11 (11%)	8	73 %	15.75	4.07	0.37	26%
Welterweight	10 (10%)	3	30 %	11.00	-3.33	-0.33	-30%
Lightweight	18 (18%)	8	44 %	14.10	-2.29	-0.13	-16%
Featherweight	16 (16%)	12	75 %	16.38	8.92	0.56	54%
Bantamweight	11 (11%)	7	64 %	11.75	4.37	0.40	37%
Flyweight	7 (7%)	5	71 %	7.50	2.61	0.37	35%

Women's Fights	11 (11%)	8	73 %	9.75	4.97	0.45	51%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.87	0.87	87%
Flyweight	4 (4%)	3	75 %	4.00	3.23	0.81	81%
Strawweight	6 (6%)	4	67 %	4.75	0.87	0.14	18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	27 (77%)	18	67 %
Slight Favorites	8 (23%)	4	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	35	22	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (3%)	1	100 %
50-65%	13 (34%)	6	46 %
35-50%	6 (16%)	3	50 %
<35% chance	18 (47%)	4	22 %
	38	14	37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.77	1.77	1.77	0.8 (77%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (13%)	4	80 %	1.83	2.05	1.47	2.2 (45%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (8%)	0	0 %	1.69	1.74	1.61	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (3%)	0	0 %	3.25	3.25	3.25	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (13%)	1	20 %	9.46	22.00	6.00	1.0 (20%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (3%)	0	0 %	4.00	4.00	4.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	15 (39%)	7	47 %	2.52	7.00	1.65	4.4 (30%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (8%)	0	0 %	7.37	36.00	2.90	-3.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (11%)	1	25 %	1.99	4.00	1.61	-2.4 (-60%)
	38	14	37 %	2.62			-2.0 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Patty Buns's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	0.1	0.1	57%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$995.57
21st Jan	UFC 283	4.6	3.0	64%		$9.96	$995.57	$1,024.96
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	5.775	-4.5	-78%		$10.25	$1,024.96	$978.94
11th Feb	UFC 284	6.875	2.0	29%		$9.79	$978.94	$998.13
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	2.5	1.0	40%		$9.98	$998.13	$1,008.02
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	1.25	-0.7	-54%		$10.08	$1,008.02	$1,001.22
4th Mar	UFC 285	5.25	1.8	35%	$5	$10.01	$1,001.22	$1,014.74
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	3.25	-0.3	-11%	$5	$10.15	$1,014.74	$1,006.24
18th Mar	UFC 286	4.875	-0.7	-14%	$5	$10.06	$1,006.24	$994.44
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	2.875	0.4	14%	$5	$9.94	$994.44	$993.57
8th Apr	UFC 287	8.375	4.2	50%	$5	$9.94	$993.57	$1,029.92
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	5.25	-1.8	-34%	$5	$10.30	$1,029.92	$1,006.64
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	4.75	1.5	31%		$10.07	$1,006.64	$1,021.36
6th May	UFC 288	4.25	3.7	88%	$5	$10.21	$1,021.36	$1,054.56
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4.5	3.2	70%	$5	$10.55	$1,054.56	$1,082.93
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3.75	-1.1	-29%	$5	$10.83	$1,082.93	$1,066.34
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	2.25	0.2	11%		$10.66	$1,066.34	$1,068.92
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	4.5	-1.1	-23%		$10.69	$1,068.92	$1,057.63
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	2.375	2.9	122%		$10.58	$1,057.63	$1,088.22
8th Jul	UFC 290	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.88	$1,088.22	$1,033.81
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	2.5	1.6	65%		$10.34	$1,033.81	$1,050.64
29th Jul	UFC 291	4	-0.3	-8%		$10.51	$1,050.64	$1,047.13
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	3.5	2.3	65%		$10.47	$1,047.13	$1,071.00
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	1.5	1.5	97%		$10.71	$1,071.00	$1,086.55
19th Aug	UFC 292	2	-0.5	-24%		$10.87	$1,086.55	$1,081.40
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	2	1.5	74%		$10.81	$1,081.40	$1,097.42
9th Sep	UFC 293	2	-0.5	-25%		$10.97	$1,097.42	$1,091.93
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	0.75	-0.8	-100%		$10.92	$1,091.93	$1,083.74
23rd Sep	Bellator 299	1	0.3	27%		$10.84	$1,083.74	$1,086.67
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	4.5	0.7	15%		$10.87	$1,086.67	$1,094.00
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	3	1.5	51%		$10.94	$1,094.00	$1,110.86
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	2.5	-0.2	-8%		$11.11	$1,110.86	$1,108.68
21st Oct	UFC 294	6.75	1.9	28%	$5	$11.09	$1,108.68	$1,124.75
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	2.5	1.4	55%	$5	$11.25	$1,124.75	$1,135.32
11th Nov	UFC 295	5	3.3	67%	$5	$11.35	$1,135.32	$1,168.33
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	0.5	0.3	69%	$5	$11.68	$1,168.33	$1,167.36
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	4.75	-2.3	-49%	$5	$11.67	$1,167.36	$1,135.03

ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Patty Buns: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Rafael Estevam	Charles Johnson	1.69	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '23	Arman Tsarukyan	Beneil Dariush	1.61	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:4)
3.	Nov '23	Jared Gordon	Mark O. Madsen	1.59	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:42)
4.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:30)
5.	Nov '23	Jared Gordon	Mark O. Madsen	1.59	1	TKO, R1 (4:42)
6.	Nov '23	Angela Hill	Denise Gomes	2.20	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Nov '23	Vitor Petrino	Modestas Bukauskas	1.40	1.5	TKO, R2 (1:3)
8.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.15	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:30)
9.	Nov '23	Alex Pereira	Jiri Prochazka	1.74	1	TKO, R2 (4:8)
10.	Oct '23	Sharabutdin Magomedov	Bruno Silva	1.38	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Oct '23	Khamzat Chimaev	Kamaru Usman	1.37	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '23	Trevor Peek	Mohammad Yahya	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '23	Christian Rodriguez	Cameron Saaiman	1.71	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Sep '23	Bryce Mitchell	Dan Ige	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Sep '23	Johnny Eblen	Fabian Edwards	1.27	1	TKO, R3 (0:21)
17.	Sep '23	Jamie Mullarkey	John Makdessi	1.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '23	Marlon Vera	Pedro Munhoz	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '23	Erin Blanchfield	Taila Santos	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Iasmin Lucindo	Polyana Viana	1.53	1	Sub, R2 (3:42)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Rob Font	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.80	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Dec '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Sean Brady	2.05	0.5	Sub, R3 (1:43)	No
3.	Dec '23	Bobby Green	Jalin Turner	3.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No
4.	Dec '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Sean Brady	2.05	1.5	Sub, R3 (1:43)	No
5.	Nov '23	Dennis Buzukja	Jamall Emmers	3.55	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:49)	No
6.	Oct '23	Muin Gafurov	Said Nurmagomedov	2.80	0.25	Sub, R1 (1:13)	No
7.	Oct '23	Tim Elliott	Muhammad Mokaev	5.20	0.25	Sub, R3 (3:3)	No
8.	Oct '23	Adrian Yanez	Jonathan Martinez	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (2:26)	No
9.	Oct '23	Montana De La Rosa	J.J. Aldrich	1.71	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Oct '23	Alex Morono	Joaquin Buckley	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Sep '23	Jake Collier	Mohammed Usman	2.25	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Sep '23	Rafael Fiziev	Mateusz Gamrot	1.65	1	TKO, R2 (2:3)	No
13.	Sep '23	Kevin Holland	Jack Della Maddalena	2.30	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '23	Chris Weidman	Brad Tavares	3.15	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '23	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Derrick Lewis	1.53	1	TKO, R1 (0:33)	No
16.	Jul '23	Dustin Poirier	Justin Gaethje	1.77	1	TKO, R2 (1:0)	No
17.	Jul '23	Yair Rodriguez	Alex Volkanovski	4.15	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:19)	No
18.	Jul '23	Brandon Moreno	Alexandre Pantoja	1.54	1.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Jun '23	Marvin Vettori	Jared Cannonier	1.91	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	May '23	Michael Johnson	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.30	0.25	TKO, R2 (1:50)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Patty Buns: Progress Chart

Chart

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