MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Algorithm

The Algorithm (TheAlgorithm)

MMA MHandicapper - The Algorithm

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	33 (69%)	Right	33 (69%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	15 (31%)	Wrong	15 (31%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.43	Avg Odds	1.43	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	253.0	Units Bet	253.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	5.27	Avg Bet	5.27	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	7.78	Units Profit	7.78	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	3%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

The Algorithm: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	11	20.3	185%	20.3 / 11 (185%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	22	2.8	13%	2.8 / 22 (13%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	42	-10.3	-25%	-10.3 / 42 (-25%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	44	-3.2	-7%	-3.2 / 44 (-7%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	18	3.5	20%	3.5 / 18 (20%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	31	-11.5	-37%	-11.5 / 31 (-37%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	16	0.1	1%	0.1 / 16 (1%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	35	4.4	13%	4.4 / 35 (13%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	20	4.1	21%	4.1 / 20 (21%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	11	-0.8	-8%	-0.8 / 11 (-8%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	3	-1.6	-52%	-1.6 / 3 (-52%)

Winning Events: 6 (55%)
Losing Events: 5 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 44.00 units
Best Event: 20.35 units
Worst Event: -11.55 units
Average Event: 0.71 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.10
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -13.53

The Algorithm: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	239	10.2	4%	10.2 / 239 (4%)			6 / 3 (67%)	1.13
2022	14	-2.4	-17%	-2.4 / 14 (-17%)			/ 2 (0%)	-1.21

The Algorithm: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Algorithm: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	253	7.8	3%	7.8 / 253 (3%)

The Algorithm: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	36 (75%)	29	81 %	207.00	-9.26	-0.26	-4%
Slight Favorites	4 (8%)	2	50 %	7.00	-0.06	-0.02	-1%
Slight Underdogs	6 (13%)	2	33 %	37.00	19.10	3.18	52%
Big Underdogs	2 (4%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (8%)	3	75 %	26.00	22.72	5.68	87%
Co-Main Event	5 (10%)	3	60 %	27.00	2.79	0.56	10%
Position 3-5	12 (25%)	9	75 %	83.00	-0.55	-0.05	-1%
6+ (Undercard)	27 (56%)	18	67 %	117.00	-17.18	-0.64	-15%

The Algorithm: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	22.00	14.85	7.43	68%
Light Heavy	5 (10%)	2	40 %	21.00	-13.31	-2.66	-63%
Middleweight	6 (13%)	4	67 %	22.00	-0.77	-0.13	-3%
Welterweight	7 (15%)	6	86 %	46.00	25.76	3.68	56%
Lightweight	8 (17%)	6	75 %	43.00	-4.98	-0.62	-12%
Featherweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	4.00	-1.24	-0.31	-31%
Bantamweight	4 (8%)	3	75 %	22.00	3.53	0.88	16%
Flyweight	5 (10%)	4	80 %	30.00	-7.09	-1.42	-24%

Women's Fights	7 (15%)	4	57 %	43.00	-8.97	-1.28	-21%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.00	1.00	20%
Flyweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	35.00	-9.59	-2.40	-27%
Strawweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	3.00	-0.38	-0.19	-13%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Algorithm's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th Dec	UFC 282	3	-1.6	-52%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$984.30
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	11	-0.8	-8%		$9.84	$984.30	$975.93
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	20	4.1	21%		$9.76	$975.93	$1,015.95
21st Jan	UFC 283	35	4.4	13%		$10.16	$1,015.95	$1,060.75
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	16	0.1	1%		$10.61	$1,060.75	$1,062.13
11th Feb	UFC 284	31	-11.5	-37%		$10.62	$1,062.13	$939.45
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	18	3.5	20%		$9.39	$939.45	$972.71
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	44	-3.2	-7%		$9.73	$972.71	$941.68
4th Mar	UFC 285	42	-10.3	-25%		$9.42	$941.68	$844.31
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	22	2.8	13%		$8.44	$844.31	$867.53
18th Mar	UFC 286	11	20.3	185%		$8.68	$867.53	$1,044.07

ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.41% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Algorithm: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '23	Leon Edwards	Kamaru Usman	2.85	11	Split Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Mar '23	Alexander Volkov	Alexander Romanov	2.25	11	TKO, R1 (2:16)
3.	Mar '23	Tabatha Ricci	Jessica Penne	1.31	2	Sub, R2 (2:14)
4.	Mar '23	Ian Garry	Kenan Song	1.12	11	TKO, R3 (4:22)
5.	Mar '23	Dricus Du Plessis	Derek Brunson	1.44	2	TKO, R2 (4:59)
6.	Mar '23	Bo Nickal	Jamie Pickett	1.04	11	Sub, R1 (2:54)
7.	Mar '23	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Geoff Neal	1.20	2	Sub, R3 (4:17)
8.	Feb '23	Joe Solecki	Carl Deaton	1.17	11	Sub, R2 (4:55)
9.	Feb '23	Mike Malott	Yohan Lainesse	1.42	11	Sub, R1 (4:15)
10.	Feb '23	Tatiana Suarez	Montana De La Rosa	1.12	11	Sub, R2 (2:51)
11.	Feb '23	A.J. Fletcher	Themba Gorimbo	1.34	3	Sub, R2 (1:37)
12.	Feb '23	Nazim Sadykhov	Evan Elder	1.50	2	TKO, R3 (0:38)
13.	Feb '23	Philipe Lins	Ovince St Preux	1.43	3	TKO, R1 (0:49)
14.	Feb '23	Mayra Bueno Silva	Lina Lansberg	1.20	5	Sub, R2 (4:45)
15.	Feb '23	Alexander Hernandez	Jim Miller	1.41	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '23	Jack Jenkins	Don Shainis	1.26	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '23	Jamie Mullarkey	Francisco Prado	1.36	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '23	Yair Rodriguez	Josh Emmett	1.50	1	Sub, R2 (4:19)
19.	Feb '23	Islam Makhachev	Alex Volkanovski	1.27	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Feb '23	Tatsuro Taira	Jesus Santos Aguilar	1.07	11	Sub, R1 (4:20)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '23	Ryan Spann	Nikita Krylov	2.35	11	Sub, R1 (3:38)	No
2.	Mar '23	Julian Marquez	Marc-Andre Barriault	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (4:12)	No
3.	Mar '23	Valentina Shevchenko	Alexa Grasso	1.14	11	Sub, R4 (4:34)	No
4.	Mar '23	Jalin Turner	Mateusz Gamrot	2.60	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '23	Charles Johnson	Ode Osbourne	1.50	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '23	Jessica Andrade	Erin Blanchfield	1.79	2	Sub, R2 (1:37)	No
7.	Feb '23	Zubaira Tukhugov	Elves Brenner	1.17	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '23	Shane Young	Blake Bilder	1.66	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '23	Elise Reed	Loma Lookboonmee	3.40	1	Sub, R2 (0:44)	No
10.	Feb '23	Tyson Pedro	Modestas Bukauskas	1.39	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '23	Da Un Jung	Devin Clark	1.39	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jan '23	Gregory Rodrigues	Brunno Ferreira	1.30	3	TKO, R1 (4:13)	No
13.	Dec '22	Jake Matthews	Matt Semelsberger	1.35	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '22	Steven Koslow	Cameron Saaiman	3.60	1	TKO, R3 (4:13)	No
15.	Dec '22	Bryce Mitchell	Ilia Topuria	2.23	1	Sub, R2 (3:10)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Algorithm: Progress Chart

Chart

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