MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: tonky

tonky (tonky)

MMA MHandicapper - tonky

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	26 (31%)	Right	15 (48%)	Right	5 (12%)	Right	6 (55%)
Wrong	59 (69%)	Wrong	16 (52%)	Wrong	38 (88%)	Wrong	5 (45%)
Avg Odds	2.64	Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	3.72	Avg Odds	2.27
Units Bet	96.3	Units Bet	53.9	Units Bet	25.4	Units Bet	17.0
Avg Bet	1.13	Avg Bet	1.74	Avg Bet	0.59	Avg Bet	1.54
Units Profit	-14.08	Units Profit	1.28	Units Profit	-15.02	Units Profit	-0.35
ROI %	-15%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	-59%	ROI %	-2%

tonky : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th May '23	UFC 288	14.85	-0.4	-3%	2.5 / 5.75 (43%)	-4.9 / 8.1 (-60%)	2.0 / 1 (204%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	11.8	-8.0	-68%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-3.2 / 7.05 (-46%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	9.9	-0.3	-3%	0.9 / 8.7 (10%)		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	9.65	-2.9	-30%	-2.9 / 8 (-37%)	0.1 / 1.65 (3%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	3.46	-3.5	-100%		-3.5 / 3.46 (-100%)
31st Mar '23	Bellator 293	4.45	0.0	0%	0.3 / 2 (17%)	-1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)	1.1 / 1 (112%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	6.65	5.1	76%	0.9 / 3 (31%)	1.0 / 1.15 (87%)	3.2 / 2.5 (126%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	1	1.5	150%	1.5 / 1 (150%)
10th Feb '23	LFA 152	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	6	-2.6	-43%	-1.6 / 5 (-32%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	2	1.1	55%	1.1 / 2 (55%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	4.6	1.3	28%	0.4 / 3.6 (11%)		0.9 / 1 (92%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	7	3.3	48%	3.3 / 7 (48%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	7.9	-1.3	-16%	-1.6 / 4.35 (-36%)	-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)	1.9 / 2 (93%)
9th Dec '22	Bellator 289	4	-4.0	-100%		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 6 (40%)
Losing Events: 9 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.85 units
Best Event: 5.08 units
Worst Event: -7.99 units
Average Event: -0.94 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 6.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -15.05

tonky : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	77.86	-12.1	-16%	-0.5 / 42.55 (-1%)		0.3 / 12.45 (2%)	5 / 7 (42%)	-1.01
2022	18.9	-1.9	-10%	1.8 / 11.35 (15%)		-0.6 / 4.5 (-14%)	1 / 2 (33%)	-0.65

tonky : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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tonky : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	81.35	-3.1	-4%	1.4 / 51.4 (3%)	-8.6 / 19.5 (-44%)	4.0 / 10.45 (39%)
Bellator	8.45	-4.0	-47%	0.3 / 2 (17%)	-3.0 / 2.95 (-100%)	-1.4 / 3.5 (-39%)
PFL	3.46	-3.5	-100%		-3.5 / 3.46 (-100%)
Other	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

tonky : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (16%)	3	60 %	16.00	-4.98	-1.00	-31%
Slight Favorites	12 (39%)	7	58 %	22.75	1.88	0.16	8%
Slight Underdogs	10 (32%)	5	50 %	13.45	6.09	0.61	45%
Big Underdogs	4 (13%)	0	0 %	1.70	-1.70	-0.43	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (13%)	3	75 %	9.00	1.62	0.41	18%
Co-Main Event	4 (13%)	1	25 %	5.10	-1.23	-0.31	-24%
Position 3-5	7 (23%)	4	57 %	11.85	2.52	0.36	21%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (52%)	7	44 %	27.95	-1.63	-0.10	-6%

tonky : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	6.00	-0.09	-0.03	-2%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.10	1.10	55%
Middleweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	5.50	2.33	0.78	42%
Welterweight	4 (13%)	1	25 %	7.00	-4.51	-1.13	-64%
Lightweight	6 (19%)	2	33 %	6.80	-0.59	-0.10	-9%
Featherweight	3 (10%)	1	33 %	4.00	-0.93	-0.31	-23%
Bantamweight	4 (13%)	2	50 %	7.60	0.35	0.09	5%
Flyweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	5.00	5.42	1.81	108%

Women's Fights	4 (13%)	2	50 %	10.00	-1.80	-0.45	-18%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	8.50	-0.30	-0.10	-4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	23 (88%)	17	74 %
Slight Favorites	3 (12%)	2	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	26	19	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (6%)	3	100 %
50-65%	10 (21%)	4	40 %
35-50%	7 (15%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	28 (58%)	1	4 %
	48	8	17 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (4%)	0	0 %	1.75	1.75	1.75	-2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.98	1.98	1.98	1.0 (98%)
Fight Starts Round X	7 (15%)	5	71 %	1.62	2.18	1.28	0.6 (9%)
X Wins by KO	5 (10%)	0	0 %	4.02	8.50	2.55	-5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (4%)	0	0 %	4.07	5.30	3.30	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (17%)	1	13 %	3.10	8.00	1.87	-6.1 (-77%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (10%)	0	0 %	2.62	5.90	1.74	-5.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (4%)	0	0 %	26.67	30.00	24.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	16 (33%)	1	6 %	8.74	34.00	1.77	3.0 (19%)
	48	8	17 %	3.40			-17.5 (-36%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail tonky 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Dec	Bellator 289	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$960.00
10th Dec	UFC 282	7.9	-1.3	-16%		$9.60	$960.00	$947.89
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	7	3.3	48%		$9.48	$947.89	$979.41
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	4.6	1.3	28%		$9.79	$979.41	$992.22
21st Jan	UFC 283	2	1.1	55%		$9.92	$992.22	$1,003.12
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	6	-2.6	-43%		$10.03	$1,003.12	$977.13
10th Feb	LFA 152	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$9.77	$977.13	$942.93
4th Mar	UFC 285	1	1.5	150%		$9.43	$942.93	$957.07
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	6.65	5.1	76%		$9.57	$957.07	$1,005.72
31st Mar	Bellator 293	4.45	0.0	0%		$10.06	$1,005.72	$1,005.83
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	3.46	-3.5	-100%		$10.06	$1,005.83	$971.03
8th Apr	UFC 287	9.65	-2.9	-30%		$9.71	$971.03	$942.92
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	9.9	-0.3	-3%		$9.43	$942.92	$939.80
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	11.8	-8.0	-68%		$9.40	$939.80	$864.68
6th May	UFC 288	14.85	-0.4	-3%		$8.65	$864.68	$861.45

ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.86% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

tonky : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '23	Virna Jandiroba	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	2.08	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '23	Yan Xiaonan	Jessica Andrade	2.54	2	TKO, R1 (2:20)
3.	Apr '23	Max Holloway	Arnold Allen	1.53	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Apr '23	Brandon Royval	Matheus Nicolau	2.60	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:9)
5.	Apr '23	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.68	3	TKO, R2 (4:21)
6.	Mar '23	Adam Piccolotti	Mandel Nallo	2.34	1	Sub, R3 (4:26)
7.	Mar '23	Victor Altamirano	Vinicius Salvador	1.96	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '23	Marcin Tybura	Blagoy Ivanov	1.70	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '23	Jon Jones	Ciryl Gane	2.50	1	Sub, R1 (2:4)
10.	Jan '23	Johnny Walker	Paul Craig	1.55	2	TKO, R1 (2:16)
11.	Jan '23	Javid Basharat	Mateus Mendonca	1.33	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '22	Sergey Morozov	Journey Newson	1.32	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '22	Rinat Fakhretdinov	Bryan Battle	1.66	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '22	Arman Tsarukyan	Damir Ismagulov	1.55	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '22	Dricus Du Plessis	Darren Till	1.59	1.75	Sub, R3 (2:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '23	Joseph Holmes	Claudio Ribeiro	2.38	0.75	TKO, R2 (3:21)	No
2.	May '23	Gilbert Burns	Belal Muhammad	1.76	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '23	Curtis Blaydes	Sergey Pavlovich	1.56	3	TKO, R1 (3:8)	No
4.	Apr '23	Lando Vannata	Daniel Zellhuber	2.08	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '23	Aaron Phillips	Gaston Bolanos	2.56	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '23	Lucie Pudilova	Joselyne Edwards	1.70	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '23	Nick Browne	Mike Hamel	2.46	1	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
8.	Apr '23	Jaqueline Amorim	Sam Hughes	1.34	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '23	Preston Parsons	Trevin Giles	1.93	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '23	Luis Muro	Will Starks	3.70	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '23	Yusaku Kinoshita	Adam Fugitt	1.32	3	TKO, R1 (4:36)	No
12.	Jan '23	Jimmy Flick	Charles Johnson	4.10	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:33)	No
13.	Jan '23	Raoni Barcelos	Umar Nurmagomedov	8.00	0.1	TKO, R1 (4:40)	No
14.	Dec '22	Erik Silva	T.J. Brown	1.98	1	Sub, R3 (3:41)	No
15.	Dec '22	Jared Gordon	Paddy Pimblett	3.05	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '22	Bryce Mitchell	Ilia Topuria	2.80	1	Sub, R2 (3:10)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

tonky : Progress Chart

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