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MMA Handicapper Stats: Violence Guy

Violence Guy (Violenceguy)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	283 (49%)	Right	134 (52%)	Right	100 (42%)	Right	49 (63%)
Wrong	291 (51%)	Wrong	124 (48%)	Wrong	138 (58%)	Wrong	29 (37%)
Avg Odds	2.33	Avg Odds	2.13	Avg Odds	2.86	Avg Odds	1.84
Units Bet	724.0	Units Bet	347.8	Units Bet	226.6	Units Bet	149.6
Avg Bet	1.26	Avg Bet	1.35	Avg Bet	0.95	Avg Bet	1.92
Units Profit	91.12	Units Profit	42.53	Units Profit	47.88	Units Profit	0.71
ROI %	13%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	21%	ROI %	0%

Violence Guy: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	5.89	2.8	48%	2.5 / 3.84 (65%)	0.3 / 2.05 (15%)
25th Nov '23	Brave CF 76	2	1.0	50%	1.0 / 2 (50%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	8.47	3.3	39%	2.3 / 4.65 (49%)		1.0 / 3.82 (26%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	11.83	0.7	6%	-0.5 / 2.83 (-18%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	3.2 / 7 (45%)
17th Nov '23	LFA 172	2.33	2.8	120%	1.5 / 1 (155%)		1.2 / 1.33 (93%)
17th Nov '23	Bellator 301	8.13	0.0	0%	1.0 / 4.93 (20%)	0.4 / 1.75 (25%)	-1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	22.96	6.2	27%	3.1 / 13.31 (23%)	1.0 / 7.65 (13%)	2.0 / 2 (102%)
11th Nov '23	KSW 88	2	0.8	40%	0.8 / 2 (40%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	16.18	-5.7	-35%	3.4 / 7.06 (48%)		-9.1 / 9.12 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	Rizin Landmark 7	1.25	-1.3	-100%	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
28th Oct '23	Cage Warriors 162	1	1.1	110%	1.1 / 1 (110%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	14.73	9.5	65%	4.8 / 1.75 (275%)	4.1 / 6.88 (60%)	0.6 / 6.1 (10%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	12.6	2.5	20%	2.0 / 7.8 (26%)	-0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)	1.4 / 3.9 (35%)
14th Oct '23	Cage Warriors 161	5.25	3.1	60%	1.0 / 1.25 (80%)		2.1 / 4 (54%)
14th Oct '23	KSW 87	1	1.8	180%	1.8 / 1 (180%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	11.72	3.0	26%	0.1 / 6.75 (2%)	-0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)	3.6 / 4.3 (83%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	9.54	-0.2	-2%	-4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)	2.0 / 2.27 (90%)	2.5 / 2.52 (100%)
7th Oct '23	Oktagon 47	3.8	1.0	26%	1.0 / 3.8 (26%)
1st Oct '23	Rizin Landmark 6	2.7	-2.7	-100%	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
30th Sep '23	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	3.55	3.0	86%		1.5 / 2.05 (73%)	1.5 / 1.5 (103%)
24th Sep '23	Rizin 44	3.64	2.0	55%	2.0 / 3.64 (55%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10.2	0.4	4%	-0.3 / 7.56 (-4%)	-0.4 / 1.64 (-24%)	1.0 / 1 (102%)
23rd Sep '23	Bellator 299	5.11	-1.6	-32%	-1.6 / 5.11 (-32%)
22nd Sep '23	LFA 168	1.15	1.0	87%	1.0 / 1.15 (87%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	16.4	6.4	39%	4.0 / 4.2 (95%)	0.4 / 9 (4%)	2.0 / 3.2 (62%)
16th Sep '23	KSW 86	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Sep '23	LFA 167	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	9.63	-9.6	-100%	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)	-2.2 / 2.23 (-100%)	-6.8 / 6.8 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	5	2.3	45%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.8 / 2 (91%)	1.5 / 2 (73%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	10.5	2.5	24%	1.0 / 7 (14%)	1.5 / 3.5 (43%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	15.12	-3.7	-25%	1.4 / 4.7 (29%)	-3.1 / 8.42 (-37%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	7.65	-4.5	-59%	1.5 / 1.65 (90%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	3.8	1.2	32%		0.2 / 2.6 (8%)	1.0 / 1.2 (86%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	8.25	4.7	57%	3.0 / 6.25 (48%)	1.7 / 2 (83%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	3.35	-1.8	-54%	1.0 / 0.5 (205%)	-2.9 / 2.85 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	7.05	0.7	10%	2.5 / 3.2 (78%)	-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)	0.0 / 2 (2%)
5th Aug '23	LFA 164	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	One Fight Night 13	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th Aug '23	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	2.75	-0.3	-10%	-0.1 / 1.5 (-7%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	0.6 / 0.5 (115%)
30th Jul '23	Bellator vs Rizin 2	1.65	-1.7	-100%	-1.7 / 1.65 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	16.68	3.7	22%	-3.8 / 8.36 (-45%)	4.6 / 5.32 (87%)	2.8 / 3 (93%)
29th Jul '23	Oktagon 45	1	2.6	260%	2.6 / 1 (260%)
29th Jul '23	Cage Warriors 158	1.55	-1.6	-100%	-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	10.96	1.9	18%	4.4 / 8.5 (52%)	-2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
21st Jul '23	Cage Warriors 157	1.65	1.5	94%	1.5 / 1.65 (94%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	5.94	1.0	17%	1.5 / 3.28 (46%)	0.5 / 1.66 (30%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	3	-0.3	-8%	1.7 / 1 (175%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9	-3.8	-42%	-2.3 / 5.75 (-40%)	1.5 / 0.25 (600%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.88	5.0	73%	5.0 / 6.88 (73%)
23rd Jun '23	PFL 6: Regular Season	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	10.3	2.5	24%	0.5 / 2 (27%)	2.0 / 8.3 (24%)
17th Jun '23	Oktagon 44	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jun '23	PFL 5: Regular Season	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jun '23	Bellator 297	12.4	-7.9	-64%	-7.9 / 7.9 (-100%)	-0.2 / 1.5 (-13%)	0.1 / 3 (5%)
16th Jun '23	ACA 159	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	2.4	2.0	83%			2.0 / 2.4 (83%)
8th Jun '23	PFL 4: Regular Season	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	2.85	-0.4	-12%	-0.4 / 2.85 (-12%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3.2	-0.1	-2%	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)	2.2 / 1 (215%)
20th May '23	LFA 158	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4.25	2.0	47%	1.0 / 2.75 (36%)	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
12th May '23	Bellator 296	5	-3.0	-60%	-3.0 / 5 (-60%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	8.05	-0.8	-10%	-2.3 / 5.4 (-43%)	1.5 / 2.65 (55%)
6th May '23	Cage Warriors 154	1	0.6	56%		0.6 / 1 (56%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	7.5	-1.2	-17%	1.6 / 2 (80%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.3 / 4 (-34%)
22nd Apr '23	Bellator 295	1.75	2.2	127%	2.5 / 1.5 (165%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	14.33	9.9	69%	4.7 / 5.23 (89%)	3.5 / 5.7 (61%)	1.7 / 3.4 (49%)
22nd Apr '23	KSW 81	1.5	1.7	115%	1.7 / 1.5 (115%)
21st Apr '23	LFA 157	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Apr '23	Bellator 294	1.5	0.1	7%	0.1 / 1.5 (7%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	10.56	6.8	64%	4.2 / 7.66 (55%)	2.6 / 2.9 (88%)
15th Apr '23	Cage Warriors 152	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Apr '23	PFL 3: 2023	2.05	0.0	0%	0.2 / 1.9 (8%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	15.71	10.9	69%	5.4 / 6.16 (88%)	2.5 / 6.2 (40%)	3.0 / 3.35 (90%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	1.5	1.0	67%	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	5.3	-1.7	-32%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.7 / 2.9 (25%)	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
24th Mar '23	Cage Warriors 151	3	0.2	7%	2.2 / 1 (220%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	17.85	4.8	27%	-0.2 / 5.85 (-3%)	3.3 / 10 (33%)	1.7 / 2 (84%)
17th Mar '23	PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 8	0.5	1.1	210%		1.1 / 0.5 (210%)
17th Mar '23	Cage Warriors 150	1	1.1	115%	1.1 / 1 (115%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	10.6	-3.2	-30%		-2.3 / 7.6 (-31%)	-0.9 / 3 (-30%)
10th Mar '23	Bellator 292	4	-1.5	-38%	1.0 / 1.5 (66%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	16.14	3.0	19%	1.3 / 2.5 (50%)	6.8 / 6.5 (105%)	-5.1 / 7.14 (-71%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	17.12	-6.2	-36%	-0.1 / 11.02 (-1%)	-6.1 / 6.1 (-100%)
25th Feb '23	Bellator 291	4.9	-0.5	-10%	1.0 / 3.4 (29%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	7.8	-3.3	-42%	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)	-0.1 / 4.6 (-2%)
17th Feb '23	PFL Challenger Series: Week 4	2.2	2.1	93%	1.0 / 1.2 (83%)	1.1 / 1 (105%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	14.84	-4.3	-29%	-0.0 / 5.87 (-0%)	-1.3 / 5.97 (-22%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	12.4	0.1	1%	-3.8 / 5.9 (-65%)	2.9 / 5.5 (53%)	1.0 / 1 (100%)
4th Feb '23	Bellator 290	10.19	0.9	9%	1.8 / 9.27 (20%)	-0.9 / 0.92 (-100%)
3rd Feb '23	PFL Challenger Series: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jan '23	Fury FC 73	3.4	0.5	15%	0.5 / 3.4 (15%)
28th Jan '23	LFA 151	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
28th Jan '23	PFL Challenger Series: Week 1	1	0.5	52%	1.0 / 0.5 (205%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Jan '23	ACA 151	2	1.0	50%	1.0 / 2 (50%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	24.6	-3.2	-13%	-2.0 / 4 (-50%)	2.6 / 11.9 (22%)	-3.8 / 8.7 (-43%)
21st Jan '23	KSW 78	7.82	-0.9	-11%	-2.9 / 5.6 (-51%)	2.0 / 2.22 (90%)
20th Jan '23	Ares FC 11	2	0.9	44%	0.9 / 2 (44%)
18th Jan '23	Invicta FC 51	2.5	2.2	89%	2.2 / 2.5 (89%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	11.6	-1.7	-15%	-0.7 / 3 (-24%)	1.0 / 6.6 (16%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Jan '23	LFA 150	1.65	-0.5	-30%	-0.5 / 1.65 (-30%)
6th Jan '23	LFA 149	0.4	0.6	150%		0.6 / 0.4 (150%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	20.67	12.0	58%	4.8 / 8.7 (55%)	4.0 / 8.62 (46%)	3.2 / 3.35 (96%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	14.89	2.8	19%	-1.6 / 5.17 (-31%)	1.4 / 6.06 (23%)	3.0 / 3.66 (82%)
9th Dec '22	LFA 148	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Dec '22	Bellator 289	6.68	4.6	69%	4.6 / 4.1 (112%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.58 (64%)
8th Dec '22	Ares FC 10	1	0.0	2%	0.0 / 1 (2%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	21.65	4.1	19%	-3.8 / 5.47 (-70%)	2.6 / 8.34 (31%)	5.3 / 7.84 (68%)
25th Nov '22	PFL 2022 #10	12.35	8.4	68%	2.0 / 3.85 (51%)	5.4 / 7.5 (71%)	1.0 / 1 (102%)
20th Nov '22	Cage Warriors 147	1.48	-0.0	-3%	-0.0 / 1.48 (-3%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	14.75	5.8	40%	2.5 / 6.17 (40%)	2.8 / 7.58 (37%)	0.6 / 1 (58%)
18th Nov '22	Anthony Pettis FC 3	1.68	1.0	60%	1.0 / 1.68 (60%)
18th Nov '22	Bellator 288	17.54	9.3	53%		9.5 / 13.49 (70%)	-0.2 / 4.05 (-6%)

Winning Events: 66 (58%)
Losing Events: 47 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 24.60 units
Best Event: 12.02 units
Worst Event: -9.63 units
Average Event: 0.81 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 21.07
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -11.63

Violence Guy: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	621	43.7	7%	33.6 / 309.66 (11%)		-13.2 / 127.13 (-10%)	57 / 45 (56%)	0.43
2022	113.19	47.4	42%	8.9 / 38.12 (23%)		13.9 / 22.48 (62%)	9 / 2 (82%)	4.31

Violence Guy: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Violence Guy: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	513.25	64.1	12%	28.9 / 207.47 (14%)	37.0 / 190.7 (19%)	-1.8 / 115.08 (-2%)
Bellator	98.82	8.6	9%	1.0 / 58.86 (2%)	6.6 / 23.58 (28%)	1.0 / 16.38 (6%)
PFL	38.37	15.1	39%	4.5 / 18 (25%)	6.5 / 13.55 (48%)	4.1 / 6.82 (61%)
Other	83.75	3.4	4%	8.2 / 63.45 (13%)	-2.2 / 8.97 (-24%)	-2.6 / 11.33 (-23%)

Violence Guy: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	24 (9%)	18	75 %	63.21	2.12	0.09	3%
Slight Favorites	90 (34%)	57	63 %	149.08	17.20	0.19	12%
Slight Underdogs	90 (34%)	44	49 %	87.95	9.59	0.11	11%
Big Underdogs	64 (24%)	22	34 %	47.54	13.61	0.21	29%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	30 (11%)	19	63 %	39.59	6.73	0.22	17%
Co-Main Event	37 (14%)	20	54 %	49.10	7.17	0.19	15%
Position 3-5	67 (25%)	34	51 %	90.83	8.14	0.12	9%
6+ (Undercard)	134 (50%)	68	51 %	168.26	20.48	0.15	12%

Violence Guy: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	20 (7%)	14	70 %	23.72	10.15	0.51	43%
Light Heavy	14 (5%)	7	50 %	20.40	1.85	0.13	9%
Middleweight	26 (10%)	12	46 %	33.45	-0.87	-0.03	-3%
Welterweight	46 (17%)	20	43 %	55.53	-4.08	-0.09	-7%
Lightweight	50 (19%)	25	50 %	69.69	0.71	0.01	1%
Featherweight	26 (10%)	12	46 %	35.22	6.61	0.25	19%
Bantamweight	27 (10%)	19	70 %	40.60	18.32	0.68	45%
Flyweight	20 (7%)	14	70 %	28.84	11.36	0.57	39%

Women's Fights	39 (15%)	18	46 %	40.33	-1.54	-0.04	-4%
Featherweight	2 (1%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-0.50	-100%
Bantamweight	8 (3%)	5	63 %	6.89	1.87	0.23	27%
Flyweight	12 (4%)	5	42 %	16.45	-4.41	-0.37	-27%
Strawweight	17 (6%)	8	47 %	15.99	2.00	0.12	12%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	106 (94%)	86	81 %
Slight Favorites	7 (6%)	3	43 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	113	89	79 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	65 (21%)	51	78 %
50-65%	79 (25%)	57	72 %
35-50%	46 (15%)	16	35 %
<35% chance	121 (39%)	24	20 %
	311	148	48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	35 (11%)	32	91 %	1.47	2.45	1.16	13.2 (38%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	79 (25%)	52	66 %	1.68	3.05	1.13	10.1 (13%)
Goes to Decision	3 (1%)	0	0 %	2.51	3.25	1.80	-3.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	9 (3%)	6	67 %	1.68	3.50	1.36	0.2 (2%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (0%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
X Wins by KO	28 (9%)	10	36 %	3.16	26.00	1.67	9.3 (33%)
X Wins by Sub	18 (6%)	4	22 %	3.73	21.00	1.72	-1.5 (-8%)
X Wins by Decision	12 (4%)	3	25 %	3.32	6.50	1.72	-1.3 (-11%)
X Wins Inside Distance	32 (10%)	16	50 %	2.05	6.00	1.20	3.4 (11%)
X Wins in Round X	37 (12%)	4	11 %	11.34	34.00	5.50	-4.0 (-11%)
Others	57 (18%)	20	35 %	2.94	81.97	1.33	13.8 (24%)
	311	148	48 %	2.33			40.7 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Violence Guy's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
18th Nov	Bellator 288	17.54	9.3	53%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,092.76
18th Nov	Anthony Pettis FC 3	1.68	1.0	60%		$10.93	$1,092.76	$1,103.69
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	14.75	5.8	40%		$11.04	$1,103.69	$1,168.07
20th Nov	Cage Warriors 147	1.48	-0.0	-3%		$11.68	$1,168.07	$1,167.60
25th Nov	PFL 2022 #10	12.35	8.4	68%		$11.68	$1,167.60	$1,265.18
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	21.65	4.1	19%		$12.65	$1,265.18	$1,316.79
8th Dec	Ares FC 10	1	0.0	2%		$13.17	$1,316.79	$1,316.98
9th Dec	Bellator 289	6.68	4.6	69%		$13.17	$1,316.98	$1,377.66
9th Dec	LFA 148	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$13.78	$1,377.66	$1,370.77
10th Dec	UFC 282	14.89	2.8	19%		$13.71	$1,370.77	$1,408.70
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	20.67	12.0	58%		$14.09	$1,408.70	$1,577.97
6th Jan	LFA 149	0.4	0.6	150%		$15.78	$1,577.97	$1,587.44
13th Jan	LFA 150	1.65	-0.5	-30%		$15.87	$1,587.44	$1,579.57
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	11.6	-1.7	-15%		$15.80	$1,579.57	$1,552.92
18th Jan	Invicta FC 51	2.5	2.2	89%		$15.53	$1,552.92	$1,587.32
20th Jan	Ares FC 11	2	0.9	44%		$15.87	$1,587.32	$1,601.43
21st Jan	KSW 78	7.82	-0.9	-11%		$16.01	$1,601.43	$1,587.79
21st Jan	UFC 283	24.6	-3.2	-13%		$15.88	$1,587.79	$1,537.30
27th Jan	ACA 151	2	1.0	50%		$15.37	$1,537.30	$1,552.68
28th Jan	PFL Challenger Series: Week 1	1	0.5	52%		$15.53	$1,552.68	$1,560.83
28th Jan	LFA 151	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$15.61	$1,560.83	$1,537.41
29th Jan	Fury FC 73	3.4	0.5	15%		$15.37	$1,537.41	$1,545.10
3rd Feb	PFL Challenger Series: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%		$15.45	$1,545.10	$1,529.65
4th Feb	Bellator 290	10.19	0.9	9%		$15.30	$1,529.65	$1,543.49
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	12.4	0.1	1%		$15.43	$1,543.49	$1,545.50
11th Feb	UFC 284	14.84	-4.3	-29%		$15.46	$1,545.50	$1,478.73
17th Feb	PFL Challenger Series: Week 4	2.2	2.1	93%		$14.79	$1,478.73	$1,509.05
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	7.8	-3.3	-42%		$15.09	$1,509.05	$1,459.25
25th Feb	Bellator 291	4.9	-0.5	-10%		$14.59	$1,459.25	$1,451.96
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	17.12	-6.2	-36%		$14.52	$1,451.96	$1,361.50
4th Mar	UFC 285	16.14	3.0	19%		$13.61	$1,361.50	$1,402.36
10th Mar	Bellator 292	4	-1.5	-38%		$14.02	$1,402.36	$1,381.18
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	10.6	-3.2	-30%		$13.81	$1,381.18	$1,336.73
17th Mar	Cage Warriors 150	1	1.1	115%		$13.37	$1,336.73	$1,352.10
17th Mar	PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 8	0.5	1.1	210%		$13.52	$1,352.10	$1,366.30
18th Mar	UFC 286	17.85	4.8	27%		$13.66	$1,366.30	$1,432.02
24th Mar	Cage Warriors 151	3	0.2	7%		$14.32	$1,432.02	$1,434.88
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	5.3	-1.7	-32%		$14.35	$1,434.88	$1,410.85
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	1.5	1.0	67%		$14.11	$1,410.85	$1,425.03
8th Apr	UFC 287	15.71	10.9	69%		$14.25	$1,425.03	$1,580.61
14th Apr	PFL 3: 2023	2.05	0.0	0%		$15.81	$1,580.61	$1,580.61
15th Apr	Cage Warriors 152	2	-2.0	-100%		$15.81	$1,580.61	$1,549.00
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	10.56	6.8	64%		$15.49	$1,549.00	$1,654.30
21st Apr	Bellator 294	1.5	0.1	7%		$16.54	$1,654.30	$1,655.96
21st Apr	LFA 157	1	-1.0	-100%		$16.56	$1,655.96	$1,639.40
22nd Apr	KSW 81	1.5	1.7	115%		$16.39	$1,639.40	$1,667.68
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	14.33	9.9	69%		$16.68	$1,667.68	$1,831.99
22nd Apr	Bellator 295	1.75	2.2	127%		$18.32	$1,831.99	$1,872.76
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	7.5	-1.2	-17%		$18.73	$1,872.76	$1,849.53
6th May	Cage Warriors 154	1	0.6	56%		$18.50	$1,849.53	$1,859.81
6th May	UFC 288	8.05	-0.8	-10%		$18.60	$1,859.81	$1,844.37
12th May	Bellator 296	5	-3.0	-60%		$18.44	$1,844.37	$1,789.04
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	4.25	2.0	47%		$17.89	$1,789.04	$1,824.82
20th May	LFA 158	1	-1.0	-100%		$18.25	$1,824.82	$1,806.57
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3.2	-0.1	-2%		$18.07	$1,806.57	$1,805.67
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	2.85	-0.4	-12%		$18.06	$1,805.67	$1,799.35
8th Jun	PFL 4: Regular Season	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$17.99	$1,799.35	$1,790.35
10th Jun	UFC 289	2.4	2.0	83%		$17.90	$1,790.35	$1,826.15
16th Jun	ACA 159	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$18.26	$1,826.15	$1,798.75
16th Jun	Bellator 297	12.4	-7.9	-64%		$17.99	$1,798.75	$1,655.83
16th Jun	PFL 5: Regular Season	1	-1.0	-100%		$16.56	$1,655.83	$1,639.27
17th Jun	Oktagon 44	1	-1.0	-100%		$16.39	$1,639.27	$1,622.87
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	10.3	2.5	24%		$16.23	$1,622.87	$1,663.74
23rd Jun	PFL 6: Regular Season	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$16.64	$1,663.74	$1,638.78
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.88	5.0	73%		$16.39	$1,638.78	$1,720.98
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9	-3.8	-42%		$17.21	$1,720.98	$1,655.58
8th Jul	UFC 290	3	-0.3	-8%		$16.56	$1,655.58	$1,651.44
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	5.94	1.0	17%		$16.51	$1,651.44	$1,667.93
21st Jul	Cage Warriors 157	1.65	1.5	94%		$16.68	$1,667.93	$1,693.79
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	10.96	1.9	18%		$16.94	$1,693.79	$1,726.77
29th Jul	Cage Warriors 158	1.55	-1.6	-100%		$17.27	$1,726.77	$1,700.01
29th Jul	Oktagon 45	1	2.6	260%		$17.00	$1,700.01	$1,744.21
29th Jul	UFC 291	16.68	3.7	22%		$17.44	$1,744.21	$1,808.09
30th Jul	Bellator vs Rizin 2	1.65	-1.7	-100%		$18.08	$1,808.09	$1,778.25
4th Aug	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	2.75	-0.3	-10%		$17.78	$1,778.25	$1,773.36
5th Aug	One Fight Night 13	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$17.73	$1,773.36	$1,764.50
5th Aug	LFA 164	1	-1.0	-100%		$17.64	$1,764.50	$1,746.85
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	7.05	0.7	10%		$17.47	$1,746.85	$1,759.07
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	3.35	-1.8	-54%		$17.59	$1,759.07	$1,726.97
11th Aug	Bellator 298	8.25	4.7	57%		$17.27	$1,726.97	$1,807.52
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	3.8	1.2	32%		$18.08	$1,807.52	$1,829.83
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	7.65	-4.5	-59%		$18.30	$1,829.83	$1,747.21
19th Aug	UFC 292	15.12	-3.7	-25%		$17.47	$1,747.21	$1,682.39
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	10.5	2.5	24%		$16.82	$1,682.39	$1,724.52
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	5	2.3	45%		$17.25	$1,724.52	$1,763.74
9th Sep	UFC 293	9.63	-9.6	-100%		$17.64	$1,763.74	$1,593.89
15th Sep	LFA 167	1	-1.0	-100%		$15.94	$1,593.89	$1,577.95
16th Sep	KSW 86	1	-1.0	-100%		$15.78	$1,577.95	$1,562.17
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	16.4	6.4	39%		$15.62	$1,562.17	$1,661.67
22nd Sep	LFA 168	1.15	1.0	87%		$16.62	$1,661.67	$1,678.29
23rd Sep	Bellator 299	5.11	-1.6	-32%		$16.78	$1,678.29	$1,651.27
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10.2	0.4	4%		$16.51	$1,651.27	$1,657.20
24th Sep	Rizin 44	3.64	2.0	55%		$16.57	$1,657.20	$1,690.38
30th Sep	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	3.55	3.0	86%		$16.90	$1,690.38	$1,741.92
1st Oct	Rizin Landmark 6	2.7	-2.7	-100%		$17.42	$1,741.92	$1,694.89
7th Oct	Oktagon 47	3.8	1.0	26%		$16.95	$1,694.89	$1,711.91
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	9.54	-0.2	-2%		$17.12	$1,711.91	$1,708.62
7th Oct	Bellator 300	11.72	3.0	26%		$17.09	$1,708.62	$1,760.11
14th Oct	KSW 87	1	1.8	180%		$17.60	$1,760.11	$1,791.79
14th Oct	Cage Warriors 161	5.25	3.1	60%		$17.92	$1,791.79	$1,848.13
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	12.6	2.5	20%		$18.48	$1,848.13	$1,894.02
21st Oct	UFC 294	14.73	9.5	65%		$18.94	$1,894.02	$2,074.56
28th Oct	Cage Warriors 162	1	1.1	110%		$20.75	$2,074.56	$2,097.38
4th Nov	Rizin Landmark 7	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$20.97	$2,097.38	$2,071.17
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	16.18	-5.7	-35%		$20.71	$2,071.17	$1,952.70
11th Nov	KSW 88	2	0.8	40%		$19.53	$1,952.70	$1,968.32
11th Nov	UFC 295	22.96	6.2	27%		$19.68	$1,968.32	$2,089.59
17th Nov	Bellator 301	8.13	0.0	0%		$20.90	$2,089.59	$2,089.71
17th Nov	LFA 172	2.33	2.8	120%		$20.90	$2,089.71	$2,147.91
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	11.83	0.7	6%		$21.48	$2,147.91	$2,162.62
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	8.47	3.3	39%	$5	$21.63	$2,162.62	$2,228.84
25th Nov	Brave CF 76	2	1.0	50%		$22.29	$2,228.84	$2,251.12
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	5.89	2.8	48%		$22.51	$2,251.12	$2,314.38

ROI % from starting bank balance: 131.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Violence Guy: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Derek Brunson	Ray Cooper III	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Nov '23	Kamil Magomedov	Josh Togo	1.50	2	Sub, R2 (1:28)
3.	Dec '23	Joaquim Silva	Clay Guida	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '23	Impa Kasanganay	Joshua Silveira	1.87	1.15	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Nov '23	Jesus Pinedo	Gabriel Alves Braga	2.10	1	TKO, R3 (0:58)
6.	Nov '23	Islam Mamedov	Killys Mota	1.63	1.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Nov '23	Rafael Estevam	Charles Johnson	1.75	1.33	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '23	A.J. McKee	Sidney Outlaw	1.43	2.33	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Nov '23	Eduardo Henrique	Cody Davis	2.55	1	TKO, R4 (2:36)
10.	Nov '23	Lupita Godinez	Tabatha Ricci	1.61	0.83	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Nov '23	Jared Gordon	Mark O. Madsen	1.57	0.88	TKO, R1 (4:42)
12.	Nov '23	Jessica Andrade	Mackenzie Dern	2.85	1	TKO, R2 (3:15)
13.	Nov '23	Lupita Godinez	Tabatha Ricci	1.61	1.65	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Nov '23	Tom Aspinall	Sergey Pavlovich	1.95	1	TKO, R1 (1:9)
15.	Nov '23	Jared Gordon	Mark O. Madsen	1.57	1.75	TKO, R1 (4:42)
16.	Dec '23	Cody Brundage	Zachary Reese	3.35	1	TKO, R1 (1:49)
17.	Nov '23	Patryk Kaczmarczyk	Daniel Rutkowski	3.50	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Nov '23	Steve Erceg	Alessandro Costa	1.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '23	Marc Diakiese	Kaue Fernandes	1.76	1.31	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '23	Angela Hill	Denise Gomes	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Beneil Dariush	Arman Tsarukyan	3.30	0.84	TKO, R1 (1:4)	No
2.	Nov '23	Ray Cooper III	Derek Brunson	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Nov '23	Jefferson Pontes	Cody Law	3.15	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Nov '23	Lucie Pudilova	Ailin Perez	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '23	Uros Medic	Myktybek Orolbai	2.45	0.5	Sub, R2 (4:12)	No
6.	Nov '23	Pieter Buist	Archie Colgan	8.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '23	Dennis Buzukja	Jamall Emmers	3.25	1	TKO, R1 (0:49)	Yes
8.	Nov '23	Pat Sabatini	Diego Lopes	1.83	1.2	TKO, R1 (1:30)	No
9.	Nov '23	Matt Frevola	Benoit Saint-Denis	3.05	1	TKO, R1 (1:31)	No
10.	Nov '23	Kyung Ho Kang	John Castaneda	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Nov '23	Kamil Gawryjołek	Stefan Vojcak	1.83	1.2	TKO, R1 (1:4)	No
12.	Nov '23	Abusupiyan Magomedov	Caio Borralho	3.40	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Nov '23	Konstantin Merkulov	Hasan Mezhiev	3.30	1.25	Sub, R1 (2:32)	No
14.	Oct '23	Irina Alekseeva	Melissa Dixon	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '23	Adrian Yanez	Jonathan Martinez	2.05	1	TKO, R2 (2:26)	No
16.	Oct '23	Montana De La Rosa	J.J. Aldrich	2.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Oct '23	Diana Belbita	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	2.40	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Oct '23	Alexander Hernandez	Bill Algeo	2.10	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Oct '23	Alex Morono	Joaquin Buckley	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '23	Ilara Joanne	Jena Bishop	2.70	1	Sub, R1 (2:45)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Violence Guy: Progress Chart

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