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MMA Handicapper Stats: Emperor Palpatine

Emperor Palpatine (PalpatineMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Emperor Palpatine

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	85 (44%)	Right	44 (54%)	Right	14 (26%)	Right	27 (46%)
Wrong	109 (56%)	Wrong	38 (46%)	Wrong	39 (74%)	Wrong	32 (54%)
Avg Odds	2.42	Avg Odds	2.06	Avg Odds	3.49	Avg Odds	2.33
Units Bet	237.5	Units Bet	115.2	Units Bet	39.8	Units Bet	82.5
Avg Bet	1.22	Avg Bet	1.41	Avg Bet	0.75	Avg Bet	1.40
Units Profit	16.80	Units Profit	6.59	Units Profit	-8.71	Units Profit	18.92
ROI %	7%	ROI %	6%	ROI %	-22%	ROI %	23%

Emperor Palpatine: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	5.3	3.9	73%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	5.9 / 3.3 (177%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	9.95	-4.1	-41%	-3.6 / 9.45 (-38%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	10	4.7	47%	1.7 / 4.5 (37%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	4.0 / 4.5 (89%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	5.3	3.3	63%	2.0 / 2.3 (87%)		1.3 / 3 (44%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	3.4	-0.6	-18%	1.5 / 1.3 (114%)		-2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	2.919	0.2	8%	1.2 / 1.919 (64%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	6.95	-0.6	-8%	-2.8 / 5.75 (-48%)		2.2 / 1.2 (182%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3	4.2	142%			4.2 / 3 (142%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	10.25	6.1	59%	0.7 / 2.5 (28%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	5.7 / 7.5 (75%)
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.5	2.0	79%	2.5 / 2 (124%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	3.25	-3.0	-92%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.0 / 0.25 (0%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	5	-2.4	-48%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.6 / 2 (30%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	3.5	2.3	65%	2.3 / 3.5 (65%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	4.8	-4.8	-100%	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	5.16	4.6	90%	1.5 / 2.16 (70%)	0.6 / 1 (63%)	2.5 / 2 (126%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	4	-1.5	-37%	-1.5 / 4 (-37%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	12.4	-0.4	-3%	0.3 / 2.75 (10%)	-4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)	3.6 / 5.4 (67%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	4.5	2.6	58%	1.4 / 1 (142%)	0.7 / 1.5 (47%)	0.5 / 2 (24%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	8	3.5	44%	1.2 / 5 (23%)	0.6 / 1 (62%)	1.7 / 2 (87%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	3.25	-0.8	-24%	0.7 / 1.75 (41%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	8.84	-1.1	-12%	0.4 / 5.59 (8%)	0.5 / 1.25 (40%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	9.5	0.6	6%	0.4 / 8 (5%)	1.3 / 0.5 (250%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	6	-0.8	-14%	0.3 / 3 (8%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.1 / 2 (-4%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	5	-5.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9.5	-5.5	-58%	-1.0 / 5 (-20%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.5	-2.0	-31%	1.0 / 3.5 (28%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	7.5	2.6	34%	-0.7 / 4 (-17%)	2.2 / 2.5 (88%)	1.0 / 1 (104%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	6.25	-4.4	-71%	-1.9 / 3.75 (-52%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th May '23	LFA 159	4.5	1.7	39%	0.2 / 3 (6%)		1.6 / 1.5 (105%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	5.25	2.6	49%	2.6 / 3 (85%)	0.0 / 2.25 (0%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	6.5	-2.6	-40%		-0.6 / 4.5 (-13%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	9	-0.9	-10%	1.1 / 7 (15%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	8.5	5.6	66%	0.1 / 2 (4%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	6.0 / 6 (100%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	8	-1.6	-20%	-2.0 / 4 (-50%)	1.1 / 2 (55%)	-0.7 / 2 (-35%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	3.2	1.2	39%	2.2 / 2.2 (102%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	12	6.2	52%		2.3 / 3 (75%)	4.0 / 9 (44%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	6.25	2.9	47%	2.3 / 4 (57%)	1.1 / 1.75 (65%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 19 (50%)
Losing Events: 19 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.26 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.40 units
Best Event: 6.23 units
Worst Event: -5.48 units
Average Event: 0.44 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 12.32
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -13.33

Emperor Palpatine: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	30.55	7.8	25%	-1.4 / 17.75 (-8%)		10.7 / 11.3 (94%)	3 / 1 (75%)	1.94
2023	207.169	9.0	4%	8.0 / 97.469 (8%)		8.3 / 71.2 (12%)	16 / 18 (47%)	0.27

Emperor Palpatine: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Emperor Palpatine: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	214.169	17.5	8%	6.1 / 100.669 (6%)	-9.4 / 38.5 (-24%)	20.9 / 75 (28%)
Other	23.55	-0.7	-3%	0.5 / 14.55 (3%)	0.7 / 1.5 (47%)	-2.0 / 7.5 (-26%)

Emperor Palpatine: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.02	1.02	51%
Slight Favorites	39 (47%)	22	56 %	66.05	-4.08	-0.10	-6%
Slight Underdogs	31 (37%)	20	65 %	38.25	15.69	0.51	41%
Big Underdogs	12 (14%)	1	8 %	8.92	-6.04	-0.50	-68%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	17 (20%)	8	47 %	28.42	-1.78	-0.10	-6%
Co-Main Event	16 (19%)	3	19 %	21.65	-13.63	-0.85	-63%
Position 3-5	25 (30%)	16	64 %	33.44	10.77	0.43	32%
6+ (Undercard)	25 (30%)	17	68 %	31.71	11.23	0.45	35%

Emperor Palpatine: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (12%)	6	60 %	17.16	-0.55	-0.06	-3%
Light Heavy	2 (2%)	2	100 %	2.50	2.10	1.05	84%
Middleweight	11 (13%)	4	36 %	14.42	-0.40	-0.04	-3%
Welterweight	11 (13%)	3	27 %	19.25	-11.22	-1.02	-58%
Lightweight	14 (17%)	6	43 %	17.25	-2.06	-0.15	-12%
Featherweight	13 (16%)	11	85 %	19.89	14.53	1.12	73%
Bantamweight	11 (13%)	6	55 %	13.50	2.59	0.24	19%
Flyweight	6 (7%)	3	50 %	7.00	0.34	0.06	5%

Women's Fights	5 (6%)	3	60 %	4.25	1.27	0.25	30%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	1.75	-0.10	-0.05	-6%
Strawweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	2.50	1.37	0.46	55%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	114 (82%)	83	73 %
Slight Favorites	19 (14%)	15	79 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (4%)	2	33 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	139	100	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (7%)	2	50 %
50-65%	7 (11%)	6	86 %
35-50%	12 (20%)	3	25 %
<35% chance	38 (62%)	7	18 %
	61	18	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.78	1.78	1.78	0.8 (78%)
X Wins by KO	12 (20%)	2	17 %	2.89	4.90	2.00	-6.2 (-52%)
X Wins by Sub	13 (21%)	4	31 %	3.53	9.50	1.91	-1.2 (-10%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	1.2 (120%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (7%)	1	25 %	11.72	24.00	6.50	2.5 (62%)
Others	29 (48%)	9	31 %	2.91	13.00	1.18	-7.6 (-26%)
	61	18	30 %	3.11			-11.6 (-19%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Emperor Palpatine's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	6.25	2.9	47%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,029.14
8th Apr	UFC 287	12	6.2	52%		$10.29	$1,029.14	$1,093.23
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	3.2	1.2	39%		$10.93	$1,093.23	$1,106.75
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	8	-1.6	-20%		$11.07	$1,106.75	$1,089.03
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	8.5	5.6	66%		$10.89	$1,089.03	$1,149.82
6th May	UFC 288	9	-0.9	-10%		$11.50	$1,149.82	$1,139.28
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	6.5	-2.6	-40%		$11.39	$1,139.28	$1,109.71
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	5.25	2.6	49%		$11.10	$1,109.71	$1,138.16
27th May	LFA 159	4.5	1.7	39%		$11.38	$1,138.16	$1,158.06
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	6.25	-4.4	-71%		$11.58	$1,158.06	$1,106.60
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	7.5	2.6	34%		$11.07	$1,106.60	$1,135.07
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.5	-2.0	-31%		$11.35	$1,135.07	$1,112.07
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9.5	-5.5	-58%		$11.12	$1,112.07	$1,051.18
8th Jul	UFC 290	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.51	$1,051.18	$998.62
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	6	-0.8	-14%		$9.99	$998.62	$990.36
29th Jul	UFC 291	9.5	0.6	6%		$9.90	$990.36	$996.44
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	8.84	-1.1	-12%		$9.96	$996.44	$985.74
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	3.25	-0.8	-24%		$9.86	$985.74	$977.95
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	8	3.5	44%		$9.78	$977.95	$1,012.46
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	4.5	2.6	58%		$10.12	$1,012.46	$1,038.73
19th Aug	UFC 292	12.4	-0.4	-3%		$10.39	$1,038.73	$1,035.09
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	4	-1.5	-37%		$10.35	$1,035.09	$1,019.77
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	5.16	4.6	90%		$10.20	$1,019.77	$1,067.12
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	4.8	-4.8	-100%		$10.67	$1,067.12	$1,015.90
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	3.5	2.3	65%		$10.16	$1,015.90	$1,038.84
9th Sep	UFC 293	5	-2.4	-48%		$10.39	$1,038.84	$1,013.85
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	3.25	-3.0	-92%		$10.14	$1,013.85	$983.44
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.5	2.0	79%		$9.83	$983.44	$1,002.91
21st Oct	UFC 294	10.25	6.1	59%		$10.03	$1,002.91	$1,064.01
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3	4.2	142%		$10.64	$1,064.01	$1,109.22
11th Nov	UFC 295	6.95	-0.6	-8%		$11.09	$1,109.22	$1,102.67
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	2.919	0.2	8%		$11.03	$1,102.67	$1,105.22
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	3.4	-0.6	-18%		$11.05	$1,105.22	$1,098.39
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.98	$1,098.39	$1,076.42
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	5.3	3.3	63%		$10.76	$1,076.42	$1,112.09
17th Feb	UFC 298	10	4.7	47%		$11.12	$1,112.09	$1,163.83
9th Mar	UFC 299	9.95	-4.1	-41%		$11.64	$1,163.83	$1,116.54
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	5.3	3.9	73%		$11.17	$1,116.54	$1,159.57

ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Emperor Palpatine: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.70	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.85	0.75	TKO, R2 (2:32)
3.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.05	3	TKO, R2 (3:32)
4.	Feb '24	Rodolfo Vieira	Armen Petrosyan	1.87	2.3	Sub, R1 (4:48)
5.	Dec '23	Deiveson Figueiredo	Rob Font	2.14	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '23	Joanderson Brito	Jonathan Pearce	2.10	1.5	Sub, R2 (3:54)
7.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	1.98	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:30)
8.	Oct '23	Trevor Peek	Mohammad Yahya	1.60	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '23	Connor Matthews	Jair Farias	2.44	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '23	Lucas Rocha	Davi Costa	2.04	1	TKO, R2 (0:18)
11.	Sep '23	Ciryl Gane	Sergey Spivak	1.65	3.5	TKO, R2 (3:44)
12.	Aug '23	Erin Blanchfield	Taila Santos	1.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Aug '23	Junior Tafa	Parker Porter	1.74	1.16	TKO, R1 (1:24)
14.	Aug '23	Luis Pajuelo	Robbie Ring	2.52	1	TKO, R1 (3:43)
15.	Aug '23	Charalampos Grigoriou	Cameron Smotherman	2.42	1	TKO, R1 (1:0)
16.	Aug '23	Marlon Vera	Pedro Munhoz	1.51	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '23	Isaac Dulgarian	Francis Marshall	2.50	1	TKO, R1 (4:48)
18.	Aug '23	Vicente Luque	Rafael dos Anjos	1.83	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Aug '23	Caio Machado (2)	Kevin Szaflarski	2.46	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Diego Lopes	Gavin Tucker	1.68	3.59	Sub, R1 (1:38)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '24	Vicente Luque	Joaquin Buckley	1.80	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
2.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.80	2	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
3.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.36	3.5	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
4.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.10	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '24	Paulo Costa	Robert Whittaker	2.95	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '24	Geoff Neal	Ian Garry	2.90	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '23	Paul Craig	Brendan Allen	4.40	0.419	Sub, R3 (0:38)	No
8.	Nov '23	Sergey Pavlovich	Tom Aspinall	1.91	3.5	TKO, R1 (1:9)	No
9.	Nov '23	Matt Frevola	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.84	0.75	TKO, R1 (1:31)	No
10.	Oct '23	Kamaru Usman	Khamzat Chimaev	3.65	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
11.	Sep '23	Kevin Holland	Jack Della Maddalena	2.14	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Sep '23	Felipe Dos Santos	Manel Kape	4.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '23	Yousri Belgaroui	Marco Tulio Silva	1.82	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '23	Mateo Vogel	Timothy Cuamba	1.62	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Aug '23	Eli Aronov	Zachary Reese	2.86	1	Sub, R1 (1:14)	No
16.	Aug '23	Kaik Brito	Oban Elliott	1.55	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '23	Gerald Meerschaert	Andre Petroski	3.00	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '23	Rafael dos Anjos	Vicente Luque	1.83	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Aug '23	Bogdan Grad	Tom Nolan	2.40	0.75	TKO, R1 (1:23)	No
20.	Aug '23	Dennis Buzukja	Sean Woodson	2.52	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Emperor Palpatine: Progress Chart

Chart

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