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MMA Handicapper Stats: VinnyVanGogh

VinnyVanGogh (VinnyVanGogh)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - VinnyVanGogh

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 42 (37%) Right 13 (30%) Right 29 (41%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 71 (63%) Wrong 30 (70%) Wrong 41 (59%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.84 Avg Odds 2.30 Avg Odds 3.32 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 127.5 Units Bet 59.8 Units Bet 67.8 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 1.13 Avg Bet 1.39 Avg Bet 0.97 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 8.85 Units Profit -14.88 Units Profit 23.73 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 7% ROI % -25% ROI % 35% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

VinnyVanGogh : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 7 -3.5 -50% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.5 / 4 (-13%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 4.75 3.4 71% 1.8 / 2 (90%) 1.6 / 2.75 (57%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 3 2.3 77% 2.3 / 3 (77%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 2.25 -2.3 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 4.5 -4.5 -100% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 1.5 0.0 0% 0.0 / 1.5 (0%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 5.75 7.7 133% 5.4 / 3 (180%) 2.3 / 2.75 (82%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 3 1.4 48% 1.9 / 2.5 (77%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 7.5 1.4 18% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.9 / 6 (48%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 9 -5.4 -60% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.4 / 6 (-40%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 5 -3.0 -59% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) -0.2 / 2.25 (-10%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 5.75 8.2 142% 2.6 / 2 (130%) 5.6 / 3.75 (149%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 5.5 -2.2 -40% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.7 / 4 (-18%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 3.5 -1.4 -39% -1.4 / 3.5 (-39%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 6.25 1.2 18% -0.5 / 4 (-14%) 1.7 / 2.25 (76%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 6 4.0 67% 0.5 / 2.5 (20%) 3.5 / 3.5 (100%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 7 -0.1 -2% 0.2 / 3.5 (7%) -0.4 / 3.5 (-11%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 6.75 -2.8 -42% -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%) 0.9 / 3 (31%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 5.25 -3.4 -65% -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -0.2 / 2 (-9%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 7 -2.1 -30% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 1.4 / 3.5 (40%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 11 9.9 90% 3.8 / 5.75 (66%) 6.1 / 5.25 (117%)
12th Nov '22 KSW 76 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 3.75 4.3 114% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 4.8 / 3.25 (147%)
4th Nov '22 Cage Warriors 145 3.5 0.4 12% 0.4 / 3.5 (12%)


Winning Events: 11 (44%)
Losing Events: 14 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units
Best Event: 9.94 units
Worst Event: -5.42 units
Average Event: 0.35 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -8.49

VinnyVanGogh : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 83.25 4.2 5% -6.8 / 34.5 (-20%) 8 / 9 (47%) 0.25
2022 45.75 4.6 10% -8.1 / 25.25 (-32%) 3 / 5 (38%) 0.58

VinnyVanGogh : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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VinnyVanGogh : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 124 9.9 8% -13.8 / 54.75 (-25%) 23.7 / 69.25 (34%)
Other 5 -1.1 -22% -1.1 / 5 (-22%)

VinnyVanGogh : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 9 (20%) 6 67 % 15.25 4.26 0.47 28%
Slight Underdogs 26 (58%) 7 27 % 34.75 -13.89 -0.53 -40%
Big Underdogs 9 (20%) 1 11 % 8.75 -4.25 -0.47 -49%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (11%) 2 40 % 8.00 -1.67 -0.33 -21%
Co-Main Event 6 (13%) 1 17 % 8.50 -4.70 -0.78 -55%
Position 3-5 15 (33%) 3 20 % 23.00 -8.97 -0.60 -39%
6+ (Undercard) 19 (42%) 8 42 % 20.25 0.45 0.02 2%

VinnyVanGogh : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (16%) 1 14 % 11.50 -7.70 -1.10 -67%
Light Heavy 4 (9%) 0 % 4.75 -4.75 -1.19 -100%
Middleweight 8 (18%) 1 13 % 10.25 -7.25 -0.91 -71%
Welterweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Lightweight 6 (13%) 4 67 % 8.50 2.82 0.47 33%
Featherweight 5 (11%) 2 40 % 6.50 2.00 0.40 31%
Bantamweight 9 (20%) 5 56 % 11.00 5.25 0.58 48%
Flyweight 4 (9%) 1 25 % 3.25 -1.25 -0.31 -38%
               
Women's Fights 1 (2%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 7 (10%) 4 57 %
35-50% 22 (31%) 15 68 %
<35% chance 42 (59%) 10 24 %
71 29 41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.03 2.03Pick was correct 2.03Pick was correct 1.0 (103%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 17 (24%) 10 59 % 2.21 2.85Pick was correct 1.66Pick was incorrect 6.1 (36%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 5.00 5.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.74 1.83Pick was correct 1.66Pick was correct 1.5 (74%)
X Wins by KO 23 (32%) 6 26 % 4.79 14.00Pick was incorrect 2.39Pick was correct 4.8 (21%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (7%) 1 20 % 4.38 6.40Pick was correct 3.60Pick was incorrect 1.4 (28%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (3%) 0 0 % 6.09 9.00Pick was incorrect 4.60Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 16 (23%) 8 50 % 3.18 7.50Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect 6.8 (42%)
Others 4 (6%) 1 25 % 7.95 18.00Pick was incorrect 3.40Pick was correct -0.6 (-15%)
71 29 41 % 3.33     18.0 (25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail VinnyVanGogh 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Nov Cage Warriors 145 3.5 0.4 12% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,004.04
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 3.75 4.3 114% $10.04 $1,004.04 $1,046.84
12th Nov KSW 76 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.47 $1,046.84 $1,031.13
12th Nov UFC 281 11 9.9 90% $10.31 $1,031.13 $1,133.58
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 7 -2.1 -30% $11.34 $1,133.58 $1,109.63
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 5.25 -3.4 -65% $11.10 $1,109.63 $1,071.68
10th Dec UFC 282 6.75 -2.8 -42% $10.72 $1,071.68 $1,041.41
17th Dec UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 7 -0.1 -2% $10.41 $1,041.41 $1,040.00
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 6 4.0 67% $10.40 $1,040.00 $1,081.60
21st Jan UFC 283 6.25 1.2 18% $10.82 $1,081.60 $1,094.04
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 3.5 -1.4 -39% $10.94 $1,094.04 $1,079.00
11th Feb UFC 284 5.5 -2.2 -40% $10.79 $1,079.00 $1,055.26
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 5.75 8.2 142% $10.55 $1,055.26 $1,141.66
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 5 -3.0 -59% $11.42 $1,141.66 $1,107.75
4th Mar UFC 285 9 -5.4 -60% $11.08 $1,107.75 $1,047.76
18th Mar UFC 286 7.5 1.4 18% $10.48 $1,047.76 $1,062.17
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 3 1.4 48% $10.62 $1,062.17 $1,077.36
8th Apr UFC 287 5.75 7.7 133% $10.77 $1,077.36 $1,159.78
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 1.5 0.0 0% $11.60 $1,159.78 $1,159.78
6th May UFC 288 4.5 -4.5 -100% $11.60 $1,159.78 $1,107.59
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 2.25 -2.3 -100% $11.08 $1,107.59 $1,082.67
8th Jul UFC 290 3 2.3 77% $10.83 $1,082.67 $1,107.57
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 3 -3.0 -100% $11.08 $1,107.57 $1,074.34
11th Nov UFC 295 4.75 3.4 71% $10.74 $1,074.34 $1,110.47
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 7 -3.5 -50% $11.10 $1,110.47 $1,071.60


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

VinnyVanGogh : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '23 Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.90 2 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Christian Rodriguez Raul Rosas Jr 3.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '23 Rob Font Adrian Yanez 2.60 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:57) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '23 Victor Altamirano Vinicius Salvador 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '23 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Vera 1.62 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '23 Jamall Emmers Khusein Askhabov 2.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '23 Daniel Marcos Saimon Oliveira 2.30 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:18) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '23 Abdul Razak Alhassan Claudio Ribeiro 2.00 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:28) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '22 Said Nurmagomedov Saidyokub Kakhramonov 1.97 1 Sub, R2 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '22 Rafa Garcia Hayisaer Maheshate 1.77 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '22 Matt Frevola Ottman Azaitar 2.35 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '22 Matt Frevola Ottman Azaitar 2.19 1.25 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '22 Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.61 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '22 Paul Hughes Jordan Vucenic 1.95 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 2.00 1 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Rob Font Deiveson Figueiredo 1.81 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '23 Taila Santos Erin Blanchfield 2.30 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '23 Anthony Smith Johnny Walker 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '23 Joseph Holmes Claudio Ribeiro 2.48 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:21) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '23 Devin Clark Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.60 1.25 Sub, R2 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '23 Dusko Todorovic Christian Duncan 2.86 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:52) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '23 Mana Martinez Cameron Saaiman 3.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '23 Ciryl Gane Jon Jones 2.50 2 Sub, R1 (2:4) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '23 Rafael Alves Nurullo Aliev 2.50 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '23 Don'tale Mayes Augusto Sakai 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '23 Parker Porter Justin Tafa 2.15 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '23 Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno 2.12 1 TKO, R3 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '23 Glover Teixeira Jamahal Hill 2.22 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '23 Raoni Barcelos Umar Nurmagomedov 7.50 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '23 Mateus Mendonca Javid Basharat 3.85 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '22 Bobby Green Drew Dober 2.30 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:45) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '22 Erik Silva T.J. Brown 1.95 0.75 Sub, R3 (3:41) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '22 Alexander Hernandez Billy Quarantillo 2.48 1.25 TKO, R2 (4:30) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '22 Darren Till Dricus Du Plessis 2.62 1.75 Sub, R3 (2:43) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

VinnyVanGogh : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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