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MMA Handicapper Stats: KennyCaps

KennyCaps (KennyCapsScraps)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - KennyCaps

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 69 (43%) Right 45 (48%) Right 23 (35%) Right 1 (33%)
Wrong 93 (57%) Wrong 48 (52%) Wrong 43 (65%) Wrong 2 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.49 Avg Odds 2.25 Avg Odds 3.01 Avg Odds 1.71
Units Bet 269.8 Units Bet 181.9 Units Bet 77.9 Units Bet 10.0
Avg Bet 1.67 Avg Bet 1.96 Avg Bet 1.18 Avg Bet 3.33
Units Profit 18.41 Units Profit 17.78 Units Profit 2.49 Units Profit -1.85
ROI % 7% ROI % 10% ROI % 3% ROI % -19%
View Handicapper's Profile

KennyCaps : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 4.75 -1.8 -38% -1.8 / 4.75 (-38%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 8.5 4.3 50% 3.8 / 4.75 (80%) 0.5 / 3.75 (12%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 5.25 -5.3 -100% -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 10 4.0 40% 4.0 / 10 (40%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 9.4 7.1 76% 4.3 / 7 (61%) 2.8 / 2.4 (117%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 4.5 4.2 94% 4.2 / 4.5 (94%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 3.5 2.4 70% 2.4 / 3.5 (70%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 14.25 -3.1 -22% -1.5 / 6.9 (-21%) -1.6 / 7.35 (-22%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2 1.0 52% 1.0 / 2 (52%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 12.42 -5.7 -46% -2.2 / 8.92 (-24%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 8.75 -1.1 -12% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 3.5 / 4.25 (81%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 12.15 -8.6 -71% -0.2 / 3.75 (-5%) -6.4 / 6.4 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 7.71 0.2 3% 0.4 / 3.56 (11%) 2.9 / 1.15 (248%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 7 -4.1 -59% -2.6 / 5.5 (-48%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 2 1.5 74% 1.5 / 2 (74%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 2 -0.3 -13% 0.5 / 1.25 (40%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
3rd Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 4.5 -0.3 -7% -0.3 / 4.5 (-7%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 3.75 -0.4 -11% -0.4 / 3.75 (-11%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 2.5 4.6 184% 4.6 / 2.5 (184%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 4.5 -1.9 -42% -1.9 / 4.5 (-42%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 6.5 3.5 54% 5.0 / 5 (100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 3.5 -0.7 -20% 1.8 / 1 (180%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 13.25 2.8 21% 0.7 / 8.75 (9%) 2.1 / 4.5 (46%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 11.75 0.4 3% 1.4 / 8.5 (16%) -1.0 / 3.25 (-30%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 7 -0.8 -12% -2.0 / 4 (-50%) 1.2 / 3 (39%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 12.6 9.6 76% 2.4 / 5.1 (47%) 4.1 / 2.5 (164%) 3.1 / 5 (63%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 8.41 4.4 52% 7.2 / 5.66 (126%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 12.1 2.0 16% -4.9 / 8.5 (-58%) 6.9 / 3.6 (191%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 6.5 2.1 32% 1.7 / 2 (83%) 0.4 / 4.5 (9%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 7.8 2.5 32% 1.9 / 3.5 (56%) 0.5 / 4.3 (12%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 3.82 1.0 26% 1.0 / 3.82 (26%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 18.13 -3.7 -20% -6.6 / 13.2 (-50%) 2.9 / 4.93 (59%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 16.76 3.7 22% 7.5 / 13 (58%) -3.8 / 3.76 (-100%)


Winning Events: 20 (54%)
Losing Events: 17 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.13 units
Best Event: 9.62 units
Worst Event: -8.59 units
Average Event: 0.50 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 21.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.31

KennyCaps : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 231.09 17.4 8% 15.9 / 151.89 (10%) -1.9 / 10 (-19%) 18 / 16 (53%) 0.51
2022 38.71 1.0 3% 1.9 / 30.02 (6%) 2 / 1 (67%) 0.34

KennyCaps : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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KennyCaps : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 269.8 18.4 7% 17.8 / 181.91 (10%) 2.5 / 77.89 (3%) -1.9 / 10 (-19%)

KennyCaps : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (4%) 3 75 % 12.85 2.50 0.62 19%
Slight Favorites 28 (29%) 20 71 % 61.96 13.30 0.47 21%
Slight Underdogs 41 (42%) 17 41 % 75.25 5.45 0.13 7%
Big Underdogs 25 (26%) 7 28 % 31.85 -3.47 -0.14 -11%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (12%) 4 33 % 26.50 -8.23 -0.69 -31%
Co-Main Event 14 (14%) 8 57 % 28.25 5.00 0.36 18%
Position 3-5 31 (32%) 17 55 % 55.13 18.51 0.60 34%
6+ (Undercard) 41 (42%) 18 44 % 72.03 2.50 0.06 3%

KennyCaps : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (7%) 4 57 % 15.25 5.02 0.72 33%
Light Heavy 7 (7%) 4 57 % 15.42 0.20 0.03 1%
Middleweight 10 (10%) 4 40 % 13.25 -0.28 -0.03 -2%
Welterweight 13 (13%) 5 38 % 24.32 3.61 0.28 15%
Lightweight 14 (14%) 3 21 % 22.82 -10.90 -0.78 -48%
Featherweight 9 (9%) 8 89 % 20.50 11.65 1.29 57%
Bantamweight 13 (13%) 6 46 % 24.00 7.06 0.54 29%
Flyweight 11 (11%) 6 55 % 19.60 1.64 0.15 8%
               
Women's Fights 14 (14%) 7 50 % 26.75 -0.21 -0.01 -1%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Flyweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 10.50 2.54 0.42 24%
Strawweight 6 (6%) 4 67 % 11.25 2.26 0.38 20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 6 (100%) 3 50 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
6 3 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 18 (27%) 12 67 %
35-50% 10 (15%) 2 20 %
<35% chance 38 (58%) 9 24 %
66 23 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.91 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct -0.3 (-16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 15 (23%) 9 60 % 1.90 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.54Pick was correct 2.8 (19%)
Goes to Decision 2 (3%) 0 0 % 3.97 6.80Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (6%) 3 75 % 1.82 1.91Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 1.5 (37%)
X Wins by KO 29 (44%) 6 21 % 4.79 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.8 (10%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (5%) 2 67 % 6.26 8.75Pick was correct 4.50Pick was incorrect 12.7 (425%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (6%) 0 0 % 2.78 3.75Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.83 1.83Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 0.8 (83%)
Others 6 (9%) 1 17 % 3.41 17.00Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -4.1 (-69%)
66 23 35 % 3.01     10.2 (15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail KennyCaps 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Oct UFC 280 16.76 3.7 22% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,037.15
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 18.13 -3.7 -20% $10.37 $1,037.15 $998.82
12th Nov UFC 281 3.82 1.0 26% $9.99 $998.82 $1,008.81
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 7.8 2.5 32% $10.09 $1,008.81 $1,033.65
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 6.5 2.1 32% $10.34 $1,033.65 $1,055.01
4th Mar UFC 285 12.1 2.0 16% $10.55 $1,055.01 $1,075.72
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 8.41 4.4 52% $10.76 $1,075.72 $1,123.05
18th Mar UFC 286 12.6 9.6 76% $11.23 $1,123.05 $1,231.12
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 7 -0.8 -12% $12.31 $1,231.12 $1,220.86
8th Apr UFC 287 11.75 0.4 3% $12.21 $1,220.86 $1,225.76
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 13.25 2.8 21% $12.26 $1,225.76 $1,260.04
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 3.5 -0.7 -20% $12.60 $1,260.04 $1,251.22
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 6.5 3.5 54% $12.51 $1,251.22 $1,295.01
6th May UFC 288 4.5 -1.9 -42% $12.95 $1,295.01 $1,270.41
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 2.5 4.6 184% $12.70 $1,270.41 $1,328.85
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 3.75 -0.4 -11% $13.29 $1,328.85 $1,323.31
3rd Jun UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 4.5 -0.3 -7% $13.23 $1,323.31 $1,318.90
10th Jun UFC 289 5 2.0 40% $13.19 $1,318.90 $1,345.28
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 2 -0.3 -13% $24.99 $13.45 $1,345.28 $1,316.92
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 2 1.5 74% $24.99 $13.17 $1,316.92 $1,311.44
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 7 -4.1 -59% $24.99 $13.11 $1,311.44 $1,232.16
8th Jul UFC 290 7.71 0.2 3% $12.32 $1,232.16 $1,235.05
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 12.15 -8.6 -71% $12.35 $1,235.05 $1,128.99
29th Jul UFC 291 8.75 -1.1 -12% $11.29 $1,128.99 $1,117.14
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 12.42 -5.7 -46% $11.17 $1,117.14 $1,053.80
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2 1.0 52% $10.54 $1,053.80 $1,064.86
19th Aug UFC 292 14.25 -3.1 -22% $10.65 $1,064.86 $1,032.05
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 3.5 2.4 70% $10.32 $1,032.05 $1,057.31
9th Sep UFC 293 1 -1.0 -100% $10.57 $1,057.31 $1,046.74
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 4.5 4.2 94% $10.47 $1,046.74 $1,091.04
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 9.4 7.1 76% $10.91 $1,091.04 $1,168.55
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 10 4.0 40% $11.69 $1,168.55 $1,215.54
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 0.75 -0.8 -100% $12.16 $1,215.54 $1,206.42
21st Oct UFC 294 5.25 -5.3 -100% $12.06 $1,206.42 $1,143.09
11th Nov UFC 295 8.5 4.3 50% $11.43 $1,143.09 $1,191.75
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 5.5 -5.5 -100% $11.92 $1,191.75 $1,126.20
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 4.75 -1.8 -38% $11.26 $1,126.20 $1,106.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.60% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

KennyCaps : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '23 Cody Brundage Zachary Reese 2.96 1 TKO, R1 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.82 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Alex Pereira Jiri Prochazka 1.78 2.25 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '23 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Diana Belbita 1.68 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '23 Bill Algeo Alexander Hernandez 1.98 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '23 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Diana Belbita 1.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Bill Algeo Alexander Hernandez 1.76 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Bryce Mitchell Dan Ige 1.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Tracy Cortez Jasmine Jasudavicius 1.89 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 Jack Della Maddalena Kevin Holland 2.00 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 Tim Means Andre Fialho 2.70 3 TKO, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '23 Brad Katona Cody Gibson 1.60 3.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '23 Cub Swanson Hakeem Dawodu 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '23 Dustin Jacoby Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.25 3 TKO, R1 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '23 Paul Craig Andre Muniz 2.85 1.25 TKO, R2 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '23 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Moreno 2.63 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '23 Luana Carolina Ivana Petrovic 2.86 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '23 Paid Pick Tabatha Ricci Gillian Robertson 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '23 Paid Pick Alessandro Costa Jimmy Flick 1.40 1.25 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '23 Dan Ige Nate Landwehr 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Beneil Dariush Arman Tsarukyan 3.25 1.75 TKO, R1 (1:4) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Wellington Turman Jared Gooden 1.51 2 Sub, R2 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Jordan Leavitt Chase Hooper 2.72 2.5 Sub, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Jake Matthews Michael Morales 3.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '23 Alex Volkanovski Islam Makhachev 3.00 1.25 TKO, R1 (3:6) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '23 Tim Elliott Muhammad Mokaev 5.00 2.5 Sub, R3 (3:3) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Alex Morono Joaquin Buckley 2.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Rafael Fiziev Mateusz Gamrot 1.74 2 TKO, R2 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Austen Lane Justin Tafa 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '23 Pedro Munhoz Marlon Vera 2.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '23 Chris Weidman Brad Tavares 3.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '23 Andrea Lee Natalia Cristina da Silva 3.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '23 Josh Parisian Martin Buday 2.63 1 Sub, R1 (4:11) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '23 Jeremiah Wells Carlston Harris 1.76 1.32 Sub, R3 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '23 Jake Hadley Cody Durden 1.56 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '23 Ode Osbourne Assu Almabaev 2.55 1 Sub, R2 (3:11) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '23 Michael Chiesa Kevin Holland 2.25 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '23 Jan Blachowicz Alex Pereira 1.89 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '23 Davey Grant Daniel Marcos 2.25 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '23 Pannie Kianzad Ketlen Vieira 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

KennyCaps : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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