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MMA Handicapper Stats: Key3Picks |
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Key3Picks : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 44 (64%)
Losing Events: 25 (36%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 24.77 units
Best Event: 9.86 units
Worst Event: -7.88 units
Average Event: 0.81 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 21.98
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -7.88 |
Key3Picks : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
97.88 |
33.5 |
34% |
10.4 / 65.42 (16%) |
|
8.9 / 13.01 (68%) |
11 / 4 (73%) |
2.23 |
| 2023 |
236.22 |
11.8 |
5% |
-0.6 / 85.87 (-1%) |
|
4.2 / 78.13 (5%) |
28 / 17 (62%) |
0.26 |
| 2022 |
53.16 |
10.3 |
19% |
5.3 / 14.81 (36%) |
|
3.0 / 21.95 (14%) |
5 / 4 (56%) |
1.14 |
|
Key3Picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Key3Picks : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
351.39 |
58.8 |
17% |
18.0 / 156.85 (12%) |
24.7 / 81.45 (30%) |
16.1 / 113.09 (14%) |
|
PFL |
34.87 |
-2.2 |
-6% |
-3.0 / 9.25 (-32%) |
0.8 / 25.62 (3%) |
|
| Other |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
Key3Picks : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
5 (4%) |
4 |
80 % |
12.10 |
3.13 |
0.63 |
26% |
| Slight Favorites |
47 (40%) |
29 |
62 % |
84.54 |
6.50 |
0.14 |
8% |
| Slight Underdogs |
48 (41%) |
23 |
48 % |
59.71 |
2.33 |
0.05 |
4% |
| Big Underdogs |
18 (15%) |
7 |
39 % |
10.75 |
4.18 |
0.23 |
39% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
25 (21%) |
14 |
56 % |
42.42 |
6.11 |
0.24 |
14% |
| Co-Main Event |
12 (10%) |
5 |
42 % |
20.85 |
-4.78 |
-0.40 |
-23% |
| Position 3-5 |
33 (28%) |
20 |
61 % |
43.56 |
16.29 |
0.49 |
37% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
48 (41%) |
24 |
50 % |
60.27 |
-1.49 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
|
Key3Picks : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
7 (6%) |
5 |
71 % |
11.80 |
4.47 |
0.64 |
38% |
| Light Heavy |
12 (10%) |
6 |
50 % |
15.32 |
0.16 |
0.01 |
1% |
| Middleweight |
18 (15%) |
8 |
44 % |
21.56 |
-0.44 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
| Welterweight |
18 (15%) |
7 |
39 % |
20.25 |
-4.76 |
-0.26 |
-23% |
| Lightweight |
11 (9%) |
7 |
64 % |
16.90 |
5.46 |
0.50 |
32% |
| Featherweight |
15 (13%) |
9 |
60 % |
22.10 |
2.22 |
0.15 |
10% |
| Bantamweight |
11 (9%) |
6 |
55 % |
20.87 |
-1.25 |
-0.11 |
-6% |
| Flyweight |
7 (6%) |
3 |
43 % |
10.25 |
0.55 |
0.08 |
5% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
19 (16%) |
12 |
63 % |
28.05 |
9.73 |
0.51 |
35% |
| Featherweight |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.70 |
1.35 |
135% |
| Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.10 |
1.31 |
0.44 |
42% |
| Flyweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
11.65 |
0.56 |
0.09 |
5% |
| Strawweight |
8 (7%) |
5 |
63 % |
11.30 |
5.16 |
0.64 |
46% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
140 (86%) |
106 |
76 % |
| Slight Favorites |
21 (13%) |
17 |
81 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
162 |
123 |
76 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
11 (10%) |
9 |
82 % |
| 50-65% |
16 (14%) |
9 |
56 % |
| 35-50% |
34 (30%) |
18 |
53 % |
| <35% chance |
53 (46%) |
10 |
19 % |
|
114 |
46 |
40 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Key3Picks 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
2.2 |
-2.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$978.00 |
| 15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
3.25 |
1.8 |
55% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.00 |
$995.51 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
10.25 |
2.9 |
28% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.51 |
$1,024.10 |
| 29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
2 |
-0.6 |
-30% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.10 |
$1,017.96 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
5 |
-0.8 |
-16% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.96 |
$1,009.82 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
12.3 |
6.8 |
56% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,009.82 |
$1,078.88 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
1 |
0.6 |
60% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.88 |
$1,085.30 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
5.85 |
-3.7 |
-63% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.30 |
$1,045.47 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
11.31 |
5.5 |
48% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.47 |
$1,102.73 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,102.73 |
$1,090.60 |
| 21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
9.35 |
1.4 |
15% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.60 |
$1,105.79 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.79 |
$1,072.61 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
7.45 |
-2.0 |
-27% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,072.61 |
$1,051.42 |
| 25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
1 |
1.4 |
135% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,051.42 |
$1,065.62 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
9.35 |
4.6 |
49% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,065.62 |
$1,114.41 |
| 11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
5.9 |
-5.9 |
-100% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,114.41 |
$1,048.66 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
5.75 |
5.5 |
95% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,048.66 |
$1,106.02 |
| 25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
3.02 |
2.0 |
66% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.02 |
$1,128.14 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
12.9 |
-1.4 |
-11% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,128.14 |
$1,112.63 |
| 14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,112.63 |
$1,090.38 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
6.3 |
-1.6 |
-25% |
|
$10.90 |
$1,090.38 |
$1,073.15 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
5.25 |
-1.3 |
-24% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.15 |
$1,059.73 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
5.4 |
0.8 |
15% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.73 |
$1,068.40 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
7.9 |
-3.1 |
-39% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,068.40 |
$1,035.81 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
5.65 |
3.1 |
55% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,035.81 |
$1,067.91 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
6.75 |
1.6 |
24% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,067.91 |
$1,085.53 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
8 |
4.8 |
60% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,085.53 |
$1,137.38 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
4.9 |
2.0 |
41% |
$5 |
$11.37 |
$1,137.38 |
$1,155.46 |
| 23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.55 |
$1,155.46 |
$1,127.35 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
7.95 |
0.8 |
10% |
$5 |
$11.27 |
$1,127.35 |
$1,131.39 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
5.4 |
2.0 |
37% |
$5 |
$11.31 |
$1,131.39 |
$1,148.73 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
3.95 |
3.1 |
78% |
$5 |
$11.49 |
$1,148.73 |
$1,179.07 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
4.2 |
-4.2 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.79 |
$1,179.07 |
$1,124.55 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
7.82 |
3.1 |
39% |
$5 |
$11.25 |
$1,124.55 |
$1,154.19 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
2.1 |
0.0 |
0% |
$5 |
$11.54 |
$1,154.19 |
$1,149.22 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
4 |
0.2 |
5% |
$5 |
$11.49 |
$1,149.22 |
$1,146.63 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.47 |
$1,146.63 |
$1,130.17 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
4.2 |
0.6 |
13% |
$5 |
$11.30 |
$1,130.17 |
$1,131.50 |
| 23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
24.77 |
1.6 |
7% |
$5 |
$11.32 |
$1,131.50 |
$1,144.86 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
3 |
0.1 |
3% |
$5 |
$11.45 |
$1,144.86 |
$1,140.90 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
3.5 |
4.0 |
116% |
$5 |
$11.41 |
$1,140.90 |
$1,182.04 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
11.51 |
-7.9 |
-69% |
$5 |
$11.82 |
$1,182.04 |
$1,083.84 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
6.75 |
2.3 |
35% |
$5 |
$10.84 |
$1,083.84 |
$1,104.11 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
1.95 |
1.8 |
92% |
$5 |
$11.04 |
$1,104.11 |
$1,118.98 |
| 30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
2 |
1.2 |
59% |
$5 |
$11.19 |
$1,118.98 |
$1,127.14 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.27 |
$1,127.14 |
$1,110.87 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
2.75 |
2.6 |
94% |
$5 |
$11.11 |
$1,110.87 |
$1,134.62 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.35 |
$1,134.62 |
$1,095.58 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
7.5 |
-1.3 |
-17% |
$5 |
$10.96 |
$1,095.58 |
$1,076.36 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
85% |
$5 |
$10.76 |
$1,076.36 |
$1,110.54 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
1.6 |
0.5 |
31% |
$5 |
$11.11 |
$1,110.54 |
$1,111.09 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.11 |
$1,111.09 |
$1,083.87 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
3 |
0.2 |
6% |
$5 |
$10.84 |
$1,083.87 |
$1,080.79 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
4 |
0.6 |
14% |
$5 |
$10.81 |
$1,080.79 |
$1,081.92 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
2.6 |
0.4 |
15% |
$5 |
$10.82 |
$1,081.92 |
$1,081.25 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
4.8 |
0.9 |
19% |
$5 |
$10.81 |
$1,081.25 |
$1,086.11 |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
6.91 |
6.7 |
97% |
$5 |
$10.86 |
$1,086.11 |
$1,153.60 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
7.62 |
3.6 |
47% |
$5 |
$11.54 |
$1,153.60 |
$1,189.90 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
8.5 |
4.9 |
57% |
$5 |
$11.90 |
$1,189.90 |
$1,242.73 |
| 24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
2.1 |
1.0 |
48% |
$5 |
$12.43 |
$1,242.73 |
$1,250.15 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
5.25 |
-3.7 |
-70% |
$5 |
$12.50 |
$1,250.15 |
$1,198.90 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
2 |
0.0 |
0% |
$5 |
$11.99 |
$1,198.90 |
$1,193.90 |
| 7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.94 |
$1,193.90 |
$1,165.02 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
5.75 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
$5 |
$11.65 |
$1,165.02 |
$1,157.72 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
5.75 |
1.3 |
23% |
$5 |
$11.58 |
$1,157.72 |
$1,168.06 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
9.25 |
7.1 |
76% |
$5 |
$11.68 |
$1,168.06 |
$1,245.46 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
12.6 |
0.6 |
5% |
$5 |
$12.45 |
$1,245.46 |
$1,247.76 |
| 6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
7.5 |
3.1 |
42% |
$5 |
$12.48 |
$1,247.76 |
$1,282.06 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
15.25 |
9.9 |
65% |
$5 |
$12.82 |
$1,282.06 |
$1,403.50 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 40.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Key3Picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Apr '24 |
 Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
2.85 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Apr '24 |
Dylan Budka |
César Almeida |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.30 |
1.55 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Apr '24 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Diego Lopes |
2.40 |
2.15 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
3.50 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Apr '24 |
Morgan Charriere |
Jose Mariscal |
2.10 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.54 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Mar '24 |
Jamall Emmers |
Nate Landwehr |
1.91 |
1.1 |
TKO, R1 (4:43) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Mar '24 |
Cedric Doumbe |
Baissangour Chamsoudinov |
2.05 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:21) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Mar '24 |
Bernardo Sopai |
Vinicius de Oliveira |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:41) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
5.00 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
3.90 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Feb '24 |
Henry Cejudo |
Merab Dvalishvili |
2.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Jan '24 |
Malcolm Gordon |
Jimmy Flick |
1.77 |
1.3 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Feb '24 |
Devin Clark |
Marcin Prachnio |
1.62 |
1.62 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Feb '24 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Brian Ortega |
2.30 |
4 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Jan '24 |
Johnny Walker |
Magomed Ankalaev |
5.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:42) |
No |
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| 20. |
Dec '23 |
Wellington Turman |
Jared Gooden |
1.52 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:11) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Key3Picks : Progress Chart |
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