MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6358
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2347

MMA Handicapper Stats: cmurm

cmurm (cmurm)

MMA MHandicapper - cmurm

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	102 (41%)	Right	38 (44%)	Right	45 (39%)	Right	19 (40%)
Wrong	145 (59%)	Wrong	48 (56%)	Wrong	69 (61%)	Wrong	28 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.23	Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	2.49	Avg Odds	2.13
Units Bet	242.1	Units Bet	105.2	Units Bet	90.1	Units Bet	46.8
Avg Bet	0.98	Avg Bet	1.22	Avg Bet	0.79	Avg Bet	1.00
Units Profit	-13.90	Units Profit	-5.36	Units Profit	0.51	Units Profit	-9.05
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-19%

cmurm : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	5	8.5	170%	8.5 / 5 (170%)
31st Mar '23	Bellator 293	2.441	4.2	173%	4.2 / 2.441 (173%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	1.5	-1.5	-100%			-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	10.791	-4.8	-44%	-6.8 / 6.8 (-100%)	2.2 / 1.991 (111%)	-0.2 / 2 (-10%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	10.8	-8.3	-77%	-2.0 / 4.5 (-44%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-3.8 / 3.8 (-100%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	6	1.2	21%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.0 / 2.5 (78%)	1.3 / 1.5 (85%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	7.3	-5.2	-71%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-4.2 / 6.3 (-67%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	2	1.9	93%		1.9 / 2 (93%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	13.2	-0.6	-5%	1.9 / 6.2 (30%)	-0.5 / 5 (-10%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5.5	-0.9	-15%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.1 / 2.5 (86%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	11.5	-0.6	-5%	1.9 / 4.5 (41%)	-0.6 / 3.5 (-18%)	-1.8 / 3.5 (-51%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	11.2	1.8	16%	-0.1 / 4 (-2%)	0.3 / 5 (6%)	1.6 / 2.2 (73%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	12.75	-2.0	-15%	-2.5 / 6.5 (-38%)	1.5 / 5.25 (29%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	9.45	-1.4	-14%	-3.4 / 5 (-68%)	0.9 / 3.45 (26%)	1.1 / 1 (114%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	6	-0.4	-7%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.1 / 1.5 (-10%)	0.7 / 3.5 (21%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	12.83	-1.2	-9%	1.3 / 4.69 (28%)	-3.1 / 6.64 (-47%)	0.7 / 1.5 (45%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	15.5	1.9	12%	-0.8 / 10.5 (-8%)	-0.1 / 2.5 (-4%)	2.7 / 2.5 (110%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	8.3	-2.2	-26%	1.2 / 3.5 (34%)	-2.4 / 3.8 (-62%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Oct '22	CFFC 113	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Oct '22	Cage Warriors 144	3.62	-3.6	-100%	-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.77 (-100%)
1st Oct '22	Bellator 286	1.5	-0.4	-28%		0.6 / 0.5 (115%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	10.7	-2.0	-18%	1.8 / 3 (58%)	-1.2 / 5.2 (-23%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '22	Invicta FC 49	3.7	-3.7	-100%	-3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
27th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 10	8.45	1.6	19%	-1.4 / 3.5 (-41%)	1.4 / 2.95 (47%)	1.7 / 2 (84%)
23rd Sep '22	Bellator 285	6.5	-4.8	-73%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.8 / 4.5 (-61%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 9	8.4	-1.0	-12%	-1.1 / 3.5 (-31%)	1.0 / 2.4 (41%)	-0.9 / 2.5 (-36%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	20.15	0.5	2%	-1.9 / 10 (-19%)	2.4 / 5.65 (42%)	0.0 / 4.5 (1%)
13th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 8	7	2.4	34%	2.3 / 2.5 (92%)	-0.8 / 3 (-26%)	0.9 / 1.5 (58%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	14.75	7.2	49%	4.2 / 4.5 (92%)	3.4 / 8.25 (41%)	-0.4 / 2 (-20%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	4.25	0.3	7%	1.1 / 1 (105%)	0.3 / 2.25 (11%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 11 (37%)
Losing Events: 19 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.07 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.15 units
Best Event: 8.50 units
Worst Event: -8.30 units
Average Event: -0.46 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 12.72
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -14.60

cmurm : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	64.532	-5.5	-8%	-0.2 / 30.941 (-1%)		-6.2 / 10.8 (-58%)	4 / 6 (40%)	-0.55
2022	177.55	-8.4	-5%	-5.1 / 74.24 (-7%)		-2.8 / 35.97 (-8%)	7 / 13 (35%)	-0.42

cmurm : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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cmurm : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	195.221	-8.0	-4%	-3.9 / 85.69 (-5%)	1.8 / 73.531 (3%)	-5.9 / 36 (-16%)
Bellator	10.441	-1.0	-9%	3.2 / 3.441 (94%)	-2.2 / 5 (-44%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other	36.42	-5.0	-14%	-4.7 / 16.05 (-29%)	0.8 / 11.6 (7%)	-1.1 / 8.77 (-13%)

cmurm : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	10 (12%)	5	50 %	16.30	-5.32	-0.53	-33%
Slight Favorites	33 (38%)	17	52 %	45.05	-6.33	-0.19	-14%
Slight Underdogs	33 (38%)	13	39 %	35.63	6.26	0.19	18%
Big Underdogs	10 (12%)	3	30 %	8.20	0.03	0.00	0%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (15%)	6	46 %	17.35	-1.83	-0.14	-11%
Co-Main Event	12 (14%)	4	33 %	12.05	-3.53	-0.29	-29%
Position 3-5	30 (35%)	12	40 %	36.70	1.20	0.04	3%
6+ (Undercard)	31 (36%)	16	52 %	39.08	-1.19	-0.04	-3%

cmurm : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (7%)	2	33 %	6.65	-2.29	-0.38	-34%
Light Heavy	7 (8%)	2	29 %	12.10	3.76	0.54	31%
Middleweight	18 (21%)	13	72 %	20.64	10.36	0.58	50%
Welterweight	5 (6%)	3	60 %	9.00	-0.43	-0.09	-5%
Lightweight	18 (21%)	6	33 %	19.24	-7.28	-0.40	-38%
Featherweight	10 (12%)	2	20 %	12.35	-8.17	-0.82	-66%
Bantamweight	8 (9%)	5	63 %	8.50	3.38	0.42	40%
Flyweight	5 (6%)	2	40 %	6.20	-1.83	-0.37	-30%

Women's Fights	9 (10%)	3	33 %	10.50	-2.84	-0.32	-27%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	2.50	-0.14	-0.07	-6%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	4.80	-2.30	-0.77	-48%
Strawweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	3.20	-0.40	-0.10	-12%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	63 (86%)	40	63 %
Slight Favorites	10 (14%)	6	60 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	73	46	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	36 (24%)	29	81 %
50-65%	38 (25%)	21	55 %
35-50%	37 (24%)	19	51 %
<35% chance	41 (27%)	4	10 %
	152	73	48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	20 (13%)	15	75 %	1.49	2.65	1.18	1.9 (9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	55 (36%)	31	56 %	1.86	3.30	1.27	5.9 (11%)
Goes to Decision	4 (3%)	1	25 %	1.57	2.00	1.36	-2.6 (-66%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.31	1.35	1.28	0.6 (31%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.33	1.40	1.27	0.7 (33%)
X Wins by KO	20 (13%)	3	15 %	4.33	14.00	1.74	-7.4 (-37%)
X Wins by Sub	10 (7%)	1	10 %	5.16	13.00	2.30	1.0 (10%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (1%)	0	0 %	4.00	4.00	4.00	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (6%)	4	44 %	1.86	2.35	1.49	-1.8 (-20%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (3%)	0	0 %	6.90	11.00	4.50	-4.0 (-100%)
Others	24 (16%)	14	58 %	2.10	17.00	1.29	1.2 (5%)
	152	73	48 %	2.10			-6.6 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail cmurm 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	4.25	0.3	7%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,003.00
10th Sep	UFC 279	14.75	7.2	49%		$10.03	$1,003.00	$1,074.88
13th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 8	7	2.4	34%		$10.75	$1,074.88	$1,100.78
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	20.15	0.5	2%		$11.01	$1,100.78	$1,105.77
21st Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 9	8.4	-1.0	-12%		$11.06	$1,105.77	$1,094.54
23rd Sep	Bellator 285	6.5	-4.8	-73%		$10.95	$1,094.54	$1,042.45
27th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 10	8.45	1.6	19%		$10.42	$1,042.45	$1,059.58
29th Sep	Invicta FC 49	3.7	-3.7	-100%		$10.60	$1,059.58	$1,020.37
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	10.7	-2.0	-18%		$10.20	$1,020.37	$1,000.41
1st Oct	Bellator 286	1.5	-0.4	-28%		$10.00	$1,000.41	$996.16
7th Oct	Cage Warriors 144	3.62	-3.6	-100%		$9.96	$996.16	$960.10
8th Oct	CFFC 113	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.60	$960.10	$950.49
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	8.3	-2.2	-26%		$9.50	$950.49	$929.75
22nd Oct	UFC 280	15.5	1.9	12%		$9.30	$929.75	$947.06
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	12.83	-1.2	-9%		$9.47	$947.06	$936.15
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	6	-0.4	-7%		$9.36	$936.15	$932.34
12th Nov	UFC 281	9.45	-1.4	-14%		$9.32	$932.34	$919.74
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	12.75	-2.0	-15%		$9.20	$919.74	$901.74
10th Dec	UFC 282	11.2	1.8	16%		$9.02	$901.74	$917.94
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	11.5	-0.6	-5%		$9.18	$917.94	$912.86
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5.5	-0.9	-15%		$9.13	$912.86	$905.10
21st Jan	UFC 283	13.2	-0.6	-5%		$9.05	$905.10	$899.38
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	2	1.9	93%		$8.99	$899.38	$916.19
11th Feb	UFC 284	7.3	-5.2	-71%		$9.16	$916.19	$868.55
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	6	1.2	21%		$8.69	$868.55	$879.28
4th Mar	UFC 285	10.8	-8.3	-77%		$8.79	$879.28	$806.30
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	10.791	-4.8	-44%		$8.06	$806.30	$767.63
18th Mar	UFC 286	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$7.68	$767.63	$756.12
31st Mar	Bellator 293	2.441	4.2	173%		$7.56	$756.12	$788.00
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	5	8.5	170%		$7.88	$788.00	$854.99

ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

cmurm : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '23	Azamat Murzakanov	Dustin Jacoby	2.70	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '23	Adam Piccolotti	Mandel Nallo	2.40	0.741	Sub, R3 (4:26)
3.	Mar '23	John Salter	Aaron Jeffery	3.90	0.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '23	Daniel James	Marcelo Golm	2.15	1	TKO, R3 (0:26)
5.	Mar '23	Marc-Andre Barriault	Julian Marquez	1.67	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:12)
6.	Jan '23	Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.83	1.2	TKO, R3 (5:0)
7.	Jan '23	Johnny Walker	Paul Craig	1.57	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:16)
8.	Jan '23	Brunno Ferreira	Gregory Rodrigues	3.50	1	TKO, R1 (4:13)
9.	Dec '22	Jared Cannonier	Sean Strickland	1.91	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Dec '22	Said Nurmagomedov	Saidyokub Kakhramonov	1.91	1	Sub, R2 (3:50)
11.	Dec '22	Rinat Fakhretdinov	Bryan Battle	1.69	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '22	Chris Curtis	Joaquin Buckley	2.38	1	TKO, R2 (2:49)
13.	Dec '22	Paddy Pimblett	Jared Gordon	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '22	Phil Rowe	Niko Price	1.83	1	TKO, R3 (3:26)
15.	Dec '22	Roman Dolidze	Jack Hermansson	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (4:6)
16.	Nov '22	Daniel Hooker	Claudio Puelles	1.61	1	TKO, R2 (4:6)
17.	Oct '22	Roman Dolidze	Phil Hawes	2.45	0.69	TKO, R1 (4:9)
18.	Oct '22	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Jared Vanderaa	1.48	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Oct '22	Arnold Allen	Calvin Kattar	2.10	1	TKO, R2 (0:8)
20.	Oct '22	Abubakar Nurmagomedov	Gadzhi Omargadzhiev	1.57	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '23	J.J. Aldrich	Ariane Lipski	1.43	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '23	Sedriques Dumas	Josh Fremd	1.57	1.75	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No
3.	Mar '23	Anton Turkalj	Vitor Petrino	1.91	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '23	Alexander Romanov	Alexander Volkov	1.66	1.65	TKO, R1 (2:16)	No
5.	Mar '23	Esteban Ribovics	Loik Radzhabov	3.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '23	Derek Brunson	Dricus Du Plessis	2.85	1	TKO, R2 (4:59)	No
7.	Mar '23	Jalin Turner	Mateusz Gamrot	2.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '23	Josh Parisian	Jamal Pogues	3.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '23	Jordan Wright	Zac Pauga	3.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '23	Josh Emmett	Yair Rodriguez	2.56	1	Sub, R2 (4:19)	No
11.	Jan '23	Terrance McKinney	Ismael Bonfim	1.88	1.5	TKO, R2 (2:17)	No
12.	Jan '23	Glover Teixeira	Jamahal Hill	2.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Jan '23	Damon Jackson	Dan Ige	1.71	1	TKO, R2 (4:13)	No
14.	Jan '23	Ketlen Vieira	Raquel Pennington	1.91	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jan '23	Nassourdine Imavov	Sean Strickland	1.88	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '22	Bobby Green	Drew Dober	2.27	1	TKO, R2 (2:45)	No
17.	Dec '22	Erik Silva	T.J. Brown	1.83	1	Sub, R3 (3:41)	No
18.	Dec '22	Bryce Mitchell	Ilia Topuria	2.35	1	Sub, R2 (3:10)	No
19.	Dec '22	Scott Holtzman	Clay Guida	1.61	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Dec '22	Tai Tuivasa	Sergey Pavlovich	2.21	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:54)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

cmurm : Progress Chart

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