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MMA Handicapper Stats: Brandon Colby

Brandon Colby (KnuckleHead035)

MMA MHandicapper - Brandon Colby

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	87 (42%)	Right	53 (52%)	Right	26 (47%)	Right	8 (16%)
Wrong	120 (58%)	Wrong	48 (48%)	Wrong	29 (53%)	Wrong	43 (84%)
Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	1.70	Avg Odds	2.07	Avg Odds	5.26
Units Bet	312.6	Units Bet	193.9	Units Bet	71.6	Units Bet	47.1
Avg Bet	1.51	Avg Bet	1.92	Avg Bet	1.30	Avg Bet	0.92
Units Profit	-41.58	Units Profit	-20.68	Units Profit	-2.51	Units Profit	-18.39
ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-39%

Brandon Colby: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	4.6	-2.5	-54%		1.0 / 1.1 (91%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Sep '23	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Sep '23	One Fight Night 14	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
26th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	1.1	-1.1	-100%			-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	2.7	-0.0	-0%		1.2 / 1.5 (80%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	4.5	3.0	66%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	4.2 / 3.25 (129%)
15th Sep '23	LFA 167	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	3	-1.0	-33%		-0.0 / 2 (-0%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	9	-7.0	-77%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 2.5 (-18%)
9th Sep '23	Cage Warriors 159	1	1.4	136%			1.4 / 1 (136%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	2	1.0	50%		2.0 / 1 (200%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	3.15	2.9	92%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	3.9 / 2.15 (181%)
1st Sep '23	CFFC 123	1.55	-1.6	-100%			-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	4.2	-2.0	-48%		-1.5 / 3.7 (-41%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	5.35	-0.9	-16%	-1.3 / 3.85 (-32%)	0.9 / 1 (87%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	3	5.0	167%	5.0 / 3 (167%)
18th Aug '23	PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs	3.25	-2.1	-66%	0.4 / 0.75 (49%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	12	0.7	5%	1.5 / 10 (15%)	0.2 / 1 (20%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	4	-1.0	-25%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	0.7 / 2.25 (33%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	4.5	-0.4	-9%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.1 / 2 (104%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	8.55	-3.2	-37%	-1.6 / 6.95 (-23%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	10.22	-0.9	-9%	-0.9 / 10.22 (-9%)
5th Aug '23	LFA 164	3.8	-3.8	-100%	-3.8 / 3.8 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	One Fight Night 13	4.8	1.0	21%	1.0 / 4.8 (21%)
4th Aug '23	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	15.3	-1.8	-11%	-1.5 / 15.05 (-10%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	4	2.5	62%	0.2 / 2.5 (8%)	2.3 / 1.5 (152%)
14th Oct '22	LFA 144	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '22	Invicta FC 49	12.5	-6.1	-49%	-5.6 / 12 (-47%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '22	Cage Warriors 143	6.3	-6.3	-100%	-5.3 / 5.3 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '22	Bellator 285	38.3	-5.1	-13%	-2.6 / 30.5 (-8%)	1.0 / 4.3 (23%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
21st Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 9	11.05	8.7	79%	4.4 / 9.55 (46%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)	3.2 / 0.5 (647%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	35.6	-6.0	-17%	-2.6 / 14.6 (-18%)	-2.4 / 20 (-12%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 8	13	-0.4	-3%	0.6 / 12 (5%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	20.25	0.8	4%	3.1 / 18 (17%)		-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	LFA 141	4	0.7	17%	0.7 / 4 (17%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	34.5	-8.1	-23%	-1.2 / 12 (-10%)	-4.8 / 20.5 (-24%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	13	0.5	3%	-0.1 / 4 (-3%)	2.6 / 7 (36%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (30%)
Losing Events: 28 (70%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.81 units
Most Staked On One Event: 38.30 units
Best Event: 8.71 units
Worst Event: -8.10 units
Average Event: -1.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -19.02

Brandon Colby: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	122.57	-18.8	-15%	-11.0 / 70.92 (-15%)		-7.9 / 32.85 (-24%)	8 / 21 (28%)	-0.65
2022	190	-22.8	-12%	-9.7 / 122.95 (-8%)		-10.5 / 14.25 (-74%)	4 / 7 (36%)	-2.07

Brandon Colby: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Brandon Colby: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	107.22	-0.7	-1%	-3.3 / 60.32 (-5%)	-0.0 / 31 (-0%)	2.6 / 15.9 (17%)
Bellator	42.8	-5.5	-13%	-3.1 / 31 (-10%)	-1.0 / 6.3 (-16%)	-1.4 / 5.5 (-26%)
PFL	20.55	-5.9	-29%	-1.6 / 16.3 (-10%)		-4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)
Other	142	-29.5	-21%	-12.7 / 86.25 (-15%)	-1.5 / 34.3 (-4%)	-15.4 / 21.45 (-72%)

Brandon Colby: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	46 (45%)	27	59 %	133.72	-26.66	-0.58	-20%
Slight Favorites	19 (19%)	10	53 %	28.65	-2.48	-0.13	-9%
Slight Underdogs	25 (25%)	14	56 %	20.25	10.23	0.41	51%
Big Underdogs	12 (12%)	2	17 %	11.25	-1.77	-0.15	-16%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	21 (21%)	11	52 %	43.70	-4.71	-0.22	-11%
Co-Main Event	13 (13%)	6	46 %	30.95	-3.56	-0.27	-12%
Position 3-5	32 (31%)	21	66 %	58.25	6.08	0.19	10%
6+ (Undercard)	36 (35%)	15	42 %	60.97	-18.49	-0.51	-30%

Brandon Colby: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (9%)	5	56 %	9.30	-1.25	-0.14	-13%
Light Heavy	8 (8%)	6	75 %	18.90	0.87	0.11	5%
Middleweight	11 (11%)	5	45 %	21.50	-1.70	-0.15	-8%
Welterweight	15 (15%)	7	47 %	28.45	-6.39	-0.43	-22%
Lightweight	17 (17%)	6	35 %	28.10	-11.66	-0.69	-41%
Featherweight	8 (8%)	5	63 %	26.35	-0.25	-0.03	-1%
Bantamweight	13 (13%)	9	69 %	26.50	7.32	0.56	28%
Flyweight	5 (5%)	1	20 %	9.67	-7.20	-1.44	-74%

Women's Fights	16 (16%)	9	56 %	25.10	-0.42	-0.03	-2%
Featherweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	1.25	0.00	0.00	0%
Bantamweight	4 (4%)	3	75 %	4.50	0.76	0.19	17%
Flyweight	5 (5%)	1	20 %	8.75	-1.77	-0.35	-20%
Strawweight	5 (5%)	4	80 %	10.60	0.58	0.12	5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	99 (62%)	71	72 %
Slight Favorites	28 (18%)	17	61 %
Slight Underdogs	27 (17%)	10	37 %
Big Underdogs	5 (3%)	1	20 %
	159	99	62 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	68 (52%)	54	79 %
50-65%	25 (19%)	12	48 %
35-50%	22 (17%)	9	41 %
<35% chance	17 (13%)	5	29 %
	132	80	61 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (6%)	8	100 %	1.42	1.80	1.25	3.5 (44%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	18 (14%)	10	56 %	1.49	2.25	1.17	-1.1 (-6%)
Does not go to Decision	17 (13%)	8	47 %	1.44	3.00	1.15	-4.8 (-28%)
Fight Starts Round X	6 (5%)	6	100 %	1.28	1.30	1.22	1.7 (28%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	3 (2%)	3	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	1.5 (50%)
X Wins by KO	3 (2%)	1	33 %	4.21	8.00	3.40	0.4 (13%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (5%)	0	0 %	3.77	13.00	2.75	-6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	6.50	6.50	6.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	23 (17%)	15	65 %	1.73	3.75	1.18	5.4 (23%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (2%)	0	0 %	7.76	11.00	6.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	45 (34%)	29	64 %	1.63	26.00	1.18	-0.9 (-2%)
	132	80	61 %	1.65			-3.4 (-3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Brandon Colby's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	13	0.5	3%	$2	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,002.50
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	34.5	-8.1	-23%	$2	$10.03	$1,002.50	$919.35
10th Sep	LFA 141	4	0.7	17%	$2	$9.19	$919.35	$923.78
10th Sep	UFC 279	20.25	0.8	4%	$2	$9.24	$923.78	$929.32
13th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 8	13	-0.4	-3%	$2	$9.29	$929.32	$923.54
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	35.6	-6.0	-17%	$2	$9.24	$923.54	$866.54
21st Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 9	11.05	8.7	79%	$2	$8.67	$866.54	$940.03
23rd Sep	Bellator 285	38.3	-5.1	-13%	$2	$9.40	$940.03	$890.38
23rd Sep	Cage Warriors 143	6.3	-6.3	-100%	$2	$8.90	$890.38	$832.29
29th Sep	Invicta FC 49	12.5	-6.1	-49%	$2	$8.32	$832.29	$779.10
14th Oct	LFA 144	1.5	-1.5	-100%	$2	$7.79	$779.10	$765.42
29th Jul	UFC 291	4	2.5	62%	$2	$7.65	$765.42	$782.36
4th Aug	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	15.3	-1.8	-11%	$2	$7.82	$782.36	$766.67
5th Aug	One Fight Night 13	4.8	1.0	21%		$7.67	$766.67	$774.34
5th Aug	LFA 164	3.8	-3.8	-100%		$7.74	$774.34	$744.91
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	10.22	-0.9	-9%		$7.45	$744.91	$738.43
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	8.55	-3.2	-37%	$2	$7.38	$738.43	$713.06
11th Aug	Bellator 298	4.5	-0.4	-9%		$7.13	$713.06	$710.05
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	4	-1.0	-25%	$2	$7.10	$710.05	$700.95
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	12	0.7	5%	$2	$7.01	$700.95	$703.51
18th Aug	PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs	3.25	-2.1	-66%		$7.04	$703.51	$688.52
19th Aug	UFC 292	3	5.0	167%		$6.89	$688.52	$722.95
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	5.35	-0.9	-16%		$7.23	$722.95	$716.62
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$7.17	$716.62	$713.04
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$7.13	$713.04	$709.47
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	4.2	-2.0	-48%		$7.09	$709.47	$695.28
1st Sep	CFFC 123	1.55	-1.6	-100%		$6.95	$695.28	$684.51
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	3.15	2.9	92%		$6.85	$684.51	$704.32
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	2	1.0	50%		$7.04	$704.32	$711.36
9th Sep	Cage Warriors 159	1	1.4	136%		$7.11	$711.36	$721.01
9th Sep	UFC 293	9	-7.0	-77%		$7.21	$721.01	$670.85
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	3	-1.0	-33%		$6.71	$670.85	$664.14
15th Sep	LFA 167	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$6.64	$664.14	$654.18
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	4.5	3.0	66%		$6.54	$654.18	$673.53
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	2.7	-0.0	-0%		$6.74	$673.53	$673.53
26th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	1.1	-1.1	-100%		$6.74	$673.53	$666.12
29th Sep	One Fight Night 14	2	-2.0	-100%		$6.66	$666.12	$652.80
30th Sep	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$6.53	$652.80	$643.01
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	1	-1.0	-100%		$6.43	$643.01	$636.58
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	4.6	-2.5	-54%		$6.37	$636.58	$620.66

ROI % from starting bank balance: -37.93% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Brandon Colby: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '23	Luis Pajuelo	Robbie Ring	2.60	1	TKO, R1 (3:43)
2.	Aug '23	Danilo Marques	Satoshi Ishii	2.24	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '23	Sean O'Malley	Aljamain Sterling	3.20	2.5	TKO, R2 (0:51)
4.	Aug '23	Charalampos Grigoriou	Cameron Smotherman	2.50	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:0)
5.	Aug '23	Ibo Aslan	Paulo Renato Jr	1.77	1.3	TKO, R1 (2:22)
6.	Aug '23	Hyder Amil	Emrah Sonmez	1.61	3.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '23	Eduarda Moura	Janaina Silva	1.63	1.6	Sub, R1 (4:0)
8.	Aug '23	Payton Talbott	Reyes Cortez	1.59	1.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '23	Caio Machado (2)	Kevin Szaflarski	2.42	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Aug '23	César Almeida	Lucas Fernando	2.95	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Aug '23	Dustin Jacoby	Kennedy Nzechukwu	2.35	1	TKO, R1 (1:22)
12.	Aug '23	John Lineker	Jae Woong Kim	1.21	4.8	TKO, R3 (4:56)
13.	Aug '23	Tanner Boser	Aleksa Camur	1.65	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Aug '23	Cory Sandhagen	Rob Font	1.29	3.45	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Aug '23	Anthony Ivy	Carson Hardman	1.40	2.5	Sub, R1 (2:34)
16.	Aug '23	Impa Kasanganay	Marthin Hamlet	1.43	2.3	TKO, R1 (2:24)
17.	Aug '23	Joshua Silveira	Ty Flores	1.17	5.75	TKO, R1 (4:46)
18.	Jul '23	Uros Medic	Matt Semelsberger	2.70	1	TKO, R3 (2:36)
19.	Sep '22	Shauna Bannon	Nadia Vera	1.33	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Sep '22	Montserrat Rendon	Brittney Cloudy	2.35	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '23	Dylan Tuke	Jakub Kaszuba	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '23	Kevin Holland	Jack Della Maddalena	2.14	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '23	Barrington Bishop	Jeff Craig	3.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '23	Jay Manning	Liam Anderson	2.85	0.5	Sub, R2 (2:59)	No
5.	Sep '23	John Makdessi	Jamie Mullarkey	4.08	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '23	Israel Adesanya	Sean Strickland	1.14	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '23	Israel Adesanya	Sean Strickland	1.14	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '23	Kaik Brito	Oban Elliott	1.54	1.85	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '23	Eli Aronov	Zachary Reese	2.40	1	Sub, R1 (1:14)	No
10.	Aug '23	Amber Leibrock	Marina Mokhnatkina	4.40	0.25	Sub, R1 (1:45)	No
11.	Aug '23	Andrea Lee	Natalia Cristina da Silva	3.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '23	George Hardwick	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	1.30	3.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '23	Jamie Pickett	Josh Fremd	3.60	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '23	Juliana Miller	Luana Santos	2.30	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:41)	No
15.	Aug '23	Steve Mowry	Valentin Moldavsky	3.05	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Aug '23	Victor Dias	Kevin Borjas	1.27	3.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '23	Bogdan Grad	Tom Nolan	2.24	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:23)	No
18.	Aug '23	Ky Bennett	Chelsea Hackett	2.24	0.75	Sub, R2 (4:42)	No
19.	Aug '23	Jake Hadley	Cody Durden	1.52	1.92	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '23	Ignacio Bahamondes	Ludovit Klein	1.43	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Brandon Colby: Progress Chart

Chart

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