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MMA Handicapper Stats: Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping (PuffSullyCSHC)

MMA MHandicapper - Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	299 (56%)	Right	144 (54%)	Right	81 (57%)	Right	74 (59%)
Wrong	234 (44%)	Wrong	122 (46%)	Wrong	61 (43%)	Wrong	51 (41%)
Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	1.78
Units Bet	922.7	Units Bet	443.6	Units Bet	247.2	Units Bet	232.0
Avg Bet	1.73	Avg Bet	1.67	Avg Bet	1.74	Avg Bet	1.86
Units Profit	-7.60	Units Profit	-21.47	Units Profit	10.70	Units Profit	3.17
ROI %	-1%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	1%

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	17.3	-7.1	-41%	-4.0 / 6.25 (-64%)	-1.5 / 9.45 (-16%)	-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	8.2	0.1	1%	0.6 / 5.1 (11%)	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	10.55	-5.8	-55%	-3.1 / 7.85 (-39%)	-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11	4.7	43%	4.7 / 11 (43%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	8.5	-8.5	-100%	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	18.55	5.2	28%	3.0 / 14.95 (20%)	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)	1.2 / 2 (61%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	7.3	-1.2	-16%	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)		0.1 / 6 (2%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.5	-2.5	-29%	-1.5 / 5.75 (-25%)	0.5 / 1.25 (40%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	12.75	5.3	41%	-0.8 / 6.5 (-12%)	2.1 / 2.5 (85%)	3.9 / 3.75 (104%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	9.15	1.1	12%	0.6 / 7.65 (7%)		0.6 / 1.5 (38%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	11.85	-4.4	-37%	-4.5 / 7.1 (-63%)	-1.3 / 3.25 (-38%)	1.3 / 1.5 (87%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	10.25	-1.3	-13%	0.7 / 8.25 (8%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13.25	4.3	32%	0.4 / 7.75 (6%)	2.8 / 3.5 (79%)	1.1 / 2 (53%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	15.3	0.2	1%	-0.2 / 8.55 (-2%)	-0.8 / 5 (-16%)	1.1 / 1.75 (65%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	6.5	-1.3	-20%	-1.0 / 3.5 (-28%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	1.2 / 1.5 (78%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	12.95	-6.2	-48%	-2.0 / 5.45 (-37%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.2 / 5.5 (-39%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	7.5	1.8	24%	2.3 / 2.5 (92%)	0.4 / 1 (42%)	-0.9 / 4 (-23%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	13.3	5.1	39%	-0.3 / 4.8 (-5%)	2.7 / 5.25 (51%)	2.7 / 3.25 (83%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	7.25	-0.2	-3%		-0.7 / 5.25 (-13%)	0.4 / 2 (21%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	16.5	-2.2	-14%	1.6 / 6.75 (23%)	1.1 / 1.75 (65%)	-4.9 / 8 (-62%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	10.1	0.6	6%	0.4 / 5.25 (8%)	0.2 / 4.85 (3%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	8	-2.3	-28%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.5 (69%)	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	11.55	-1.0	-9%	2.0 / 5.8 (34%)	-1.0 / 3.75 (-27%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	9.25	5.5	59%	2.2 / 3.5 (64%)	2.1 / 3.75 (55%)	1.2 / 2 (58%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	12.55	-1.0	-8%	1.6 / 3.3 (47%)	-1.7 / 6.25 (-27%)	-0.9 / 3 (-30%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	10.75	5.0	47%	1.6 / 5.5 (30%)	3.4 / 5.25 (64%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	10.75	1.5	14%	0.1 / 7.5 (2%)	0.3 / 2.25 (13%)	1.1 / 1 (109%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	6.1	2.1	35%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.1 / 2 (56%)	2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	14.75	10.4	70%	5.4 / 7.5 (72%)	6.2 / 6 (104%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	7.25	0.7	10%	-0.3 / 5.75 (-6%)		1.1 / 1.5 (70%)
4th Aug '23	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Jul '23	Bellator vs Rizin 2	3.9	-1.4	-36%	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)	0.0 / 2.5 (0%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	14	-6.0	-43%	-4.7 / 7.75 (-60%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	2.2 / 2.75 (78%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	13.25	0.3	2%	1.3 / 9.5 (13%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	-0.3 / 3 (-8%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	4.75	-0.7	-14%	-0.2 / 1.5 (-14%)	1.1 / 1.75 (60%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	19.25	-5.2	-27%	2.6 / 2.5 (105%)	-4.3 / 13.25 (-33%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	6.05	1.5	25%	2.4 / 3 (81%)	-0.6 / 0.55 (-100%)	-0.4 / 2.5 (-15%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.4	1.1	17%	1.5 / 3.9 (38%)	-0.4 / 2.5 (-17%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	8.75	-0.6	-7%	-0.8 / 4 (-21%)	-0.8 / 2.75 (-29%)	1.0 / 2 (51%)
16th Jun '23	PFL 5: Regular Season	1.5	-1.5	-100%			-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Jun '23	Bellator 297	7	-2.2	-31%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-0.7 / 3.5 (-21%)	1.0 / 1 (105%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	5.75	0.8	13%		1.2 / 3.25 (36%)	-0.4 / 2.5 (-16%)
8th Jun '23	PFL 4: Regular Season	8.5	-1.5	-17%	-1.5 / 8.5 (-17%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	8.75	-3.4	-39%	0.3 / 5 (7%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	4.75	3.4	72%		1.1 / 2 (57%)	2.3 / 2.75 (83%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	10.16	-0.1	-1%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	1.0 / 4.66 (21%)	1.4 / 3 (48%)
12th May '23	Bellator 296	2.25	-2.3	-100%		-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	10.6	-4.9	-46%	-3.5 / 6.3 (-56%)	-0.1 / 3.05 (-2%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
5th May '23	One Fight Night 10	3.6	-1.0	-27%	1.0 / 1.6 (64%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	7.25	-1.3	-18%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	2.2 / 3.75 (58%)
22nd Apr '23	Bellator 295	4.5	0.1	3%	-0.4 / 3 (-14%)		0.6 / 1.5 (37%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	6.75	-1.2	-17%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	1.6 / 4 (40%)
21st Apr '23	Bellator 294	3.7	-0.6	-17%	1.1 / 2 (53%)	-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	8	-8.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	17	-0.2	-1%	0.2 / 8 (3%)	-1.4 / 3.5 (-40%)	1.0 / 5.5 (19%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	8.8	0.6	7%	1.0 / 1.8 (56%)		-0.4 / 7 (-6%)
31st Mar '23	Bellator 293	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	8	3.5	44%	0.5 / 4 (12%)	1.1 / 2 (53%)	2.0 / 2 (98%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	18	5.3	30%	1.1 / 5 (23%)	2.7 / 5 (54%)	1.5 / 8 (18%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	9.5	4.1	44%	1.7 / 4 (43%)	0.8 / 2.5 (33%)	1.6 / 3 (54%)
10th Mar '23	Bellator 292	6.25	3.3	53%	1.0 / 1.25 (80%)		2.3 / 5 (46%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	14.5	6.1	42%	1.3 / 3 (43%)	4.9 / 6.5 (76%)	-0.1 / 5 (-2%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	11	-4.3	-39%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.7 / 4 (68%)
25th Feb '23	Bellator 291	2	1.2	59%	1.2 / 2 (59%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	7.5	-4.2	-56%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		1.8 / 1.5 (121%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	12	-5.0	-42%	0.5 / 3 (18%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.5 / 6 (-42%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	16.5	3.2	20%	2.6 / 5 (51%)	0.5 / 9.5 (5%)	0.2 / 2 (9%)
4th Feb '23	Bellator 290	6	-2.7	-45%	-0.7 / 4 (-18%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	20	1.5	8%	-2.1 / 10.5 (-20%)	3.2 / 4 (81%)	0.4 / 5.5 (7%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	15	-2.8	-18%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	4.2 / 8 (53%)
31st Dec '22	Bellator vs Rizin	5	3.7	75%	2.5 / 4 (64%)		1.2 / 1 (120%)
31st Dec '22	Rizin 40	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	10	3.8	38%	3.7 / 5.5 (68%)	-0.3 / 1.5 (-23%)	0.4 / 3 (14%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	22	4.4	20%	2.8 / 7 (40%)	-1.6 / 11 (-15%)	3.2 / 4 (81%)
9th Dec '22	Bellator 289	7	-7.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	20	1.3	7%	0.2 / 5 (5%)	-0.7 / 12 (-6%)	1.7 / 3 (58%)
2nd Dec '22	One on Prime 5	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Nov '22	PFL 2022 #10	16	-0.9	-5%	-2.1 / 14 (-15%)		1.3 / 2 (64%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	11	5.8	53%	2.6 / 7 (37%)	1.5 / 2 (77%)	1.7 / 2 (87%)
18th Nov '22	Bellator 288	7	-4.3	-61%	-0.3 / 3 (-8%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	23.5	-3.2	-14%	-2.6 / 9 (-29%)	4.4 / 9.5 (47%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	7.5	-2.4	-32%	-0.9 / 4 (-24%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 3 (-32%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	14	-9.6	-68%	-5.6 / 10 (-56%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	19	3.4	18%	-2.6 / 12 (-22%)	2.8 / 4 (71%)	3.2 / 3 (106%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	16.5	2.3	14%	2.7 / 8 (34%)	-0.9 / 6 (-15%)	0.5 / 2.5 (20%)
1st Oct '22	Bellator 286	13	1.6	13%	4.6 / 10 (46%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	12.5	2.5	20%	1.1 / 6 (19%)	1.3 / 6.5 (21%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	12	3.7	31%	0.2 / 6 (3%)	1.2 / 3 (40%)	2.3 / 3 (77%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	10	1.0	10%	-0.5 / 7 (-7%)		1.5 / 3 (49%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	13	7.3	56%	1.2 / 3 (38%)	3.3 / 7 (47%)	2.9 / 3 (96%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	12	0.9	8%	1.7 / 2 (83%)	2.6 / 4 (64%)	-3.3 / 6 (-55%)
20th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #9	2	1.1	53%			1.1 / 2 (53%)

Winning Events: 45 (49%)
Losing Events: 47 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.10 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.50 units
Best Event: 10.37 units
Worst Event: -9.57 units
Average Event: -0.08 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 23.78
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -19.42

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	147.15	-10.0	-7%	-11.6 / 95.95 (-12%)		2.6 / 22.35 (12%)	6 / 7 (46%)	-0.77
2023	526.81	-11.1	-2%	-16.5 / 223.15 (-7%)		0.8 / 152.1 (1%)	25 / 32 (44%)	-0.20
2022	255	13.6	5%	6.7 / 124.5 (5%)		-0.2 / 57.5 (-0%)	14 / 8 (64%)	0.62

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	813.96	13.0	2%	-23.0 / 382.55 (-6%)	17.4 / 241.46 (7%)	18.6 / 189.95 (10%)
Bellator	70.6	-13.5	-19%	4.1 / 34.15 (12%)	-6.7 / 11.95 (-56%)	-10.9 / 24.5 (-44%)
PFL	38.8	-4.2	-11%	-2.6 / 24.3 (-11%)		-1.6 / 14.5 (-11%)
Other	5.6	-3.0	-53%	0.0 / 2.6 (1%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	40 (15%)	29	73 %	104.65	1.35	0.03	1%
Slight Favorites	146 (55%)	82	56 %	259.45	-21.18	-0.15	-8%
Slight Underdogs	66 (25%)	28	42 %	67.50	-4.17	-0.06	-6%
Big Underdogs	14 (5%)	5	36 %	12.00	2.53	0.18	21%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	42 (16%)	18	43 %	75.90	-23.23	-0.55	-31%
Co-Main Event	29 (11%)	14	48 %	47.45	-2.41	-0.08	-5%
Position 3-5	83 (31%)	49	59 %	140.10	2.71	0.03	2%
6+ (Undercard)	112 (42%)	63	56 %	180.15	1.46	0.01	1%

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	16 (6%)	8	50 %	25.50	-0.10	-0.01	-0%
Light Heavy	21 (8%)	11	52 %	30.65	0.42	0.02	1%
Middleweight	37 (14%)	19	51 %	63.80	-1.86	-0.05	-3%
Welterweight	30 (11%)	16	53 %	49.85	-0.87	-0.03	-2%
Lightweight	43 (16%)	25	58 %	74.15	0.40	0.01	1%
Featherweight	41 (15%)	22	54 %	72.05	-14.65	-0.36	-20%
Bantamweight	36 (14%)	20	56 %	58.30	1.38	0.04	2%
Flyweight	12 (5%)	7	58 %	20.70	-1.10	-0.09	-5%

Women's Fights	30 (11%)	16	53 %	48.60	-5.08	-0.17	-10%
Featherweight	2 (1%)	2	100 %	2.75	1.60	0.80	58%
Bantamweight	7 (3%)	5	71 %	10.75	1.75	0.25	16%
Flyweight	12 (5%)	5	42 %	22.10	-6.23	-0.52	-28%
Strawweight	9 (3%)	4	44 %	13.00	-2.19	-0.24	-17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	213 (98%)	158	74 %
Slight Favorites	4 (2%)	2	50 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (0%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	218	160	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	85 (43%)	66	78 %
50-65%	80 (40%)	49	61 %
35-50%	24 (12%)	8	33 %
<35% chance	9 (5%)	3	33 %
	198	126	64 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	109 (55%)	74	68 %	1.52	2.55	1.20	7.3 (7%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	19 (10%)	12	63 %	1.51	1.80	1.19	-1.4 (-8%)
Goes to Decision	2 (1%)	1	50 %	1.72	1.91	1.57	-0.4 (-21%)
Does not go to Decision	7 (4%)	2	29 %	1.53	2.10	1.18	-4.5 (-65%)
X Wins by KO	8 (4%)	2	25 %	2.24	4.00	1.57	-4.2 (-52%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (3%)	3	60 %	2.70	4.30	1.83	2.1 (42%)
X Wins by Decision	9 (5%)	4	44 %	2.44	4.30	1.59	2.0 (22%)
X Wins Inside Distance	10 (5%)	6	60 %	1.77	3.50	1.23	1.0 (10%)
Others	29 (15%)	22	76 %	1.49	3.15	1.10	3.0 (10%)
	198	126	64 %	1.60			4.8 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
20th Aug	PFL 2022 #9	2	1.1	53%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,010.64
20th Aug	UFC 278	12	0.9	8%		$10.11	$1,010.64	$1,020.20
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	13	7.3	56%		$10.20	$1,020.20	$1,094.82
10th Sep	UFC 279	10	1.0	10%		$10.95	$1,094.82	$1,105.30
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	12	3.7	31%		$11.05	$1,105.30	$1,146.01
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	12.5	2.5	20%		$11.46	$1,146.01	$1,174.45
1st Oct	Bellator 286	13	1.6	13%		$11.74	$1,174.45	$1,193.72
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	16.5	2.3	14%		$11.94	$1,193.72	$1,221.09
22nd Oct	UFC 280	19	3.4	18%		$12.21	$1,221.09	$1,262.56
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	14	-9.6	-68%		$12.63	$1,262.56	$1,141.71
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	7.5	-2.4	-32%		$11.42	$1,141.71	$1,114.23
12th Nov	UFC 281	23.5	-3.2	-14%		$11.14	$1,114.23	$1,078.66
18th Nov	Bellator 288	7	-4.3	-61%		$10.79	$1,078.66	$1,032.81
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	11	5.8	53%		$10.33	$1,032.81	$1,093.21
25th Nov	PFL 2022 #10	16	-0.9	-5%		$10.93	$1,093.21	$1,083.79
2nd Dec	One on Prime 5	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.84	$1,083.79	$1,072.95
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	20	1.3	7%		$10.73	$1,072.95	$1,086.98
9th Dec	Bellator 289	7	-7.0	-100%		$10.87	$1,086.98	$1,010.89
10th Dec	UFC 282	22	4.4	20%		$10.11	$1,010.89	$1,055.62
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	10	3.8	38%		$10.56	$1,055.62	$1,095.54
31st Dec	Rizin 40	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.96	$1,095.54	$1,084.59
31st Dec	Bellator vs Rizin	5	3.7	75%		$10.85	$1,084.59	$1,125.13
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	15	-2.8	-18%	$15	$11.25	$1,125.13	$1,079.10
21st Jan	UFC 283	20	1.5	8%	$15	$10.79	$1,079.10	$1,080.52
4th Feb	Bellator 290	6	-2.7	-45%		$10.81	$1,080.52	$1,051.24
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	16.5	3.2	20%		$10.51	$1,051.24	$1,085.24
11th Feb	UFC 284	12	-5.0	-42%		$10.85	$1,085.24	$1,030.99
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	7.5	-4.2	-56%		$10.31	$1,030.99	$987.81
25th Feb	Bellator 291	2	1.2	59%		$9.88	$987.81	$999.44
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	11	-4.3	-39%		$9.99	$999.44	$956.77
4th Mar	UFC 285	14.5	6.1	42%	$15	$9.57	$956.77	$1,000.26
10th Mar	Bellator 292	6.25	3.3	53%		$10.00	$1,000.26	$1,033.27
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	9.5	4.1	44%		$10.33	$1,033.27	$1,076.13
18th Mar	UFC 286	18	5.3	30%		$10.76	$1,076.13	$1,133.42
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	8	3.5	44%		$11.33	$1,133.42	$1,173.31
31st Mar	Bellator 293	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.73	$1,173.31	$1,138.11
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	8.8	0.6	7%		$11.38	$1,138.11	$1,144.87
8th Apr	UFC 287	17	-0.2	-1%		$11.45	$1,144.87	$1,142.86
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	8	-8.0	-100%		$11.43	$1,142.86	$1,051.43
21st Apr	Bellator 294	3.7	-0.6	-17%		$10.51	$1,051.43	$1,044.62
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	6.75	-1.2	-17%		$10.45	$1,044.62	$1,032.53
22nd Apr	Bellator 295	4.5	0.1	3%		$10.33	$1,032.53	$1,033.85
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	7.25	-1.3	-18%		$10.34	$1,033.85	$1,020.30
5th May	One Fight Night 10	3.6	-1.0	-27%		$10.20	$1,020.30	$1,010.36
6th May	UFC 288	10.6	-4.9	-46%		$10.10	$1,010.36	$961.14
12th May	Bellator 296	2.25	-2.3	-100%		$9.61	$961.14	$939.52
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	10.16	-0.1	-1%		$9.40	$939.52	$938.90
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	4.75	3.4	72%		$9.39	$938.90	$971.02
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	8.75	-3.4	-39%		$9.71	$971.02	$937.78
8th Jun	PFL 4: Regular Season	8.5	-1.5	-17%		$9.38	$937.78	$924.02
10th Jun	UFC 289	5.75	0.8	13%		$9.24	$924.02	$930.99
16th Jun	Bellator 297	7	-2.2	-31%		$9.31	$930.99	$910.47
16th Jun	PFL 5: Regular Season	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.10	$910.47	$896.82
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	8.75	-0.6	-7%		$8.97	$896.82	$891.39
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	6.4	1.1	17%		$8.91	$891.39	$900.99
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	6.05	1.5	25%		$9.01	$900.99	$914.58
8th Jul	UFC 290	19.25	-5.2	-27%		$9.15	$914.58	$867.03
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	4.75	-0.7	-14%		$8.67	$867.03	$861.38
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	13.25	0.3	2%		$8.61	$861.38	$863.72
29th Jul	UFC 291	14	-6.0	-43%		$8.64	$863.72	$811.81
30th Jul	Bellator vs Rizin 2	3.9	-1.4	-36%		$8.12	$811.81	$800.44
4th Aug	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%		$8.00	$800.44	$784.43
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	7.25	0.7	10%		$7.84	$784.43	$789.97
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	14.75	10.4	70%		$7.90	$789.97	$871.92
19th Aug	UFC 292	6.1	2.1	35%		$8.72	$871.92	$890.52
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	10.75	1.5	14%		$8.91	$890.52	$904.04
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	10.75	5.0	47%		$9.04	$904.04	$949.37
9th Sep	UFC 293	12.55	-1.0	-8%		$9.49	$949.37	$939.77
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	9.25	5.5	59%		$9.40	$939.77	$991.20
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	11.55	-1.0	-9%		$9.91	$991.20	$980.83
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	8	-2.3	-28%		$9.81	$980.83	$958.70
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	10.1	0.6	6%		$9.59	$958.70	$964.10
21st Oct	UFC 294	16.5	-2.2	-14%		$9.64	$964.10	$942.61
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	7.25	-0.2	-3%		$9.43	$942.61	$940.34
11th Nov	UFC 295	13.3	5.1	39%		$9.40	$940.34	$988.67
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	7.5	1.8	24%		$9.89	$988.67	$1,006.30
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	12.95	-6.2	-48%		$10.06	$1,006.30	$944.28
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	6.5	-1.3	-20%		$9.44	$944.28	$931.85
16th Dec	UFC 296	15.3	0.2	1%		$9.32	$931.85	$933.36
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13.25	4.3	32%		$9.33	$933.36	$973.11
20th Jan	UFC 297	10.25	-1.3	-13%		$9.73	$973.11	$960.37
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	11.85	-4.4	-37%		$9.60	$960.37	$917.84
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	9.15	1.1	12%		$9.18	$917.84	$928.31
17th Feb	UFC 298	12.75	5.3	41%		$9.28	$928.31	$977.07
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.5	-2.5	-29%		$9.77	$977.07	$953.05
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	7.3	-1.2	-16%		$9.53	$953.05	$941.96
9th Mar	UFC 299	18.55	5.2	28%		$9.42	$941.96	$990.92
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	8.5	-8.5	-100%		$9.91	$990.92	$906.70
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11	4.7	43%		$9.07	$906.70	$949.76
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	10.55	-5.8	-55%		$9.50	$949.76	$895.15
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	8.2	0.1	1%		$8.95	$895.15	$895.73
13th Apr	UFC 300	17.3	-7.1	-41%		$8.96	$895.73	$832.11

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.79% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Jessica Andrade	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.80	1.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	Jean Matsumoto	Dan Argueta	1.63	1.6	Sub, R2 (4:59)
3.	Apr '24	Brendan Allen	Chris Curtis	1.53	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Trey Ogden	Kurt Holobaugh	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Fernando Padilla	Luis Pajuelo	1.64	1.6	Sub, R1 (2:45)
6.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.77	1.3	TKO, R2 (0:21)
7.	Mar '24	Ibo Aslan	Anton Turkalj	1.63	1.6	TKO, R3 (1:32)
8.	Mar '24	Nate Landwehr	Jamall Emmers	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (4:43)
9.	Mar '24	Miles Johns	Cody Gibson	1.77	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Edmen Shahbazyan	AJ Dobson	1.54	1.9	TKO, R1 (4:33)
11.	Mar '24	Rose Namajunas	Amanda Ribas	1.62	1.7	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.87	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)
14.	Feb '24	Luis Rodriguez	Denys Bondar	2.00	1	Sub, R2 (4:59)
15.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.83	1.25	Sub, R1 (1:46)
16.	Feb '24	Miranda Maverick	Andrea Lee	1.51	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.80	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '24	Hyder Amil	Fernando Garcia	1.53	1.9	TKO, R2 (2:12)
19.	Feb '24	Max Griffin	Jeremiah Wells	2.48	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.61	1.75	TKO, R1 (2:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Justin Gaethje	Max Holloway	1.56	1.8	TKO, R5 (4:59)	No
2.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '24	Aleksandar Rakic	Jiri Prochazka	1.83	1.2	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
5.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.74	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.67	1.5	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
7.	Mar '24	Lupita Godinez	Virna Jandiroba	1.57	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '24	Vicente Luque	Joaquin Buckley	1.69	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
9.	Mar '24	Erin Blanchfield	Manon Fiorot	1.56	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '24	Maryna Moroz	Joanne Wood	1.57	1.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Michel Pereira	2.22	0.75	Sub, R1 (1:1)	No
12.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.86	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Shamil Gaziev	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.77	1.3	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
14.	Feb '24	Mateus Mendonca	Jesus Santos Aguilar	1.71	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '24	Brendson Ribeiro	Mingyang Zhang	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (1:41)	No
16.	Feb '24	Alex Volkanovski	Ilia Topuria	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (3:32)	No
17.	Mar '24	Isaac Dulgarian	Christian Rodriguez	2.00	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '24	Tai Tuivasa	Marcin Tybura	1.74	1.5	Sub, R1 (4:8)	No
19.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.62	2	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No
20.	Feb '24	Armen Petrosyan	Rodolfo Vieira	2.00	1	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Puff Sullivan’s Combat Sports Handicapping : Progress Chart

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