MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: Quant Fiction

Quant Fiction (quantfiction)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	104 (47%)	Right	11 (55%)	Right	93 (46%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	117 (53%)	Wrong	9 (45%)	Wrong	108 (54%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	2.10	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	224.5	Units Bet	15.2	Units Bet	209.3	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	1.02	Avg Bet	0.76	Avg Bet	1.04	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	2.15	Units Profit	2.91	Units Profit	-0.76	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	1%	ROI %	19%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	nan%

Quant Fiction: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	11.8	-1.2	-10%		-1.2 / 11.8 (-10%)
17th Dec '22	KSW 77	1.8	1.8	100%		1.8 / 1.8 (100%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	11.5	12.1	106%		12.1 / 11.5 (106%)
9th Dec '22	LFA 148	2.3	-2.3	-100%		-2.3 / 2.3 (-100%)
9th Dec '22	Bellator 289	3.9	-0.1	-2%		-0.1 / 3.9 (-2%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	6.55	-1.2	-18%		-1.2 / 6.55 (-18%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	8.7	1.5	17%		1.5 / 8.7 (17%)
18th Nov '22	LFA 147	4.6	0.6	13%		0.6 / 4.6 (13%)
18th Nov '22	Bellator 288	6.3	-6.3	-100%		-6.3 / 6.3 (-100%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	6.7	-0.3	-5%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.7 / 5.7 (12%)
12th Nov '22	Cage Warriors 146	1.6	-1.6	-100%		-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
12th Nov '22	KSW 76	6.4	-1.8	-28%		-1.8 / 6.4 (-28%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	7.65	1.3	18%	0.4 / 2.5 (15%)	1.0 / 5.15 (19%)
5th Nov '22	LFA 146	1.6	-0.2	-16%		-0.2 / 1.6 (-16%)
4th Nov '22	Cage Warriors 145	7.8	-4.5	-58%		-4.5 / 7.8 (-58%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	5.8	3.1	54%	0.4 / 1 (45%)	2.7 / 4.8 (56%)
29th Oct '22	Bellator 287	5.5	-4.1	-74%		-4.1 / 5.5 (-74%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	5.9	-0.4	-7%	0.9 / 2.2 (40%)	-1.3 / 3.7 (-34%)
21st Oct '22	LFA 145	4	2.1	54%	0.6 / 1 (59%)	1.6 / 3 (52%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	2	1.4	70%		1.4 / 2 (70%)
14th Oct '22	LFA 144	2.6	2.1	80%	0.6 / 0.8 (70%)	1.5 / 1.8 (85%)
14th Oct '22	KSW 75	2	0.0	0%		0.0 / 2 (0%)
7th Oct '22	Cage Warriors 144	2.8	-0.2	-6%		-0.2 / 2.8 (-6%)
1st Oct '22	Bellator 286	6.7	5.7	85%	1.1 / 0.2 (530%)	4.7 / 6.5 (72%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	1.5	-1.5	-100%		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
30th Sep '22	LFA 143	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 10	3	-2.2	-72%		-2.2 / 3 (-72%)
23rd Sep '22	Cage Warriors 143	5	-1.8	-35%		-1.8 / 5 (-35%)
23rd Sep '22	Bellator 285	6	-0.6	-10%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 5.5 (-2%)
21st Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 9	4.5	-3.0	-67%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.5 / 4 (-63%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	8.5	-3.6	-42%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.6 / 7.5 (-35%)
17th Sep '22	LFA 142	3	3.1	102%		3.1 / 3 (102%)
13th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 8	3	4.8	162%	1.7 / 1 (170%)	3.1 / 2 (157%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	20	-1.1	-5%	1.4 / 1 (140%)	-2.5 / 19 (-13%)
10th Sep '22	KSW 74	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	LFA 141	1	0.4	42%		0.4 / 1 (42%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	6	-1.8	-30%		-1.8 / 6 (-30%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	11	0.9	8%		0.9 / 11 (8%)
31st Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 6	6	0.9	15%		0.9 / 6 (15%)
27th Aug '22	LFA 140	3	1.9	62%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.9 / 2 (143%)
23rd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 5	2.5	-0.7	-28%		-0.7 / 2.5 (-28%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	6.5	0.0	0%	0.4 / 1 (39%)	-0.4 / 5.5 (-7%)
16th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 4	4	2.1	53%		2.1 / 4 (53%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 18 (41%)
Losing Events: 26 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.10 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 12.15 units
Worst Event: -6.30 units
Average Event: 0.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 13.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -14.15

Quant Fiction: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	224.5	2.1	1%	2.9 / 15.2 (19%)			18 / 26 (41%)	0.05

Quant Fiction: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Quant Fiction: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	115.1	10.2	9%	1.5 / 9.7 (15%)	8.7 / 105.4 (8%)
Bellator	28.4	-5.3	-19%	0.6 / 0.7 (80%)	-5.9 / 27.7 (-21%)
Other	81	-2.7	-3%	0.9 / 4.8 (18%)	-3.6 / 76.2 (-5%)

Quant Fiction: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (24%)	5	100 %	5.00	2.20	0.44	44%
Slight Favorites	4 (19%)	3	75 %	2.80	0.15	0.04	5%
Slight Underdogs	8 (38%)	3	38 %	5.20	1.49	0.19	29%
Big Underdogs	4 (19%)	1	25 %	2.20	-0.94	-0.24	-43%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Co-Main Event	4 (19%)	3	75 %	2.30	0.46	0.11	20%
Position 3-5	9 (43%)	6	67 %	6.80	3.35	0.37	49%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (38%)	3	38 %	6.10	-0.90	-0.11	-15%

Quant Fiction: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (10%)	2	100 %	0.80	0.56	0.28	70%
Middleweight	5 (24%)	2	40 %	3.60	-0.76	-0.15	-21%
Lightweight	4 (19%)	3	75 %	3.10	2.78	0.69	90%
Featherweight	3 (14%)	1	33 %	1.70	-0.44	-0.15	-26%
Bantamweight	4 (19%)	1	25 %	3.00	-1.65	-0.41	-55%
Flyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.53	0.53	53%

Women's Fights	2 (10%)	2	100 %	2.00	1.88	0.94	94%
Flyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.48	0.48	48%
Strawweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.40	1.40	140%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	17 (8%)	13	76 %
50-65%	55 (27%)	37	67 %
35-50%	89 (44%)	31	35 %
<35% chance	40 (20%)	12	30 %
	201	93	46 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	45 (22%)	25	56 %	2.01	3.50	1.29	5.6 (12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	78 (39%)	36	46 %	2.17	3.75	1.50	-3.2 (-4%)
Goes to Decision	1 (0%)	0	0 %	2.70	2.70	2.70	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	10 (5%)	4	40 %	1.72	2.52	1.31	-4.0 (-40%)
X Wins by KO	4 (2%)	2	50 %	3.52	6.50	2.00	4.0 (100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (0%)	0	0 %	7.00	7.00	7.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (0%)	1	100 %	7.00	7.00	7.00	6.0 (600%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (1%)	0	0 %	3.86	5.00	3.05	-3.0 (-100%)
Others	58 (29%)	25	43 %	2.22	4.00	1.25	-4.1 (-7%)
	201	93	46 %	2.16			-0.8 (-0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Quant Fiction's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$990.00
16th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 4	4	2.1	53%		$9.90	$990.00	$1,010.91
20th Aug	UFC 278	6.5	0.0	0%		$10.11	$1,010.91	$1,011.08
23rd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 5	2.5	-0.7	-28%		$10.11	$1,011.08	$1,004.00
27th Aug	LFA 140	3	1.9	62%		$10.04	$1,004.00	$1,022.58
31st Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 6	6	0.9	15%		$10.23	$1,022.58	$1,031.78
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	11	0.9	8%		$10.32	$1,031.78	$1,040.76
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	6	-1.8	-30%		$10.41	$1,040.76	$1,021.92
10th Sep	LFA 141	1	0.4	42%		$10.22	$1,021.92	$1,026.21
10th Sep	KSW 74	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.26	$1,026.21	$1,015.95
10th Sep	UFC 279	20	-1.1	-5%		$10.16	$1,015.95	$1,005.28
13th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 8	3	4.8	162%		$10.05	$1,005.28	$1,054.04
17th Sep	LFA 142	3	3.1	102%		$10.54	$1,054.04	$1,086.19
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	8.5	-3.6	-42%		$10.86	$1,086.19	$1,047.08
21st Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 9	4.5	-3.0	-67%		$10.47	$1,047.08	$1,015.41
23rd Sep	Bellator 285	6	-0.6	-10%		$10.15	$1,015.41	$1,009.32
23rd Sep	Cage Warriors 143	5	-1.8	-35%		$10.09	$1,009.32	$991.65
27th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 10	3	-2.2	-72%		$9.92	$991.65	$970.08
30th Sep	LFA 143	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.70	$970.08	$955.53
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.56	$955.53	$941.20
1st Oct	Bellator 286	6.7	5.7	85%		$9.41	$941.20	$995.08
7th Oct	Cage Warriors 144	2.8	-0.2	-6%		$9.95	$995.08	$993.54
14th Oct	KSW 75	2	0.0	0%		$9.94	$993.54	$993.54
14th Oct	LFA 144	2.6	2.1	80%		$9.94	$993.54	$1,014.30
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	2	1.4	70%		$10.14	$1,014.30	$1,028.50
21st Oct	LFA 145	4	2.1	54%		$10.29	$1,028.50	$1,050.51
22nd Oct	UFC 280	5.9	-0.4	-7%		$10.51	$1,050.51	$1,046.41
29th Oct	Bellator 287	5.5	-4.1	-74%		$10.46	$1,046.41	$1,003.82
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	5.8	3.1	54%		$10.04	$1,003.82	$1,035.39
4th Nov	Cage Warriors 145	7.8	-4.5	-58%		$10.35	$1,035.39	$988.80
5th Nov	LFA 146	1.6	-0.2	-16%		$9.89	$988.80	$986.35
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	7.65	1.3	18%		$9.86	$986.35	$999.57
12th Nov	KSW 76	6.4	-1.8	-28%		$10.00	$999.57	$981.87
12th Nov	Cage Warriors 146	1.6	-1.6	-100%		$9.82	$981.87	$966.16
12th Nov	UFC 281	6.7	-0.3	-5%		$9.66	$966.16	$962.97
18th Nov	Bellator 288	6.3	-6.3	-100%		$9.63	$962.97	$902.30
18th Nov	LFA 147	4.6	0.6	13%		$9.02	$902.30	$907.58
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	8.7	1.5	17%		$9.08	$907.58	$921.33
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	6.55	-1.2	-18%		$9.21	$921.33	$910.38
9th Dec	Bellator 289	3.9	-0.1	-2%		$9.10	$910.38	$909.70
9th Dec	LFA 148	2.3	-2.3	-100%		$9.10	$909.70	$888.77
10th Dec	UFC 282	11.5	12.1	106%		$8.89	$888.77	$996.76
17th Dec	KSW 77	1.8	1.8	100%		$9.97	$996.76	$1,014.70
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	11.8	-1.2	-10%		$10.15	$1,014.70	$1,002.78

ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Quant Fiction: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '22	Mario Bautista	Benito Lopez	1.35	1	Sub, R1 (4:54)
2.	Nov '22	Tagir Ulanbekov	Nathan Maness	1.53	1	Sub, R1 (2:11)
3.	Oct '22	Jun Yong Park	Joseph Holmes	1.45	1	Sub, R2 (3:4)
4.	Oct '22	Kegan Gennrich	Jake Kozorosky	1.59	1	Sub, R2 (2:59)
5.	Oct '22	Manon Fiorot	Katlyn Chookagian	1.48	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '22	Beneil Dariush	Mateusz Gamrot	2.65	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '22	Jordan Heiderman	Daiqwon Buckley	1.70	0.2	Sub, R1 (3:17)
8.	Oct '22	Jordan Heiderman	Daiqwon Buckley	1.70	0.6	Sub, R1 (3:17)
9.	Oct '22	Jeremy Kennedy	Aaron Pico	6.30	0.2	TKO, R1 (5:0)
10.	Sep '22	Trevor Peek	Malik Lewis	2.70	1	TKO, R2 (2:37)
11.	Sep '22	Elise Reed	Melissa Martinez	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '22	Paulo Costa	Luke Rockhold	1.39	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '22	Seung Woo Choi	Mike Trizano	1.65	1	TKO, R1 (4:51)	No
2.	Nov '22	Mark O. Madsen	Grant Dawson	3.00	0.5	Sub, R3 (2:5)	No
3.	Oct '22	Makhmud Muradov	Caio Borralho	2.75	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '22	Fabio Aguiar	Lucas Fernando	2.30	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:55)	No
5.	Sep '22	Arivaldo Silva	Brian Moore	4.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '22	Mando Gutierrez	Raul Rosas Jr	2.30	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '22	Bill Algeo	Andre Fili	2.10	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '22	Marc-Andre Barriault	Anthony Hernandez	2.52	0.5	Sub, R3 (1:53)	No
9.	Aug '22	Dillion Cox	Braden Pagaoa	5.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Quant Fiction: Progress Chart

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