MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Joes UFCPicks

Joes UFCPicks (JoesUFCpicks)

MMA MHandicapper - Joes UFCPicks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	240 (48%)	Right	200 (56%)	Right	35 (33%)	Right	5 (14%)
Wrong	256 (52%)	Wrong	154 (44%)	Wrong	70 (67%)	Wrong	32 (86%)
Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	1.69	Avg Odds	2.62	Avg Odds	7.96
Units Bet	1,550.6	Units Bet	1,376.0	Units Bet	111.7	Units Bet	62.9
Avg Bet	3.13	Avg Bet	3.89	Avg Bet	1.06	Avg Bet	1.70
Units Profit	-43.78	Units Profit	-38.03	Units Profit	-2.64	Units Profit	-3.10
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-5%

Joes UFCPicks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	43	-11.2	-26%	-6.2 / 38 (-16%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	30	-3.7	-12%	-2.7 / 29 (-9%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	31.5	1.5	5%	6.5 / 26.5 (25%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	26	-6.6	-26%	-7.5 / 21.5 (-35%)	1.9 / 3.5 (54%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	25.3	-1.1	-4%	0.7 / 23.5 (3%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	41.5	-13.7	-33%	-11.7 / 39.5 (-30%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	19.5	-2.7	-14%	-2.9 / 15.5 (-19%)	0.2 / 4 (5%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	25	-8.9	-36%	-9.2 / 19 (-49%)	0.3 / 6 (5%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	38	2.2	6%	3.2 / 37 (9%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	12.5	0.4	3%	3.4 / 9.5 (36%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	45	-23.2	-51%	-21.7 / 43.5 (-50%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	9	-9.0	-100%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	16.8	-8.2	-49%	-8.0 / 13 (-61%)	-0.2 / 3.8 (-5%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	12	-6.1	-51%	-4.1 / 10 (-41%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	34	16.9	50%	14.5 / 29 (50%)	-1.8 / 4 (-45%)	4.2 / 1 (419%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	17	20.8	122%	11.7 / 16 (73%)		9.1 / 1 (907%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	21	5.2	25%	6.2 / 20 (31%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	10	-0.3	-3%	0.2 / 9.5 (2%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	50.7	-1.1	-2%	-7.6 / 44 (-17%)	7.5 / 5.7 (132%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	16.7	-2.6	-16%	-1.4 / 15.5 (-9%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	54	1.9	4%	2.9 / 53 (6%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	16.5	-11.7	-71%	-9.2 / 14 (-66%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	28	34.2	122%	16.0 / 21.5 (75%)	7.0 / 5.5 (126%)	11.2 / 1 (1,119%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	37.7	14.5	39%	5.8 / 28.5 (20%)	8.8 / 9.2 (95%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	93	-24.3	-26%	-14.3 / 83 (-17%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	34.5	-4.5	-13%	-3.0 / 33 (-9%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	100	25.1	25%	25.1 / 100 (25%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	77	-10.4	-13%	-10.4 / 77 (-13%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	100	-10.6	-11%	-6.6 / 90 (-7%)	-4.0 / 10 (-40%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	78	8.9	11%	8.9 / 78 (11%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	69	-19.4	-28%	-11.2 / 51 (-22%)	-5.2 / 15 (-35%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 9	26	10.8	42%	10.8 / 26 (42%)
13th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 8	24	-11.4	-48%	-7.4 / 20 (-37%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	42	23.5	56%	8.0 / 35 (23%)	3.4 / 5 (68%)	12.1 / 2 (605%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	39	-14.8	-38%	-12.8 / 37 (-35%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	68	26.0	38%	13.0 / 53 (25%)	4.8 / 5 (95%)	8.2 / 10 (82%)
31st Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 6	48	-11.8	-24%	-5.8 / 42 (-14%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
23rd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 5	18.5	-11.5	-62%	-6.5 / 13.5 (-48%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	20	-3.4	-17%	-1.3 / 16 (-8%)	-1.6 / 3.5 (-46%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 4	5.5	-0.5	-9%	0.0 / 5 (0%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	22.9	3.4	15%	4.6 / 17 (27%)	0.7 / 4 (18%)	-1.9 / 1.9 (-100%)
9th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 3	4.5	-2.8	-61%		-2.3 / 4 (-56%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	22	-3.7	-17%	0.8 / 14 (6%)	-4.6 / 8 (-57%)

Winning Events: 15 (35%)
Losing Events: 28 (65%)

Average Staked Per Event: 36.11 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 34.17 units
Worst Event: -24.29 units
Average Event: -1.02 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 48.68
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -46.46

Joes UFCPicks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	155.8	-21.1	-14%	-9.2 / 138.5 (-7%)		-5.8 / 5.8 (-100%)	1 / 4 (20%)	-4.22
2023	597.9	-15.7	-3%	-35.2 / 530 (-7%)		5.3 / 22.2 (24%)	8 / 12 (40%)	-0.78
2022	798.9	-7.0	-1%	6.3 / 707.5 (1%)		-2.6 / 34.9 (-7%)	6 / 12 (33%)	-0.39

Joes UFCPicks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Joes UFCPicks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1272.4	1.4	0%	-14.3 / 1129 (-1%)	9.1 / 100.2 (9%)	6.5 / 43.2 (15%)
Other	280.2	-45.1	-16%	-23.8 / 247 (-10%)	-11.8 / 13.5 (-87%)	-9.6 / 19.7 (-49%)

Joes UFCPicks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	158 (45%)	114	72 %	803.00	8.04	0.05	1%
Slight Favorites	81 (23%)	44	54 %	292.50	-35.46	-0.44	-12%
Slight Underdogs	85 (24%)	37	44 %	235.00	19.71	0.23	8%
Big Underdogs	30 (8%)	5	17 %	45.50	-30.33	-1.01	-67%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	34 (10%)	18	53 %	118.00	-12.95	-0.38	-11%
Co-Main Event	37 (10%)	23	62 %	150.50	13.77	0.37	9%
Position 3-5	109 (31%)	55	50 %	429.00	-46.92	-0.43	-11%
6+ (Undercard)	174 (49%)	104	60 %	678.50	8.06	0.05	1%

Joes UFCPicks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	26 (7%)	14	54 %	93.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0%
Light Heavy	27 (8%)	16	59 %	106.50	-14.38	-0.53	-14%
Middleweight	41 (12%)	26	63 %	156.00	22.76	0.56	15%
Welterweight	43 (12%)	24	56 %	161.00	17.82	0.41	11%
Lightweight	51 (14%)	28	55 %	200.50	-17.43	-0.34	-9%
Featherweight	43 (12%)	20	47 %	179.50	-30.10	-0.70	-17%
Bantamweight	48 (14%)	30	63 %	194.50	2.07	0.04	1%
Flyweight	23 (6%)	10	43 %	67.50	-12.14	-0.53	-18%

Women's Fights	52 (15%)	32	62 %	217.50	-6.58	-0.13	-3%
Featherweight	2 (1%)	2	100 %	12.00	2.48	1.24	21%
Bantamweight	13 (4%)	7	54 %	42.50	-4.35	-0.33	-10%
Flyweight	13 (4%)	9	69 %	60.00	9.89	0.76	16%
Strawweight	24 (7%)	14	58 %	103.00	-14.60	-0.61	-14%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	73 (49%)	53	73 %
Slight Favorites	37 (25%)	18	49 %
Slight Underdogs	32 (22%)	14	44 %
Big Underdogs	6 (4%)	0	0 %
	148	85	57 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (3%)	3	75 %
50-65%	21 (18%)	7	33 %
35-50%	41 (35%)	12	29 %
<35% chance	52 (44%)	17	33 %
	118	39	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	42 (36%)	11	26 %	2.42	6.00	1.44	-9.6 (-23%)
X Wins by Sub	17 (14%)	5	29 %	2.89	6.00	1.57	-2.9 (-17%)
X Wins by Decision	46 (39%)	19	41 %	2.79	8.00	1.67	10.0 (22%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (3%)	1	33 %	1.86	2.40	1.57	-0.6 (-20%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (2%)	0	0 %	3.21	3.75	2.80	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	8 (7%)	3	38 %	1.94	3.60	1.53	-3.1 (-38%)
	118	39	33 %	2.56			-8.1 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Joes UFCPicks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	22	-3.7	-17%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$962.65
9th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 3	4.5	-2.8	-61%		$9.63	$962.65	$936.09
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	22.9	3.4	15%		$9.36	$936.09	$968.14
16th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 4	5.5	-0.5	-9%		$9.68	$968.14	$963.34
20th Aug	UFC 278	20	-3.4	-17%		$9.63	$963.34	$930.13
23rd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 5	18.5	-11.5	-62%		$9.30	$930.13	$823.34
31st Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 6	48	-11.8	-24%		$8.23	$823.34	$726.57
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	68	26.0	38%		$7.27	$726.57	$915.28
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	39	-14.8	-38%		$9.15	$915.28	$780.10
10th Sep	UFC 279	42	23.5	56%		$7.80	$780.10	$963.73
13th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 8	24	-11.4	-48%		$9.64	$963.73	$853.45
21st Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 9	26	10.8	42%		$8.53	$853.45	$945.96
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	69	-19.4	-28%		$9.46	$945.96	$762.42
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	78	8.9	11%		$7.62	$762.42	$830.26
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	100	-10.6	-11%		$8.30	$830.26	$742.61
12th Nov	UFC 281	77	-10.4	-13%		$7.43	$742.61	$665.43
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	100	25.1	25%		$6.65	$665.43	$832.15
10th Dec	UFC 282	34.5	-4.5	-13%		$8.32	$832.15	$795.00
21st Jan	UFC 283	93	-24.3	-26%		$7.95	$795.00	$601.87
29th Jul	UFC 291	37.7	14.5	39%		$6.02	$601.87	$689.23
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	28	34.2	122%		$6.89	$689.23	$924.71
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	16.5	-11.7	-71%		$9.25	$924.71	$816.59
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	54	1.9	4%		$8.17	$816.59	$832.27
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	16.7	-2.6	-16%		$8.32	$832.27	$810.61
19th Aug	UFC 292	50.7	-1.1	-2%		$8.11	$810.61	$801.41
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	10	-0.3	-3%		$8.01	$801.41	$799.13
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	21	5.2	25%		$7.99	$799.13	$840.81
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	17	20.8	122%		$8.41	$840.81	$1,015.48
9th Sep	UFC 293	34	16.9	50%		$10.15	$1,015.48	$1,187.30
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	12	-6.1	-51%		$11.87	$1,187.30	$1,114.70
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	16.8	-8.2	-49%		$11.15	$1,114.70	$1,023.58
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	9	-9.0	-100%		$10.24	$1,023.58	$931.45
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	45	-23.2	-51%		$9.31	$931.45	$715.63
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	12.5	0.4	3%		$7.16	$715.63	$718.61
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	38	2.2	6%		$7.19	$718.61	$734.50
21st Oct	UFC 294	25	-8.9	-36%		$7.35	$734.50	$668.79
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	19.5	-2.7	-14%		$6.69	$668.79	$650.55
16th Dec	UFC 296	41.5	-13.7	-33%		$6.51	$650.55	$561.48
17th Feb	UFC 298	25.3	-1.1	-4%		$5.61	$561.48	$555.15
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	26	-6.6	-26%		$5.55	$555.15	$518.27
9th Mar	UFC 299	31.5	1.5	5%		$5.18	$518.27	$526.29
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	30	-3.7	-12%		$5.26	$526.29	$507.07
13th Apr	UFC 300	43	-11.2	-26%		$5.07	$507.07	$450.10

ROI % from starting bank balance: -54.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Joes UFCPicks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Deiveson Figueiredo	Cody Garbrandt	1.34	5	Sub, R2 (4:2)
2.	Apr '24	Jessica Andrade	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.76	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Diego Lopes	Sodiq Yusuff	1.69	6	TKO, R1 (1:29)
4.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.57	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Apr '24	Jean Matsumoto	Dan Argueta	1.63	3	Sub, R2 (4:59)
6.	Apr '24	Alex Morono	Court McGee	1.32	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	Ignacio Bahamondes	Christos Giagos	1.30	5	TKO, R1 (3:34)
8.	Apr '24	Damon Jackson	Alexander Hernandez	2.46	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '24	Brendan Allen	Chris Curtis	1.47	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Michel Pereira	Michal Oleksiejczuk	1.68	3	Sub, R1 (1:1)
11.	Mar '24	Kyler Phillips	Pedro Munhoz	1.43	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Philipe Lins	Ion Cutelaba	2.06	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Junior	2.00	4	TKO, R2 (0:36)
14.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.68	2	TKO, R2 (2:32)
15.	Mar '24	Sean O'Malley	Marlon Vera	1.39	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Feb '24	Fares Ziam	Claudio Puelles	1.49	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Mateus Mendonca	2.04	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.54	2	Sub, R1 (1:46)
19.	Feb '24	Daniel Zellhuber	Francisco Prado	1.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '24	Miranda Maverick	Andrea Lee	1.51	4	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.43	2	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
3.	Apr '24	Aleksandar Rakic	Jiri Prochazka	1.91	3	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
4.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.76	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Justin Gaethje	Max Holloway	1.62	3	TKO, R5 (4:59)	No
6.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.16	3	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
7.	Apr '24	Melissa Dixon	Nora Cornolle	1.26	4	TKO, R2 (3:6)	No
8.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.02	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Trevor Peek	Charlie Campbell	2.44	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.77	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Maryna Moroz	Joanne Wood	1.42	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Yadong Song	Petr Yan	2.04	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.38	2	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
14.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.77	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '24	Victor Altamirano	Felipe Dos Santos	3.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Feb '24	Denys Bondar	Luis Rodriguez	2.00	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
17.	Feb '24	Christian Quinonez	Raoni Barcelos	2.44	2	Sub, R3 (2:4)	No
18.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.68	5	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No
19.	Feb '24	Brandon Moreno	Brandon Royval	1.34	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '24	Valentine Woodburn	Oban Elliott	3.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Joes UFCPicks: Progress Chart

Chart

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