MMA Handicapper Stats: Cage Picks |
|
Cage Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 20 (38%) Losing Events: 33 (62%)
Average Staked Per Event: 37.62 units Most Staked On One Event: 110.00 units Best Event: 25.33 units Worst Event: -29.81 units Average Event: -1.32 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 59.70 Max Losing Streak: Events: 10, Units: -88.81 |
Cage Picks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
397.05 |
29.1 |
7% |
24.1 / 361.05 (7%) |
|
4.5 / 33 (14%) |
5 / 6 (45%) |
2.64 |
2023 |
1534.45 |
-80.0 |
-5% |
-64.5 / 1502.99 (-4%) |
|
-19.2 / 26 (-74%) |
12 / 23 (34%) |
-2.29 |
2022 |
62.46 |
-18.8 |
-30% |
-12.0 / 46.5 (-26%) |
|
-3.6 / 12.81 (-28%) |
3 / 4 (43%) |
-2.68 |
|
Cage Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Cage Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1981.96 |
-57.7 |
-3% |
-40.5 / 1898.54 (-2%) |
1.1 / 11.61 (9%) |
-18.3 / 71.81 (-26%) |
PFL |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
|
|
Other |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
|
Cage Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
211 (56%) |
148 |
70 % |
1,414.35 |
-53.78 |
-0.25 |
-4% |
Slight Favorites |
105 (28%) |
63 |
60 % |
397.65 |
-13.95 |
-0.13 |
-4% |
Slight Underdogs |
56 (15%) |
24 |
43 % |
95.54 |
13.57 |
0.24 |
14% |
Big Underdogs |
4 (1%) |
2 |
50 % |
3.00 |
1.70 |
0.42 |
57% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
32 (9%) |
14 |
44 % |
171.93 |
-83.91 |
-2.62 |
-49% |
Co-Main Event |
31 (8%) |
18 |
58 % |
179.50 |
22.02 |
0.71 |
12% |
Position 3-5 |
89 (24%) |
55 |
62 % |
480.65 |
-18.89 |
-0.21 |
-4% |
6+ (Undercard) |
224 (60%) |
150 |
67 % |
1,078.46 |
28.33 |
0.13 |
3% |
|
Cage Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
21 (6%) |
12 |
57 % |
78.56 |
5.60 |
0.27 |
7% |
Light Heavy |
26 (7%) |
19 |
73 % |
117.00 |
39.45 |
1.52 |
34% |
Middleweight |
41 (11%) |
28 |
68 % |
232.00 |
18.65 |
0.45 |
8% |
Welterweight |
50 (13%) |
34 |
68 % |
228.23 |
24.60 |
0.49 |
11% |
Lightweight |
57 (15%) |
39 |
68 % |
260.40 |
8.69 |
0.15 |
3% |
Featherweight |
41 (11%) |
19 |
46 % |
217.45 |
-66.96 |
-1.63 |
-31% |
Bantamweight |
39 (10%) |
25 |
64 % |
221.00 |
-18.72 |
-0.48 |
-8% |
Flyweight |
37 (10%) |
21 |
57 % |
192.10 |
-25.53 |
-0.69 |
-13% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
64 (17%) |
40 |
63 % |
363.80 |
-38.25 |
-0.60 |
-11% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
14 (4%) |
10 |
71 % |
73.00 |
-5.02 |
-0.36 |
-7% |
Flyweight |
22 (6%) |
14 |
64 % |
138.50 |
-9.83 |
-0.45 |
-7% |
Strawweight |
26 (7%) |
16 |
62 % |
148.30 |
-19.40 |
-0.75 |
-13% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
41 (87%) |
30 |
73 % |
Slight Favorites |
6 (13%) |
3 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
47 |
33 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
6 (38%) |
5 |
83 % |
50-65% |
4 (25%) |
3 |
75 % |
35-50% |
2 (13%) |
0 |
0 % |
<35% chance |
4 (25%) |
1 |
25 % |
|
16 |
9 |
56 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Cage Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
10.5 |
2.1 |
20% |
$20 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,001.02 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
$20 |
$10.01 |
$1,001.02 |
$920.96 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
17.94 |
-9.0 |
-50% |
$20 |
$9.21 |
$920.96 |
$817.79 |
31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.18 |
$817.79 |
$801.43 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
8.02 |
2.5 |
31% |
$20 |
$8.01 |
$801.43 |
$801.46 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
54% |
$20 |
$8.01 |
$801.46 |
$796.70 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
14.5 |
-8.3 |
-57% |
$20 |
$7.97 |
$796.70 |
$710.93 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
56 |
12.4 |
22% |
$20 |
$7.11 |
$710.93 |
$778.90 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
68 |
-8.2 |
-12% |
$20 |
$7.79 |
$778.90 |
$695.23 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
54.8 |
-6.8 |
-12% |
$20 |
$6.95 |
$695.23 |
$628.15 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
33 |
-3.6 |
-11% |
$20 |
$6.28 |
$628.15 |
$585.31 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
54 |
-5.1 |
-10% |
$20 |
$5.85 |
$585.31 |
$535.18 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
32 |
4.2 |
13% |
$20 |
$5.35 |
$535.18 |
$537.63 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
38 |
-9.4 |
-25% |
$20 |
$5.38 |
$537.63 |
$467.15 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
46 |
-12.6 |
-27% |
$20 |
$4.67 |
$467.15 |
$388.19 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
66 |
-29.8 |
-45% |
$20 |
$3.88 |
$388.19 |
$252.45 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
70 |
-0.4 |
-1% |
$20 |
$2.52 |
$252.45 |
$231.33 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
45 |
10.8 |
24% |
$20 |
$2.31 |
$231.33 |
$236.34 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
29 |
5.3 |
18% |
$20 |
$2.36 |
$236.34 |
$228.79 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
27 |
4.9 |
18% |
|
$2.29 |
$228.79 |
$239.88 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
28.5 |
-0.8 |
-3% |
|
$2.40 |
$239.88 |
$237.86 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
24 |
2.9 |
12% |
|
$2.38 |
$237.86 |
$244.70 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
41.3 |
-3.7 |
-9% |
$20 |
$2.45 |
$244.70 |
$215.54 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
43 |
-10.6 |
-25% |
$20 |
$2.16 |
$215.54 |
$172.78 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
42 |
-11.2 |
-27% |
$20 |
$1.73 |
$172.78 |
$133.36 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
28 |
2.1 |
7% |
$20 |
$1.33 |
$133.36 |
$116.13 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
30 |
-3.7 |
-12% |
$20 |
$1.16 |
$116.13 |
$91.89 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
110 |
-4.7 |
-4% |
$20 |
$0.92 |
$91.89 |
$67.61 |
4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$20 |
$0.68 |
$67.61 |
$40.85 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
26.3 |
0.8 |
3% |
$20 |
$0.41 |
$40.85 |
$21.18 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
61 |
25.3 |
42% |
$20 |
$0.21 |
$21.18 |
$6.54 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
60 |
13.5 |
22% |
$20 |
$0.07 |
$6.54 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
31 |
10.7 |
34% |
$20 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,086.85 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
33.1 |
9.4 |
28% |
$20 |
$10.87 |
$1,086.85 |
$1,169.15 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
30 |
-4.5 |
-15% |
$20 |
$11.69 |
$1,169.15 |
$1,096.28 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
43 |
-11.4 |
-26% |
$20 |
$10.96 |
$1,096.28 |
$951.42 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
40 |
-9.9 |
-25% |
$20 |
$9.51 |
$951.42 |
$837.53 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
41 |
-13.8 |
-34% |
$20 |
$8.38 |
$837.53 |
$702.25 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
80 |
-0.1 |
-0% |
$20 |
$7.02 |
$702.25 |
$681.41 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
33 |
-4.4 |
-13% |
$20 |
$6.81 |
$681.41 |
$631.75 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
70 |
-14.1 |
-20% |
$20 |
$6.32 |
$631.75 |
$522.97 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
10.45 |
-3.4 |
-33% |
$20 |
$5.23 |
$522.97 |
$485.07 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
50 |
-23.9 |
-48% |
$20 |
$4.85 |
$485.07 |
$348.93 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
30 |
-3.4 |
-11% |
$20 |
$3.49 |
$348.93 |
$317.17 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
54 |
24.6 |
46% |
$20 |
$3.17 |
$317.17 |
$375.14 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
57 |
16.8 |
29% |
$20 |
$3.75 |
$375.14 |
$418.00 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
20 |
-2.0 |
-10% |
$20 |
$4.18 |
$418.00 |
$389.84 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
51 |
3.2 |
6% |
$20 |
$3.90 |
$389.84 |
$382.34 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
43.55 |
25.2 |
58% |
$20 |
$3.82 |
$382.34 |
$458.50 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
20.5 |
-2.1 |
-10% |
$20 |
$4.58 |
$458.50 |
$429.08 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
$20 |
$4.29 |
$429.08 |
$374.76 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
35 |
1.3 |
4% |
$20 |
$3.75 |
$374.76 |
$359.73 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
28 |
-2.6 |
-9% |
$20 |
$3.60 |
$359.73 |
$330.34 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -166.97% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Cage Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Cody Garbrandt |
1.34 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Weili Zhang |
Yan Xiaonan |
1.20 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Caolan Loughran |
Angel Pacheco |
1.26 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Ibo Aslan |
Anton Turkalj |
1.80 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
Sedriques Dumas |
1.47 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Thiago Moises |
Mitch Ramirez |
1.27 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:15) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Jafel Filho |
Ode Osbourne |
1.65 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:27) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Bryan Barberena |
1.42 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:23) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Marcin Tybura |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.95 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Maycee Barber |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.55 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Assu Almabaev |
Carlos Vergara |
1.22 |
4.55 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Rafael dos Anjos |
1.23 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Philipe Lins |
Ion Cutelaba |
2.12 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.80 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.38 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Duncan |
Claudio Ribeiro |
1.28 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:57) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Muhammad Mokaev |
Alex Perez |
1.27 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Steve Erceg |
Matt Schnell |
1.32 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:26) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Eryk Anders |
Jamie Pickett |
1.27 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Mar '24 |
Vitor Petrino |
Tyson Pedro |
1.34 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.46 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.14 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.41 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Kurt Holobaugh |
Trey Ogden |
2.24 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
1.64 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Josiane Nunes |
Chelsea Chandler |
1.74 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Gilbert Burns |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Javid Basharat |
Aiemann Zahabi |
1.18 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '24 |
Victor Altamirano |
Felipe Dos Santos |
3.45 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '24 |
Brandon Moreno |
Brandon Royval |
1.38 |
3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '24 |
Brendson Ribeiro |
Mingyang Zhang |
2.15 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Feb '24 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Ilia Topuria |
1.82 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Azat Maksum |
Charles Johnson |
1.40 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jan '24 |
Brad Katona |
Garrett Armfield |
1.49 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jan '24 |
Mike Malott |
Neil Magny |
1.30 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (4:45) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jan '24 |
Sean Strickland |
Dricus Du Plessis |
1.91 |
10 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '23 |
Cody Durden |
Tagir Ulanbekov |
2.60 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (4:25) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Dec '23 |
Cody Durden |
Tagir Ulanbekov |
1.03 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (4:25) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Dec '23 |
Colby Covington |
Leon Edwards |
2.40 |
0.43 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Dec '23 |
Lucas Almeida |
Andre Fili |
2.46 |
1.8 |
TKO, R1 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Cage Picks: Progress Chart |
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