|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Herb Dean The Gold Standard |
|
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 41 (59%) Losing Events: 29 (41%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.29 units Most Staked On One Event: 38.97 units Best Event: 8.29 units Worst Event: -13.60 units Average Event: 0.20 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 17.22 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -14.49 |
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
303.839 |
3.0 |
1% |
6.4 / 135.725 (5%) |
|
-12.3 / 116.241 (-11%) |
27 / 23 (54%) |
0.06 |
2022 |
206.79 |
11.1 |
5% |
11.9 / 128.34 (9%) |
|
2.0 / 9.9 (21%) |
14 / 6 (70%) |
0.56 |
|
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
482.232 |
25.8 |
5% |
15.2 / 254.755 (6%) |
5.2 / 118.423 (4%) |
5.5 / 109.054 (5%) |
Bellator |
18.38 |
-11.6 |
-63% |
2.2 / 3.26 (66%) |
|
-13.7 / 15.12 (-91%) |
PFL |
6.467 |
0.2 |
2% |
1.0 / 2.8 (35%) |
0.8 / 2 (42%) |
-1.7 / 1.667 (-100%) |
Other |
3.55 |
-0.3 |
-8% |
0.0 / 3.25 (0%) |
|
-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) |
|
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
58 (15%) |
43 |
74 % |
138.00 |
0.70 |
0.01 |
1% |
Slight Favorites |
129 (32%) |
84 |
65 % |
75.81 |
10.02 |
0.08 |
13% |
Slight Underdogs |
140 (35%) |
55 |
39 % |
35.52 |
8.65 |
0.06 |
24% |
Big Underdogs |
72 (18%) |
20 |
28 % |
14.74 |
-1.03 |
-0.01 |
-7% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
29 (7%) |
18 |
62 % |
18.77 |
3.28 |
0.11 |
17% |
Co-Main Event |
44 (11%) |
22 |
50 % |
38.84 |
-11.37 |
-0.26 |
-29% |
Position 3-5 |
105 (26%) |
51 |
49 % |
52.56 |
10.29 |
0.10 |
20% |
6+ (Undercard) |
221 (55%) |
111 |
50 % |
153.90 |
16.14 |
0.07 |
10% |
|
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
34 (9%) |
18 |
53 % |
20.47 |
2.50 |
0.07 |
12% |
Light Heavy |
27 (7%) |
18 |
67 % |
11.37 |
3.15 |
0.12 |
28% |
Middleweight |
40 (10%) |
21 |
53 % |
20.07 |
4.16 |
0.10 |
21% |
Welterweight |
44 (11%) |
23 |
52 % |
24.77 |
9.20 |
0.21 |
37% |
Lightweight |
58 (15%) |
24 |
41 % |
26.67 |
-5.96 |
-0.10 |
-22% |
Featherweight |
53 (13%) |
27 |
51 % |
21.17 |
3.65 |
0.07 |
17% |
Bantamweight |
41 (10%) |
24 |
59 % |
51.55 |
11.20 |
0.27 |
22% |
Flyweight |
29 (7%) |
13 |
45 % |
30.13 |
5.71 |
0.20 |
19% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
73 (18%) |
34 |
47 % |
57.87 |
-15.25 |
-0.21 |
-26% |
Bantamweight |
13 (3%) |
5 |
38 % |
7.27 |
2.35 |
0.18 |
32% |
Flyweight |
25 (6%) |
15 |
60 % |
20.56 |
-9.86 |
-0.39 |
-48% |
Strawweight |
35 (9%) |
14 |
40 % |
30.04 |
-7.73 |
-0.22 |
-26% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
558 (76%) |
388 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
108 (15%) |
69 |
64 % |
Slight Underdogs |
31 (4%) |
13 |
42 % |
Big Underdogs |
37 (5%) |
12 |
32 % |
|
734 |
482 |
66 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
113 (20%) |
79 |
70 % |
50-65% |
193 (35%) |
111 |
58 % |
35-50% |
79 (14%) |
28 |
35 % |
<35% chance |
171 (31%) |
23 |
13 % |
|
556 |
241 |
43 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Herb Dean The Gold Standard's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
21.15 |
0.2 |
1% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,001.50 |
5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
4.5 |
1.8 |
40% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.50 |
$1,019.72 |
12th Aug |
Bellator 284 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
160% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,019.72 |
$1,031.14 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
18.95 |
-11.0 |
-58% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.14 |
$917.65 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
4.25 |
3.2 |
75% |
|
$9.18 |
$917.65 |
$946.80 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
14.95 |
5.2 |
35% |
|
$9.47 |
$946.80 |
$996.35 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
8.5 |
6.6 |
77% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.35 |
$1,061.64 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
12.9 |
1.5 |
12% |
|
$10.62 |
$1,061.64 |
$1,077.48 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
6.7 |
-1.9 |
-28% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.48 |
$1,057.20 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
9.1 |
1.8 |
19% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,057.20 |
$1,075.82 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
18.45 |
4.7 |
25% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,075.82 |
$1,125.92 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
11.6 |
-4.0 |
-34% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,125.92 |
$1,081.25 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
9.35 |
-1.7 |
-18% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,081.25 |
$1,062.95 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
11.62 |
1.2 |
10% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,062.95 |
$1,075.74 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
7.3 |
3.2 |
44% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,075.74 |
$1,109.95 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
10.5 |
1.5 |
14% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,109.95 |
$1,126.60 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
6.85 |
0.5 |
8% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,126.60 |
$1,132.53 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
27.97 |
-3.2 |
-11% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,132.53 |
$1,096.60 |
31st Dec |
Rizin 40 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,096.60 |
$1,093.86 |
31st Dec |
Cage Warriors 148 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
61% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.86 |
$1,101.87 |
6th Jan |
LFA 149 |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,101.87 |
$1,099.67 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
5.905 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,099.67 |
$1,098.23 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
11.3 |
2.8 |
25% |
|
$10.98 |
$1,098.23 |
$1,129.16 |
28th Jan |
PFL Challenger Series: Week 1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
52% |
|
$11.29 |
$1,129.16 |
$1,130.34 |
28th Jan |
FEN 44 |
0.4 |
-0.2 |
-41% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,130.34 |
$1,128.48 |
28th Jan |
LFA 151 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,128.48 |
$1,125.66 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
16.96 |
-12.0 |
-71% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,125.66 |
$990.95 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
38.965 |
2.9 |
7% |
|
$9.91 |
$990.95 |
$1,019.41 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
23.187 |
6.7 |
29% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.41 |
$1,087.97 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
12.745 |
3.4 |
27% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.97 |
$1,125.44 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
11.227 |
4.2 |
37% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.44 |
$1,172.44 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
13.775 |
-6.9 |
-50% |
|
$11.72 |
$1,172.44 |
$1,091.99 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
5.6 |
-1.2 |
-22% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.99 |
$1,078.81 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
4.42 |
-2.2 |
-50% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.81 |
$1,054.78 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
8.345 |
2.3 |
27% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,054.78 |
$1,078.66 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
4.73 |
2.0 |
42% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.66 |
$1,099.96 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
7.695 |
1.8 |
23% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,099.96 |
$1,119.56 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
5 |
-2.7 |
-53% |
|
$11.20 |
$1,119.56 |
$1,089.69 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
4.195 |
1.2 |
28% |
|
$10.90 |
$1,089.69 |
$1,102.68 |
6th May |
Cage Warriors 154 |
0.75 |
0.3 |
45% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,102.68 |
$1,106.44 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
6.53 |
1.2 |
18% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.44 |
$1,119.22 |
12th May |
Bellator 296 |
0.72 |
-0.7 |
-100% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,119.22 |
$1,111.16 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
7.965 |
8.3 |
104% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,111.16 |
$1,203.30 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
8.255 |
4.6 |
55% |
|
$12.03 |
$1,203.30 |
$1,258.17 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
4.48 |
0.4 |
10% |
|
$12.58 |
$1,258.17 |
$1,263.65 |
8th Jun |
PFL 4: Regular Season |
1.767 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
|
$12.64 |
$1,263.65 |
$1,241.32 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
3.723 |
0.2 |
6% |
|
$12.41 |
$1,241.32 |
$1,243.92 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
2.85 |
2.0 |
70% |
|
$12.44 |
$1,243.92 |
$1,268.66 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
3.545 |
0.3 |
9% |
|
$12.69 |
$1,268.66 |
$1,272.92 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
16.355 |
-9.2 |
-56% |
|
$12.73 |
$1,272.92 |
$1,155.66 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
4.28 |
-3.7 |
-86% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,155.66 |
$1,113.23 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
2.83 |
1.1 |
38% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,113.23 |
$1,125.17 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
3.34 |
-0.8 |
-23% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.17 |
$1,116.66 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
85% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,116.66 |
$1,156.30 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-100% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,156.30 |
$1,155.15 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
1.05 |
0.9 |
86% |
|
$11.55 |
$1,155.15 |
$1,165.56 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
1.78 |
1.4 |
77% |
|
$11.66 |
$1,165.56 |
$1,181.63 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.82 |
$1,181.63 |
$1,179.27 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
1.52 |
-0.4 |
-26% |
|
$11.79 |
$1,179.27 |
$1,174.69 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
0.3 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$11.75 |
$1,174.69 |
$1,171.16 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
22.125 |
-13.6 |
-61% |
|
$11.71 |
$1,171.16 |
$1,011.90 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
5.67 |
7.3 |
129% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,011.90 |
$1,086.12 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
5.37 |
-0.7 |
-12% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,086.12 |
$1,078.83 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
7.47 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.83 |
$1,079.11 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
1.92 |
-0.9 |
-47% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,079.11 |
$1,069.33 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
1.96 |
1.0 |
53% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.33 |
$1,080.47 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
2.675 |
1.4 |
51% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,080.47 |
$1,095.12 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
2.645 |
1.0 |
38% |
|
$10.95 |
$1,095.12 |
$1,106.08 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
1.195 |
-0.2 |
-19% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.08 |
$1,103.61 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
1.17 |
-1.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,103.61 |
$1,090.70 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.07% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.91 |
0.1 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Lupita Godinez |
Tabatha Ricci |
1.76 |
0.2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
2.22 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Nicolas Dalby |
Gabriel Bonfim |
5.10 |
0.1 |
TKO, R2 (4:33) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Angela Hill |
Denise Gomes |
2.25 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Angela Hill |
Denise Gomes |
2.15 |
0.35 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '23 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Adrian Yanez |
1.89 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '23 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.80 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '23 |
Nathan Maness |
Mateus Mendonca |
3.10 |
0.23 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '23 |
Vanessa Demopoulos |
Kanako Murata |
4.10 |
0.11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Drew Dober |
Rick Glenn |
1.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Qileng Aori |
Johnny Munoz |
1.71 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '23 |
Drew Dober |
Rick Glenn |
1.27 |
1.65 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '23 |
Montserrat Rendon |
Tamires Vidal |
3.05 |
0.1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Oct '23 |
Drew Dober |
Rick Glenn |
1.29 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
|
|
16. |
Sep '23 |
Miles Johns |
Dan Argueta |
2.50 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '23 |
Tim Means |
Andre Fialho |
2.41 |
0.1 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
|
|
18. |
Sep '23 |
Tim Means |
Andre Fialho |
2.41 |
0.12 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
|
|
19. |
Sep '23 |
Tim Means |
Andre Fialho |
2.45 |
0.2 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
|
|
20. |
Sep '23 |
Bryan Battle |
A.J. Fletcher |
1.59 |
0.4 |
Sub, R2 (4:32) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Herb Dean The Gold Standard: Progress Chart |
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