MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Badmon Bill

Badmon Bill (badmonbill)

MMA MHandicapper - Badmon Bill

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	61 (42%)	Right	46 (55%)	Right	6 (26%)	Right	9 (24%)
Wrong	84 (58%)	Wrong	38 (45%)	Wrong	17 (74%)	Wrong	29 (76%)
Avg Odds	2.44	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	3.27	Avg Odds	3.59
Units Bet	177.6	Units Bet	120.6	Units Bet	18.4	Units Bet	38.6
Avg Bet	1.22	Avg Bet	1.44	Avg Bet	0.80	Avg Bet	1.01
Units Profit	-7.14	Units Profit	8.65	Units Profit	-6.61	Units Profit	-9.18
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	-36%	ROI %	-24%

Badmon Bill: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	6.7	2.0	30%	2.0 / 6.7 (30%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	9	1.1	12%	0.8 / 4 (21%)	2.2 / 3 (75%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	6.5	-1.7	-26%	-1.7 / 6.5 (-26%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	7.1	-2.6	-37%	-1.6 / 6.1 (-27%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	13.4	2.7	20%	0.7 / 12.15 (6%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	2.3 / 1 (226%)
2nd Sep '22	Ares FC 8	7.6	4.7	62%	4.7 / 7.6 (62%)
31st Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 6	8.5	-2.6	-31%	-2.6 / 8.5 (-31%)
27th Aug '22	ACA 143	10.83	-2.2	-20%	-2.2 / 10.83 (-20%)
27th Aug '22	One FC on Prime 1	10.12	1.1	11%	1.1 / 10.12 (11%)
27th Aug '22	LFA 140	6	1.5	26%	1.5 / 6 (26%)
26th Aug '22	CFFC 112	9.1	2.7	29%	2.7 / 9.1 (29%)
23rd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 5	3.5	-3.5	-100%			-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	11	-4.5	-41%	1.5 / 5 (29%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #9	1.75	1.0	56%	1.2 / 1.5 (82%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	KSW 73	0.5	0.6	120%	0.6 / 0.5 (120%)
20th Aug '22	LFA 139	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 4	3.75	0.5	13%			0.5 / 3.75 (13%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	3.5	-0.2	-7%	0.8 / 1 (75%)	1.0 / 0.5 (200%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #8	4	0.5	12%	0.5 / 4 (12%)
12th Aug '22	Bellator 284	3.52	-1.0	-29%	1.5 / 1 (150%)		-2.5 / 2.52 (-100%)
9th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 3	1.75	1.2	69%			1.2 / 1.75 (69%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	7.5	-2.3	-30%	0.5 / 1.5 (33%)	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #7	5.5	-2.0	-36%	-2.4 / 4 (-59%)		0.4 / 1.5 (25%)
2nd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 2	3.75	-3.8	-100%			-3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	9.9	2.1	21%	-0.4 / 5 (-7%)	-0.1 / 1.9 (-4%)	2.5 / 3 (84%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	15.75	-6.8	-43%	1.5 / 7.5 (20%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-5.8 / 5.75 (-100%)
22nd Jul '22	Bellator 283	5.04	6.5	128%			6.5 / 5.04 (128%)

Winning Events: 14 (52%)
Losing Events: 13 (48%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.75 units
Best Event: 6.47 units
Worst Event: -6.78 units
Average Event: -0.26 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 7.44
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.05

Badmon Bill: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	177.56	-7.1	-4%	8.6 / 120.6 (7%)		-9.2 / 38.56 (-24%)	14 / 13 (52%)	-0.26

Badmon Bill: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Badmon Bill: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	83.25	-7.7	-9%	5.6 / 49.35 (11%)	-5.4 / 17.15 (-31%)	-8.0 / 16.75 (-48%)
Bellator	8.56	5.4	64%	1.5 / 1 (150%)		3.9 / 7.56 (52%)
PFL	11.25	-0.5	-5%	-0.6 / 9.5 (-7%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	0.4 / 1.5 (25%)
Other	74.5	-4.4	-6%	2.1 / 60.75 (4%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-5.5 / 12.75 (-43%)

Badmon Bill: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	20 (22%)	16	80 %	48.50	5.62	0.28	12%
Slight Favorites	26 (29%)	14	54 %	36.85	-7.11	-0.27	-19%
Slight Underdogs	25 (28%)	15	60 %	24.00	5.97	0.24	25%
Big Underdogs	18 (20%)	5	28 %	11.25	4.18	0.23	37%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (15%)	7	54 %	14.90	4.78	0.37	32%
Co-Main Event	15 (17%)	8	53 %	28.89	-0.25	-0.02	-1%
Position 3-5	24 (27%)	13	54 %	28.26	4.11	0.17	15%
6+ (Undercard)	37 (42%)	22	59 %	48.55	0.02	0.00	0%

Badmon Bill: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	14 (16%)	10	71 %	20.37	8.86	0.63	44%
Light Heavy	10 (11%)	5	50 %	16.20	-4.68	-0.47	-29%
Middleweight	7 (8%)	5	71 %	8.30	2.15	0.31	26%
Welterweight	19 (21%)	9	47 %	25.70	3.45	0.18	13%
Lightweight	7 (8%)	5	71 %	8.10	1.51	0.22	19%
Featherweight	10 (11%)	5	50 %	10.60	-3.48	-0.35	-33%
Bantamweight	10 (11%)	5	50 %	11.85	-2.21	-0.22	-19%
Flyweight	4 (4%)	1	25 %	5.00	-1.94	-0.48	-39%

Women's Fights	8 (9%)	5	63 %	14.48	4.99	0.62	34%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	2.50	-0.50	-0.17	-20%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	1.50	0.45	0.23	30%
Strawweight	3 (3%)	3	100 %	10.48	5.04	1.68	48%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	149 (78%)	120	81 %
Slight Favorites	31 (16%)	15	48 %
Slight Underdogs	11 (6%)	7	64 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
	192	143	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (13%)	4	100 %
50-65%	5 (17%)	3	60 %
35-50%	4 (13%)	1	25 %
<35% chance	17 (57%)	2	12 %
	30	10	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (7%)	2	100 %	1.41	1.61	1.25	0.9 (43%)
X Wins by KO	1 (3%)	0	0 %	3.25	3.25	3.25	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (3%)	0	0 %	19.00	19.00	19.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (7%)	0	0 %	4.55	6.50	3.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (13%)	2	50 %	2.85	12.00	1.61	0.6 (15%)
Others	19 (63%)	6	32 %	2.69	26.00	1.14	-8.3 (-44%)
	30	10	33 %	2.65			-11.8 (-39%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Badmon Bill's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Jul	Bellator 283	5.04	6.5	128%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,064.66
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	15.75	-6.8	-43%		$10.65	$1,064.66	$992.48
30th Jul	UFC 277	9.9	2.1	21%		$9.92	$992.48	$1,013.17
2nd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 2	3.75	-3.8	-100%		$10.13	$1,013.17	$975.18
5th Aug	PFL 2022 #7	5.5	-2.0	-36%		$9.75	$975.18	$955.80
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	7.5	-2.3	-30%		$9.56	$955.80	$934.01
9th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 3	1.75	1.2	69%		$9.34	$934.01	$945.30
12th Aug	Bellator 284	3.52	-1.0	-29%		$9.45	$945.30	$935.66
13th Aug	PFL 2022 #8	4	0.5	12%		$9.36	$935.66	$940.34
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	3.5	-0.2	-7%		$9.40	$940.34	$937.99
16th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 4	3.75	0.5	13%		$9.38	$937.99	$942.73
20th Aug	LFA 139	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.43	$942.73	$923.88
20th Aug	KSW 73	0.5	0.6	120%		$9.24	$923.88	$929.42
20th Aug	PFL 2022 #9	1.75	1.0	56%		$9.29	$929.42	$938.53
20th Aug	UFC 278	11	-4.5	-41%		$9.39	$938.53	$895.83
23rd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 5	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$8.96	$895.83	$864.47
26th Aug	CFFC 112	9.1	2.7	29%		$8.64	$864.47	$887.51
27th Aug	LFA 140	6	1.5	26%		$8.88	$887.51	$901.18
27th Aug	One FC on Prime 1	10.12	1.1	11%		$9.01	$901.18	$911.12
27th Aug	ACA 143	10.83	-2.2	-20%		$9.11	$911.12	$891.01
31st Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 6	8.5	-2.6	-31%		$8.91	$891.01	$867.45
2nd Sep	Ares FC 8	7.6	4.7	62%		$8.67	$867.45	$908.51
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	13.4	2.7	20%		$9.09	$908.51	$933.10
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	7.1	-2.6	-37%		$9.33	$933.10	$908.38
10th Sep	UFC 279	6.5	-1.7	-26%		$9.08	$908.38	$892.94
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	9	1.1	12%		$8.93	$892.94	$902.49
12th Nov	UFC 281	6.7	2.0	30%		$9.02	$902.49	$920.63

ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Badmon Bill: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '22	Andre Fili	Bill Algeo	1.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Sep '22	Javid Basharat	Tony Gravely	1.58	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '22	Cory Sandhagen	Yadong Song	1.45	1	TKO, R4 (5:0)
4.	Sep '22	Yohan Lainesse	Darian Weeks	2.05	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Sep '22	Johnny Walker	Ion Cutelaba	2.75	1	Sub, R1 (4:37)
6.	Sep '22	Gabriel Bonfim	Trey Waters	1.29	3.45	Sub, R1 (4:13)
7.	Sep '22	Mantas Kondratavicius	Ale Joseph	3.40	1	TKO, R1 (1:55)
8.	Sep '22	Shaj Haque	Samir Faiddine	2.40	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '22	Igor Glazkov	Paulin Begai	1.28	3.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Sep '22	Alioune Nahaye	David Tonatiuh Crol	2.35	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '22	Ivana Petrovic	Alexandra Tekenah	1.95	1	Sub, R3 (4:43)
12.	Nov '22	Weili Zhang	Carla Esparza	1.30	6.7	Sub, R2 (1:5)
13.	Aug '22	Viktoriya Dudakova	Maria Silva	3.03	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Aug '22	Yusaku Kinoshita	Jose Henrique	1.57	1.8	TKO, R3 (0:43)
15.	Sep '22	Christian Quinonez	Khalid Taha	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (3:15)
16.	Sep '22	Nasrat Haqparast	John Makdessi	1.47	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '22	Robert Whittaker	Marvin Vettori	1.44	0.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '22	Thomas Picciano	Elijah Humes	1.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '22	Keron Reed	Kelvin Sterling	1.58	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '22	Alex Myers	Edwin Smart	1.34	2.9	TKO, R2 (4:3)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '22	Louis Cosce	Trevin Giles	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '22	Anton Turkalj	Jailton Junior	6.00	0.25	Sub, R1 (4:27)	No
3.	Sep '22	Hakeem Dawodu	Julian Erosa	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '22	Kevin Holland	Khamzat Chimaev	5.00	0.25	Sub, R1 (2:13)	No
5.	Sep '22	Tony Ferguson	Nate Diaz	1.83	1	Sub, R4 (2:6)	No
6.	Sep '22	Rodolfo Bellato	Vitor Petrino	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (3:36)	No
7.	Sep '22	Nariman Abbasov	Ismael Bonfim	1.87	1.15	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '22	Nayara Maia	Tereza Bleda	5.75	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Sep '22	Azamat Nuftillaev	Slim Trabelsi	6.00	1	TKO, R2 (3:55)	No
10.	Sep '22	Jarno Errens	William Gomis	2.90	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Aug '22	Alex Morgan	Blake Bilder	1.48	2.1	Sub, R1 (3:15)	No
12.	Aug '22	Matej Penaz	Sedriques Dumas	1.58	3.6	Sub, R1 (0:47)	No
13.	Sep '22	Ailin Perez	Stephanie Egger	3.50	1	Sub, R2 (4:54)	No
14.	Sep '22	Chad Anheliger	Heili Alateng	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Sep '22	Tai Tuivasa	Ciryl Gane	5.50	0.25	TKO, R3 (4:23)	Yes
16.	Aug '22	Abdul-Rakhman Temirov	Alexey Polpudnikov	1.90	1	TKO, R1 (1:15)	No
17.	Aug '22	Leivon Lewis	Ray Waters	4.75	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '22	Mauro Cerilli	Amir Aliakbari	2.70	1	TKO, R2 (4:2)	No
19.	Aug '22	Rizvan Abuev	Carlos Mota	3.09	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
20.	Sep '22	Charles Jourdain	Nathaniel Wood	1.72	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Badmon Bill: Progress Chart

Chart

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