MMA Handicapper Stats: Kyle Birk |
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Kyle Birk: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 18 (41%) Losing Events: 26 (59%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.30 units Most Staked On One Event: 37.03 units Best Event: 19.60 units Worst Event: -10.31 units Average Event: -0.27 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 19.60 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -18.14 |
Kyle Birk: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
288.96 |
10.1 |
3% |
10.9 / 79.24 (14%) |
|
-2.4 / 92.72 (-3%) |
8 / 12 (40%) |
0.50 |
2022 |
164.14 |
-22.1 |
-13% |
-8.0 / 53.13 (-15%) |
|
9.5 / 32.41 (29%) |
10 / 14 (42%) |
-0.92 |
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Kyle Birk: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Kyle Birk: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
398.36 |
1.9 |
0% |
17.0 / 107.69 (16%) |
-21.7 / 172.6 (-13%) |
6.6 / 118.07 (6%) |
Bellator |
21.6 |
-4.0 |
-18% |
-1.9 / 9.6 (-20%) |
-4.7 / 7 (-67%) |
2.6 / 5 (53%) |
PFL |
21.86 |
-1.5 |
-7% |
-7.3 / 7.26 (-100%) |
6.8 / 13.6 (50%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
Other |
11.28 |
-8.4 |
-75% |
-5.0 / 7.82 (-64%) |
-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%) |
-1.1 / 1.06 (-100%) |
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Kyle Birk: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
9.48 |
-3.68 |
-1.23 |
-39% |
Slight Favorites |
24 (32%) |
9 |
38 % |
53.89 |
-14.50 |
-0.60 |
-27% |
Slight Underdogs |
32 (43%) |
15 |
47 % |
48.00 |
11.32 |
0.35 |
24% |
Big Underdogs |
16 (21%) |
3 |
19 % |
21.00 |
9.70 |
0.61 |
46% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
14 (19%) |
7 |
50 % |
36.84 |
18.48 |
1.32 |
50% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
14.16 |
-0.85 |
-0.11 |
-6% |
Position 3-5 |
22 (29%) |
8 |
36 % |
38.12 |
-6.92 |
-0.31 |
-18% |
6+ (Undercard) |
31 (41%) |
10 |
32 % |
43.25 |
-7.87 |
-0.25 |
-18% |
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Kyle Birk: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (7%) |
2 |
40 % |
11.86 |
-4.20 |
-0.84 |
-35% |
Light Heavy |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
11.72 |
-1.92 |
-0.24 |
-16% |
Middleweight |
6 (8%) |
4 |
67 % |
16.80 |
22.88 |
3.81 |
136% |
Welterweight |
6 (8%) |
2 |
33 % |
11.27 |
-3.31 |
-0.55 |
-29% |
Lightweight |
10 (13%) |
1 |
10 % |
15.05 |
-11.15 |
-1.12 |
-74% |
Featherweight |
13 (17%) |
6 |
46 % |
23.50 |
1.50 |
0.12 |
6% |
Bantamweight |
13 (17%) |
6 |
46 % |
22.30 |
-1.45 |
-0.11 |
-7% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.00 |
2.50 |
1.25 |
83% |
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|
|
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Women's Fights |
12 (16%) |
3 |
25 % |
16.87 |
-2.01 |
-0.17 |
-12% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
3.47 |
-3.47 |
-1.74 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
11.40 |
3.46 |
0.43 |
30% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
82 (82%) |
58 |
71 % |
Slight Favorites |
17 (17%) |
7 |
41 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
100 |
66 |
66 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
47 (24%) |
37 |
79 % |
50-65% |
48 (25%) |
30 |
63 % |
35-50% |
31 (16%) |
12 |
39 % |
<35% chance |
68 (35%) |
13 |
19 % |
|
194 |
92 |
47 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Kyle Birk's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Kyle Birk: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Sep '23 |
Sean Strickland |
Israel Adesanya |
5.90 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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2. |
May '23 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Jessica Andrade |
2.58 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:20) |
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3. |
Apr '23 |
Marcus McGhee |
Journey Newson |
2.45 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:3) |
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4. |
Apr '23 |
Fernando Padilla |
Julian Erosa |
2.34 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
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5. |
Apr '23 |
Edson Barboza |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:37) |
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6. |
Apr '23 |
Max Holloway |
Arnold Allen |
1.61 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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7. |
Apr '23 |
Brandon Royval |
Matheus Nicolau |
2.75 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
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8. |
Apr '23 |
Gillian Robertson |
Piera Rodriguez |
1.83 |
2.4 |
Sub, R2 (4:21) |
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9. |
Apr '23 |
Rob Font |
Adrian Yanez |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:57) |
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10. |
Apr '23 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Raul Rosas Jr |
3.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Apr '23 |
Steve Garcia |
Yilan Sha |
2.65 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
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12. |
Apr '23 |
Israel Adesanya |
Alex Pereira |
1.77 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:21) |
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13. |
Mar '23 |
Davey Grant |
Raphael Assuncao |
1.71 |
1.4 |
Sub, R3 (4:43) |
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14. |
Feb '23 |
Brendan Allen |
Andre Muniz |
2.85 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:25) |
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15. |
Feb '23 |
Augusto Sakai |
Don'tale Mayes |
1.86 |
1.16 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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16. |
Feb '23 |
Marcin Prachnio |
William Knight |
2.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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17. |
Feb '23 |
Joshua Culibao |
Melsik Bagdasaryan |
1.93 |
1.08 |
Sub, R2 (2:2) |
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18. |
Feb '23 |
Grant Neal |
Karl Albrektsson |
2.20 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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19. |
Jan '23 |
Daniel Marcos |
Saimon Oliveira |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:18) |
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20. |
Dec '22 |
Ilia Topuria |
Bryce Mitchell |
1.69 |
2.9 |
Sub, R2 (3:10) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Kyle Birk: Progress Chart |
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