MMA Handicapper Stats: NOTORIOUS MMA BETS |
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NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 14 (27%) Losing Events: 38 (73%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.57 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.36 units Best Event: 31.78 units Worst Event: -16.20 units Average Event: -0.10 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 31.78 Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -32.37 |
NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
121.66 |
-17.4 |
-14% |
-8.5 / 35.71 (-24%) |
|
-4.7 / 54.7 (-9%) |
3 / 15 (17%) |
-0.97 |
2022 |
324.1 |
12.3 |
4% |
-4.0 / 67.66 (-6%) |
|
17.2 / 136.17 (13%) |
11 / 23 (32%) |
0.36 |
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NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
373.97 |
0.1 |
0% |
-12.3 / 82.22 (-15%) |
-5.7 / 121.16 (-5%) |
18.1 / 170.59 (11%) |
Bellator |
25.15 |
-2.0 |
-8% |
4.7 / 8.7 (54%) |
-0.4 / 8.65 (-4%) |
-6.4 / 7.8 (-82%) |
PFL |
8.05 |
-5.1 |
-64% |
-2.9 / 4.25 (-68%) |
0.0 / 1.5 (2%) |
-2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) |
Other |
38.59 |
2.0 |
5% |
-2.1 / 8.2 (-26%) |
1.0 / 20.21 (5%) |
3.1 / 10.18 (30%) |
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NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
11 (8%) |
6 |
55 % |
16.95 |
-1.39 |
-0.13 |
-8% |
Slight Favorites |
51 (37%) |
25 |
49 % |
49.14 |
-9.60 |
-0.19 |
-20% |
Slight Underdogs |
60 (43%) |
25 |
42 % |
31.88 |
2.06 |
0.03 |
6% |
Big Underdogs |
17 (12%) |
2 |
12 % |
5.40 |
-3.65 |
-0.21 |
-68% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (9%) |
4 |
33 % |
13.15 |
-5.78 |
-0.48 |
-44% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (12%) |
9 |
53 % |
11.85 |
2.60 |
0.15 |
22% |
Position 3-5 |
36 (26%) |
15 |
42 % |
27.16 |
-4.06 |
-0.11 |
-15% |
6+ (Undercard) |
74 (53%) |
30 |
41 % |
51.21 |
-5.34 |
-0.07 |
-10% |
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NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (4%) |
1 |
20 % |
3.37 |
-1.42 |
-0.28 |
-42% |
Light Heavy |
13 (9%) |
5 |
38 % |
8.05 |
-1.43 |
-0.11 |
-18% |
Middleweight |
16 (12%) |
6 |
38 % |
10.07 |
-1.01 |
-0.06 |
-10% |
Welterweight |
16 (12%) |
8 |
50 % |
14.62 |
-1.37 |
-0.09 |
-9% |
Lightweight |
17 (12%) |
8 |
47 % |
11.25 |
-0.10 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
13 (9%) |
4 |
31 % |
12.85 |
-6.40 |
-0.49 |
-50% |
Bantamweight |
23 (17%) |
11 |
48 % |
18.99 |
-0.88 |
-0.04 |
-5% |
Flyweight |
10 (7%) |
4 |
40 % |
7.50 |
0.37 |
0.04 |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
26 (19%) |
11 |
42 % |
16.67 |
-0.35 |
-0.01 |
-2% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.51 |
0.75 |
101% |
Bantamweight |
5 (4%) |
2 |
40 % |
3.00 |
-0.32 |
-0.06 |
-11% |
Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
3 |
43 % |
3.45 |
-0.04 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Strawweight |
12 (9%) |
4 |
33 % |
8.72 |
-1.50 |
-0.12 |
-17% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
223 (72%) |
151 |
68 % |
Slight Favorites |
65 (21%) |
29 |
45 % |
Slight Underdogs |
22 (7%) |
9 |
41 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
311 |
189 |
61 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
290 (35%) |
210 |
72 % |
50-65% |
153 (18%) |
88 |
58 % |
35-50% |
102 (12%) |
39 |
38 % |
<35% chance |
294 (35%) |
57 |
19 % |
|
839 |
394 |
47 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail NOTORIOUS MMA BETS's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
20.15 |
-13.1 |
-65% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$868.76 |
22nd Jul |
Bellator 283 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
52% |
|
$8.69 |
$868.76 |
$879.55 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
16.2 |
-16.2 |
-100% |
|
$8.80 |
$879.55 |
$737.06 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
18.05 |
20.8 |
115% |
|
$7.37 |
$737.06 |
$890.45 |
2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
3.48 |
-2.7 |
-78% |
|
$8.90 |
$890.45 |
$866.32 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
8.85 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$8.66 |
$866.32 |
$865.94 |
9th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 3 |
2.4 |
-1.6 |
-66% |
|
$8.66 |
$865.94 |
$852.20 |
12th Aug |
Bellator 284 |
0.95 |
-0.4 |
-40% |
|
$8.52 |
$852.20 |
$848.99 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
13.61 |
-5.6 |
-42% |
|
$8.49 |
$848.99 |
$801.04 |
20th Aug |
PFL 2022 #9 |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$8.01 |
$801.04 |
$795.03 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
9.92 |
-5.6 |
-57% |
|
$7.95 |
$795.03 |
$750.17 |
23rd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 5 |
7.75 |
-2.3 |
-29% |
|
$7.50 |
$750.17 |
$733.16 |
31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
4.39 |
-1.7 |
-38% |
|
$7.33 |
$733.16 |
$720.84 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
21.36 |
31.8 |
149% |
|
$7.21 |
$720.84 |
$949.93 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
5.85 |
-2.7 |
-46% |
|
$9.50 |
$949.93 |
$924.32 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
20.42 |
22.2 |
109% |
|
$9.24 |
$924.32 |
$1,129.82 |
13th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 8 |
2.84 |
4.9 |
173% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,129.82 |
$1,185.42 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
13.37 |
-2.4 |
-18% |
|
$11.85 |
$1,185.42 |
$1,156.60 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
5.7 |
0.3 |
6% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,156.60 |
$1,160.48 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 285 |
7.5 |
-1.7 |
-22% |
|
$11.60 |
$1,160.48 |
$1,141.06 |
27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
6.18 |
7.7 |
124% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,141.06 |
$1,228.42 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
12.97 |
-7.5 |
-58% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,228.42 |
$1,136.78 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 286 |
4.75 |
0.6 |
12% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,136.78 |
$1,143.35 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
13.07 |
-3.0 |
-23% |
|
$11.43 |
$1,143.35 |
$1,109.56 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
14.31 |
-10.8 |
-76% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,109.56 |
$989.33 |
29th Oct |
Bellator 287 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.33 |
$974.49 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
8.75 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$9.74 |
$974.49 |
$975.65 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
6.73 |
21.0 |
311% |
|
$9.76 |
$975.65 |
$1,180.12 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
17.2 |
-9.8 |
-57% |
|
$11.80 |
$1,180.12 |
$1,064.59 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
4.5 |
-0.7 |
-14% |
|
$10.65 |
$1,064.59 |
$1,057.67 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
13.03 |
1.9 |
14% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,057.67 |
$1,077.24 |
9th Dec |
Bellator 289 |
6.3 |
-0.6 |
-10% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.24 |
$1,070.73 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
16.57 |
-6.5 |
-39% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,070.73 |
$1,000.94 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
12.3 |
-3.0 |
-25% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,000.94 |
$970.77 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
6.75 |
-3.6 |
-53% |
|
$9.71 |
$970.77 |
$936.07 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
7.75 |
-7.8 |
-100% |
|
$9.36 |
$936.07 |
$863.52 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
5.65 |
-3.1 |
-55% |
|
$8.64 |
$863.52 |
$836.90 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
5.92 |
-4.6 |
-78% |
|
$8.37 |
$836.90 |
$798.25 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
4.75 |
-1.4 |
-30% |
|
$7.98 |
$798.25 |
$786.87 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
8.2 |
-1.8 |
-22% |
|
$7.87 |
$786.87 |
$772.86 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
12.9 |
21.8 |
169% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.86 |
$941.22 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
7.63 |
-6.8 |
-89% |
|
$9.41 |
$941.22 |
$877.38 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
6.6 |
-0.5 |
-8% |
|
$8.77 |
$877.38 |
$872.69 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
6 |
-3.6 |
-60% |
|
$8.73 |
$872.69 |
$841.49 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 293 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.41 |
$841.49 |
$833.07 |
1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
7.3 |
-4.4 |
-60% |
|
$8.33 |
$833.07 |
$796.43 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
7.47 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
|
$7.96 |
$796.43 |
$794.24 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
9.92 |
-5.6 |
-56% |
|
$7.94 |
$794.24 |
$750.08 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
10.8 |
8.6 |
79% |
|
$7.50 |
$750.08 |
$814.30 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
6.82 |
-0.4 |
-6% |
|
$8.14 |
$814.30 |
$810.95 |
16th Jun |
Bellator 297 |
0.75 |
1.3 |
175% |
|
$8.11 |
$810.95 |
$821.59 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
5.45 |
-4.3 |
-79% |
|
$8.22 |
$821.59 |
$786.06 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '23 |
Marvin Vettori |
Jared Cannonier |
1.83 |
1.2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '23 |
Michael Johnson |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
2.34 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '23 |
Emily Ducote |
Lupita Godinez |
2.35 |
0.35 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
4. |
May '23 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.80 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
5. |
May '23 |
Angela Hill |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.45 |
0.75 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '23 |
Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
2.60 |
0.62 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '23 |
Julian Erosa |
Fernando Padilla |
1.77 |
1.3 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '23 |
Cody Brundage |
Rodolfo Vieira |
3.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:28) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '23 |
Ricky Simon |
Yadong Song |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R5 (1:10) |
Yes |
|
|
10. |
Apr '23 |
Francis Marshall |
William Gomis |
1.67 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '23 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.77 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:8) |
Yes |
|
|
12. |
Apr '23 |
Daniel Torres |
Alejandro Flores |
1.53 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '23 |
Mohammad Fakhreddine |
Marthin Hamlet |
2.60 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:5) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '23 |
Chris Wade |
Bubba Jenkins |
1.63 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '23 |
Thiago Santos |
Rob Wilkinson |
2.60 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '23 |
Mandel Nallo |
Adam Piccolotti |
1.65 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '23 |
Luana Carolina |
Joanne Wood |
2.60 |
0.45 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '23 |
Malcolm Gordon |
Jake Hadley |
4.10 |
0.3 |
TKO, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '23 |
Casey O'Neill |
Jennifer Maia |
1.57 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Mar '23 |
Bryan Barberena |
Gunnar Nelson |
4.50 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
NOTORIOUS MMA BETS: Progress Chart |
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