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MMA Handicapper Stats: WMMA Underdog ROI Testing

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing (TestingStuff)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - WMMA Underdog ROI Testing

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 41 (23%) Right 23 (36%) Right 17 (15%) Right 1 (13%)
Wrong 141 (77%) Wrong 41 (64%) Wrong 93 (85%) Wrong 7 (88%)
Avg Odds 4.14 Avg Odds 2.72 Avg Odds 5.87 Avg Odds 4.68
Units Bet 116.7 Units Bet 64.2 Units Bet 41.5 Units Bet 11.0
Avg Bet 0.64 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 0.38 Avg Bet 1.38
Units Profit -10.15 Units Profit -0.13 Units Profit -7.67 Units Profit -2.35
ROI % -9% ROI % -0% ROI % -18% ROI % -21%
View Handicapper's Profile

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 3.5 3.3 94% 1.0 / 2 (48%) 2.3 / 1.5 (155%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 3.5 2.6 75% 2.6 / 2 (128%) 0.1 / 1.5 (5%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 5.25 0.4 8% 0.3 / 3 (8%) 0.2 / 2.25 (7%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 15.25 5.3 35% 3.7 / 3 (123%) 3.0 / 2.25 (133%) -1.4 / 10 (-14%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 1.75 5.2 300% 3.0 / 1 (300%) 2.2 / 0.75 (300%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 5.25 1.5 29% 3.7 / 3 (125%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 3.5 -0.1 -2% 0.1 / 2 (5%) -0.2 / 1.5 (-12%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 3.5 -1.0 -27% 0.5 / 2 (27%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 1.75 3.4 197% 1.0 / 1 (100%) 2.4 / 0.75 (327%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 1.75 2.5 141% 1.6 / 1 (160%) 0.9 / 0.75 (117%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 3.5 -0.2 -7% 0.1 / 2 (5%) -0.3 / 1.5 (-23%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 3 1.6 52% 1.6 / 3 (52%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 5.25 -5.3 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 3.5 6.8 194% 2.9 / 2 (145%) 3.9 / 1.5 (260%)
23rd Sep '22 Bellator 285 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 8 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 6.25 -2.3 -36% -0.6 / 3 (-22%) -0.6 / 2.25 (-28%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 7 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
31st Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 6 1 2.4 240% 2.4 / 1 (240%)
23rd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 5 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 1.75 0.6 37% 1.4 / 1 (140%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5.25 -5.3 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 1.2 1.0 83% 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 3.5 0.6 16% 0.4 / 2 (18%) 0.2 / 1.5 (13%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 5.25 -1.1 -22% -0.6 / 3 (-21%) -0.5 / 2.25 (-22%)


Winning Events: 14 (40%)
Losing Events: 21 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.33 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.25 units
Best Event: 6.80 units
Worst Event: -5.25 units
Average Event: -0.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 12.10
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -12.25

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 52 12.1 23% 10.8 / 24 (45%) -1.4 / 10 (-14%) 7 / 5 (58%) 1.01
2022 64.7 -22.2 -34% -11.0 / 40.2 (-27%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 7 / 16 (30%) -0.97

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 108.5 -7.6 -7% 1.5 / 57 (3%) -6.7 / 40.5 (-16%) -2.4 / 11 (-21%)
Bellator 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
Other 6.7 -1.1 -16% -0.6 / 6.2 (-10%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 5 (8%) 3 60 % 5.20 0.90 0.18 17%
Slight Underdogs 31 (48%) 13 42 % 31.00 -0.63 -0.02 -2%
Big Underdogs 28 (44%) 7 25 % 28.00 -0.40 -0.01 -1%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (8%) 3 60 % 5.20 2.50 0.50 48%
Co-Main Event 4 (6%) 1 25 % 4.00 2.75 0.69 69%
Position 3-5 18 (28%) 5 28 % 18.00 -5.35 -0.30 -30%
6+ (Undercard) 37 (58%) 14 38 % 37.00 -0.03 -0.00 -0%

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Middleweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.20 1.00 1.00 83%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 3.00 2.00 0.67 67%
               
Women's Fights 60 (94%) 20 33 % 60.00 -3.13 -0.05 -5%
Featherweight 3 (5%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 14 (22%) 3 21 % 14.00 -7.65 -0.55 -55%
Flyweight 21 (33%) 8 38 % 21.00 6.37 0.30 30%
Strawweight 22 (34%) 9 41 % 22.00 1.15 0.05 5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 50 (86%) 27 54 %
Slight Favorites 7 (12%) 6 86 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
58 33 57 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 11 (10%) 3 27 %
<35% chance 99 (90%) 14 14 %
110 17 15 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by Decision 56 (51%) 14 25 % 3.91 10.00Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect -3.3 (-6%)
Others 54 (49%) 3 6 % 12.23 29.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -24.0 (-44%)
110 17 15 % 5.87     -27.3 (-25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail WMMA Underdog ROI Testing's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 5.25 -1.1 -22% $10.00 $1,000.00 $988.60
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 3.5 0.6 16% $9.89 $988.60 $994.14
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 1.2 1.0 83% $9.94 $994.14 $1,004.08
30th Jul UFC 277 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.04 $1,004.08 $968.94
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5.25 -5.3 -100% $9.69 $968.94 $918.07
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 1.75 0.6 37% $9.18 $918.07 $924.03
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 1 -1.0 -100% $9.24 $924.03 $914.79
20th Aug UFC 278 1.75 -1.8 -100% $9.15 $914.79 $898.78
23rd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 5 1.5 -1.5 -100% $8.99 $898.78 $885.30
31st Aug DWCS 2022: Week 6 1 2.4 240% $8.85 $885.30 $906.55
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 1.75 -1.8 -100% $9.07 $906.55 $890.68
6th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 7 1 -1.0 -100% $8.91 $890.68 $881.78
10th Sep UFC 279 6.25 -2.3 -36% $8.82 $881.78 $861.72
13th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 8 1 -1.0 -100% $8.62 $861.72 $853.10
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.53 $853.10 $823.24
23rd Sep Bellator 285 1.5 -1.5 -100% $8.23 $823.24 $810.89
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 3.5 6.8 194% $8.11 $810.89 $866.05
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.66 $866.05 $835.74
22nd Oct UFC 280 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.36 $835.74 $806.49
12th Nov UFC 281 5.25 -5.3 -100% $8.06 $806.49 $764.15
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 3 1.6 52% $7.64 $764.15 $776.01
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 3.5 -0.2 -7% $7.76 $776.01 $774.07
17th Dec UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 1.75 2.5 141% $7.74 $774.07 $793.23
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 1.75 3.4 197% $7.93 $793.23 $820.60
21st Jan UFC 283 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.21 $820.60 $791.88
11th Feb UFC 284 1.75 -1.8 -100% $7.92 $791.88 $778.02
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 3.5 -1.0 -27% $7.78 $778.02 $770.63
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 3.5 -0.1 -2% $7.71 $770.63 $770.05
4th Mar UFC 285 5.25 1.5 29% $7.70 $770.05 $781.60
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 1.75 5.2 300% $7.82 $781.60 $822.63
18th Mar UFC 286 15.25 5.3 35% $8.23 $822.63 $866.62
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.67 $866.62 $836.29
8th Apr UFC 287 5.25 0.4 8% $8.36 $836.29 $839.63
6th May UFC 288 3.5 2.6 75% $8.40 $839.63 $861.67
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 3.5 3.3 94% $8.62 $861.67 $889.89


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '23 Mandy Bohm Ji Yeon Kim 2.95 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '23 Virna Jandiroba Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '23 Yan Xiaonan Jessica Andrade 2.45 1 TKO, R1 (2:20) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '23 Sam Hughes Jaqueline Amorim 3.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '23 Veronica Macedo Juliana Miller 4.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '23 Jennifer Maia Casey O'Neill 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '23 Ariane Lipski J.J. Aldrich 4.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '23 Alexa Grasso Valentina Shevchenko 6.75 1 Sub, R4 (4:34) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '23 Jasmine Jasudavicius Gabriella Fernandes 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '23 Erin Blanchfield Jessica Andrade 2.55 1 Sub, R2 (1:37) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '23 Raquel Pennington Ketlen Vieira 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '22 Cory McKenna Cheyanne Buys 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '22 Angela Hill Emily Ducote 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '22 Vanessa Demopoulos Maria Oliveira 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '22 Jennifer Maia Maryna Moroz 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '22 Chelsea Chandler Julija Stoliarenko 1.95 1 TKO, R1 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '22 Yan Xiaonan Mackenzie Dern 2.95 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Elise Reed Melissa Martinez 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '22 Viktoriya Dudakova Maria Silva 3.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '22 Priscila Cachoeira Ariane Lipski 2.40 1 TKO, R1 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '23 Jessica-Rose Clark Tainara Lisboa 2.00 1 Sub, R3 (4:20) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Cynthia Calvillo Lupita Godinez 3.35 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '23 Michelle Waterson Luana Pinheiro 2.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '23 Andrea Lee Maycee Barber 3.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '23 Yana Santos Holly Holm 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '23 Luana Carolina Joanne Wood 2.45 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '23 Jessica Penne Tabatha Ricci 3.55 1 Sub, R2 (2:14) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '23 Viviane Araujo Amanda Ribas 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '23 Montana De La Rosa Tatiana Suarez 6.50 1 Sub, R2 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '23 Lina Lansberg Mayra Bueno Silva 4.10 1 Sub, R2 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '23 Elise Reed Loma Lookboonmee 3.40 1 Sub, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '23 Zara Fairn Dos Santos Josiane Nunes 4.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '23 Lauren Murphy Jessica Andrade 4.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '22 Istela Nunes Yazmin Jauregui 3.70 1 TKO, R2 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '22 Tereza Bleda Natalia Cristina da Silva 2.40 1 TKO, R3 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '22 Silvana Gomez Juarez Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '22 Molly McCann Erin Blanchfield 4.20 1 Sub, R1 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '22 Carla Esparza Weili Zhang 3.70 1 Sub, R2 (1:5) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '22 Lina Lansberg Karol Rosa 3.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '22 Katlyn Chookagian Manon Fiorot 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

WMMA Underdog ROI Testing: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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