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Total MMA Handicappers: 4680
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1834
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Pavlik

Pavlik (pavlik)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Pavlik

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 77 (22%) Right 13 (35%) Right 52 (23%) Right 12 (16%)
Wrong 266 (78%) Wrong 24 (65%) Wrong 177 (77%) Wrong 65 (84%)
Avg Odds 4.51 Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 5.21 Avg Odds 5.12
Units Bet 249.5 Units Bet 41.0 Units Bet 125.3 Units Bet 83.3
Avg Bet 0.73 Avg Bet 1.11 Avg Bet 0.55 Avg Bet 1.08
Units Profit 65.04 Units Profit -10.86 Units Profit 84.05 Units Profit -8.15
ROI % 26% ROI % -27% ROI % 67% ROI % -10%
View Handicapper's Profile

Pavlik: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 36.91 -31.0 -84% -7.0 / 7.02 (-100%) -11.5 / 17.42 (-66%) -12.5 / 12.47 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 59.595 110.1 185% 2.5 / 8.03 (32%) 61.0 / 31.245 (195%) 46.6 / 20.32 (229%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 61.56 -8.4 -14% -3.6 / 10.5 (-34%) 4.4 / 39.13 (11%) -9.2 / 11.93 (-77%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 36.1 2.9 8% -1.9 / 10.7 (-18%) 14.8 / 15.4 (96%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 44.4 2.4 6% -0.9 / 4.7 (-18%) 15.4 / 22.1 (70%) -12.1 / 17.6 (-69%)


Winning Events: 3 (60%)
Losing Events: 2 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 47.71 units
Most Staked On One Event: 61.56 units
Best Event: 110.11 units
Worst Event: -31.01 units
Average Event: 15.20 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 110.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -31.01

Pavlik: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2022 238.565 76.0 32% -10.9 / 40.95 (-27%) 2.8 / 72.32 (4%) 3 / 2 (60%) 15.20

Pavlik: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Pavlik: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 238.565 76.0 32% -10.9 / 40.95 (-27%) 84.0 / 125.295 (67%) 2.8 / 72.32 (4%)

Pavlik: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (11%) 3 75 % 2.30 -0.39 -0.10 -17%
Slight Favorites 11 (29%) 5 45 % 15.10 -3.13 -0.28 -21%
Slight Underdogs 12 (32%) 5 42 % 14.15 -2.18 -0.18 -15%
Big Underdogs 11 (29%) 1 9 % 9.40 -5.17 -0.47 -55%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (13%) 1 20 % 4.69 -2.14 -0.43 -46%
Co-Main Event 2 (5%) 1 50 % 1.20 -0.54 -0.27 -45%
Position 3-5 9 (24%) 4 44 % 10.10 2.42 0.27 24%
6+ (Undercard) 22 (58%) 8 36 % 24.96 -10.60 -0.48 -42%

Pavlik: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.10 1.75 0.87 83%
Light Heavy 5 (13%) 2 40 % 6.01 -2.70 -0.54 -45%
Middleweight 1 (3%) 0 % 0.70 -0.70 -0.70 -100%
Welterweight 6 (16%) 4 67 % 6.93 1.18 0.20 17%
Lightweight 8 (21%) 3 38 % 5.93 -0.04 -0.01 -1%
Featherweight 5 (13%) 1 20 % 6.30 -3.75 -0.75 -60%
Bantamweight 3 (8%) 0 % 2.20 -2.20 -0.73 -100%
Flyweight 3 (8%) 2 67 % 4.60 1.12 0.37 24%
               
Women's Fights 5 (13%) 1 20 % 6.18 -5.52 -1.10 -89%
Bantamweight 2 (5%) 0 % 4.08 -4.08 -2.04 -100%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 0 % 1.60 -1.60 -0.80 -100%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.16 0.16 31%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 92 (36%) 70 76 %
Slight Favorites 91 (36%) 22 24 %
Slight Underdogs 41 (16%) 26 63 %
Big Underdogs 29 (11%) 0 0 %
253 118 47 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (2%) 2 50 %
50-65% 14 (6%) 10 71 %
35-50% 22 (10%) 9 41 %
<35% chance 185 (82%) 29 16 %
225 50 22 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (0%) 1 100 % 4.60 4.60Pick was correct 4.60Pick was correct 3.6 (360%)
Goes to Decision 1 (0%) 0 0 % 2.20 2.20Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (0%) 1 100 % 19.00 19.00Pick was correct 19.00Pick was incorrect 18.0 (1,800%)
X Wins by KO 20 (9%) 5 25 % 5.03 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct -3.5 (-17%)
X Wins by Sub 21 (9%) 3 14 % 7.56 31.00Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.5 (7%)
X Wins by Decision 24 (11%) 6 25 % 3.79 8.00Pick was correct 2.05Pick was correct 4.4 (19%)
X Wins Inside Distance 29 (13%) 9 31 % 3.26 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -1.9 (-7%)
X Wins in Round X 24 (11%) 4 17 % 7.60 26.00Pick was incorrect 3.25Pick was incorrect 8.5 (35%)
Others 104 (46%) 21 20 % 6.14 61.01Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was correct 2.9 (3%)
225 50 22 % 5.25     32.6 (14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pavlik's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 44.4 2.4 6% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,024.48
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 36.1 2.9 8% $10.24 $1,024.48 $1,054.16
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 61.56 -8.4 -14% $10.54 $1,054.16 $965.25
30th Jul UFC 277 59.595 110.1 185% $9.65 $965.25 $2,028.13
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 36.91 -31.0 -84% $20.28 $2,028.13 $1,399.24


ROI % from starting bank balance: 39.92% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pavlik: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '22 Orion Cosce Mike Mathetha 1.54 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Nick Negumereanu Ihor Potieria 1.84 1.04 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Drew Dober Rafael Alves 1.54 0.65 TKO, R3 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.55 3.3 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Muhammad Mokaev Charles Johnson 1.22 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Marc Diakiese Damir Hadzovic 1.29 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Nikita Krylov Alexander Gustafsson 1.56 0.9 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Ludovit Klein Mason Jones 3.85 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.40 0.9 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Dustin Stoltzfus Dwight Grant 2.13 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Yair Rodriguez Brian Ortega 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (4:11) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Dustin Stoltzfus Dwight Grant 2.13 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Amanda Lemos Michelle Waterson 1.31 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:48) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Chase Sherman Jared Vanderaa 2.75 1.4 TKO, R3 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '22 Stephanie Egger Mayra Bueno Silva 1.80 3.46 Sub, R1 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Takashi Sato Bryan Battle 2.85 1.88 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Erick Gonzalez Terrance McKinney 7.00 0.51 Sub, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Thiago Santos Jamahal Hill 3.40 1.17 TKO, R4 (2:31) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Rafa Garcia Drakkar Klose 2.85 0.77 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Julianna Pena Amanda Nunes 3.40 0.62 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Claudio Silva Nicolas Dalby 3.07 0.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Mandy Bohm Victoria Leonardo 1.80 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Makwan Amirkhani Jonathan Pearce 2.80 0.7 TKO, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Charles Rosa Nathaniel Wood 5.50 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Paul Craig Volkan Oezdemir 2.36 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Hannah Goldy Molly McCann 4.00 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Jordan Leavitt Paddy Pimblett 3.10 0.8 Sub, R2 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Chris Curtis Jack Hermansson 1.85 0.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Tom Aspinall Curtis Blaydes 1.75 0.7 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Da Un Jung Dustin Jacoby 2.05 2.4 TKO, R1 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Herbert Burns Bill Algeo 2.75 2.1 TKO, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Jack Shore Ricky Simon 1.59 0.5 Sub, R2 (3:28) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Charles Jourdain Shane Burgos 2.50 0.9 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Su Mudaerji Matt Schnell 1.37 0.8 Sub, R2 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pavlik: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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