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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Pavlik

Pavlik (pavlik)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Pavlik

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 107 (22%) Right 20 (34%) Right 74 (22%) Right 13 (15%)
Wrong 369 (78%) Wrong 39 (66%) Wrong 258 (78%) Wrong 72 (85%)
Avg Odds 4.14 Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 4.86 Avg Odds 4.46
Units Bet 370.4 Units Bet 68.1 Units Bet 200.8 Units Bet 101.5
Avg Bet 0.78 Avg Bet 1.15 Avg Bet 0.60 Avg Bet 1.19
Units Profit 38.79 Units Profit -15.22 Units Profit 75.04 Units Profit -21.02
ROI % 10% ROI % -22% ROI % 37% ROI % -21%
View Handicapper's Profile

Pavlik: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 24.82 -11.7 -47% -5.0 / 5.98 (-83%) -5.3 / 17.46 (-31%) -1.4 / 1.38 (-100%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 63.02 -47.5 -75% -3.5 / 10.42 (-34%) -29.0 / 37.66 (-77%) -14.9 / 14.94 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 44.04 21.9 50% 4.1 / 10.78 (38%) 25.3 / 20.39 (124%) -7.5 / 12.87 (-59%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 36.91 -31.0 -84% -7.0 / 7.02 (-100%) -11.5 / 17.42 (-66%) -12.5 / 12.47 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 59.595 110.1 185% 2.5 / 8.03 (32%) 61.0 / 31.245 (195%) 46.6 / 20.32 (229%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 61.56 -8.4 -14% -3.6 / 10.5 (-34%) 4.4 / 39.13 (11%) -9.2 / 11.93 (-77%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 36.1 2.9 8% -1.9 / 10.7 (-18%) 14.8 / 15.4 (96%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 44.4 2.4 6% -0.9 / 4.7 (-18%) 15.4 / 22.1 (70%) -12.1 / 17.6 (-69%)


Winning Events: 4 (50%)
Losing Events: 4 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 46.31 units
Most Staked On One Event: 63.02 units
Best Event: 110.11 units
Worst Event: -47.45 units
Average Event: 4.85 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 110.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -59.15

Pavlik: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2022 370.445 38.8 10% -15.2 / 68.13 (-22%) -21.0 / 101.51 (-21%) 4 / 4 (50%) 4.85

Pavlik: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Pavlik: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 370.445 38.8 10% -15.2 / 68.13 (-22%) 75.0 / 200.805 (37%) -21.0 / 101.51 (-21%)

Pavlik: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (17%) 4 40 % 8.29 -5.94 -0.59 -72%
Slight Favorites 14 (23%) 7 50 % 23.45 -0.07 -0.01 -0%
Slight Underdogs 16 (27%) 7 44 % 18.68 -1.05 -0.07 -6%
Big Underdogs 20 (33%) 3 15 % 17.71 -8.16 -0.41 -46%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (13%) 1 13 % 7.93 -5.38 -0.67 -68%
Co-Main Event 4 (7%) 1 25 % 3.76 -3.10 -0.78 -83%
Position 3-5 13 (22%) 6 46 % 15.84 6.26 0.48 40%
6+ (Undercard) 35 (58%) 13 37 % 40.60 -13.00 -0.37 -32%

Pavlik: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 4.43 -0.58 -0.15 -13%
Light Heavy 6 (10%) 3 50 % 8.66 -0.87 -0.14 -10%
Middleweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 3.29 -2.81 -0.70 -86%
Welterweight 9 (15%) 4 44 % 10.87 -2.76 -0.31 -25%
Lightweight 11 (18%) 4 36 % 8.21 -1.89 -0.17 -23%
Featherweight 7 (12%) 2 29 % 7.29 -4.18 -0.60 -57%
Bantamweight 6 (10%) 1 17 % 6.94 -0.01 -0.00 -0%
Flyweight 5 (8%) 3 60 % 7.84 2.72 0.54 35%
               
Women's Fights 8 (13%) 2 25 % 10.60 -4.84 -0.61 -46%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 6.08 -0.98 -0.33 -16%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 0 % 1.60 -1.60 -0.80 -100%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 2.92 -2.26 -0.75 -78%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 108 (39%) 75 69 %
Slight Favorites 91 (33%) 22 24 %
Slight Underdogs 48 (17%) 32 67 %
Big Underdogs 29 (11%) 0 0 %
276 129 47 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (4%) 8 67 %
50-65% 20 (6%) 13 65 %
35-50% 29 (9%) 11 38 %
<35% chance 266 (81%) 40 15 %
327 72 22 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (0%) 1 100 % 4.60 4.60Pick was correct 4.60Pick was correct 3.6 (360%)
Goes to Decision 1 (0%) 0 0 % 2.20 2.20Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.67 1.67Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct 0.7 (67%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (0%) 1 100 % 19.00 19.00Pick was correct 19.00Pick was incorrect 18.0 (1,800%)
X Wins by KO 30 (9%) 9 30 % 4.56 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.47Pick was correct 3.0 (10%)
X Wins by Sub 34 (10%) 4 12 % 7.44 31.00Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect -5.3 (-15%)
X Wins by Decision 37 (11%) 7 19 % 3.64 8.00Pick was correct 1.65Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-13%)
X Wins Inside Distance 44 (13%) 13 30 % 3.32 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct -0.6 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X 36 (11%) 6 17 % 7.90 26.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect 16.5 (46%)
Others 142 (43%) 30 21 % 5.45 61.01Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was correct -0.6 (-0%)
327 72 22 % 4.92     29.3 (9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pavlik's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 44.4 2.4 6% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,024.48
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 36.1 2.9 8% $10.24 $1,024.48 $1,054.16
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 61.56 -8.4 -14% $10.54 $1,054.16 $965.25
30th Jul UFC 277 59.595 110.1 185% $9.65 $965.25 $2,028.13
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 36.91 -31.0 -84% $20.28 $2,028.13 $1,399.24
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 44.04 21.9 50% $13.99 $1,399.24 $1,706.11
20th Aug UFC 278 63.02 -47.5 -75% $5 $17.06 $1,706.11 $891.55
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 24.82 -11.7 -47% $5 $8.92 $891.55 $782.20


ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.78% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pavlik: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '22 Paid Pick Benoit Saint-Denis Gabriel Miranda 1.36 0.32 TKO, R2 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '22 Paid Pick Nathaniel Wood Charles Jourdain 2.25 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Paid Pick Qileng Aori Jay Perrin 1.69 4.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Tyson Nam Ode Osbourne 3.25 1.49 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Gerald Meerschaert Bruno Silva 3.40 0.14 Sub, R3 (1:39) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Azamat Murzakanov Devin Clark 1.69 2.65 TKO, R3 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Priscila Cachoeira Ariane Lipski 2.55 2 TKO, R1 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Orion Cosce Mike Mathetha 1.54 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Nick Negumereanu Ihor Potieria 1.84 1.04 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Drew Dober Rafael Alves 1.54 0.65 TKO, R3 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.55 3.3 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Muhammad Mokaev Charles Johnson 1.22 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Marc Diakiese Damir Hadzovic 1.29 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Nikita Krylov Alexander Gustafsson 1.56 0.9 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Ludovit Klein Mason Jones 3.85 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.40 0.9 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Dustin Stoltzfus Dwight Grant 2.13 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Yair Rodriguez Brian Ortega 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (4:11) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Dustin Stoltzfus Dwight Grant 2.13 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Amanda Lemos Michelle Waterson 1.31 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:48) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '22 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Nassourdine Imavov 3.20 0.63 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '22 Paid Pick John Makdessi Nasrat Haqparast 3.01 1.52 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '22 Paid Pick Marvin Vettori Robert Whittaker 2.81 1.82 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '22 Paid Pick Tai Tuivasa Ciryl Gane 5.00 1.44 TKO, R3 (4:23) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Paid Pick Francisco Figueiredo Amir Albazi 4.50 1.75 Sub, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Paid Pick A.J. Fletcher Ange Loosa 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Paid Pick Alexander Romanov Marcin Tybura 1.28 0.89 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Paid Pick Jose Aldo Merab Dvalishvili 2.22 0.46 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Paid Pick Kamaru Usman Leon Edwards 1.25 1.62 TKO, R5 (4:4) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '22 Charlie Ontiveros Gabriel Benitez 3.90 0.44 TKO, R1 (3:35) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Cynthia Calvillo Nina Nunes 1.53 1.64 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '22 Lupita Godinez Angela Hill 1.29 0.78 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '22 David Onama Nate Landwehr 1.30 0.74 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '22 Dominick Cruz Marlon Vera 3.05 0.18 TKO, R4 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '22 Stephanie Egger Mayra Bueno Silva 1.80 3.46 Sub, R1 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '22 Jason Witt Josh Quinlan 2.90 0.72 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '22 Takashi Sato Bryan Battle 2.85 1.88 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '22 Erick Gonzalez Terrance McKinney 7.00 0.51 Sub, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '22 Thiago Santos Jamahal Hill 3.40 1.17 TKO, R4 (2:31) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Rafa Garcia Drakkar Klose 2.85 0.77 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pavlik: Progress Chart
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