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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6363
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Captain Lock

Captain Lock (CaptainLock)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Captain Lock

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 22 (47%) Right 20 (51%) Right 1 (14%) Right 1 (100%)
Wrong 25 (53%) Wrong 19 (49%) Wrong 6 (86%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 2.14
Units Bet 98.2 Units Bet 88.1 Units Bet 8.1 Units Bet 2.0
Avg Bet 2.09 Avg Bet 2.26 Avg Bet 1.15 Avg Bet 2.00
Units Profit -2.03 Units Profit -2.34 Units Profit -1.96 Units Profit 2.27
ROI % -2% ROI % -3% ROI % -24% ROI % 114%
View Handicapper's Profile

Captain Lock: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 4 3.7 91% 3.7 / 4 (91%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 1 0.8 83% 0.8 / 1 (83%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 4 4.4 111% 4.4 / 4 (111%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 1.1 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 9.9 -7.2 -72% -5.8 / 8.5 (-68%) -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1 0.9 91% 0.9 / 1 (91%)
14th Apr '23 PFL 3: 2023 1.1 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 1.3 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 3.5 -2.0 -57% -2.0 / 3.5 (-57%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 6 5.1 85% 2.0 / 3 (68%) 3.1 / 3 (103%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 2.1 1.6 77% 1.6 / 2.1 (77%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 0.15 -0.2 -100% -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 1.41 0.6 41% 0.6 / 1.41 (41%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 14.8 11.6 79% 11.6 / 14.8 (79%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 6.5 5.8 89% 5.8 / 6.5 (89%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
25th Sep '22 Rizin 38 1.5 1.1 72% 1.1 / 1.5 (72%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 4 0.3 7% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.3 / 2 (114%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 7.8 1.8 23% 1.8 / 7.8 (23%)


Winning Events: 12 (41%)
Losing Events: 17 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.38 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.80 units
Best Event: 11.65 units
Worst Event: -7.17 units
Average Event: -0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 18.03
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -15.50

Captain Lock: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 50.4 -15.2 -30% -15.4 / 44.5 (-35%) 5 / 11 (31%) -0.95
2022 47.76 13.2 28% 13.1 / 43.61 (30%) 2.3 / 2 (114%) 7 / 6 (54%) 1.01

Captain Lock: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Captain Lock: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 95.56 -2.0 -2% -2.3 / 85.51 (-3%) -2.0 / 8.05 (-24%) 2.3 / 2 (114%)
PFL 1.1 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
Other 1.5 1.1 72% 1.1 / 1.5 (72%)

Captain Lock: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (10%) 3 75 % 9.41 -0.22 -0.06 -2%
Slight Favorites 19 (49%) 10 53 % 50.80 -8.40 -0.44 -17%
Slight Underdogs 11 (28%) 5 45 % 22.60 9.05 0.82 40%
Big Underdogs 5 (13%) 2 40 % 5.30 -2.76 -0.55 -52%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (21%) 2 25 % 30.80 -10.24 -1.28 -33%
Co-Main Event 6 (15%) 2 33 % 15.00 -3.98 -0.66 -27%
Position 3-5 5 (13%) 4 80 % 8.40 0.29 0.06 3%
6+ (Undercard) 20 (51%) 12 60 % 33.91 11.58 0.58 34%

Captain Lock: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 7.00 -7.00 -7.00 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (5%) 1 50 % 3.00 -1.16 -0.58 -39%
Middleweight 6 (15%) 3 50 % 12.91 2.80 0.47 22%
Welterweight 6 (15%) 4 67 % 12.30 7.99 1.33 65%
Lightweight 8 (21%) 3 38 % 24.20 -1.10 -0.14 -5%
Featherweight 2 (5%) 0 % 6.50 -6.50 -3.25 -100%
Bantamweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 5.10 -2.56 -0.64 -50%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.10 -1.10 -1.10 -100%
               
Women's Fights 9 (23%) 7 78 % 16.00 6.30 0.70 39%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.23 1.23 82%
Bantamweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 7.00 0.88 0.22 13%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 5.00 2.20 1.10 44%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 2.50 1.99 0.99 80%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (11%) 1 100 %
50-65% 4 (44%) 1 25 %
35-50% 3 (33%) 1 33 %
<35% chance 1 (11%) 0 0 %
9 3 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (11%) 1 100 % 1.56 1.56Pick was correct 1.56Pick was correct 0.6 (56%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (11%) 0 0 % 7.00 7.00Pick was incorrect 7.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (11%) 0 0 % 1.95 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 6 (67%) 2 33 % 1.90 2.43Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was correct -2.6 (-43%)
9 3 33 % 2.02     -4.0 (-45%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Captain Lock's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Jul UFC 276 7.8 1.8 23% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,018.25
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.18 $1,018.25 $992.79
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 4 0.3 7% $9.93 $992.79 $995.52
30th Jul UFC 277 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.96 $995.52 $970.63
25th Sep Rizin 38 1.5 1.1 72% $9.71 $970.63 $981.11
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.81 $981.11 $956.58
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 6.5 5.8 89% $9.57 $956.58 $1,012.11
22nd Oct UFC 280 14.8 11.6 79% $10.12 $1,012.11 $1,130.03
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 1.41 0.6 41% $11.30 $1,130.03 $1,136.56
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 0.15 -0.2 -100% $11.37 $1,136.56 $1,134.85
12th Nov UFC 281 2.1 1.6 77% $11.35 $1,134.85 $1,153.25
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 1 -1.0 -100% $11.53 $1,153.25 $1,141.72
17th Dec UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 1 -1.0 -100% $11.42 $1,141.72 $1,130.30
21st Jan UFC 283 2 -2.0 -100% $11.30 $1,130.30 $1,107.69
4th Mar UFC 285 6 5.1 85% $11.08 $1,107.69 $1,164.52
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 3.5 -2.0 -57% $11.65 $1,164.52 $1,141.23
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 1.3 -1.3 -100% $11.41 $1,141.23 $1,126.39
14th Apr PFL 3: 2023 1.1 -1.1 -100% $11.26 $1,126.39 $1,114.00
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1 0.9 91% $11.14 $1,114.00 $1,124.14
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 9.9 -7.2 -72% $11.24 $1,124.14 $1,043.54
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 1.1 -1.1 -100% $10.44 $1,043.54 $1,032.06
6th May UFC 288 4 4.4 111% $10.32 $1,032.06 $1,077.88
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 1 0.8 83% $10.78 $1,077.88 $1,086.83
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 4 3.7 91% $10.87 $1,086.83 $1,126.50
10th Jun UFC 289 5 -5.0 -100% $11.26 $1,126.50 $1,070.17
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2 -2.0 -100% $10.70 $1,070.17 $1,048.77
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.49 $1,048.77 $1,033.04
11th Nov UFC 295 5 -5.0 -100% $10.33 $1,033.04 $981.39
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 2 -2.0 -100% $9.81 $981.39 $961.76


ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Captain Lock: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '23 Gilbert Urbina Orion Cosce 1.95 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '23 Themba Gorimbo Takashi Sato 1.89 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '23 Tainara Lisboa Jessica-Rose Clark 1.83 1 Sub, R3 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '23 Belal Muhammad Gilbert Burns 2.11 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '23 Norma Dumont Karol Rosa 1.82 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '23 Gillian Robertson Piera Rodriguez 1.91 1 Sub, R2 (4:21) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '23 Jonathan Martinez Said Nurmagomedov 3.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '23 Marc-Andre Barriault Julian Marquez 1.68 3 TKO, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '22 Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.71 1.1 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '22 Carlos Ulberg Nick Negumereanu 1.84 1 TKO, R1 (3:44) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '22 Jun Yong Park Joseph Holmes 1.41 1.41 Sub, R2 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '22 Beneil Dariush Mateusz Gamrot 2.85 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '22 Islam Makhachev Charles Oliveira 1.54 11 Sub, R2 (3:16) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '22 Alexa Grasso Viviane Araujo 1.45 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '22 Jacob Malkoun Nick Maximov 2.17 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '22 Belal Muhammad Sean Brady 2.10 2 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '22 Sean O'Malley Petr Yan 3.45 0.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Si Woo Park Ayaka Hamasaki 1.72 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Julija Stoliarenko Jessica-Rose Clark 2.42 2.5 Sub, R1 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Maycee Barber Jessica Eye 1.43 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Beneil Dariush Arman Tsarukyan 3.40 2 TKO, R1 (1:4) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Pat Sabatini Diego Lopes 1.88 5 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '23 Rafael dos Anjos Vicente Luque 1.85 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '23 Beneil Dariush Charles Oliveira 1.78 5 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '23 Charles Johnson Cody Durden 1.72 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '23 Curtis Blaydes Sergey Pavlovich 1.60 7 TKO, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '23 Shane Burgos Olivier Aubin-Mercier 1.82 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '23 Marlon Vera Cory Sandhagen 2.33 1.3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '23 Petr Yan Merab Dvalishvili 1.45 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '23 Glover Teixeira Jamahal Hill 2.14 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '22 Julija Stoliarenko Chelsea Chandler 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '22 Krzysztof Jotko Brendan Allen 1.80 1.5 Sub, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Ji Yeon Kim Joselyne Edwards 2.05 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Chris Curtis Jack Hermansson 1.89 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Armen Petrosyan Caio Borralho 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Michael Johnson Jamie Mullarkey 2.90 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Gabriel Green Ian Garry 2.55 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Brad Riddell Jalin Turner 2.29 1 Sub, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 2.75 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Captain Lock: Progress Chart
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