|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Mr Goodguy |
|
Mr Goodguy: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 36 (55%) Losing Events: 30 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 24.25 units Most Staked On One Event: 110.00 units Best Event: 55.80 units Worst Event: -46.20 units Average Event: 1.77 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 60.98 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -73.44 |
Mr Goodguy: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
594 |
-29.8 |
-5% |
-29.8 / 594 (-5%) |
|
|
6 / 6 (50%) |
-2.48 |
2023 |
801.69 |
141.4 |
18% |
139.0 / 721.69 (19%) |
|
-2.6 / 19 (-14%) |
24 / 18 (57%) |
3.37 |
2022 |
204.5 |
4.8 |
2% |
4.9 / 200.5 (2%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
6 / 6 (50%) |
0.40 |
|
Mr Goodguy: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Mr Goodguy: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1388.19 |
40.2 |
3% |
44.6 / 1316.19 (3%) |
-1.8 / 53 (-3%) |
-2.6 / 19 (-14%) |
Bellator |
111 |
61.1 |
55% |
54.0 / 103 (52%) |
8.1 / 7 (116%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
PFL |
44 |
-11.9 |
-27% |
-9.9 / 42 (-24%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
Other |
57 |
27.2 |
48% |
25.6 / 55 (46%) |
1.6 / 2 (80%) |
|
|
Mr Goodguy: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
46 (21%) |
29 |
63 % |
403.44 |
-55.04 |
-1.20 |
-14% |
Slight Favorites |
49 (22%) |
30 |
61 % |
351.00 |
16.08 |
0.33 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
78 (35%) |
45 |
58 % |
486.00 |
207.68 |
2.66 |
43% |
Big Underdogs |
50 (22%) |
13 |
26 % |
275.75 |
-54.54 |
-1.09 |
-20% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
23 (10%) |
13 |
57 % |
149.00 |
36.95 |
1.61 |
25% |
Co-Main Event |
18 (8%) |
8 |
44 % |
112.50 |
-5.85 |
-0.33 |
-5% |
Position 3-5 |
62 (28%) |
34 |
55 % |
391.50 |
46.40 |
0.75 |
12% |
6+ (Undercard) |
120 (54%) |
62 |
52 % |
863.19 |
36.68 |
0.31 |
4% |
|
Mr Goodguy: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
20 (9%) |
11 |
55 % |
112.50 |
-2.54 |
-0.13 |
-2% |
Light Heavy |
14 (6%) |
9 |
64 % |
75.00 |
4.01 |
0.29 |
5% |
Middleweight |
22 (10%) |
10 |
45 % |
177.00 |
-24.17 |
-1.10 |
-14% |
Welterweight |
25 (11%) |
8 |
32 % |
179.50 |
-70.06 |
-2.80 |
-39% |
Lightweight |
36 (16%) |
20 |
56 % |
255.00 |
21.18 |
0.59 |
8% |
Featherweight |
28 (13%) |
16 |
57 % |
168.50 |
84.05 |
3.00 |
50% |
Bantamweight |
20 (9%) |
10 |
50 % |
147.00 |
9.59 |
0.48 |
7% |
Flyweight |
19 (9%) |
13 |
68 % |
125.44 |
61.07 |
3.21 |
49% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
39 (17%) |
20 |
51 % |
276.25 |
31.05 |
0.80 |
11% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
|
0 % |
15.00 |
-15.00 |
-7.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
10 (4%) |
4 |
40 % |
55.00 |
17.39 |
1.74 |
32% |
Flyweight |
17 (8%) |
10 |
59 % |
103.25 |
9.67 |
0.57 |
9% |
Strawweight |
10 (4%) |
6 |
60 % |
103.00 |
18.99 |
1.90 |
18% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
14 (93%) |
11 |
79 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (7%) |
0 |
0 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
15 |
11 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
3 (11%) |
3 |
100 % |
50-65% |
6 (22%) |
4 |
67 % |
35-50% |
6 (22%) |
2 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
12 (44%) |
4 |
33 % |
|
27 |
13 |
48 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Mr Goodguy's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
24th Jun |
Bellator 282 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$990.00 |
1st Jul |
PFL 2022 #6 |
11.5 |
5.1 |
44% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.00 |
$1,040.00 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
16 |
13.1 |
82% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.00 |
$1,176.03 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
16 |
9.3 |
58% |
|
$11.76 |
$1,176.03 |
$1,285.40 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
25 |
-6.5 |
-26% |
|
$12.85 |
$1,285.40 |
$1,202.23 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
13 |
-3.7 |
-29% |
|
$12.02 |
$1,202.23 |
$1,157.27 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
30 |
-9.4 |
-31% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,157.27 |
$1,049.06 |
13th Aug |
PFL 2022 #8 |
4 |
7.2 |
180% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.06 |
$1,124.60 |
13th Aug |
Cage Warriors 142 |
4 |
2.4 |
61% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,124.60 |
$1,152.04 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
23 |
-6.2 |
-27% |
|
$11.52 |
$1,152.04 |
$1,080.96 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
39 |
4.1 |
10% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,080.96 |
$1,124.95 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
22 |
-9.6 |
-44% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,124.95 |
$1,017.29 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
80 |
55.8 |
70% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,017.29 |
$1,584.95 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
25 |
-6.1 |
-24% |
|
$15.85 |
$1,584.95 |
$1,488.58 |
10th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 3 |
1 |
1.4 |
140% |
|
$14.89 |
$1,488.58 |
$1,509.42 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
30 |
-5.1 |
-17% |
$5 |
$15.09 |
$1,509.42 |
$1,428.20 |
17th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series: Week 4 |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$14.28 |
$1,428.20 |
$1,208.97 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
13 |
-8.8 |
-68% |
$5 |
$12.09 |
$1,208.97 |
$1,097.58 |
25th Feb |
Bellator 291 |
22 |
6.0 |
27% |
$5 |
$10.98 |
$1,097.58 |
$1,158.98 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
42 |
-5.6 |
-13% |
$5 |
$11.59 |
$1,158.98 |
$1,088.50 |
3rd Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 6 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.88 |
$1,088.50 |
$1,007.30 |
3rd Mar |
Cage Warriors 149 |
5 |
5.0 |
100% |
$5 |
$10.07 |
$1,007.30 |
$1,052.67 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
11 |
5.2 |
47% |
$5 |
$10.53 |
$1,052.67 |
$1,102.09 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
33 |
-16.5 |
-50% |
$5 |
$11.02 |
$1,102.09 |
$915.25 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
31 |
28.3 |
91% |
$5 |
$9.15 |
$915.25 |
$1,169.44 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
22 |
22.0 |
100% |
$5 |
$11.69 |
$1,169.44 |
$1,421.72 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
39 |
10.4 |
27% |
$5 |
$14.22 |
$1,421.72 |
$1,564.57 |
16th Jun |
Bellator 297 |
8 |
0.3 |
3% |
$5 |
$15.65 |
$1,564.57 |
$1,563.64 |
16th Jun |
PFL 5: Regular Season |
5.5 |
-3.6 |
-65% |
$5 |
$15.64 |
$1,563.64 |
$1,502.66 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
17.44 |
15.8 |
91% |
$5 |
$15.03 |
$1,502.66 |
$1,735.59 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
55 |
15.8 |
29% |
$5 |
$17.36 |
$1,735.59 |
$2,005.51 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
6 |
13.9 |
231% |
$5 |
$20.06 |
$2,005.51 |
$2,279.08 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$22.79 |
$2,279.08 |
$2,023.38 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
13 |
4.9 |
38% |
$5 |
$20.23 |
$2,023.38 |
$2,118.13 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
13 |
1.3 |
10% |
$5 |
$21.18 |
$2,118.13 |
$2,139.61 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$21.40 |
$2,139.61 |
$2,070.42 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
13 |
1.9 |
14% |
$5 |
$20.70 |
$2,070.42 |
$2,104.13 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
3 |
3.5 |
118% |
|
$21.04 |
$2,104.13 |
$2,178.62 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
14 |
2.4 |
17% |
$5 |
$21.79 |
$2,178.62 |
$2,225.54 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
18.25 |
7.7 |
42% |
$5 |
$22.26 |
$2,225.54 |
$2,391.46 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
4 |
-1.0 |
-25% |
$5 |
$23.91 |
$2,391.46 |
$2,362.55 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
1 |
1.5 |
150% |
$5 |
$23.63 |
$2,362.55 |
$2,392.98 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
13 |
-2.8 |
-22% |
$5 |
$23.93 |
$2,392.98 |
$2,320.74 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$23.21 |
$2,320.74 |
$2,251.12 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
66 |
24.6 |
37% |
|
$22.51 |
$2,251.12 |
$2,805.78 |
26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
19 |
-11.0 |
-58% |
$5 |
$28.06 |
$2,805.78 |
$2,492.14 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
28 |
29.2 |
104% |
$5 |
$24.92 |
$2,492.14 |
$3,215.35 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
9 |
-3.8 |
-43% |
$5 |
$32.15 |
$3,215.35 |
$3,086.88 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
1 |
2.7 |
275% |
|
$30.87 |
$3,086.88 |
$3,171.76 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
55 |
4.6 |
8% |
$5 |
$31.72 |
$3,171.76 |
$3,313.30 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
11 |
8.1 |
74% |
$5 |
$33.13 |
$3,313.30 |
$3,578.00 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
19 |
-13.9 |
-73% |
$5 |
$35.78 |
$3,578.00 |
$3,075.66 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$30.76 |
$3,075.66 |
$2,793.85 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
7.5 |
-4.9 |
-65% |
|
$27.94 |
$2,793.85 |
$2,658.35 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
66 |
-11.0 |
-17% |
$5 |
$26.58 |
$2,658.35 |
$2,360.94 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$23.61 |
$2,360.94 |
$1,836.53 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
70 |
-12.7 |
-18% |
$5 |
$18.37 |
$1,836.53 |
$1,598.47 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
22 |
3.9 |
18% |
$5 |
$15.98 |
$1,598.47 |
$1,655.02 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
66 |
-23.1 |
-35% |
$5 |
$16.55 |
$1,655.02 |
$1,267.71 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
67 |
52.5 |
78% |
$5 |
$12.68 |
$1,267.71 |
$1,927.73 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
110 |
-46.2 |
-42% |
$5 |
$19.28 |
$1,927.73 |
$1,032.11 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
60 |
13.1 |
22% |
$5 |
$10.32 |
$1,032.11 |
$1,161.90 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
14 |
5.0 |
36% |
$5 |
$11.62 |
$1,161.90 |
$1,215.00 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
64 |
-8.2 |
-13% |
$5 |
$12.15 |
$1,215.00 |
$1,110.61 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
22 |
2.5 |
12% |
$5 |
$11.11 |
$1,110.61 |
$1,133.71 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
11 |
16.5 |
150% |
$5 |
$11.34 |
$1,133.71 |
$1,315.77 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 31.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Mr Goodguy: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.50 |
11 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jose Mariscal |
Morgan Charriere |
2.23 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Dennis Buzukja |
Connor Matthews |
1.90 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (0:22) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Manon Fiorot |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.62 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Ibo Aslan |
Anton Turkalj |
1.90 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Youssef Zalal |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.30 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Miles Johns |
Cody Gibson |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Lima |
Igor da Silva |
1.80 |
2 |
|
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.80 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.60 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Jaqueline Amorim |
Cory McKenna |
2.50 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (1:38) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Jafel Filho |
Ode Osbourne |
1.56 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (4:27) |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Mike Davis |
Natan Levy |
1.40 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (1:43) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Joanne Wood |
Maryna Moroz |
2.90 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.90 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Zellhuber |
Francisco Prado |
1.40 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Mateus Mendonca |
2.15 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Felipe Dos Santos |
Victor Altamirano |
1.36 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Brian Ortega |
Yair Rodriguez |
2.60 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Mr Goodguy: Progress Chart |
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