MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Timbo Bets

Timbo Bets (PuffSullivan)

MMA MHandicapper - Timbo Bets

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	55 (44%)	Right	32 (46%)	Right	15 (45%)	Right	8 (35%)
Wrong	70 (56%)	Wrong	37 (54%)	Wrong	18 (55%)	Wrong	15 (65%)
Avg Odds	1.75	Avg Odds	1.70	Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	1.94
Units Bet	417.5	Units Bet	285.5	Units Bet	85.0	Units Bet	47.0
Avg Bet	3.34	Avg Bet	4.14	Avg Bet	2.58	Avg Bet	2.04
Units Profit	-91.87	Units Profit	-58.99	Units Profit	-13.30	Units Profit	-19.59
ROI %	-22%	ROI %	-21%	ROI %	-16%	ROI %	-42%

Timbo Bets : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	52	-40.9	-79%	-37.9 / 46 (-82%)	1.0 / 2 (50%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th Aug '22	Bellator 284	38	-20.9	-55%	-20.9 / 38 (-55%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	8	-4.7	-58%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	0.3 / 3 (11%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	68	15.8	23%	19.3 / 48 (40%)	-5.3 / 17 (-31%)	1.8 / 3 (61%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	24.5	-13.3	-54%	-5.8 / 10 (-58%)	-4.8 / 8.5 (-57%)	-2.7 / 6 (-45%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	22	3.2	15%	-0.2 / 15.5 (-2%)	1.7 / 4.5 (37%)	1.8 / 2 (91%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	22	-0.2	-1%	-0.6 / 13 (-5%)	-0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)	1.3 / 1.5 (86%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	30	4.5	15%	2.9 / 17.5 (17%)	-0.5 / 9.5 (-5%)	2.1 / 3 (68%)
1st Jul '22	PFL 2022 #6	4	-0.7	-17%	1.3 / 2 (67%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	24	-4.3	-18%	-4.9 / 12 (-41%)	2.5 / 6.5 (38%)	-2.0 / 5.5 (-36%)
24th Jun '22	Bellator 282	24.5	-1.8	-7%	-0.9 / 19.5 (-4%)		-0.9 / 5 (-19%)
24th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #5	17	-6.3	-37%	-2.0 / 7 (-29%)	-1.3 / 7 (-18%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	45.5	-22.3	-49%	-12.5 / 30.5 (-41%)	-2.9 / 8 (-36%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
17th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #4	11	-6.1	-55%	-1.1 / 6 (-18%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	28.5	6.0	21%	7.1 / 17.5 (40%)	1.9 / 8 (24%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 4 (27%)
Losing Events: 11 (73%)

Average Staked Per Event: 27.93 units
Most Staked On One Event: 68.00 units
Best Event: 15.80 units
Worst Event: -40.87 units
Average Event: -6.12 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 15.80
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -66.43

Timbo Bets : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	419	-91.9	-22%	-59.0 / 285.5 (-21%)		-19.6 / 47 (-42%)	4 / 11 (27%)	-6.12

Timbo Bets : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Timbo Bets : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	324.5	-56.2	-17%	-35.5 / 213 (-17%)	-7.0 / 74.5 (-9%)	-13.7 / 37 (-37%)
Bellator	62.5	-22.7	-36%	-21.7 / 57.5 (-38%)		-0.9 / 5 (-19%)
PFL	32	-13.0	-41%	-1.7 / 15 (-12%)	-6.3 / 12 (-52%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)

Timbo Bets : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	19 (28%)	8	42 %	132.00	-56.37	-2.97	-43%
Slight Favorites	36 (52%)	21	58 %	136.00	7.24	0.20	5%
Slight Underdogs	12 (17%)	3	25 %	15.00	-7.36	-0.61	-49%
Big Underdogs	2 (3%)	0	0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (9%)	1	17 %	30.50	-24.50	-4.08	-80%
Co-Main Event	6 (9%)	1	17 %	26.50	-22.81	-3.80	-86%
Position 3-5	21 (30%)	12	57 %	80.00	-2.36	-0.11	-3%
6+ (Undercard)	36 (52%)	18	50 %	148.50	-9.32	-0.26	-6%

Timbo Bets : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (4%)	1	33 %	16.00	1.11	0.37	7%
Light Heavy	5 (7%)	3	60 %	14.50	6.50	1.30	45%
Middleweight	11 (16%)	2	18 %	48.00	-36.52	-3.32	-76%
Welterweight	13 (19%)	9	69 %	45.50	0.10	0.01	0%
Lightweight	9 (13%)	4	44 %	39.00	2.81	0.31	7%
Featherweight	6 (9%)	4	67 %	33.50	-4.58	-0.76	-14%
Bantamweight	8 (12%)	4	50 %	30.50	0.59	0.07	2%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	20.00	-11.77	-2.94	-59%

Women's Fights	10 (14%)	4	40 %	38.50	-17.22	-1.72	-45%
Bantamweight	3 (4%)	1	33 %	8.00	-3.31	-1.10	-41%
Flyweight	2 (3%)		0 %	4.50	-4.50	-2.25	-100%
Strawweight	5 (7%)	3	60 %	26.00	-9.42	-1.88	-36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	38 (86%)	29	76 %
Slight Favorites	1 (2%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (7%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	2 (5%)	0	0 %
	44	30	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	16 (42%)	9	56 %
50-65%	12 (32%)	7	58 %
35-50%	8 (21%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	2 (5%)	0	0 %
	38	16	42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (34%)	3	23 %	1.58	2.05	1.33	-6.6 (-51%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.71	1.71	1.71	0.7 (71%)
Goes to Decision	4 (11%)	3	75 %	1.60	2.20	1.40	0.4 (10%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (5%)	2	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	1.0 (50%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
X Wins by KO	2 (5%)	0	0 %	2.41	2.60	2.25	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (3%)	0	0 %	3.50	3.50	3.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	0	0 %	3.11	6.00	2.10	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (5%)	0	0 %	1.52	2.00	1.22	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	10 (26%)	6	60 %	1.64	2.50	1.17	-0.8 (-8%)
	38	16	42 %	1.69			-11.8 (-31%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Timbo Bets 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
11th Jun	UFC 275	28.5	6.0	21%	$15	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,044.87
17th Jun	PFL 2022 #4	11	-6.1	-55%		$10.45	$1,044.87	$981.51
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	45.5	-22.3	-49%	$15	$9.82	$981.51	$747.56
24th Jun	Bellator 282	24.5	-1.8	-7%		$7.48	$747.56	$734.20
24th Jun	PFL 2022 #5	17	-6.3	-37%		$7.34	$734.20	$688.05
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	24	-4.3	-18%		$6.88	$688.05	$658.32
1st Jul	PFL 2022 #6	4	-0.7	-17%		$6.58	$658.32	$653.93
2nd Jul	UFC 276	30	4.5	15%		$6.54	$653.93	$683.09
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	22	-0.2	-1%		$6.83	$683.09	$681.38
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	22	3.2	15%		$6.81	$681.38	$703.51
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	24.5	-13.3	-54%		$7.04	$703.51	$610.28
30th Jul	UFC 277	68	15.8	23%		$6.10	$610.28	$706.69
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	8	-4.7	-58%		$7.07	$706.69	$673.72
12th Aug	Bellator 284	38	-20.9	-55%		$6.74	$673.72	$532.98
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	52	-40.9	-79%		$5.33	$532.98	$315.13

ROI % from starting bank balance: -68.49% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Timbo Bets : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '22	Azamat Murzakanov	Devin Clark	1.63	5	TKO, R3 (1:18)
2.	Aug '22	Gokhan Saricam	Said Sowma	1.56	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '22	Nick Negumereanu	Ihor Potieria	1.83	5	TKO, R2 (3:33)
4.	Jul '22	Orion Cosce	Mike Mathetha	1.63	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '22	Drakkar Klose	Rafa Garcia	1.45	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '22	Drew Dober	Rafael Alves	1.45	11	TKO, R3 (1:30)
7.	Jul '22	Alexandre Pantoja	Alex Perez	1.65	5	Sub, R1 (1:31)
8.	Jul '22	Nicolas Dalby	Claudio Silva	1.41	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '22	Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	1.57	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '22	Li Jingliang	Muslim Salikhov	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (4:38)
11.	Jul '22	Emily Ducote	Jessica Penne	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jul '22	David Onama	Garrett Armfield	1.12	11	Sub, R2 (3:13)
13.	Jul '22	Magomed Umalatov	Jarrah Al-Silawi	1.67	2	TKO, R1 (3:33)
14.	Jul '22	Israel Adesanya	Jared Cannonier	1.20	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Jul '22	Bryan Barberena	Robbie Lawler	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (4:47)
16.	Jul '22	Alex Volkanovski	Max Holloway	1.48	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Jul '22	Ian Garry	Gabriel Green	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jul '22	Dricus Du Plessis	Brad Tavares	1.83	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jun '22	Lance Palmer	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jun '22	Sergey Morozov	Raulian Paiva	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '22	Ode Osbourne	Tyson Nam	1.44	11	TKO, R1 (2:59)	No
2.	Aug '22	Lupita Godinez	Angela Hill	1.34	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '22	Cynthia Calvillo	Nina Nunes	1.61	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '22	Josh Hill	Marcos Breno	1.58	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '22	Austin Vanderford	Aaron Jeffery	1.50	11	TKO, R1 (1:25)	No
6.	Aug '22	Neiman Gracie	Goiti Yamauchi	1.57	11	TKO, R2 (3:58)	No
7.	Aug '22	David Onama	Nate Landwehr	1.53	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '22	Ariane Lipski	Priscila Cachoeira	1.56	3	TKO, R1 (1:5)	No
9.	Aug '22	Vicente Luque	Geoff Neal	1.57	3	TKO, R3 (2:1)	No
10.	Jul '22	Derrick Lewis	Sergey Pavlovich	1.91	3	TKO, R1 (0:55)	No
11.	Jul '22	Kai Kara-France	Brandon Moreno	2.67	2	TKO, R3 (4:34)	No
12.	Jul '22	Chris Curtis	Jack Hermansson	1.87	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jul '22	Mandy Bohm	Victoria Leonardo	1.82	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jul '22	Makwan Amirkhani	Jonathan Pearce	2.75	1	TKO, R2 (4:10)	No
15.	Jul '22	Paul Craig	Volkan Oezdemir	2.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '22	Dwight Grant	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.75	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '22	Jack Shore	Ricky Simon	1.62	2	Sub, R2 (3:28)	No
18.	Jul '22	Miesha Tate	Lauren Murphy	1.52	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '22	Ricky Turcios	Aiemann Zahabi	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jul '22	Jessica-Rose Clark	Julija Stoliarenko	1.69	2	Sub, R1 (0:42)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Timbo Bets : Progress Chart

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