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MMA Handicapper Stats: @pedroo_sep

@pedroo_sep (NotoriusPH)


MMA MHandicapper - @pedroo_sep

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 17 (63%) Right 17 (74%) Right 0 (0%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 10 (37%) Wrong 6 (26%) Wrong 2 (100%) Wrong 2 (100%)
Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.75 Avg Odds 2.99 Avg Odds 1.85
Units Bet 97.0 Units Bet 91.5 Units Bet 3.3 Units Bet 2.3
Avg Bet 3.59 Avg Bet 3.98 Avg Bet 1.63 Avg Bet 1.13
Units Profit 24.11 Units Profit 29.61 Units Profit -3.25 Units Profit -2.25
ROI % 25% ROI % 32% ROI % -100% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

@pedroo_sep : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 16 4.3 27% 4.3 / 16 (27%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 10 0.4 4% 3.4 / 7 (48%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 13 -2.1 -16% -2.1 / 13 (-16%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 6 3.5 58% 3.5 / 6 (58%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 10 4.4 44% 4.4 / 10 (44%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 7 -2.5 -36% -2.5 / 7 (-36%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 4 6.2 156% 6.2 / 4 (156%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 7 5.1 72% 5.1 / 7 (72%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 15 4.1 27% 4.1 / 15 (27%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 9 0.7 8% 3.2 / 6.5 (50%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)


Winning Events: 8 (80%)
Losing Events: 2 (20%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.70 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.00 units
Best Event: 6.24 units
Worst Event: -2.50 units
Average Event: 2.41 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 16.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -2.50

@pedroo_sep : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 97 24.1 25% 29.6 / 91.5 (32%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 8 / 2 (80%) 2.41

@pedroo_sep : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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@pedroo_sep : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 97 24.1 25% 29.6 / 91.5 (32%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)

@pedroo_sep : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (39%) 9 100 % 51.50 21.88 2.43 42%
Slight Favorites 8 (35%) 6 75 % 29.00 5.93 0.74 20%
Slight Underdogs 4 (17%) 0 0 % 7.00 -7.00 -1.75 -100%
Big Underdogs 2 (9%) 2 100 % 4.00 8.80 4.40 220%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Co-Main Event 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Position 3-5 8 (35%) 6 75 % 35.00 12.56 1.57 36%
6+ (Undercard) 14 (61%) 11 79 % 55.50 18.05 1.29 33%

@pedroo_sep : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (9%) 0 % 8.00 -8.00 -4.00 -100%
Light Heavy 3 (13%) 2 67 % 14.00 3.94 1.31 28%
Middleweight 4 (17%) 3 75 % 15.50 4.63 1.16 30%
Welterweight 3 (13%) 2 67 % 14.00 2.00 0.67 14%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 10.00 4.40 4.40 44%
Flyweight 3 (13%) 3 100 % 10.00 8.69 2.90 87%
               
Women's Fights 7 (30%) 6 86 % 20.00 13.95 1.99 70%
Bantamweight 2 (9%) 2 100 % 9.00 7.11 3.56 79%
Flyweight 2 (9%) 1 50 % 5.00 -0.50 -0.25 -10%
Strawweight 3 (13%) 3 100 % 6.00 7.34 2.45 122%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (50%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 2 (50%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
4 2 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 1 (50%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 1 (50%) 0 0 %
2 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (50%) 0 0 % 1.99 1.99Pick was incorrect 1.99Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (50%) 0 0 % 6.00 6.00Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
2 0 0 % 2.99     -2.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail @pedroo_sep 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 9 0.7 8% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,007.50
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 15 4.1 27% $10.07 $1,007.50 $1,048.70
11th Jun UFC 275 7 5.1 72% $10.49 $1,048.70 $1,101.66
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 4 6.2 156% $11.02 $1,101.66 $1,170.40
2nd Jul UFC 276 7 -2.5 -36% $11.70 $1,170.40 $1,141.14
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 10 4.4 44% $11.41 $1,141.14 $1,191.35
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 6 3.5 58% $11.91 $1,191.35 $1,232.81
30th Jul UFC 277 13 -2.1 -16% $12.33 $1,232.81 $1,207.17
22nd Oct UFC 280 10 0.4 4% $12.07 $1,207.17 $1,211.76
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 16 4.3 27% $12.12 $1,211.76 $1,263.87


ROI % from starting bank balance: 26.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

@pedroo_sep : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '22 Jack Della Maddalena Danny Roberts 1.22 10 TKO, R1 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '22 Charles Johnson Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1.62 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Caio Borralho Makhmud Muradov 1.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '22 Armen Petrosyan AJ Dobson 1.47 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Joselyne Edwards Ji Yeon Kim 1.82 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Emily Ducote Jessica Penne 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Matt Schnell Su Mudaerji 3.00 2 Sub, R2 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Said Nurmagomedov Douglas Silva de Andrade 1.44 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Maycee Barber Jessica Eye 1.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '22 Carlos Ulberg Tafon Nchukwi 1.72 2 TKO, R1 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '22 Vanessa Demopoulos Jinh Yu Frey 3.40 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '22 Jeff Molina Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '22 Alonzo Menifield Askar Mozharov 1.45 10 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '22 Joseph Holmes Alen Amedovski 1.50 6.5 Sub, R1 (1:4) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Joselyne Edwards Ramona Pascual 1.73 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Weili Zhang Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.53 2 TKO, R2 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Jack Della Maddalena Ramazan Emeev 1.90 2 TKO, R1 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '22 Chase Sherman Waldo Cortes-Acosta 2.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Don'tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab 1.87 7 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Da Un Jung Dustin Jacoby 2.30 2 TKO, R1 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Brad Tavares Dricus Du Plessis 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Robbie Lawler Bryan Barberena 1.80 2 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '22 Poliana Botelho Karine Silva 2.05 2 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

@pedroo_sep : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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