MMA Handicapper Stats: ChalkDogUFC |
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ChalkDogUFC : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 10 (42%)
Losing Events: 14 (58%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.28 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.50 units
Best Event: 3.74 units
Worst Event: -8.20 units
Average Event: -0.90 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 7.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.65 |
ChalkDogUFC : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
30 |
-13.7 |
-46% |
-15.0 / 15 (-100%) |
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/ 2 (0%) |
-6.83 |
| 2022 |
168.81 |
-7.8 |
-5% |
-9.2 / 99.36 (-9%) |
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5.1 / 18.68 (27%) |
10 / 12 (45%) |
-0.36 |
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ChalkDogUFC : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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ChalkDogUFC : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
197.9 |
-20.8 |
-11% |
-24.0 / 113.92 (-21%) |
-2.0 / 65.3 (-3%) |
5.1 / 18.68 (27%) |
| Other |
0.91 |
-0.7 |
-72% |
-0.2 / 0.44 (-42%) |
-0.5 / 0.47 (-100%) |
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ChalkDogUFC : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
12 (21%) |
8 |
67 % |
49.90 |
-8.85 |
-0.74 |
-18% |
| Slight Favorites |
23 (40%) |
12 |
52 % |
41.39 |
-2.61 |
-0.11 |
-6% |
| Slight Underdogs |
17 (30%) |
5 |
29 % |
17.51 |
-8.65 |
-0.51 |
-49% |
| Big Underdogs |
5 (9%) |
1 |
20 % |
5.56 |
-4.06 |
-0.81 |
-73% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
7 (12%) |
4 |
57 % |
12.76 |
0.75 |
0.11 |
6% |
| Co-Main Event |
6 (11%) |
2 |
33 % |
10.13 |
-4.09 |
-0.68 |
-40% |
| Position 3-5 |
17 (30%) |
8 |
47 % |
47.76 |
-7.70 |
-0.45 |
-16% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
27 (47%) |
12 |
44 % |
43.71 |
-13.14 |
-0.49 |
-30% |
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ChalkDogUFC : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.94 |
1.94 |
65% |
| Light Heavy |
7 (12%) |
4 |
57 % |
10.58 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0% |
| Middleweight |
6 (11%) |
2 |
33 % |
10.73 |
-4.79 |
-0.80 |
-45% |
| Welterweight |
8 (14%) |
4 |
50 % |
18.85 |
0.12 |
0.01 |
1% |
| Lightweight |
12 (21%) |
4 |
33 % |
19.75 |
-4.67 |
-0.39 |
-24% |
| Featherweight |
5 (9%) |
2 |
40 % |
8.36 |
-4.04 |
-0.81 |
-48% |
| Bantamweight |
10 (18%) |
3 |
30 % |
28.34 |
-19.56 |
-1.96 |
-69% |
| Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
3.00 |
2.04 |
1.02 |
68% |
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| Women's Fights |
6 (11%) |
4 |
67 % |
11.75 |
4.78 |
0.80 |
41% |
| Flyweight |
3 (5%) |
3 |
100 % |
7.00 |
4.23 |
1.41 |
60% |
| Strawweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.75 |
0.56 |
0.19 |
12% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
37 (93%) |
25 |
68 % |
| Slight Favorites |
3 (8%) |
3 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
40 |
28 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
11 (20%) |
9 |
82 % |
| 50-65% |
22 (40%) |
11 |
50 % |
| 35-50% |
9 (16%) |
3 |
33 % |
| <35% chance |
13 (24%) |
2 |
15 % |
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55 |
25 |
45 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail ChalkDogUFC 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
8.2 |
2.9 |
35% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,029.10 |
| 21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
12.5 |
2.9 |
23% |
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$10.29 |
$1,029.10 |
$1,058.74 |
| 4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
12.4 |
2.1 |
17% |
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$10.59 |
$1,058.74 |
$1,081.15 |
| 11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
7.47 |
-2.8 |
-38% |
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$10.81 |
$1,081.15 |
$1,050.73 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
12.3 |
-5.9 |
-48% |
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$10.51 |
$1,050.73 |
$988.24 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
7.46 |
-0.5 |
-7% |
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$9.88 |
$988.24 |
$983.30 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
4.22 |
0.8 |
19% |
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$9.83 |
$983.30 |
$991.17 |
| 9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
3.8 |
2.9 |
76% |
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$9.91 |
$991.17 |
$1,019.66 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
10.67 |
-3.9 |
-36% |
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$10.20 |
$1,019.66 |
$980.31 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
10.1 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
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$9.80 |
$980.31 |
$977.68 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
7.87 |
1.8 |
23% |
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$9.78 |
$977.68 |
$995.56 |
| 2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
0.47 |
-0.2 |
-46% |
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$9.96 |
$995.56 |
$993.42 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
2.3 |
2.0 |
87% |
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$9.93 |
$993.42 |
$1,013.29 |
| 13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
4.66 |
-3.2 |
-69% |
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$10.13 |
$1,013.29 |
$980.51 |
| 16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
0.44 |
-0.4 |
-100% |
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$9.81 |
$980.51 |
$976.19 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
3.27 |
-1.0 |
-31% |
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$9.76 |
$976.19 |
$966.43 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
9 |
1.9 |
21% |
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$9.66 |
$966.43 |
$984.86 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
3.08 |
1.8 |
57% |
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$9.85 |
$984.86 |
$1,002.09 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
3.1 |
-3.1 |
-100% |
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$10.02 |
$1,002.09 |
$971.03 |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
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$9.71 |
$971.03 |
$922.47 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
25.5 |
-4.3 |
-17% |
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$9.22 |
$922.47 |
$883.18 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
15 |
3.7 |
25% |
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$8.83 |
$883.18 |
$916.19 |
| 21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
10 |
-8.2 |
-82% |
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$9.16 |
$916.19 |
$841.07 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
20 |
-5.5 |
-27% |
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$8.41 |
$841.07 |
$795.19 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -20.48% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
ChalkDogUFC : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Nov '22 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Danny Roberts |
1.15 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:24) |
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| 2. |
Oct '22 |
Manon Fiorot |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.52 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 3. |
Oct '22 |
Islam Makhachev |
Charles Oliveira |
1.52 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (3:16) |
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| 4. |
Sep '22 |
Nate Diaz |
Tony Ferguson |
2.25 |
1 |
Sub, R4 (2:6) |
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| 5. |
Sep '22 |
Daniel Rodriguez |
Li Jingliang |
1.63 |
1.58 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. |
Aug '22 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Jose Aldo |
1.79 |
1.27 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 7. |
Aug '22 |
Chris Duncan (2) |
Charlie Campbell |
2.55 |
0.1 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
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| 8. |
Jul '22 |
Nick Negumereanu |
Ihor Potieria |
2.35 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:33) |
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| 9. |
Jul '22 |
Brandon Moreno |
Kai Kara-France |
1.52 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:34) |
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| 10. |
Jul '22 |
Shane Burgos |
Charles Jourdain |
1.61 |
1.75 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Jul '22 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Da Un Jung |
1.98 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:13) |
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| 12. |
Jul '22 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Da Un Jung |
1.98 |
1.02 |
TKO, R1 (3:13) |
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| 13. |
Jul '22 |
Caio Borralho |
Armen Petrosyan |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. |
Jul '22 |
Ian Garry |
Gabriel Green |
1.62 |
1.62 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. |
Jul '22 |
Jalin Turner |
Brad Riddell |
1.71 |
1.4 |
Sub, R1 (0:45) |
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| 16. |
Jun '22 |
Sergey Morozov |
Raulian Paiva |
1.74 |
1.36 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. |
Jun '22 |
Cody Durden |
J.P. Buys |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:8) |
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| 18. |
Jun '22 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Guram Kutateladze |
1.59 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. |
Jun '22 |
Joshua Culibao |
Seung Woo Choi |
2.95 |
0.51 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. |
Jun '22 |
Alonzo Menifield |
Askar Mozharov |
1.41 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
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Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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| 1. |
Apr '23 |
Raul Rosas Jr |
Christian Rodriguez |
1.43 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 2. |
Jan '23 |
Terrance McKinney |
Ismael Bonfim |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:17) |
No |
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| 3. |
Jan '23 |
Mauricio Rua |
Ihor Potieria |
2.85 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:5) |
No |
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| 4. |
Oct '22 |
Petr Yan |
Sean O'Malley |
1.38 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 5. |
Oct '22 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.51 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
No |
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| 6. |
Sep '22 |
Daniel Zellhuber |
Trey Ogden |
1.38 |
2.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 7. |
Sep '22 |
John Makdessi |
Nasrat Haqparast |
2.95 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 8. |
Sep '22 |
Charles Jourdain |
Nathaniel Wood |
1.71 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 9. |
Aug '22 |
Leonardo Santos |
Jared Gordon |
3.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 10. |
Aug '22 |
Jay Perrin |
Qileng Aori |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 11. |
Aug '22 |
Ivan Valenzuela |
Claudio Ribeiro |
1.77 |
0.13 |
TKO, R1 (0:25) |
No |
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| 12. |
Aug '22 |
Jack Cartwright |
Jose Johnson |
1.88 |
0.11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 13. |
Aug '22 |
Ahmad Hasanzada |
Nazim Sadykhov |
2.42 |
0.1 |
TKO, R3 (1:59) |
No |
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| 14. |
Aug '22 |
Jason Witt |
Josh Quinlan |
3.25 |
0.45 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
No |
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| 15. |
Jul '22 |
Matt Semelsberger |
Alex Morono |
1.65 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 16. |
Jul '22 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Nikita Krylov |
2.55 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:7) |
No |
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| 17. |
Jul '22 |
Chris Curtis |
Jack Hermansson |
1.93 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 18. |
Jul '22 |
Jack Shore |
Ricky Simon |
1.65 |
3.1 |
Sub, R2 (3:28) |
No |
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| 19. |
Jul '22 |
Jack Shore |
Ricky Simon |
1.67 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:28) |
No |
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| 20. |
Jul '22 |
Brian Ortega |
Yair Rodriguez |
1.56 |
1.8 |
TKO, R1 (4:11) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
ChalkDogUFC : Progress Chart |
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