MMA Handicapper Stats: MrAlways Profit |
|
MrAlways Profit: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 46 (55%) Losing Events: 38 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.05 units Most Staked On One Event: 35.50 units Best Event: 12.68 units Worst Event: -15.55 units Average Event: 0.53 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 12, Units: 39.27 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -28.46 |
MrAlways Profit: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
542.55 |
61.6 |
11% |
37.4 / 385 (10%) |
|
12.8 / 124.8 (10%) |
26 / 19 (58%) |
1.37 |
2022 |
637.31 |
-17.5 |
-3% |
-8.7 / 553.91 (-2%) |
|
-4.8 / 49.35 (-10%) |
20 / 19 (51%) |
-0.45 |
|
MrAlways Profit: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MrAlways Profit: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1049.31 |
37.4 |
4% |
17.3 / 835.86 (2%) |
9.0 / 61.8 (15%) |
11.0 / 151.65 (7%) |
Bellator |
25.5 |
8.1 |
32% |
5.1 / 18 (28%) |
3.0 / 0.5 (600%) |
0.1 / 7 (1%) |
PFL |
31.15 |
-8.8 |
-28% |
-1.4 / 16.65 (-9%) |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
-2.8 / 10 (-28%) |
Other |
73.9 |
7.4 |
10% |
7.7 / 68.4 (11%) |
|
-0.3 / 5.5 (-5%) |
|
MrAlways Profit: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
104 (28%) |
75 |
72 % |
434.05 |
-14.00 |
-0.13 |
-3% |
Slight Favorites |
139 (37%) |
91 |
65 % |
334.36 |
38.63 |
0.28 |
12% |
Slight Underdogs |
99 (26%) |
47 |
47 % |
131.95 |
11.94 |
0.12 |
9% |
Big Underdogs |
32 (9%) |
8 |
25 % |
38.55 |
-7.90 |
-0.25 |
-20% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
52 (14%) |
27 |
52 % |
186.95 |
-21.50 |
-0.41 |
-12% |
Co-Main Event |
42 (11%) |
24 |
57 % |
101.67 |
6.27 |
0.15 |
6% |
Position 3-5 |
93 (25%) |
61 |
66 % |
236.95 |
40.26 |
0.43 |
17% |
6+ (Undercard) |
187 (50%) |
109 |
58 % |
413.34 |
3.64 |
0.02 |
1% |
|
MrAlways Profit: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
14 (4%) |
6 |
43 % |
34.20 |
2.23 |
0.16 |
7% |
Light Heavy |
29 (8%) |
17 |
59 % |
71.35 |
1.35 |
0.05 |
2% |
Middleweight |
48 (13%) |
24 |
50 % |
123.50 |
-17.77 |
-0.37 |
-14% |
Welterweight |
46 (12%) |
27 |
59 % |
86.12 |
3.33 |
0.07 |
4% |
Lightweight |
53 (14%) |
32 |
60 % |
155.12 |
-3.50 |
-0.07 |
-2% |
Featherweight |
37 (10%) |
19 |
51 % |
90.10 |
-13.12 |
-0.35 |
-15% |
Bantamweight |
51 (14%) |
38 |
75 % |
136.55 |
37.05 |
0.73 |
27% |
Flyweight |
30 (8%) |
22 |
73 % |
79.30 |
24.26 |
0.81 |
31% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
66 (18%) |
36 |
55 % |
162.67 |
-5.15 |
-0.08 |
-3% |
Featherweight |
1 (0%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
16 (4%) |
8 |
50 % |
38.92 |
-9.31 |
-0.58 |
-24% |
Flyweight |
18 (5%) |
14 |
78 % |
62.50 |
17.06 |
0.95 |
27% |
Strawweight |
31 (8%) |
14 |
45 % |
60.75 |
-12.41 |
-0.40 |
-20% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
135 (99%) |
104 |
77 % |
Slight Favorites |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
137 |
105 |
77 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
14 (45%) |
10 |
71 % |
50-65% |
11 (35%) |
7 |
64 % |
35-50% |
3 (10%) |
1 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
3 (10%) |
2 |
67 % |
|
31 |
20 |
65 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MrAlways Profit's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
26.15 |
-9.9 |
-38% |
$20 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$881.40 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
29.09 |
-2.2 |
-8% |
$20 |
$8.81 |
$881.40 |
$841.57 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
10.7 |
5.0 |
47% |
$20 |
$8.42 |
$841.57 |
$863.64 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
11 |
0.5 |
5% |
$20 |
$8.64 |
$863.64 |
$848.31 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
29 |
4.7 |
16% |
$20 |
$8.48 |
$848.31 |
$867.76 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
21.1 |
-5.4 |
-25% |
$20 |
$8.68 |
$867.76 |
$801.24 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
26.52 |
3.0 |
11% |
$20 |
$8.01 |
$801.24 |
$804.89 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
23 |
-2.4 |
-11% |
$20 |
$8.05 |
$804.89 |
$765.32 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
25.85 |
-3.0 |
-12% |
$20 |
$7.65 |
$765.32 |
$722.29 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
29.7 |
2.6 |
9% |
$20 |
$7.22 |
$722.29 |
$721.36 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
30.45 |
1.0 |
3% |
$20 |
$7.21 |
$721.36 |
$708.34 |
2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$20 |
$7.08 |
$708.34 |
$674.17 |
5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
4.15 |
-4.2 |
-100% |
$20 |
$6.74 |
$674.17 |
$626.19 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
19.2 |
3.5 |
18% |
$20 |
$6.26 |
$626.19 |
$628.23 |
9th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 3 |
5.7 |
2.3 |
40% |
$20 |
$6.28 |
$628.23 |
$622.73 |
12th Aug |
Bellator 284 |
3.6 |
0.2 |
6% |
$20 |
$6.23 |
$622.73 |
$604.08 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
13.65 |
-5.6 |
-41% |
$20 |
$6.04 |
$604.08 |
$550.31 |
16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
3 |
2.3 |
77% |
$20 |
$5.50 |
$550.31 |
$543.07 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
13.35 |
-8.2 |
-61% |
$20 |
$5.43 |
$543.07 |
$478.54 |
23rd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 5 |
8 |
-3.7 |
-47% |
$20 |
$4.79 |
$478.54 |
$440.59 |
27th Aug |
One FC on Prime 1 |
2 |
2.4 |
120% |
$20 |
$4.41 |
$440.59 |
$431.17 |
31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
9.2 |
-3.3 |
-36% |
$20 |
$4.31 |
$431.17 |
$396.92 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
26.95 |
8.9 |
33% |
$20 |
$3.97 |
$396.92 |
$412.36 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
16.5 |
-4.2 |
-25% |
$20 |
$4.12 |
$412.36 |
$375.24 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
31.25 |
-5.8 |
-19% |
$20 |
$3.75 |
$375.24 |
$333.43 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
7 |
4.3 |
61% |
$20 |
$3.33 |
$333.43 |
$327.70 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 285 |
6.5 |
3.9 |
59% |
$20 |
$3.28 |
$327.70 |
$320.34 |
27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
12.5 |
5.2 |
41% |
$20 |
$3.20 |
$320.34 |
$316.91 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
16 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
$20 |
$3.17 |
$316.91 |
$294.92 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 286 |
2 |
1.2 |
62% |
$20 |
$2.95 |
$294.92 |
$278.59 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
23.6 |
-0.4 |
-2% |
$20 |
$2.79 |
$278.59 |
$257.56 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
17.5 |
8.3 |
47% |
$20 |
$2.58 |
$257.56 |
$258.89 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
22 |
-9.9 |
-45% |
$20 |
$2.59 |
$258.89 |
$213.25 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
19.1 |
-3.0 |
-16% |
$20 |
$2.13 |
$213.25 |
$186.83 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
35.5 |
-15.5 |
-44% |
$20 |
$1.87 |
$186.83 |
$137.79 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
20.5 |
12.5 |
61% |
$20 |
$1.38 |
$137.79 |
$135.04 |
25th Nov |
PFL 2022 #10 |
6 |
-2.9 |
-48% |
$20 |
$1.35 |
$135.04 |
$111.19 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
5 |
1.7 |
34% |
|
$1.11 |
$111.19 |
$113.10 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
23 |
1.2 |
5% |
$20 |
$1.13 |
$113.10 |
$94.46 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
18.5 |
2.3 |
13% |
$20 |
$0.94 |
$94.46 |
$76.66 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
1 |
4.3 |
430% |
$20 |
$0.77 |
$76.66 |
$59.96 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
13.5 |
6.2 |
46% |
$20 |
$0.60 |
$59.96 |
$43.68 |
25th Feb |
Bellator 291 |
4.4 |
0.8 |
19% |
$20 |
$0.44 |
$43.68 |
$24.05 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
14.85 |
7.4 |
50% |
$20 |
$0.24 |
$24.05 |
$5.83 |
10th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 7 |
2 |
1.6 |
80% |
|
$0.06 |
$5.83 |
$5.93 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
17.5 |
1.1 |
6% |
$20 |
$0.06 |
$5.93 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
17th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 8 |
3 |
2.3 |
77% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,023.08 |
24th Mar |
Fury FC 76 |
7.5 |
3.5 |
47% |
$20 |
$10.23 |
$1,023.08 |
$1,039.01 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
16.5 |
6.7 |
41% |
$20 |
$10.39 |
$1,039.01 |
$1,088.58 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 293 |
4 |
-0.8 |
-21% |
$20 |
$10.89 |
$1,088.58 |
$1,059.61 |
7th Apr |
PFL 2: 2023 |
2 |
1.2 |
59% |
$20 |
$10.60 |
$1,059.61 |
$1,052.08 |
14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
9.5 |
-6.0 |
-63% |
$20 |
$10.52 |
$1,052.08 |
$968.95 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
19.5 |
4.0 |
21% |
$20 |
$9.69 |
$968.95 |
$988.00 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
5 |
1.7 |
34% |
$20 |
$9.88 |
$988.00 |
$984.75 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
19.5 |
-2.7 |
-14% |
$20 |
$9.85 |
$984.75 |
$938.15 |
12th May |
Bellator 296 |
4 |
-1.5 |
-38% |
$20 |
$9.38 |
$938.15 |
$904.08 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
11 |
-2.7 |
-24% |
$20 |
$9.04 |
$904.08 |
$860.07 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
15 |
10.3 |
69% |
$20 |
$8.60 |
$860.07 |
$928.50 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
13 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
$20 |
$9.29 |
$928.50 |
$907.14 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
18 |
-1.8 |
-10% |
$20 |
$9.07 |
$907.14 |
$870.96 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
10 |
6.7 |
67% |
$20 |
$8.71 |
$870.96 |
$909.31 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
18 |
10.4 |
58% |
$20 |
$9.09 |
$909.31 |
$984.18 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
13 |
-2.7 |
-21% |
$20 |
$9.84 |
$984.18 |
$937.94 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
20.5 |
7.0 |
34% |
$20 |
$9.38 |
$937.94 |
$983.56 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
18.8 |
-12.4 |
-66% |
$20 |
$9.84 |
$983.56 |
$841.91 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
16 |
12.7 |
79% |
$20 |
$8.42 |
$841.91 |
$928.68 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
24 |
-4.1 |
-17% |
$20 |
$9.29 |
$928.68 |
$870.95 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
8 |
-4.7 |
-59% |
$20 |
$8.71 |
$870.95 |
$809.93 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
15.5 |
-8.1 |
-52% |
$20 |
$8.10 |
$809.93 |
$724.25 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
17.5 |
12.6 |
72% |
$20 |
$7.24 |
$724.25 |
$795.66 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
4.5 |
5.7 |
126% |
$20 |
$7.96 |
$795.66 |
$820.89 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
4.5 |
-0.8 |
-19% |
$20 |
$8.21 |
$820.89 |
$793.94 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
10.5 |
5.5 |
52% |
$20 |
$7.94 |
$793.94 |
$817.53 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
11 |
6.3 |
57% |
$20 |
$8.18 |
$817.53 |
$848.92 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
$20 |
$8.49 |
$848.92 |
$727.05 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
$20 |
$7.27 |
$727.05 |
$674.33 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
13.5 |
6.0 |
45% |
$20 |
$6.74 |
$674.33 |
$695.06 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
13.5 |
5.5 |
41% |
$20 |
$6.95 |
$695.06 |
$713.42 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
13 |
-0.9 |
-7% |
$20 |
$7.13 |
$713.42 |
$686.91 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
12 |
-6.1 |
-51% |
$20 |
$6.87 |
$686.91 |
$625.09 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
14.5 |
7.3 |
50% |
$20 |
$6.25 |
$625.09 |
$650.73 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
16 |
-4.1 |
-25% |
$20 |
$6.51 |
$650.73 |
$604.31 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
16.5 |
1.2 |
7% |
$20 |
$6.04 |
$604.31 |
$591.77 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
16 |
-3.0 |
-18% |
$20 |
$5.92 |
$591.77 |
$554.29 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -144.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MrAlways Profit: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.10 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '23 |
Bobby Green |
Jalin Turner |
2.60 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Charles Johnson |
Rafael Estevam |
2.30 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Jonathan Pearce |
Joanderson Brito |
1.77 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:54) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.05 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '23 |
Matt Frevola |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.95 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '23 |
Tabatha Ricci |
Lupita Godinez |
2.65 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Nov '23 |
Dennis Buzukja |
Jamall Emmers |
3.15 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:49) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '23 |
Kamaru Usman |
Khamzat Chimaev |
3.75 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Islam Makhachev |
3.15 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Adrian Yanez |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Oct '23 |
Jennifer Maia |
Viviane Araujo |
1.69 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '23 |
Montana De La Rosa |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.69 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '23 |
Diana Belbita |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '23 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Bill Algeo |
1.87 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Sep '23 |
Kevin Holland |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.20 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Sep '23 |
Kasey Tanner |
Jean Matsumoto |
1.83 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Sep '23 |
Malik Lewis |
James Llontop |
2.35 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Sep '23 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Alexander Volkov |
3.15 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:37) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MrAlways Profit: Progress Chart |
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