MMA Handicapper Stats: Curve |
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Curve : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 15 (34%) Losing Events: 29 (66%)
Average Staked Per Event: 15.93 units Most Staked On One Event: 44.90 units Best Event: 60.75 units Worst Event: -23.42 units Average Event: -1.29 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 60.75 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -52.09 |
Curve : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
175.6 |
-62.4 |
-36% |
-26.7 / 32 (-83%) |
|
-31.5 / 122.1 (-26%) |
5 / 11 (31%) |
-3.90 |
2022 |
525.5 |
5.8 |
1% |
17.4 / 184.3 (9%) |
|
3.6 / 266.8 (1%) |
10 / 18 (36%) |
0.21 |
|
Curve : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Curve : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
691.3 |
-52.5 |
-8% |
-7.4 / 212 (-3%) |
-16.9 / 93.4 (-18%) |
-28.3 / 385.9 (-7%) |
Bellator |
5.5 |
-2.1 |
-38% |
|
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
0.4 / 3 (13%) |
PFL |
3.3 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
-3.3 / 3.3 (-100%) |
|
|
Other |
1 |
1.4 |
135% |
1.4 / 1 (135%) |
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|
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Curve : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
16 (24%) |
11 |
69 % |
90.80 |
-9.25 |
-0.58 |
-10% |
Slight Favorites |
14 (21%) |
7 |
50 % |
41.50 |
-16.60 |
-1.19 |
-40% |
Slight Underdogs |
23 (34%) |
12 |
52 % |
54.00 |
-0.43 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
14 (21%) |
3 |
21 % |
30.00 |
16.95 |
1.21 |
57% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
8 (12%) |
3 |
38 % |
50.00 |
-22.68 |
-2.83 |
-45% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (12%) |
6 |
75 % |
31.80 |
8.85 |
1.11 |
28% |
Position 3-5 |
15 (22%) |
7 |
47 % |
45.50 |
22.67 |
1.51 |
50% |
6+ (Undercard) |
36 (54%) |
17 |
47 % |
89.00 |
-18.16 |
-0.50 |
-20% |
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Curve : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (10%) |
4 |
57 % |
24.00 |
5.36 |
0.77 |
22% |
Light Heavy |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
12.50 |
-1.17 |
-0.58 |
-9% |
Middleweight |
13 (19%) |
5 |
38 % |
32.00 |
-1.90 |
-0.15 |
-6% |
Welterweight |
12 (18%) |
7 |
58 % |
43.50 |
-2.82 |
-0.24 |
-6% |
Lightweight |
7 (10%) |
3 |
43 % |
16.80 |
-8.12 |
-1.16 |
-48% |
Featherweight |
7 (10%) |
3 |
43 % |
25.50 |
-8.25 |
-1.18 |
-32% |
Bantamweight |
10 (15%) |
5 |
50 % |
47.50 |
3.89 |
0.39 |
8% |
Flyweight |
3 (4%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-1.67 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
6 (9%) |
5 |
83 % |
9.50 |
8.68 |
1.45 |
91% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
4.76 |
4.76 |
95% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.32 |
0.66 |
88% |
Strawweight |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
3.60 |
1.80 |
180% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
306 (61%) |
213 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
117 (23%) |
55 |
47 % |
Slight Underdogs |
63 (13%) |
21 |
33 % |
Big Underdogs |
13 (3%) |
4 |
31 % |
|
499 |
293 |
59 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
96 (34%) |
67 |
70 % |
50-65% |
61 (21%) |
34 |
56 % |
35-50% |
43 (15%) |
14 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
86 (30%) |
17 |
20 % |
|
286 |
132 |
46 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Curve 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -72.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Curve : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '23 |
Edson Barboza |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.60 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:37) |
|
|
2. |
Feb '23 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Jessica Andrade |
2.04 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:37) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '23 |
Marcin Tybura |
Blagoy Ivanov |
1.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Dec '22 |
Natan Levy |
Genaro Valdez |
1.49 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Oct '22 |
Belal Muhammad |
Sean Brady |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '22 |
Sean O'Malley |
Petr Yan |
4.10 |
7 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Sep '22 |
Gregory Rodrigues |
Chidi Njokuani |
2.04 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:27) |
|
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8. |
Sep '22 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Yadong Song |
1.48 |
10 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '22 |
Yohan Lainesse |
Darian Weeks |
2.04 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '22 |
Jailton Junior |
Anton Turkalj |
1.12 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:27) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '22 |
Khamzat Chimaev |
Kevin Holland |
1.25 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (2:13) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '22 |
Robert Whittaker |
Marvin Vettori |
1.43 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '22 |
Ciryl Gane |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.15 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (4:23) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '22 |
Nathaniel Wood |
Charles Jourdain |
2.18 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '22 |
Tyson Pedro |
Harry Hunsucker |
1.13 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:5) |
|
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16. |
Aug '22 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Jose Aldo |
1.69 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '22 |
Paulo Costa |
Luke Rockhold |
1.29 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '22 |
Bryan Battle |
Takashi Sato |
1.34 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
|
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19. |
Aug '22 |
Terrance McKinney |
Erick Gonzalez |
1.12 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '22 |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Stephanie Egger |
1.95 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:17) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '23 |
Henry Cejudo |
Aljamain Sterling |
1.83 |
10 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '23 |
Henry Cejudo |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.10 |
10 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '23 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Gilbert Burns |
4.60 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '23 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Carlos Vergara |
2.97 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:4) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '23 |
Charles Johnson |
Ode Osbourne |
1.59 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Feb '23 |
Andre Muniz |
Brendan Allen |
1.44 |
3.5 |
Sub, R3 (4:25) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Feb '23 |
Denis Tiuliulin |
Jun Yong Park |
2.86 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:5) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Feb '23 |
Derrick Lewis |
Sergey Spivak |
2.90 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:5) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Dec '22 |
Cody Brundage |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
3.80 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Dec '22 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Ilia Topuria |
2.30 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:10) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Dec '22 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Sergey Pavlovich |
2.80 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Nov '22 |
Andre Fialho |
Muslim Salikhov |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:3) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '22 |
Bill Algeo |
Andre Fili |
2.04 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Sep '22 |
Cameron VanCamp |
Nikolas Motta |
2.42 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Sep '22 |
Pat Sabatini |
Damon Jackson |
1.48 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Sep '22 |
Danyelle Wolf |
Norma Dumont |
4.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Sep '22 |
Dustin Stoltzfus |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
3.25 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:19) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Sep '22 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Nassourdine Imavov |
3.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '22 |
A.J. Fletcher |
Ange Loosa |
1.61 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Aug '22 |
Alexander Romanov |
Marcin Tybura |
1.30 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Curve : Progress Chart |
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